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Launch HN: Airhart Aeronautics (YC S22) – A modern personal airplane

sethkim
100 replies
22h46m

Instrument-rated pilot (and engineer) here.

First - congrats on the launch! I think you're working on an interesting set of components that will prove useful to GA aircraft technology. Bringing fly-by-wire, and lowering the cost of maintenance/manufacturing are both great efforts.

That being said, my personal view is that stick-and-rudder control is one of the less critical components to improving GA safety. Everything else - flight planning, comms, automation, navigation, weather, inspections, procedures, regs, and most importantly - working in the federal airspace system - are the "hard" parts of flying and where problems tend to occur. It's common belief that single-pilot IFR is the most challenging type of flying, because of how much you have to do all at once.

It may sound snobby - but I'm not super excited about the idea of lowering the barrier to entry for GA on a foundational skill basis. Like the light-sport rating, it encourages more people to be in the (already congested) airspace system who haven't really gained all the other skills necessary or experience to be there.

To be clear - I think improving technology and lowering costs = good. Lowering early-skill requirements for pilots and pushing more people without all the other skills into federal airspace = very bad. In general, I'd frame this effort more as an effort to raise the bar for system technology, not lower the bar to become a pilot in the first place.

aeternum
31 replies
21h18m

Excellent points, it's really these other aspects that get pilots into trouble.

For example it's crazy that most pilots are still taught to calculate W&B using printed charts and approximate takeoff performance.

I think you could save more general aviation lives with a fairly minimal system.

A gas gauge sensor that calculates whether you have enough fuel to get to your destination + reserve. Avionics where you input your personal minimums like crosswinds and weather and it warns you if you're about to accept a landing or flight-plan that violates those. Encode that data and send it to ATC via transponder so valuable comm bandwidth is not lost asking for fuel status when emergencies occur.

A gear down warning. It's ridiculous that we still have so many belly landings and consider it a "good" to rely on training and human memory to prevent them. How much cheaper would complex airplanes be if we didn't have the crazy insurance rates due to this?

Angle-of-attack and spin warnings. It's ridiculous that even $1mil+ Cirrus planes can't detect when you're too slow in a base to final turn and sound a warning before you spin. We have the technology, it's foolish to depend on a decades old stall horn!

A system that parses all the hundreds of notams and filters out the important ones.

iamtheworstdev
15 replies
20h36m

For example it's crazy that most pilots are still taught to calculate W&B using printed charts and approximate takeoff performance.

We're taught that so we know what we're doing. Then we open our iPhone app (EFB or electronic flightbag) and do it there. In fact, part of the reason we do it there is because most of them phone home to their maker and log that we did it. So if there's an accident people can know "well they did their W&B"

the rest of the things

Regulations have made aviation so expensive that it's ridiculous. A lot of airplanes flying today are flying with their same avionics from 60 years ago because upgrading is expensive. To get the gas calculation you mention would require a certified GPS (on the low end from Garmin that's $6,000) and an engine monitor ($5,500 from Garmin), plus installation costs of another few thousand dollars.

Most planes have a gear down warning (ie, 3 indicator lights) but their original "bitching betty" is hard to hear because we now wear ear protection when we fly and have noise cancelling headphones. You probably can't even integrate that with a new Garmin system because they've gone full encrypted CANBUS to lock out integrations.

re: spin warnings - not sure what to tell you there. Stall speed is based on weight and configuration (flaps) and 99% of GA planes have no idea what they weigh or if their flaps are deployed.

But again, it's not that we can't do those things, it's just that they're completely cost prohibitive. Getting anything certified today is a flippin' nightmare and at too high of a cost to ever break even.

TylerE
10 replies
20h18m

Stall speed is a misnomer.

Stalls occur due to exceeding the critical angle of attack and can happen at ANY speed.

echoangle
4 replies
20h6m

I think that was his point. To calculate if you are going to stall in a final, you need to know your weight and flap setting to see if you will exceed the critical angle of attack when doing the turn, exactly because the speed isn’t constant.

lovecg
3 replies
16h24m

No, you just need an angle of attack sensor. These are increasingly available for small GA planes.

blt
1 replies
15h59m

stall AoA depends on flaps though?

lovecg
0 replies
12h18m

Yes, and some sensors do take flaps position into account (or you compromise and have it display the AoA with a typical approach setting).

echoangle
0 replies
7h35m

You need an AoA sensor to see if you are currently stalling or are just about to stall. To predict if you will stall at a specific point in your approach before you’re there, you need to know your weight, too.

the__alchemist
3 replies
19h58m

Whoever is downvoting this: Stop. It's the key point here. Planes don't need to know their weight to produce a stall warning; AoA is a great metric, and GA planes not having an indicator or warning based on it is astonishing.

echoangle
1 replies
19h52m

I thought the point was predicting a stall by knowing the approach speed will be so low that you will stall, not detecting a stall just before it happens

Onavo
0 replies
19h0m

You can't control the weather, if there's a micro burst during landing you are in trouble.

FabHK
0 replies
5h58m

GA planes have a stall warning horn (based on AoA). They just generally don't have a AoA indicator (though that might be a good idea indeed), relying on indicated airspeed instead, which (for given airplane mass) has a one-to-one [1] mapping to AoA in unaccelerated flight. That's why the concept of stall speed exists.

That is the case since, in unaccelerated flight, we need weight == lift, so

   W := m g == L := 1/2 rho v^2 c_L S
with m = mass, g = earth gravitational acceleration, 1/2 rho v^2 = fluid dynamic pressure which is measured by the pitot tube and displayed as indicated airspeed (well, a function of it), c_L = the coefficient of lift, and S = wing area.

Now, weight is constant (for given airplane mass, in unaccelerated flight), and so is the wing area. The coefficient of lift depends on the AoA, and dynamic pressure has a monotonic one-to-one relationship to IAS. Thus you have the relationship between IAS and AoA.

[1] Unless you get to "the back of the power curve" (the coefficient of lift increases with AoA, then decreases again, until it drops off in a stall). Let's not go there.

iamtheworstdev
0 replies
9h3m

it's a misnomer but airspeed is life. we're not talking about people stalling during air combat or aerobatics, we're talking about doing it in the pattern. simply keeping your speed up and knowing the speed you will stall at based on bank angle should be enough.

bjornsing
3 replies
13h43m

But again, it's not that we can't do those things, it's just that they're completely cost prohibitive.

Isn’t this what the OP is referring to when he says the current market can’t support the necessary innovation? As I understand it the idea here is to expand the market and spread certification costs out over more planes.

bluGill
2 replies
5h20m

I don't think he can get the required certifications and charge a reasonable price for this plane. There are not enough people interested in a personal airplane at any price to support the costs to bring a new one in the air. You can rebuild all current airplane's (most built before 1980) for much less than the costs to certify a modern replacement, and only then can you start asking what it costs to build that replacement. Which is why we rebuild old airplanes all the time - it is wouldn't pass modern regulations but since it already exists it is certified.

n_ermosh
1 replies
1h57m

There's an interesting dynamic here--we (the industry today) are more okay with flying rickety airplanes from the 70s before flying something built with more modern engineering and production techniques.

As I understand it the idea here is to expand the market and spread certification costs out over more planes.

exactly.

There are not enough people interested in a personal airplane at any price to support the costs to bring a new one in the air.

our thesis is that this isn't true. we've seen glimpses of this in the past 10 years that haven't been successful, but have shown that there is a wave of people who would get into GA if it were safer and more affordable. our mission to make it so, and the Airhart Sling is just the first step

bluGill
0 replies
1h20m

I'm not wishing you bad luck, but I remain pessimistic about your ability to get something certified and charge a reasonable price.

danielschonfeld
13 replies
19h39m

While some base to final stall accidents are as simple as you make it sound a good chunk of them happen when you try to come OUT of the turn at an already slow speed increasing the angle of attack on one wing alone. The stall and subsequent spin catches the pilot entirely surprised unaware of why they’re even stalling and with very little escape bandwidth.

The FAA has been trying for better angle of attack instrumentation but what I described above isn’t an easy fix with technology.

When you talk to pilots who inadvertently stall spin and lived to tell the tale most of them will tell you they didn’t even recognize that they were in a stall. That’s where the problem starts.

aeternum
8 replies
19h10m

Right but I don't know of any GA stall/spin warning system that takes into account pilot input. Even simple sensors are lacking, for example accelerometers are nearly free yet GA planes give you no warning that you're in a skid.

Similarly given yoke input, bank angle and speed you could warn of an impending stall well before it actually happens with a few position encoder sensors. As you point out, the current system relies on pilots recognizing a stall which is a foolish thing to rely on and almost all GA stall warning sensors are only on one of the wings and require actual airflow disruption to work. In many cases that is already too late or the other wing could stall first. The calculation doesn't even have to be perfect since most pilots want plenty of margin of safety on a base to final turn. I'd much rather have a false alarm + go-around than an inadvertent spin.

The collision thing is also ridiculously irrational. The FAA requires drones over half a pound to continually transmit their location yet somehow considers it sufficiently safe for planes to fly without a radio nor transponder around most of the airports in the US relying only on pilots looking out the window.

It's just disappointing that the vast majority of GA accidents could be completely avoided with slightly better avionics.

sokoloff
4 replies
15h18m

the vast majority of GA accidents could be completely avoided with slightly better avionics.

Reading accident reports or the annual summary McSpadden Report (previously called the Nall Report), I get a different view: if pilots would keep fuel in the airplane and flowing to the engine(s), not fly into weather beyond the capability of the airplane and crew, and divert or not takeoff at the onset of signs that an aircraft is not airworthy, would reduce serious accidents by half or more. Better avionics has relatively little to do with that (other than the proper use of a fuel totalizer or better).

Complacency kills more pilots than weak avionics.

aeternum
3 replies
13h4m

Most cars give you significant warnings that you're about to run out of gas and as a result very few people do.

Improved avionics could warn you that you're flying into a storm or that the airplane is not airworthy or that you are converging with other traffic.

Complacency kills because it sneaks up on pilots, but it doesn't have to be that way. We should not accept that the FAA's answer is an IMSAFE checklist. Pilots should not have to die simply because they didn't realize they were feeling slightly stressed or emotional prior to takeoff and forgot to check a single one of the 40+ items on the preflight/runup/takeoff checklists.

Of course good pilots should check it all anyway but just as NHTSA requires safety warnings for cars, we could save many more lives if we required low fuel warnings, terrain warnings, gear warnings, speed warnings, etc. in aircraft avionics.

sokoloff
0 replies
7h55m

I agree there is room for improvement and smarter airplane equipment is undoubtedly part of that.

I do not believe that “slightly better avionics will completely avoid the vast majority of GA accidents.”

bluGill
0 replies
5h13m

People run out of gas all the time (there are a lot of drivers, probably most never will in their lifetime, but that still leaves a lot that do). However in a car running out of gas is much easier to recover from - most of the time you can safely and easially coast to the side of the road. In an airplane there rarely is an airport nearby to coast into, so you end up looking for a place that might or might not be a good option - roads have power lines that you won't see until it is too late, fields sometimes have large holes (wet spots) that if you into at landing speed will flip the plane.

Low fuel warnings wouldn't really help in an airplane - from what I can tell most who run out of fuel know they are low for a while but are unable to get someplace to fill up.

NovemberWhiskey
0 replies
5h32m

Most cars give you significant warnings that you're about to run out of gas and as a result very few people do.

You will see accident reports where the problem is that the pilot just completely failed to put enough fuel in the airplane and then flew it until it ran out; but that's not the typical thing.

What's much more common is that the pilot takes off with what seems like ample fuel, gets halfway there, discovers weather that is worse than expected, has to fly lower than planned, burns a lot more fuel as a result, discovers that they will have to refuel, can't find an airport with good weather at which to land, and ends up flying a graveyard spiral into a fatal crash caused by disorientation in conditions for which they are not trained.

The majority of accidents are traceable to poor planning or decision-making once airborne; and I tend to agree with the other poster that improved avionics are not going to make a really big difference.

nradov
1 replies
16h56m

Civilian drones are fairly new. There are century old GA aircraft still flying around. I'm sure the FAA would love to require them all to carry radios and transponders but it's technically and politically difficult to impose new requirements on old certified aircraft. Some owners can barely afford to fly as it is so they'll resist any new mandates.

aeternum
0 replies
12h55m

This is a common argument but makes little sense because the accident and loss rates of GA is so incredibly high. The cost of an ADS-B receiver for example is only $200. Full transceivers are a few thousand.

Aircraft owners are already paying well over that as insurance rates yearly because of all the accidents, so total cost to fly would likely decrease by mandating things that actually move the needle on safety, especially ADS-B and fuel alerts.

lovecg
2 replies
12h31m

That makes a lot of sense, interested to learn more about this, any statistics you’re aware of on this topic?

danielschonfeld
1 replies
6h47m

I don’t have those I’m sorry. Not that much into it.

If you need a better understanding look for a video of a pilot I think in South Africa or Australia who took a cameraman and his wife and stalled shortly after takeoff.

It’s interesting to see how many warning signs throughout the whole video are glaring at him yet he keeps flying all the way into the crash. What’s also interesting is that that’s it. Just warning signs but if you really try to put yourself in his shoes it’s entirely hard to accept the warnings as everything on surface level understanding seems normal, controlled and flat. Very very very flat.

I think the biggest problem with real life stalls as compared to training world ones are that they are either more benign or entirely out of left field and believing you’re about to go into one doesn’t even begin to enter the pilot’s mind let alone correct recovery techniques.

lovecg
0 replies
3h21m

Thanks, by the way if that’s the same video I’m thinking of the problem there was gross incompetence - he tied the door wide open to the wing strut!

Another piece of statistics I recently learned is that most stalls occur on departure or go arounds, and classic base to final are relatively rare. Maybe those have been successfully trained out.

bombcar
0 replies
1h33m

The FAA also has the NTSB investigate every crash and accident, and if it was something as simple as "change the airport patterns to be larger and faster" or "make more airports straight in" it would have already been done.

Fancier aeronautics has a way of letting the plane get ahead of the pilot even faster.

BWStearns
0 replies
20h8m

As much as I am excited about Airhart, I would be way more excited for all of these items than I would be for the fly by wire bit. These would be more likely keep me and my wallet in one piece and lower the cost of aviation. Unfortunately they're not terrifically sexy or super lucrative problems.

randomnumber314
14 replies
20h34m

I live in a suburb near a county airport. I cannot fathom a life with Tesla owners flying over where my kids and I bbq. This idea is great, but people should still be licensed for the real safety protocols e.g. radio and not crashing into others.

reaperducer
4 replies
17h37m

I cannot fathom a life with Tesla owners flying over where my kids and I bbq.

The same kinds of people who speed, watch videos, and do dangerous stunts while they drive are going to speed, watch videos, and do dangerous stunts while they fly.

Uber made everyone an amateur taxi driver. AirBnb made everyone an amateur innkeeper. Now the "tech" industry wants to make everyone an amateur pilot?

No thanks.

shiroiushi
1 replies
12h31m

If someone's a bad amateur innkeeper, what's the worst that could happen? Their guests might have a poor experience, or at worst get bedbugs or something (which happens commonly at real hotels a lot these days anyway). At the very worst, their "inn" could burn down, but that's a risk with any building, including whatever home the guests normally live in.

Amateurs flying aircraft have the potential to cause far more havoc than this, or even the havoc that a bad driver could cause.

interloxia
0 replies
10h50m

No smoke alarms is an obvious issue in my experience.

apantel
1 replies
17h18m

The better of the amateurs are as good as professionals.

I’ve been very well-taken care of in AirBnb’s, and I’ve been driven around well in Ubers.

lkschubert8
0 replies
17h3m

I don’t think their concern is the ceiling of any of those domains, but the floor.

gorlilla
3 replies
12h17m

This is such a common argument for everything NIMBY. Your point remains valid, but the argument you've presented comes across uninspired.

What if you had no way to stop or from happening; what do you think might be reasonable mitigation steps that regulators could take to minimize the risk to your BBQ?

If something becomes an inevitability, you probably should be prepared with an argument that is accepting of that inevitability while still addressing your worries/concerns.

yunohn
0 replies
7h47m

There’s a world of difference between NIMBYism about housing/zoning versus GA pilot experience.

cfiggers
0 replies
5h51m

"No fatal airplane crashes in my back yard" is probably the easiest NIMBY to justify of all time.

bobsomers
0 replies
10h45m

Just because the argument is "common" or "uninspired" doesn't make it wrong.

Certainly different "NIMBY" complaints can have differing levels consequences based on whether we're talking about sweeping changes to the skill level of most GA pilots vs. do we build this new apartment building here or not.

AdrianB1
3 replies
20h30m

A CIWS maybe be the next standard feature on premium grills, ammo not included.

throwup238
2 replies
18h36m

A CIWS probably doesn’t have enough stopping power for a GA aircraft so the burning wreckage will still crash into you. Need to go full AA gun, 12 DD stamps included with your purchase.

edm0nd
1 replies
12h44m

A DShK mounted in the bed of a Toyota truck and call it a day.

gorlilla
0 replies
12h14m

That sounds rather technical.

Aeolun
0 replies
13h2m

Wasn’t the point that there’s so many small aircraft currently crashing (at a rate 28x higher than cars)?

windexh8er
10 replies
21h56m

It may sound snobby - but I'm not super excited about the idea of lowering the barrier to entry for GA on a foundational skill basis. Like the light-sport rating, it encourages more people to be in the (already congested) airspace system who haven't really gained all the other skills necessary or experience to be there.

I'm not a pilot, but I've always wanted to go down the path. In theory - this should be rather exciting to a person like myself so as to lower the barrier to entry and allow me to just start. In fact I don't really like the idea of this and my first thought was: "this seems like the plane that other pilots hate" simply because of a lowered barrier to entry and new breed of "lazy" pilots. I could be 100% wrong.

The thing that turns me off from this is that when I do chart the path I want to learn and be able to do - the traditional way. And in fact I don't want to rely on software or inconsistent controls vs the norm. I'm all for the idea of making the cockpit easier to navigate and have situational awareness, but I'm not a fan of abstractions as much as I used to be.

So as a non-pilot who aspires to become one in the next decade I agree with the parent comment in that I do really hope the goal is not to lower the bar to become a pilot.

n_ermosh
5 replies
21h4m

we won't want to lower the bar in terms of the pilot's ability to stay safe. But we do want to lower the barrier to entry so that more people can learn to do it, do it safely, and enjoy all it's benefits.

AdrianB1
4 replies
20h27m

The barrier to entry is not learning how to fly. That is the easiest thing for most people.

TylerE
3 replies
20h15m

One of the biggest barriers at this point is probably getting a medical. There are tons of perverse incentives there - getting one if you've ever been prescribed mental health meds, for instance, can be at best a ton of red tape.

echoangle
2 replies
20h2m

I’m willing to bet the major barriers are money and time.

TylerE
1 replies
17h17m

A $500k aircraft that still requires a PPL solves neither of those, and getting the PPL is contingent on passing the medical, both inititally and at regular intervals thereafter.

echoangle
0 replies
7h32m

I was not saying the plane proposed here will lower the barrier, I’m just stating what I think the barrier is.

I think 90% people who aren’t older than 60 or so would get the medical without a problem. If you would remove the medical requirement, you wouldn’t suddenly have double the private pilots. If planes were 1/10th of the price they currently are (both in purchase and operation), you would. Medical isn’t the main blocker to private aviation.

smackeyacky
2 replies
19h28m

I wanted to do this too and was in a financial position to start lessons. Had raced cars in the past, rebuilt cars, mechanically savvy, fiddled around a whole heap with flight simulars, got excited about it. Paid my money for the initial 3 flights.

First time up (in a Cessna) beautiful clear day, low wind. Once we had done the safety checks I was instructed to taxi the plane. It was about as complicated as a ride-on mower and the throttle pull I swear is identical. No problem.

Instructor took over and punted the plane into the air. I was terrified. As I've written here before, a Cessna is like a Volkswagen Bug that somebody has thrown into the air. They shudder and shake and dip and every tiny pocket of turbulence throws them around. I completed the lesson without conveying my terror, did the turns, was able to identify stuff on the ground. Instructor landed the Cessna and I thanked him and told him I wouldn't be back.

I bought a motorcycle instead. They feel safer.

generalizations
0 replies
18h41m

Instructor took over and punted the plane into the air.

Sounds like you told the instructor about your car-racing experience.

cwalv
0 replies
15h44m

I remember feeling the same way the first time I went up in a small plane (Cessna 150). I had a tourist ride in a small helicopter later (R44) and it was so much smoother. But I was probably safer in the Cessna.

NovemberWhiskey
0 replies
5h26m

The barrier to entry for learning to fly is literally a few hundred dollars for a discovery flight. You don't need to do any preparation and you will actually fly the plane the first time up. A discovery flight is flight training, and it goes in your log book.

bambax
7 replies
21h59m

Agreed! Learning how to fly alone is the easy part. The hard part is all the rest.

Also, this is inconsistent:

large commercial airplane technology has developed to the point that the planes practically fly themselves

We think stick and rudder skills are definitely a necessity for airline pilots flying hundreds of people on board for the extremely rare cases where emergencies do happen and many people's lives are at risk

So which is it? Do modern airplanes fly themselves or not? Pilots need to be able to fly. All pilots. Otherwise everyone's at risk.

Some of the worst recent accidents happenend when under-trained (AF 447) or misinformed (737 MAX) pilots didn't have a clear mental picture of what the airplane was doing.

It would seem this is solving for the wrong problem.

And the whole paragraph about "sexyness", aluding to sports cars and iPhones, seems very wrong to me. What makes flying sexy is the nerdiness, the skills involved, not shiny control surfaces.

bigyikes
3 replies
21h5m

There is no inconsistency.

The first quote is meant to highlight that commercial planes have autopilot while e.g. Cessnas do not.

The second quote emphasizes the importance of training despite autopilot.

There is no inconsistency in pointing out that commercial planes have auto pilot while acknowledging that it would be nice for non-commercial planes to also have auto pilot even though training is important.

sokoloff
2 replies
15h12m

Most GA aircraft used for travel have autopilots. Even most flight school aircraft used for IFR training have them, at least in my experience in the northeast.

floam
1 replies
13h26m

GA planes can’t land themselves, the autopilot they share in common is more like cruise control.

wkat4242
0 replies
4h58m

You can buy a full flight director autopilot on a G1000 Cessna 172.

The main reason it can't fully land itself is the lack of autothrottle and FADEC. But some GA planes do have even that. For example the Cirrus Vision (very light jet) is also a GA aircraft and has an emergency function where a passenger can trigger an emergency landing at the closest airport (as well as having a rescue parachute too)

bozhark
1 replies
21h44m

The airline design industry seriously needs some sexy

He ain’t wrong there

calmbonsai
0 replies
16h24m

Take a look at older designs from the '60s and all the Experimental aircraft.

It's not that the industry doesn't know or can't do "sexy" (e.g. Cirrus custom leather and carbon fiber interiors and paint colors such Mykonos Blue), but that anything related to the airframe, avionics, or powerplant MUST be FAA certified so that exponentially (I'm not kidding) adds to its cost and time-to-market.

With such high fixed costs and high liability, manufacturers are forced be very conservative to earn very slim margins.

TimTheTinker
0 replies
20h22m

What makes flying sexy is the nerdiness, the skills involved, not shiny control surfaces.

Yaesu, Kenwood, and Icom 2-meter transceivers are not more desirable than an iPhone, and an iPhone generates far more economic value. Yes, some of the "wonder of radio" is lost when communicating over modern cell networks.

Similarly, sexy, easy to use planes and the resulting influx of new pilots could result in an "eternal september" for the community. "Flying cars" sounds amazing to most, but they do represent a death of what aviation was before.

These objections are largely emotional... progress happens.

serial_dev
6 replies
13h0m

but I'm not super excited about the idea of lowering the barrier to entry for GA on a foundational skill basis. Like the light-sport rating, it encourages more people to be in the (already congested) airspace system who haven't really gained all the other skills necessary or experience to be there

By that logic, shouldn't we make driving cars as dangerous, complicated, inaccesible, and confusing as possible?

kbar13
2 replies
12h51m

its pretty easy to drive a car. press pedal car go vroom turn wheel car go right

not the same for flying a plane

Dyac
1 replies
10h52m

But presumably you're talking about a modern automatic car?

What about a manual car, where you need more understanding of the mechanics, and will stall or roll back on a hill if you don't? Or a manual car without synchromesh, where you have to double de-clutch to match the input and output shaft RPMs? Or a car without antilock brakes? Or without tire pressure sensors? Or automatic headlights? Or automatic wipers? Or lane assist? Or auto braking? Or cruise control? Or indicator blinkers that auto cancel? Or auto dimming headlights? Or warning messages that tell you about everything from seat belts to service warnings or blown bulbs?

All these are driver safety and convenience innovations that people take for granted so it is as simple as "press pedal car go vroom"...

Also, think about drones and model planes. With computer aided support they now have full autopilot, return to base, auto land etc. and can be operated by a kid! Why can't some of these types of support, safety and convenience make it over to light aircraft?

bluGill
0 replies
4h53m

Most of the time none of those are doing anything. Shifting a manual is a minority of time, non-synchromesh makes shifting harder but it doesn't add much time. Most of the time when you stop the anti-lock brakes don't kick in and so again you lose nothing. TMPS makes your care safer if you have a lot tire - but tires these days are good enough that they rarely go flat. Same with the others - they are rarely used - not useless but only small factors taken all together - I've driven without each from time to time.

dbt00
1 replies
12h6m

Only manual transmissions would really cut down on texting and driving.

bluGill
0 replies
4h59m

I doubt it. I drive a manual and find that I spend very little time shifting. Each time I shift it would cost me the time to write one word (I'm guessing - for obvious reasons I'm not about to try this to see). The vast majority of the time I'm not doing anything different than when I drive an automatic.

bambax
0 replies
10h14m

Depends... Is it a good thing for the world that there are so many cars everywhere?

n_ermosh
6 replies
22h31m

thanks!

Yes, it's that entire helmet-fire that makes flying hard and often dangerous. But what the accident data shows is that these kinds of problems that you mention occur, and then the pilot loses control of the plane. If we give them the ability to relax, think through their situation, and make a good decision because at least the airplane will continue to descend safely towards the runway, we make safer pilots.

Onavo
3 replies
22h23m

I just want to say I love what you are doing, you are solving a problem close to my heart. This is the sort of hard tech company that YC (and SV) should invest more in, not silly SaaS and ChatGPT wrappers. That being said, after fly by wire, would you be interested in tackling the GA engine economics problem? They are closely linked. If you solve that, the TAM for your product expands massively, and your exit opportunities are no longer limited to just being acquihired by Garmin.

https://airfactsjournal.com/2022/10/the-20-hour-cessna-172-e...

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34728405

n_ermosh
2 replies
22h20m

Yes, lowering all operating expenses by moving to more efficient engines and greener propulsion systems is on our roadmap as "the next problem"

nullindividual
0 replies
19h9m

Will those that purchase your highly polluting engine get a free on-the-house upgrade to this nebulous green future that likely won't happen?

How are you planning to offset the enormous amount of pollution you want to create in the mean time? Are you purchasing carbon credits? Planting trees?

Onavo
0 replies
16h57m

Do you plan to increase your plane's range by the way? The current range is lower than most Skyhawks and DA-40s.

Also you should offer radio altimeters and ring laser gyros as an upgrade.

sethkim
1 replies
22h15m

In single pilot IFR, an autopilot is often your best friend. It's exactly like you say - when you're busy with everything else you want the plane to fly itself. Isn't that problem already somewhat solved in a sense? Or are you referring to Garmin Autoland (or similar) in emergencies?

By the way - I can totally see how a great GA fly-by-wire system is an improvement to maintain positive control of an aircraft at all times. I'd personally love to give it a try and see how it reduces pilot effort while flying.

n_ermosh
0 replies
22h9m

It's solved for the "cruise in a straight line" sense, but for emergencies or much more dynamic situations like a final approach, autopilots don't really help all that much. We can set up our VNAV and everything, but the second we get an unexpected clearance because something changed or we need to be diverted for a faster airplane or something, you need to be a real pro at using the autopilot to quickly adjust, or hand fly. We're offering a third solution--blend the two into one unified control interface.

moffkalast
5 replies
22h4m

The current systems seem to be all designed around there only being minimal air traffic, as it was in the past. People talking one on one with ATC, everything being done on a plane by plane basis. Can that really continue to function if traffic increases a few orders of magnitude?

I mean hell, imagine everyone having to ask the city car controller for permission to back their car out of their driveway, state their route and get for approval to drive all over the place without any regard for traffic and let the controller make sure there's nobody in your way.

n_ermosh
2 replies
22h0m

In the 70s when a lot of this system was designed, the industry was selling 10x the number of GA planes it does today, so I imagine 10x more were flying as well. So we have the capability for an order of magnitude increase. We'll need more controllers, sure.

But, you are totally right, we need to move away from voice based ATC to more digital systems that allow a management of more aircraft, and allow the GA aircraft to manage themselves through a "peer to peer" type ATC system, but like we have with our cars.

FabHK
1 replies
5h35m

the industry was selling 10x the number of GA planes it does today, so I imagine 10x more were flying as well.

I'm pretty sure most of these planes from the 1970s are still merrily flying around!

The wikipedia article on the 1994 General Aviation Revitalization Act has a graph showing the astonishing drop in shipped aircraft (and the rise in unit cost!) since around 1980:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Aviation_Revitalizatio...

n_ermosh
0 replies
2h5m

yep--we want to reverse that trend. And you are probably right, a lot of those 70s planes still fly today. hopefully we can replace them with better alternatives

drpixie
1 replies
15h12m

Minimal traffic? An ATPL pilot here. Fly into any major airport and you'll see that it can be REALLY BUSY. The system is based around separation down to about 1 minute. Major airfields are all traffic limited (hence "slots").

1 minute might seem like a lot when you're walking or driving, but when coming in at 200mph in something that weights hundreds of tons ... I want that guy 1 minute ahead of me off the runway ;)

And that's considering that existing traffic is of similar speed and ability. Adding slow, small, low-performance aircraft to the mix makes things very interesting ;( Then add low-experience pilots who have to stop and think about procedures, actions, radio calls ...

permission to back their car out of their driveway - It might be different if those cars cost $100M-$300M. A tiny bingle is very expensive.

moffkalast
0 replies
10h31m

True I suppose, and it's not like we're on the verge of any new energy density tech that would make personal VTOLs viable either so runways might be the bottleneck that keeps throughput constrained for the foreseeable future I guess. Although you can always build more of them :)

blantonl
3 replies
21h17m

light-sport rating, it encourages more people to be in the (already congested) airspace system who haven't really gained all the other skills necessary or experience to be there.

LSA pilot here. I'm curious to know what skills or experience I haven't gained which allow me to be in the airspace system? I passed the exact same checkride a private pilot would, minus flying at night and VORs. I also have class B,C,D airspace endorsements, and I fly in the DFW Bravo all the time.

sethkim
2 replies
19h57m

I figured this comment would get me in trouble :)

I recommend doing some instrument lessons if you haven't already. When I got my instrument rating I questioned whether the private requirements are actually enough. The skills that the instrument rating teaches in terms of preparation, workload management, and emergency weather scenarios make me question whether I was really ready to fly before I had it.

With the private or sport license you'll be fine in the majority of cases. I think my comment comes more from the edge and corner cases that more skills and experience help with, not your ability to work in the system at all.

wezdog1
0 replies
17h14m

ATPL here, couldn't agree more with both of your comments.

It's not to say recreational/LS pilots are necessarily inexperienced or hazardous but the odds are certainly higher than someone trained to an IFR standard.

Like you said, raising the systems standards and improving affordability is fantastic. Lowering the barrier to entry in the complex world of aviation would require fundamental changes on so many levels I don't see this project completely achieving it but good luck to them, I think theres more to gain than lose.

blantonl
0 replies
2h39m

There is a decent argument to be made that LSA pilots are kept to a safer regime. I only fly in excellent weather and during the day, which eliminates a large majority of the risk profile in aviation. The LSA that I fly, while not IFR certified, has an autopilot, ADSB in, 2 radios, and a Garmin 430 which can be slaved to the autopilot. The plane will essentially VNAV fly itself to the numbers if I load the approach.

For all intents and purposes, LSA pilots really only fly in 10SM vis and excellent weather. Nothing less.

A lot of people look at the 20 hour minimum training for LSA pilots and scoff at that, but I've never met a LSA pilot that didn't follow the exact same training trajectory as a PPL. It took me about 65 hours to get my ticket, and I trained out of the 6th busiest airport in Texas which is nestled under DFW's Bravo.

Aeolun
2 replies
13h9m

I find it really hard to understand how we have solved this problem on the ground (e.g. roads), when in the sky we have nearly 100x more space (assuming 100m altitude bands), but we manage to have so many issues.

rtpg
0 replies
13h4m

There's a lot less space when you consider how many airstrips there are in the world. Imagine if everyone on the highway in a city had to get on and off on the same exit ramp.

oblio
0 replies
13h1m

We haven't solved this on the ground. We just accept that 1 million people die in car crashes each year and something like 10 million sustain serious injuries that leave them scarred for life. Also many that die and are injured are NOT the culprits, they're just innocent bystanders. We also destroy property constantly with cars and suffer from horrible congestion everywhere.

j45
1 replies
22h42m

Some fair points. What if this tech made the individual flyer safer?

Obviously there’s the additional air traffic, but how much could be in the air at one time?

sethkim
0 replies
22h36m

What if this tech made the individual flyer safer?

I'd hope that's the case! That's why I put it in the "good" category".

how much could be in the air at one time?

Hard to say, but there's a ton of congestion around busy airspace as is. I'd think an order-of-magnitude increase in GA traffic would require a major rework of the whole airspace system.

1oooqooq
1 replies
6h16m

as someone trained in usability design, it was a nightmare learning to use those maps and learning the minefield thats is to talk to a tower about approach and such.

indeed you are extremely correct. i never broke a sweat with stick and rudder (i did read THE book before classes!) even on first touch and go landings! but everything else that involved towers, weather, other planes, radio, and those damn maps!

so much room for improvement just ignored for the past 30 years with everyone blind digital technology. Heck a freaking lame gps with waypoints is lauded as the greates invention in avionics in the last half century!

wkat4242
0 replies
4h55m

For me it was the opposite. Learning the stick & rudder stuff was much harder for me. All the VOR navigation and patterns not so much. Probably because I've been using flightsims since I was very young and knew what it was all about, all the while learning bad flying habits (chasing the instruments etc) :P

clamstar
0 replies
19h5m

Whilst I entirely agree with your overearching argument here, perhaps you are being a little bit snobby when it comes to SPLs.

Can you please be more specific with regards to the necessary skills that sport pilots haven't gained that you believe makes them a liability in the skies?

Lets be real: plenty of VFR private pilots are threats in the air & garbage on the radio - especially at untowered fields. You should be judging pilots on an individual basis, rather than broadly assuming a lack of knowledge based on their certificate type, given that the syallabus (61.105 & 61.309 + 61.325) is more-or-less identical.

edit 2 min later: I see your response to another user now.

Wurdan
0 replies
3h12m

Out of curiosity, do you think those things are intrinsically hard, or is there a mutual escalation at play in some of these? Like I can imagine inspections are as hard as they are because you need to be prepared if weather becomes difficult to manage (for example). And then I imagine comms is hard/demanding because you can't assume that planning and inspections were done correctly. Etc.

I do wonder if reducing human error in some parts of this challenge stack would make it possible to lighten some of the other imposed burdens.

JumpCrisscross
0 replies
12h9m

I'm not super excited about the idea of lowering the barrier to entry for GA on a foundational skill basis. Like the light-sport rating, it encourages more people to be in the (already congested) airspace system who haven't really gained all the other skills necessary or experience to be there

The entire history of aviation has shown that increasing redundancy and reducing pilot load increases safety.

epolanski
48 replies
19h28m

It's insane the length we go as humans (in the US at least) to not invest in the easiest, most cost-effective and environmentally friendly mode of transportation: trains.

Hyperloops, wider and wider highways, now personal airplanes.

Anything but goddamn trains.

It's mental to me.

Wish the best to the startup, after all they are filling a void someone else would, but still, not happy with the direction transport is going, which seems backwards sometimes.

dartharva
18 replies
12h0m

You can't take a train to anywhere you want. Tracks will always be less accessible than roads or the sky.

yard2010
7 replies
11h23m

Only in the beginning and it's not linear. One track can be used by an infinite amount of people with very little to no congestion, unlike roads.

dartharva
6 replies
10h25m

You also can't travel anytime you want. What happens when a doctor has to reach his hospital for a critical emergency but the next train is scheduled in half an hour?

witx
2 replies
10h2m

Have you ever heard about helicopters? There are hospitals that have them. Why do we need _personal_ airplanes for this to happen? Why you think doctors will have money or space for their own airplane when they have no helicopters yet?

In this scenario of yours where would this doctor have their "airplane" at home? In a airfield?

dartharva
1 replies
9h26m

No, he would have a car of his own. That he can drive himself to the hospital. I'm not sure why you jumped to helicopters.

aziaziazi
0 replies
6h20m

If he can drive and that’s not an emergency why wouldn’t take the train ? Less stress and more safe if he’s impaired.

For an emergency I would suggest a professional-driven ambulance with flashing light, or an helicopter if it’s remote if your wallet or country medicare afford it.

rmbyrro
0 replies
8h59m

Nobody advocated against cars, just in favor of more traina. Trains would benefit especially the lower income brackets population with cheap, fast, secure and stress-free transportation.

langcss
0 replies
9h35m

That is why you have rosters.

bluGill
0 replies
4h27m

the next train is scheduled in half an hour?

Fire your transit leadership. Trains should be running every 5 minutes all day every day (and also have a backup option for night service while you do track maintenance). Incompetent leadership isn't doing that.

For a bus you are sometimes forced to do cost/benefit and run as little as every half hour, but if you have trains that means you have enough demand to run every 5 minutes (if you don't that means you shouldn't have a train at all - a bus is cheaper).

It isn't just doctors that sometimes have an emergency. People have places to be, trying to figure out when the transit system is coming shouldn't be a problem.

system2
4 replies
11h0m

It is not the #1 reason. #1 reason is being in the same train with other human beings. Nobody wants to deal with public transportation anxiety. Trains are so relaxed and loose security compared to airplanes.

epolanski
0 replies
7h28m

I've never ever had anything happen to me on a train in 37 years of life.

My SO takes the train everyday to go to work, literally every day (we live in Colonna, near Rome, and she works in Rome center) and this has never happened to her.

There are downsides, trains might be full at peak times like 7.30 AM and you get to stand in middle of many other people, but what would the alternative be? Twice the amount of time and a magnitude of order more of stress to get there by car? She doesn't even need to buy a car, we only own one in our household and it sits in the garage most of the time.

dolmen
0 replies
4h27m

I feel much more anxious about car traffic (which is about massive number of people in metal boxes) where I rely on all the other drivers to be careful than about public transportation where the driver is a trained professional and everything is highly regulated for safety (much stricter rules than for personal cars).

aziaziazi
0 replies
6h8m

I’m subject to social anxiety but public transport never bothered me. You’re among an anonymous group that just wait to arrive at destination. Very different than driving where everybody is involved with their journey, resulting in constant interaction to handle.

On the other side it’s easy to picture why a regular driver would be stressed in a train : you’re not in control.

Aachen
0 replies
10h33m

I've never heard anyone ever be concerned about the "relaxed" security of trains, and virtually everyone here uses them. I did hear everyone who flies complain about the theatre and how they accidentally took whatever prohibited item on, forgetting they had a water bottle in some bag for example

If fear of people were the #1 reason not to go on public transport where you live, I'd be deeply worried for your culture

robin_reala
1 replies
11h23m

You can’t land wherever you want in a plane? I’m two minutes walk to my local station, and a 15 minute drive to the nearest airfield.

hoosieree
0 replies
5h27m

You can land a plane anywhere you want. Once.

lopis
0 replies
8h38m

Trains are orders of magnitude more accessible than airports could ever be, what are you talking about?

bluerooibos
0 replies
8h22m

You can get the rest of the way by bike or walking. Japan does this really well by having rail even going high into the mountains. The majority of people shouldn't be using cars - if we're serious about sustainability and tackling climate change, countries would be investing much more in rail than car centric infrastructure.

Too
0 replies
11h14m

Funny, because i need to use the train to get to my closest airport.

philwelch
11 replies
15h2m

Trains are for freight, and they are exceedingly good at it.

b-side
5 replies
13h1m

Indeed, trains for passengers can only work for tiny low-population countries like China and Japan.

dagw
2 replies
9h50m

Trains can work great for either passengers or freight. The problems arise when you try to do both at the same time (on the same line). If the US was to dramatically improve its passenger service it would have to either build an entirely new set of parallel tracks (which would be very expensive) or dramatically worsen its rail freight offering, which would greatly increase the number of trucks of the road.

philwelch
0 replies
5h5m

And if you’re going to pick one, there are plenty of reasons to pick freight. A single freight train might have 70-200 cars, each of which can carry 1-2 full-size intermodal containers (if not a comparably massive tanker car or something). Trains are more efficient than road vehicles in terms of energy consumption, wear and tear on the road (or railroad), and labor cost, but these efficiencies scale up considerably based on vehicle weight, and the weight of a few hundred loaded intermodal containers is a very high number indeed. Not to mention that intermodal containers are a lot less fussy about hospitality than passengers!

Tade0
0 replies
7h15m

There's a train line close to me which runs on tracks parallel to a freight line.

The company maintaining the latter was asked several times if their infrastructure could be used, but they refused each time, so the passenger line, which was always there, just in a state of disrepair, had to be refurbished at great expense.

I'm happy with the result though because like in every track having just one line, the trains are amazingly punctual.

DandyDev
1 replies
12h21m

Trains work very well in densely populated areas, even if its logistically challenging.

I live in the Netherlands and despite what detractors would tell you, it’s impressive how on time the Dutch railways can keep such a complex schedule.

wazdra
0 replies
7h17m

Indeed a great system, but oh so expensive...

adamnemecek
4 replies
14h0m

The rest of the world would like to disagree.

philwelch
3 replies
13h47m

Yes, it’s frankly absurd and wasteful how much freight Europe moves by truck instead.

Ringz
1 replies
11h41m

Do you have a source for that claim? Preferably a study that shows that the USA uses fewer trucks and more trains for the transport of goods than Europe.

riedel
0 replies
11h42m

Germany (and probably some other European countries) have the problem of using the train network for freight at night and passengers by day. Together with underinvestment this has generated great problems but because infrastructure has been failing. It has been more politically opportune to invest in shared road infrastructure. Creating a healthy 'market' for infrastructure is extremely difficult.

bluerooibos
5 replies
8h21m

Absolutely agree. Really quite tired of living in a country which focuses on individualised transport and car centric infrastructure. It's an absolute delight to get around in a country like Japan where I don't have to rely on a car at all.

rangestransform
2 replies
3h49m

At least for me, getting around by train in Japan is preferable because of how convenient and fast it is, not because of any inherent advantage of public transport, and definitely not because I want to bear a cross for the greater good of society. Japanese society also contributes to how pleasant public transit is there, in comparison to the dregs of society that use NYC public transit.

If I could have a 300kph autonomous pod that keeps me air-conditioned from my door to my destination's door, that would be preferable to even the proposed Chuo maglev train. Similarly, if individual transport can close the convenience gap with public transport, I would prefer individual transport instead.

I will say that I vastly prefer urban environments that deprioritize cars; I often find that even private cars work better in those environments than in car-dependent cities. Of course, it's always better to be one of the first exploiters in a tragedy of the commons situation.

dyauspitr
1 replies
54m

How is the pod going to get you to your door. You would need a rail line leading to every home which is ridiculous.

rangestransform
0 replies
42m

The point is that most people would rather take private than public transport, all else equal (besides externalized costs, I don’t care how much co2 my pod emits). I would even pay a small premium for private transport compared to equally quick public transport.

To convince people to take public transport, you have to make it at least a side-grade, and making private transport worse without improving public transport will just lose you an election.

volkk
1 replies
1h14m

i actually wonder what the statistics look like across the entire country of whether people actually like cars vs its the only way to get around. HN is a bubble including most of city folk. Most people I know love their cars, including myself. I love the freedom of leaving whenever i want, going wherever i want. However, i also adore trains. Both have their place. I think a personal (ideally extremely safe) airplane sounds like a dream to me. I also think we should have trains! The more the merrier! Choice is important and while you may not care for cars if you have all of the public transit possible, others do. I still find myself going for drives and I'm someone who lives in NYC with probably the best transit system in the US.

nostrebored
0 replies
50m

I think the statistics around want are completely irrelevant.

Car infrastructure has destroyed the US both from a physical and social perspective. I highly recommend "The High Cost of Free Parking" as an intro to just how far-reaching this blight goes.

Sure, some people should be able to have cars. They should also incur the _true_ cost of having those.

Tade0
5 replies
6h37m

It's not actually cost-efficient if you take into account one factor: demographics, or specifically: staffing.

A crew member of a train has a very demanding job. The shifts are highly irregular and you may have to spend the night far from home. In this regard it's even worse than flying.

Someone has to maintain the infrastructure, which by its very nature can also be in remote places.

Particularly busy railroad crossings also require staffing, even if they're ostensibly in the middle of nowhere.

Very few people in our ageing societies want this sort of life and you have to incentivise them to do it, which adds costs.

wiether
1 replies
5h16m

It's not actually cost-efficient if you take into account one factor: demographics, or specifically: staffing.

Cars and planes are cost-efficient if you *don't* take into account their environmental and human cost.

Otherwise bikes and trains are crazy cheap.

Tade0
0 replies
4h26m

Doesn't change the fact that you're increasingly hard-pressed to find anyone willing to do it.

Same goes for any type of public transport. The problem is exacerbated in regions of the world which can't rely on immigrants, like mine. I live in a city of 650k inhabitants. The local public transport authority says that they would need an additional 100 drivers to cover all the routes. No takers for these roles and it has been like that for two years at least, despite incentives.

It's crazy because inadequate public transport causes people to choose cars instead, which in turn produce traffic that further hampers mass transit.

Railways have been winding down for decades now and it got to a point where flying between cities in more accessible, punctual and cheap.

dolmen
1 replies
4h34m

A crew member of a train has a very demanding job.

The ratio of staff on a train to the count of passengers is much lower than on a bus or in a plane. Even less for freight.

The shifts are highly irregular and you may have to spend the night far from home. In this regard it's even worse than flying.

This assume either long distance trains or slow trains. This can be solved Why would have shift to be irregular. Trains run on a schedule.

Particularly busy railroad crossings also require staffing, even if they're ostensibly in the middle of nowhere.

Just get rid of busy crossings. Build bridges.

I recommend to come to Europe, and especially in France, for a trip in the TGV. Paris to Marseille (650 km) in 3 hours from city center to city center.

Tade0
0 replies
4h20m

I recommend to come to Europe

I am European and on my side of the continent railways have been winding down for years now - partly due to the reasons I mentioned.

for a trip in the TGV. Paris to Marseille (650 km) in 3 hours from city center to city center.

That's great, but wasn't it in France where the government made a (botched) attempt at making flying less attractive by increasing its cost?

nmc
0 replies
5h30m

You cannot make the cost-efficiency argument without acknowledging all the costs which aviation and automotive travel externalize: air and water pollution, damage to wildlife, global warming, lack of walking/cycling infrastructure, rising sea levels... a disproportionate part of which are born by poor or faraway people who have no choice in all this.

Edit: forgot about noise pollution and about flooding risks (due to impervious surfaces like runways and parking lots).

I also doubt airfields and planes require significantly less maintenance than trains and tracks, but I have not researched that.

lutorm
1 replies
6h19m

The downfall of trains is that they require track, which require rights of way. Trains are cost-effective if a lot of people make the same trip, and that's after a massive investment cost.

No one in their right mind would fly their small airplane between two cities that were connected by high-speed rail. But if you're going from somewhere small to somewhere else small, trains will never be a cost-effective (or efficient) mode of transportation.

eddyzh
0 replies
1h37m

Many European countries disagree. In the Netherlands (40k km2) there are about 400 trainstations and all of them cost a fraction of any reasonable airstrip and can go to the heart of the town.

qsdf38100
0 replies
3h35m

Note that one of Elon's goal with the whole hyperloop nonsense was precisely to divert investment from high-speed rail so that it wouldn't compete with "full self driving" cars.

krab
0 replies
4h12m

Since the railroads are heavily regulated, it's not easy to innovate there.

concordDance
0 replies
1h45m

The problem with trains is they're much more expensive than planes while being much slower. An EasyJet from Gatwick to Edinburgh at the convenient time of 3pm will cost you £35. The train is £94.

There are many reasons for this, but the biggest one is the need to purchase all the land along the route and the resulting natural monopoly that results.

I'm almost certain they would be more expensive even if all the externalities of the two (such as CO2 emissions) were accounted for. Back of the envelope has that trip being around 40kg of CO2 (double that of national rail, apparently EasyJet have amazing CO2/passenger mile figures), even the $1000/ton CO2 removal tax doesn't make it more expensive than the train.

purplerhino
46 replies
23h3m

What are the environmental implications of transitioning people traveling by car/train to small planes? In addition to being louder and dispersing pollutants over a wider area, don't small planes generate significantly more GHG emissions than cars over the same number of miles?

Also, given that planes are not nearly as easy to electrify as cars and trains (energy density is significantly lower in batteries than liquid fuel), it seems unlikely the planet will ever be able to support significant volumes of personal air transit. What are your thoughts on that?

n_ermosh
30 replies
22h59m

Today, airplanes are not great when it comes to their environmental impacts. If we are successful in our bet that we can grow the GA market, we'll have the resources to invest into greener propulsion technology. That space is currently evolving quickly, with hybrid-electric, hydrogen, full electric and others all being explored. So it's in our plans to address that as well.

duped
18 replies
20h18m

I didn't want to make a snarky, unabashadly NIMBY comment until I read this response. For every dollar you lower barrier to entry in aviation, I'm going to be calling my local government representatives to raise it back up by two with taxes and fees.

The solutions to environmental problems aren't to grow markets with technology we know is bad so we have the money to make it less bad. The solution is to make it so expensive for the average consumer that it's uneconomical to do the bad thing at all.

amluto
5 replies
18h17m

I'm going to be calling my local government representatives to raise it back up by two with taxes and fees.

Sometimes I think this sort of approach is why so many people on the right are sick of global warming. Sure, global warming is a serious problem, but that doesn't mean that taxing things you don't like is wise, fair, effective, or in any other respect a good idea. If you have a problem with emission of gasses with global warming potential, do that, but please do it across the board.

Let's not specifically tax GA planes, ban gas water heaters, and do a bunch of other random minor-ish things that annoy people and don't actually target the problem.

callalex
3 replies
17h26m

Burning fossil fuels is the problem. We can argue until the cows come home about things like plastic straws and bags, but the fact is that burning fossil fuels is rapidly destroying the planet and no amount of burning is sustainable. Banning that is table stakes.

amluto
1 replies
13h42m

Proposing to ban burning fossil fuels entirely is a great way to get very little support for your proposal.

smolder
0 replies
11h39m

Hence the decades of inaction and even subterfuge to prevent action.

bluGill
0 replies
4h7m

Don't talk about banning, talk about giving people a good alternate. Fix zoning so that people don't have to move so far out just to afford a nice place to live (people who want a hobby farm will have to live that far out, but many in the suburbs would be happy with a 5 bedroom apartment for a similar monthly costs - but none exist). Build good transit so that people have a reasonable option to driving.

If you want to ban fueles you just attack people's way of life. If you want to provide the things I list you don't need to ban fuel as they will switch to not driving.

lomase
0 replies
9h17m

Plane fuel does not have the same taxes than the fuel you use on your car.

Should car and plane fuel have the same tax level if used as personal transport?

lutorm
3 replies
11h8m

I take it from your attitude that you don't drive, fly commercially, buy resource-intensive consumer goods, use electricity produced from nonrenewable sources, or eat food produced from large-scale agriculture then, and agree we should make those so expensive for the average consumer that it's uneconomical to do these bad things at all?

Because otherwise your comment sounds more like hypocrisy.

Aachen
2 replies
9h54m

Perfect is the enemy of good. I fly on rare occasions and I'm against flying unnecessarily. I drive a vehicle (shared with partner) because I don't want to be a hermit, yet I'm against driving in general (of course there'll need to be exceptions for when you're moving or too old to walk to/from public transport) and rather in favor of building out the more sustainable alternatives we have already today. That's not the whole solution because we will still run out of lithium etc., but it's the best we can do today even if it's not perfect

lutorm
1 replies
6h31m

Perfect is indeed the enemy of the good. So we should realize that not everyone values the same things and not single out something as deserving extinguishing just because it's something we personally don't value.

Aachen
0 replies
26m

not everyone values the same things

Pardon? We don't all value human lives? I'm not sure we're having the same conversation if your attitude to pollution is "that's just your opinion"

These things are objectively measurable. I don't even know where to begin, your comment is so odd to read idk if I'm misunderstanding you or what part of climate warming leading to all sorts of issues virtually everywhere, air pollution leading to health issues and premature deaths, the ongoing mass extinction that threatens our food system, etc. you're unaware of

ggreer
3 replies
17h54m

We already have prototype electric aircraft. As battery costs decrease and battery performance improves, it makes perfect sense that aircraft will electrify. The reason for this is economical, not environmental. Electricity is cheaper than fuel, and maintenance for electric vehicles tends to be less than their combustion equivalents. Both of these factors mean that once the batteries become cheap enough, cost per passenger mile will be lower.

If you decrease the potential market for a product, companies will put less R&D into those products. In the US, general aviation is less popular than horseback riding, which is why we're still using leaded gasoline and piston engines.

bluGill
2 replies
4h5m

The laws of chemistry that govern batteries and fossil fuels are known very well. We will never get batteries anywhere near as light weight as a liquid fuel. Sure the battery/motor is much more efficient, but not anywhere close to enough to make up for the massive energy/weight advantage liquid fuels.

ggreer
1 replies
2h30m

It's not about weight or efficiency. If operating costs are lower, it will win out eventually. Current electric aircraft can carry 5 passengers and have a range of 250 miles. They cost half as much to operate per hour, because electricity is so much cheaper than fuel. The main reason why they're not popular is because batteries are expensive. As battery costs decrease, we'll see more of the market adopt them.

Will electric aircraft cross oceans? Probably not. But the batteries are already good enough for useful flights. And you have advantages such as VTOL, quieter operation (allowing you to use urban airports at times when other aircraft are banned due to noise restrictions), and less maintenance.

bluGill
0 replies
52m

250 miles isn't nearly as much as it sounds - you need to leave plenty of buffer in case something goes wrong so cut some of that off. You also need to get to an airport and then from the other airport to where you are going. Thus most of the time for distances of that range driving is faster.

The cases where I've seen this in use are from island to island (or mainland) - where a boat is much slower and there is no bridge for a car. A useful niche, but not general purpose getting around. There are also a few people who happen to live near (often on) an airport and work near an airport who will fly, but that is also a small niche.

nkrisc
2 replies
15h39m

Their planes cost half a million dollars, I’m not too concerned about everyone flying just yet. These are expensive toys for the wealthy.

lutorm
1 replies
11h4m

So wrong. You can get an airplane for the cost of a car. Yes, it won't be new and it won't be fancy, but you can definitely fly without being wealthy.

nkrisc
0 replies
9h12m

So right. Look on the website, they say it’s half a million. I’m not talking about any plane, I’m talking about the subject of this thread.

FabHK
0 replies
45m

Look, go ahead and increase fuel taxes. If you reduce car fuel consumption by just 1%, but this company succeeds and quintuples (!) the fuel consumption by piston engine planes, the environment still comes out ahead. Flying is a tiny environmental factor compared to driving.

[Avgas consumption in the US is about 200m gallons a year, car fuel consumption some 130,000m gallons. Car plus planes 130,200m. Car -1%, planes x5: 128,700 + 1000 = 129,700m gallons.]

shafyy
6 replies
22h18m

Don't try to weasel your way out of this. Just be honest and say you like working on cool plane tech stuff and admit it's not great for the environment when more people will fly. No shame in that. Or maybe there is shame, but that's up to you.

n_ermosh
5 replies
22h12m

maybe I wasn't clear but I completely agree that airplanes are not good for the environment. That absolutely needs to be fixed. But to fix it requires capital and public demand. We are hoping to generate both by getting more people flying so that it's not just a niche people who fly planes and care about the environment working asking for it and spending money in the industry

burkaman
1 replies
21h20m

This is like saying that you know gas power plants are not good for the environment, so you're hoping to get gas generators into more homes to generate capital and demand to fix the problem.

If your company is successful enough for you to invest significant resources into "greener propulsion technology", what is going to happen to all the planes you already sold to get there? Are you going to send an email blast out to all your customers telling them to stop flying now because it's time to pivot to hydrogen planes?

mightyham
0 replies
20h54m

Classic false equivalence. Mature airplane engine technology based on alternative energy really doesn't exsit at the moment, while the same cannot be said for residential energy.

The existence of the a fossil fuel based car market provided an impetus for electric car and battery technology to develop. Similarly, practical alternative energy flight will likely develop faster if there is a market for small, innovative aircrafts.

shafyy
0 replies
8h19m

And you don't see the problem with your reasoning? Honestly not?

callalex
0 replies
15h26m

This forum is providing me a rare opportunity to speak to someone of your caliber:

To someone not surrounded by the same aerospace/defence/pentagon welfare state people that you are surrounded by, you come across as very genuine, caring, and hard-working but completely missing the point. Your statements in this thread indicate that you think there maaaaay be an environmental issue but you don’t care because it could never affect you personally. You demonstrate no sense of urgency, which is what the people questioning you are looking for, because that’s what the science shows.

breck
0 replies
21h0m

airplanes are not good for the environment.

to fix it requires capital and public demand.

In my engineering career, one thing I've learned is that if you fix problems B, C, and D, often it becomes a lot easier to fix orthogonal problem A, because the other fixes have made new things possible.

I see what you are doing as fixing a lot of problems with flying, so then more attention can go into making planes quieter and more energy efficient.

Perhaps yours is one of the steps to making planes as peaceful in the environment as birds[0].

[0] https://breckyunits.com/ifNatureIsDoingIt.html

namdnay
2 replies
22h32m

So your plan to reduce aircraft pollution is to… have more aircraft in the sky? Come on…

mightyham
1 replies
21h21m

Innovation doesn't come from nowhere, and demand for air travel is not going away. So if there is a small, personal, innovative platform that makes it easier to test new propulsion technology at scale (in contrast to large commercial airliners that are less innovative), it seems entirely possible that could help with aircraft pollution in the long run

Aachen
0 replies
9h43m

I'm sure that's what tobacco companies tell themselves also

There is also the option of not being part of the problem and finding a different job. Not an option for all employees, full ack on that, but this founder/ceo figure can absolutely make that choice

I see what you mean in that flying will always be something humanity does. We're not going to outlaw it, I have no illusions in that regard. Way too convenient and economically beneficial. Working on making it more accessible when we haven't made it even close to sustainable (with most of the solutions here today, it just needs to be scaled up and rolled out) instead of working on sustainability or alternatives to flying under a pretense of "it'll be better eventually!" is what I object to

01HNNWZ0MV43FF
0 replies
21h41m

So you have no incentive to vote for a carbon tax

AdrianB1
11 replies
20h18m

Hard to tell. I have a frequent route that takes me ~ 2 hours of flight (13 liters/hour, 26 liters in total) or ~ 10 hours to drive with around 50 liters of gas. Flying means burning 50% less gas. But for others there may be better driving, how to calculate that?

limitedfrom
6 replies
18h36m

50% seems very unreasonable here, if not in the wrong direction overall.

Ikarus C42 at about 86 knots will use 13 L/hr, for a two-hour flight, it's 26 L fuel and 8.31 kg CO2/gal avgas[1], this comes to 57 kg CO2 to cover 320 km (and this is assuming it immediately starts covering flight distance and not using gas for climbing/approach, etc.).

An average new car in the EU uses 6 L/100 km in 2019[2]. To drive 320 km, this comes to 19 L of gasoline (8.1kg CO2/gallon finished motor gasoline[1]), which is then 41 kg CO2.

Even if you had to make the auto trip 400 km because roads aren't as direct, this comes to 51 kg CO2.

Nevermind that airports are rarely your final destination, nor in the city centre like train station would be, which adds significant distance to your overall trip.

[1] https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php [2] https://www.iea.org/articles/fuel-economy-in-the-european-un...

creshal
5 replies
10h26m

Even if you had to make the auto trip 400 km because roads aren't as direct, this comes to 51 kg CO2.

What if there's a sogging great mountain range in the middle and I literally do need to drive 2-3x as far, because (rail) tunnels take something between 2 and 3 decades to build and won't be finished before 2040, if any are even planned to begin with?

AdrianB1
3 replies
8h6m

That's exactly the case. Driving from Bucharest to Vatra Dornei, Romania. No highway yet, the one in construction (A7) is still going around the Carpathian mountains for 370km, it will make the drive faster but not shorter. Also driving highway speed takes more gas.

yunohn
1 replies
7h44m

driving highway speed takes more gas

Hmmm, in my experience, highway speeds are conducive to ICE efficiency and use less gas than city traffic stop and go results in. It also disperses pollution outside the areas people work/reside in.

creshal
0 replies
7h15m

There's three speed categories as far as the EU is concerned:

- highway

- not highway, not city

- city

The 90-110km/h limits of regular roads tends to hit the sweet spot of engines more reliably than the 130+ of highways, a lot of smaller European car engines are uncomfortably close to redlining at 130+, especially older ones.

limitedfrom
0 replies
2h29m

Then argue for convenience/speed/fun as I write here[1], not in the conversation about fuel usage. Even your example, driving from Bucharest to Vatra Dornei, RO is 490 km (DN12; 1.41x) or 520 km (DN2; 1.5x) vs 347 km, hardly 2-3x the parent comment you're responding to, again keeping in mind that the airport won't be in the middle of the city.

As for highway speeds, cars are calibrated to have the highest efficiency at highway speeds[2][3], so per distance, most cars will do best at reasonable highway speeds.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41166749 [2] https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Speed-fuel-consumption-c... [3] https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-2ddbd8f31c84cefba540d...

limitedfrom
0 replies
2h10m

You can always cherrypick examples that favour planes. In fact, to take it to the extreme, you can just put bodies of water in between and that might become practically the only choice as distances increase (e.g. there are no ferry service between Honolulu and Kona in Hawaii), and I'd agree with you in some cases planes are the most reasonable way to go between places.

That said, looking at the website for the main post, I don't think that's the main use case it has in mind: top banner rotating between "Flying made easy for first-time aviators/weekend trips/avoiding traffic" or "We believe the freedom of flying is an unparalleled experience that everyone deserves access to" and "The power of flight is intoxicating".

It's great if existing use cases of GA aircrafts have sleeker/more intuitive interfaces, but adding demand in this area (more hobbyists, more rich people using it for shuttling/avoiding traffic, encouraging people to live in very remote areas, etc.) and using it as transportation-mode will unlikely ever become environmentally reasonable.

echoangle
1 replies
19h53m

What kind of plane are we talking about here? A Cessna 172 is cruising at about 200 km/h, so your route would be 400 km. You’re not driving 10h for that, right?

AdrianB1
0 replies
19h46m

560 km, almost no highways, a lot of driving through the mountains at 50-60 km/h. Flying is an almost straight line of 320 km. Ikarus C42, cruising 160 km/h.

Aachen
1 replies
9h58m

The solution for most people is not to have frequent trips to a destination that's 10 hours' driving distance or to use high speed rail. Comparing rocket fuel to airplane fuel may look one option look favorable but that's not the whole picture

AdrianB1
0 replies
8h8m

It is not something I do for the fun of driving, it's my father's house and I need to help there. There is no high speed rail, train takes 9 hours too. As I said, there are situations and situations, cannot draw conclusions too fast.

morsch
1 replies
21h56m

It's not just a question of whether they generate more GHG per mile, it's a question of whether they generate more GHG per hour. You wouldn't make a thousand mile trip over the weekend by car, but people don't bat an eye doing it by plane.

bluGill
0 replies
4h16m

You wouldn't make a thousand mile trip over the weekend by car, but people don't bat an eye doing it by plane.

You wouldn't take that by car? I would and I'm not an outlier in the midwest - many of us do it all the time. There just isn't a better option for a family. Flying would cost thousands of dollars more and you risk missing a connection and the trip taking even longer. The train doesn't really go many places in the US and isn't cheap. Just get in the car and travel on your own time - it is relaxing after a while. If you get bored stop to see some small town attraction for an hour and continue on.

kevinak
0 replies
32m

There's a Swedish company working on making electric region air travel a thing - ahttps://heartaerospace.com

I don't see why this wouldn't be possible to do with smaller air craft.

stetrain
41 replies
1d

In the US, trips that are 50-300 miles are almost all done by car because that distance is too short for commercial airlines and too far for public transportation.

A bit off-topic but this is a political problem, not a technical one. Trips of 50-300 miles are certainly within the operating range of fast and efficient rail travel as demonstrated in multiple places around the world outside of the US.

jeffreyrogers
13 replies
23h32m

It's not just a political problem. It's also a legal one due to the property rights involved.

s1k3s
5 replies
23h23m

Can't the US govt buy back any land they want for infrastructure? I mean forcibly buy back.

jeffreyrogers
4 replies
23h10m

Yes, it's called eminent domain. But if the government attempts to do so you can file a lawsuit and argue that they don't have a right to purchase your property from you. These lawsuits are expensive and take a lot of time/effort, which makes building a railway impractical by this method. To "solve" this politically would require a constitutional amendment, which is obviously not going to happen for this issue.

mattmaroon
0 replies
22h38m

Governments usually do try negotiating peacefully first. It’s better for everyone involved than the alternative.

chairmansteve
1 replies
21h54m

But, as a previous poster said, these problems always seem solveable when building a freeway.

macintux
0 replies
19h57m

I think it's a question of public support, political will, and stamina.

People think of freeways as vital, so it's ok if I-69 through southern Indiana takes over 30 years from initial studies to completion.

If a train route took 30 years to build, it would be lambasted as a boondoggle and abandoned.

CalRobert
2 replies
22h20m

Somehow we don't seem to face this problem when it comes to building roads.

jeffreyrogers
0 replies
18h18m

A road is usable if you build it piecemeal, that's not true of a railway.

stetrain
1 replies
23h9m

Eminent domain means property rights issues for public infrastructure are also political issues.

jeffreyrogers
0 replies
18h17m

They become legal issues when those cases go to court (which is what frequently occurs)

yogurtboy
0 replies
23h26m

In this case, as in many others, political problems are just legal problems at scale.

rangestransform
0 replies
2h26m

i don't understand why the government doesn't do stealth land acquisition more, with shell companies like denver airport

CalRobert
9 replies
22h20m

Interestingly I'm hosting my dad near Amsterdam for the week and to get from Sacramento to SFO (from where he flew to AMS) he... flew. Which I guess is logical, but seems insane to me when he lives close to Sacramento Amtrak which actually HAS good, regular service to SFO (via Bart, connecting at Richmond).

Even if you build the train some people won't give it a try, sadly. A lot of carbon was spewed in to the air to fly him and his suitcase over the capitol corridor tracks.

maples37
2 replies
21h23m

I really want to try Amtrak. I've looked at it a few times. But the only train line near me only has a train at it 2 or 3 times a week, at some crazy hour like 2:30am. If I'm taking a Monday-Thursday business trip, I'd have to arrive at my destination the Friday before and return home late night on Sunday. It's just not a realistic choice, unless you're really excited about trains.

It doesn't help that the website is terrible at helping you plan a trip, if you say "I want to leave on Monday" but there are no trains at the station on Monday, it just takes you to a page saying "there are no routes, sorry" instead of suggesting the next day a train is available. I found a download link for the train schedule, and it took me a solid 10 minutes to figure out what I was looking at. (If you're following along at home: the big bold date at the top of the page is completely irrelevant. It's just today's date, so you know when you downloaded the PDF. Because of course that's why you downloaded the PDF in the first place.)

I have a friend who is really excited about trains, and he wanted to take a weekend Amtrak trip. The only way he could make it work was to ride the train up and have someone at his destination who was willing to drive him back. And even then, most of the trip was plodding along in the darkness, because the train only stops at our city in the dead of night.

They're supposed to be putting in some new lines in the coming years, one of which will stop by our city. I'm cautiously optimistic, though I'm not sure how useful those lines will be if there's no trains rolling on them at reasonable hours.

callalex
1 replies
17h12m

This is also ignoring that it’s entirely possible for Amtrak to miss the schedule by literal days.

stetrain
0 replies
4h29m

Most of the issues above are due to Amtrak running trains on tracks owned by freight railroads. By law those railroads are supposed to prioritize Amtrak traffic, but they often block or delay Amtrak with their operations and there’s no real penalty for doing so.

In places where Amtrak owns most of the track (ie the Northeast Corridor) service is much more frequent and reliable.

That’s a problem that is solvable by public investment in infrastructure.

stetrain
1 replies
22h4m

Even if you build the train some people won't give it a try, sadly. A lot of carbon was spewed in to the air to fly him and his suitcase over the capitol corridor tracks.

They might be more willing to try if the service prices included the cost of the associated emissions.

CalRobert
0 replies
12h54m

Certainly!

It would also help if there were integrated ticketing the way there is in, say, Germany. If you buy a plane and a train ticket and miss a connection then you eat the cost of the ticket. Even better would be if luggage were integrated, but that would be asking for a lot more annoying security on trains I think.

sixothree
1 replies
21h49m

I bet if you and he were travelling together he would do it. I've gotten people to join me on train trips when the option was something different - flying or taking a one hour taxi ride.

CalRobert
0 replies
11h17m

Yeah, a lot of the issue is familiarity. He's a pretty standard suburbanite and the train confuses him.

sitharus
1 replies
20h0m

I saw a cargo flight going from LAX to Ontario, California which looks like ~80km/50mi distance, which seems crazy to me.

I don't live in Europe, but I was there earlier this year going from Amsterdam to Paris. That's 430km/260mi direct from what I can find. I took the train, it took 3.5 hours, direct from central Amsterdam to central Paris, and no security theatre. And I had leg room!

CalRobert
0 replies
11h18m

It's a lovely ride. Even longer distances aren't too bad - to get to the alps, we take the night train from Amsterdam to Zurich. https://rail.cc/night-train/zurich-amsterdam-oebb-nightjet-n...

The train is a superior experience to flying in pretty much every way, the challenge is often cost - trains can be more expensive. And, of course, this is really only possible because flying doesn't have its externalities priced in.

shafyy
7 replies
22h16m

A million times this. Modern and efficient train networks are the best way to travel, even for longer distances of a few thousand kilometers (night trains). Sure, there are still use cases for flying, but the dismissiveness of people who have never experienced great train travel against it just shocks me.

gizajob
6 replies
21h35m

Hmmm I just flew from Bergamo, Italy to Liverpool, UK and it was basically four hours door to door from where I was staying to where I was going in Liverpool, and for less than €100. The train can’t do this.

Aachen
3 replies
9h35m

Airplanes can't do this either. The reason you paid 100€ is that your ticket did not include paying for cleaning up the mess the plane has left behind

I'm happy for everyone to fly to and from work if they'd also pay for cleaning up the pollution it causes. We have several options, carbfix and olivine weathering come to mind but there's also at least one company who turns atmospheric CO2 back into fuel, we just need to start doing it after realising that what we're doing is only possible because the climate hasn't caught up with current habits yet

gizajob
2 replies
7h53m

Yet despite airlines not being able to do it, it happened.

Aachen
1 replies
7h44m

I think you understand the nonliteral meaning here

gizajob
0 replies
5h23m

But also train tracks and infrastructure aren’t exactly free of mess all across the landscape. Flights can be had for as low as €20, which yeah, makes no sense at all.

2143
1 replies
13h29m

Bergamo to Liverpool is over 1700 km by road as per Google Maps.

The company is trying to solve transportation for the 50 to 300 mile range (around 80 to 500 km). Trains can easily do this.

Anyway, in China the Beijing to Guangzhou high-speed rail covers the 2200 km distance in 8 hours. Costs $120.

-----

Do note that — while I do understand there's an environmental impact (and I hope technology improves to eliminate this impact) — I'm not against flying. I love flying. In fact I wanted to become a commercial pilot myself.

gizajob
0 replies
5h19m

Yeah by the same token I love trains too. I’d happily get the train between Bergamo and Liverpool but as it stands we’d probably be talking €500 and 12-24 hours with multiple changes. Flights can be had from €20.

lbrito
4 replies
21h57m

Was about to post the same. Passing no judgement on this particular project, which must have been the result of honest hard work and dedication, but it's truly bizarre that people in the US would rather double down on the failed personal vehicle concept rather than embracing public transit, as more developed countries have.

jki275
1 replies
15h12m

Public transit exists in the US. I take a train to work.

But the problem you're not understanding is that we're not Europe. We don't all live in cities within a couple of miles of our workplaces. Even me, I've got a sixty mile commute, I'm fortunate that there is a commuter train -- but I still have to drive five miles to get to the station. There's no other way, it's not even safe to walk if I felt like walking five miles. I can't live where I work, it would triple my mortgage.

I can't go anywhere else on a train. I can't go to the grocery store on a train, there aren't any.

The US is big. It's just the way it is, and it's not going to change.

stetrain
0 replies
4h32m

The US used to have dirt roads and no highway system.

It also used to have streetcar networks in most major cities and suburbs. And shops you could walk to from your house.

Amsterdam used to have a city center full of cars, parking lots, and no bike paths.

Things can change. It’s harder for them to change when we sit around and say “It’s just the way it is, it’s not going to change”

callalex
1 replies
16h59m

Most people in the USA are too shy/prudish to say it but I think this is a conversation that needs to be opened:

Americans are so resistant to public transportation because the public seriously sucks to deal with. There will be no popular utilization of public transit until we implement strong economic safety nets and extensive support/mandatory detention of people that are mentally ill. Those problems are much harder to overcome while maintaining an American standard of personal liberty than even the complications surrounding building rail. As a native of San Francisco and the surrounding area I have tried for decades to utilize public transit. The infrastructure isn’t great, but it’s also not terrible or anything. But in years where my job/living situation have me using public transit every day, my rate of exposure to human excrement or someone who wouldn’t even be aware that they physically harmed me was greater than once a week. In phases of my life where I’m driving everywhere that rate is practically zero. That stress takes a toll on my health that I have a natural instinct to avoid.

stetrain
0 replies
5h42m

You aren't wrong, although your comfortable car ride also includes huge amounts of risk of personal injury, we just tend to not think about that until it happens.

The lack of other places for people to go often leaves public transit facilities as a place for homeless people to congregate or seek shelter.

The US also tends to treat public transit as welfare transit in general. A transportation option of last resort for those who can't afford a car, where the primary goal is being inexpensive, instead of being the best and most efficient way to move around a city for all citizens.

Transit stations in the US also generally don't have revenue-generating amenities like food, coffee, or shopping. This makes them money sinks instead of revenue sources that pay for their own cleaning and security etc.

“A developed country is not a place where the poor have cars. It's where the rich use public transportation.”

n_ermosh
2 replies
1d

100% agreed. I'd love a high speed rail system in the US. but we're engineers not politicians :)

stetrain
1 replies
23h58m

Sending more travelers into the sky in personal aircraft will also be a political issue.

I definitely applaud the goal of improving GA safety, there is certainly a lot to improve in that regard even if the end result isn't a huge increase in the number of family roadtrips taken in personal aircraft.

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h45m

there is certainly a lot to improve in that regard even if the end result isn't a huge increase in the number of family roadtrips taken in personal aircraft.

that's kind of how I see it too, the failed version of this is that GA is safer than it is today.

bigyikes
0 replies
20h54m

I’m begging for trains in the Texas triangle. It’s such a perfect use case. It’s ~3 hours between any of San Antonio-Austin, Houston, and Dallas-Fort Worth. Long enough to be a horrible drive, short enough to be a waste of a flight. There’s also not much density in between to contend with.

Majestic121
23 replies
23h13m

While I think the project is pretty cool, I can't shake the pollution side of things out of my mind.

Air transport is one of the most polluting ways to travel, and I would expect a single person airplane is even worse than a full A380.

Is there anything you're doing to alleviate this issue ?

_jss
13 replies
22h58m

Take a look at the more economical modern GA aircraft. A Cirrus SR22 can run at 10 gallons per hour, with a ground speed of 160+ mph.

Yes, it’s more total fuel consumption than a car (but in an hour covering 2x the distance, and allowing to travel more directly) but not at all close to turbine or turboprops. At the extremely cheap (accessible to more pilots) side for pressurized planes, fuel burn is going to be 40gph and it just goes up from there.

There are many variables, and winds work for or against—but by doing good flight planning you use the winds to your advantage.

There is also a lot of research on better aviation fuels (100ll :(((). I’m excited about that part of it, more so than the current electric planes (although electric self-launching gliders are pretty neat)

MOSIAC is going to make light sport aircraft more useful, which will also help in this area.

Tons of interesting stuff happening here!

n_ermosh
10 replies
22h52m

yep! lots of interesting stuff indeed!

Our plane will be ~7 gph at cruise burning unleaded fuels and fly ~170mph over the ground (with no wind)

entropie
6 replies
20h14m

For my part, I find it questionable to invest in and develop a transport technology that consumes seven times as much fossil fuel as a car.

You give consumption of 7 gallons in cruise mode. I don't want to know what is burnt during take-off or landing.

lutorm
5 replies
11h16m

How do you get seven times?

Takeoff constitutes a negligible part of the total fuel consumption. Climb to altitude uses more, but you get that back when landing since you're then using your stored potential energy.

Small-aircraft GA is a vanishingly small fraction of total fossil fuel use, and it will be quite easy to replace that with some renewable fuel solution (compared with the huge amounts of fuel consumed by transport aircraft). For my part, I think it would be a shame to kill GA because of a temporary and relatively unimportant concern.

Aachen
2 replies
10h2m

Small-aircraft GA is a vanishingly small fraction of total fossil fuel use

OP wrote: "We want people who don’t think about airplanes as a mode of transportation to start flying"

They're meaning for this to become a larger fraction, besides that the relevant measure is pollution per benefit or per capita or something rather than absolute amount of pollution

lutorm
1 replies
6h26m

So you're concluding that there is no benefit to general aviation because, presumably, you don't fly?

I think we should absolutely keep airplanes as a mode of transportation, because the alternative is that all small airports go away and then it won't matter when renewable fuels become a reality because there will be no longer be anywhere to land and take off. Those airports would not come back.

Aachen
0 replies
16m

because, presumably, you don't fly?

First off, you've got this backwards. One doesn't have an opinion because one flies or not; conversely, one flies or not because one concludes their situation does or does not warrant the pollution for a particular destination

But equally weird, why are you making this about me personally? If I say I don't fly, that's probably unusual where you're from so I'll be the environmentalist out-group whose opinion is too extreme and can be dismissed. If I do I'll be considered a hypocrite (like what you called someone in the other thread). I can tell you the answer is a middle ground but I don't think it helps anyone here to make this about me. I'd much rather make this about facts and science rather than opinions and feelings

I think we should absolutely keep airplanes as a mode of transportation

I agree, but since nobody said anything to the contrary, that seems like a given

entropie
1 replies
4h16m

How do you get seven times?

I asked chatgpt what the average consumption of a car is; the answer was 0.5-1 gallon on a highway.

FabHK
0 replies
57m

Don't confuse gallons per hour with gallons per mile.

callalex
2 replies
17h23m

That’s only 25 mpg which is widely considered to be unacceptably unsustainable even in the short term.

pbronez
0 replies
5h38m

A Quick Look at FuelEconomy.gov shows many modern cars for sale with highway efficiency of 25mpg or less. Some (many?) people may judge it unconscionable, but it’s clearly acceptable to the broader market and current regulations.

These models seem to be big (Volkswagen Atlas, Subaru Ascent, Ford F150) or fast (Audi RS5, Porche 911, Kia Stinger). If you can get similar mpg from an airplane that carries four people and their luggage at 100+ mph ground speed on a more direct (shorter) route… that’s very compelling to me.

https://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/PowerSearch.do?action=noform...

FabHK
0 replies
59m

So, reducing car emissions by a just 1% would be way better for the environment than entirely removing all piston engine aviation.

There are about 15m cars sold in the US every year, but around 1500 piston engine planes. That's a factor of 10,000. There are some 210m cars in use in the USA, but around 150k piston engine planes. That's a factor of 1400 (reflecting the fact that planes have a much longer life than cars, further contributing to their lower environmental impact).

Every day, cars burn more fuel than light airplanes burn in a year.

This project is a minuscule rounding error in climate change drivers.

limitedfrom
1 replies
18h22m

You can argue for its convenience/speed/fun, but fuel efficiency does not look good for GA aircraft. Even for your modern GA aircraft example, it literally comes to 16 mpg. This is as bad as worst of the trucks out there. While it's great if existing use cases of GA aircrafts would become more efficient, adding demand in this area (more hobbyists, more rich people shuttling use, encouraging people to live in very remote areas, etc.) and using it as transportation-mode will unlikely ever become environmentally reasonable.

_jss
0 replies
1h24m

All that is true, but it’s also getting better. And 16mpg over shorter routes (a 100nm flight vs 200 mile drive is not unusual) makes it harder to compare apples to oranges.

We don’t really have hybrid planes yet, which will likely help in the most inefficient parts of flying (climb).

My comment is to add more information to the discussion to consider many aspects, not to make claims that it’s a fuel-sensible method of travel. I am excited for innovation here, just like I am excited for the continued improvements in hybrid and electric cars.

BWStearns
4 replies
19h57m

Some of the LSAs I've flown are not actually that bad pollution/climate wise. Slightly less green per mile than my mini cooper, way more green than basically any common American pickup truck.

callalex
1 replies
17h19m

Does this include the emissions portal-to-portal? Airports tend to be nowhere near destinations because people don’t like living near all the pollution airplanes spew.

BWStearns
0 replies
4h3m

Most of my trips in small planes are pretty point to point. The airports I've used have been between 1 and 5 miles from my house and most of my destinations were similarly close (I just checked one destination and it was 200 meters).

Not sure where you're from but airport density in the US is incredibly high thanks to WWII and Cold War leftover infrastructure (and a fairly robust GA culture up through the 80s). People just don't notice their little local airports unless they fly.

blt
0 replies
19h36m

MPG-wise sure. Emissions-wise almost certainly not. Airplanes don't have catalytic converters, exhaust recirculation, etc.

n_ermosh
3 replies
23h8m

Our early model you see here will use unleaded fuel rather than traditional low-lead fuel used in aviation today. The master plan is to use the scale we will create in this new market and invest it into green propulsion tech for our future aircraft. A lot is going to change in that space over the next 5 years so I'm very interested to see where things go, but I suspect hybrid-electric will be the move for the first generation of green aircraft.

aziaziazi
1 replies
8h19m

green propulsion tech

Fact of the lead content, the wishes and the promises of your post have a place here.

However "Green" only sounds good in a marketing pitches. While it might resonate with potential customers who are already sold on the idea, it can come across as vague and insubstantial to those trying to understand your response.

It sounds misleading and deceptive for the individuals who are skeptical of the environmental impact.

n_ermosh
0 replies
2h1m

fair criticism--I should be more specific than just "green".

our first model will still be a gasoline ICE airplane, but we are building a limited number of them to get our tech out there and get a new wave of people excited about GA. out future aircraft will be able to utilize our fly-by-wire/simplified controls to fly more aerodynamically efficient airframes that will use less energy, whatever that source is. We can do this because these airframes would be too unstable for a human to fly by hand, hence the need for fly-by-wire/simplified controls in the loop.

today, we don't have a good alternative to ICE for airplanes that also meets the mission profile of the vehicle. I personally think hybrid electric is at least the next step, with hydrogen (though that has it's own challenges) coming after.

Aachen
0 replies
10h22m

How does further reducing lead in the fuel compare to all the other emissions' impact?

I would imagine that lead is dangerous for a long as it's being used, whereas CO2 has an annoyingly long half life that we need to actively remove in (currently) time- or energy-intensive processes, while it's reducing healthy years of life for millions of people —speaking of air pollution from combustion in general here, I don't have specific numbers for airplanes but as an airplane company you are surely better aware of this than me

namdnay
17 replies
22h10m

We want people who don’t think about airplanes as a mode of transportation to start flying

It really depresses me that in 2024 we have some of the smartest, most privileged people in the world deciding that this is what they’re going to dedicate their life to

Shouldn’t we be doing exactly the opposite? Getting people to stop flying

dsugarman
2 replies
21h46m

you don't really clarify why people should stop flying, I'll assume it's due to global warming? Personally, I think this is a fantastic idea, to simplify the user experience of flying to make it accessible sounds incredible. Private jets are the ultimate luxury in life that so few have access to today. If it is global warming related, then I think that problem needs to be solved as well, but it's somewhat separate. EVs have become a reality, and there needs to be a lot more work done to solve global warming, not a reason to stop all progress.

namdnay
0 replies
21h37m

I think that problem needs to be solved as well, but it's somewhat separate

How is “we want to get more people to fly private planes” a separate issue from global warming? It’s literally pouring oil on the wildfire

two-sandwich
1 replies
21h41m

I agree. There are many more important issues that could be solved with this person's expertise and willingness to apply themselves. Unfortunately, you can only lead a horse to water.

The vastness of areas which could be studied, advanced, or challenged lends itself well to human curiosity. I feel it would be unwise and unreasonable to stop people from exploring their area of interest.

Consider all the academic papers written with 0 citations. Did they waste their time? Should they have picked from a centralised pool of "most important" issues? The breadth-first search approach benefits the scientific community long term, I'd imagine.

Do you work tirelessly to prevent climate change as your day job? If not, why?

namdnay
0 replies
21h39m

Do you work tirelessly to prevent climate change as your day job? If not, why?

Guilty as charged, we could all do more. But I don’t actively work to increase pollution, which is what this company seems to be doing

imoverclocked
1 replies
21h51m

Private Pilot here (so obviously biased.)

This is an excellent question to ask.

There are good reasons to fly. Some places in the US are only accessible through flight (I'm looking at you, Alaska.) Some places require insane amounts of time to commute/manage because of a lack of infrastructure. Some common low-flight hour jobs (eg: pipeline monitoring) are only feasible through flight.

There are currently good reasons that most people don't fly. They usually come down to time, money and training (which is time, money and ability.) There is also significant risk (think: along the risk level of riding a motorcycle)

I guarantee that flying will not get so safe and cheap that the average Joe will just start hopping in a plane for a hamburger every other day.

I personally think the things we should be focusing on are making much more efficient GA aircraft. Also, getting rid of 100LL and gasoline would be nice. It's really hard to do though.

As for the smartest and most-privileged people, there are much worse things to devote time to as an engineer. There are also a lot of engineers these days. Don't despair too much :)

nullindividual
0 replies
19h13m

Some places in the US are only accessible through flight (I'm looking at you, Alaska.)

And how is software going to handle the random side-of-the-river 'runway'?

bavell
1 replies
21h52m

Better than adtech or fintech

Aachen
0 replies
9h20m

We can use legislation to fix whatever we perceive adtech or fintech to be doing wrong. Try making a law that says you can't use this new convenient airplane that everyone is now using to hang out with friends every evening that live 200km away

I would think enabling this behavior is much worse than anything advertisers can do to us in the medium to long term

HeyLaughingBoy
1 replies
21h50m

No. What we should be doing is encouraging smart, motivated people to address what they see as problems that they can make actual progress towards solving. As a natural consequence, many of those efforts will be things you find worthwhile and many others you won't.

If you think there's a problem more worthwhile of their efforts, why don't you dedicate your life to it?

namdnay
0 replies
21h34m

It’s not a question of “worthwhile”, I’m not judging them for writing mobile minigames or whatever, it’s a question of pulling in the exact opposite direction to where we should be going. What’s the point of having people dedicating their lives to getting us out of this pickle, when others are saying “you know what we need more of? Private air flights”

thanatos519
0 replies
21h49m

Came here to say this. Yes. I am sad that YC would even consider this.

qzw
0 replies
21h46m

How else will people be able to go on independent aerial excursions to watch the ice sheets melt in real time?

Kidding aside, we’re really going to name the company using a homophone of the most famous missing pilot in history?

lovecg
0 replies
21h2m

Seeing the Earth from a bird’s eye view is a historically speaking very recent privilege only a tiniest fraction of humanity was able to enjoy. If you want to get society-wide shifts of perspective about the Earth, you want more people to experience flight (and even spaceflight), not fewer.

kiechu
0 replies
21h43m

Genocide? Maybe they should rather work on open source man pads for the last generation crowd to shoot down the planes.

ein0p
0 replies
21h51m

Totally, we should all just be creating shareholder value cradle to grave, never go anywhere, and eat ze bugs.

Tepix
0 replies
20h57m

My thoughts exactly. It's depressing really. Even if i had an idea for a novel airplane that leads to more people flying, i would immediately conclude that it's not a good idea to chase after because our planet needs less CO₂ emissions, not more.

mattmaroon
17 replies
22h27m

I was shocked when learning to fly how much GA tech was stuck in some weird pre-World War II era state. Everything seems so needlessly complicated. Even small aircraft cost so much that I couldn’t imagine a computer controlled system and fly by wire would be cost prohibitive. Even a new C172 is close to $400k at the low end, and anything you’d actually want to fly is much more. A few grand in electronics seems worth it and can probably easily save itself back quickly in added fuel economy and maintenance, not to mention any monetary value you might place on your safety.

But then I watched as the ADS-B mandate (or whatever you want to call it) came into effect and GA enthusiasts started tossing around concentration camp metaphors. So many of the people in the industry are very old and just don’t want anything to change.

Also shocking is how expensive everything is. It’s like new blockbuster prescription drugs, and perhaps for similar reasons (FAA testing is maybe very expensive?) but with no expiration date. At least in 25 years that new drug will be cheap, adding a simple GPS to your plane is still going to cost more than your Lexus.

It feels like the real problem in this industry is lack of competition. There’s a chicken and egg problem: planes are expensive because so few people buy them, but so few people buy them because they’re expensive.

Light sport aircraft were supposed to be the solution, but the difficulty of flying (which you’re addressing) seems to have precluded that.

All of which is to say: you’ve got a wide open field here and I hope you do well at it, aviation needs this.

nikitaga
8 replies
20h25m

It feels like the real problem in this industry is lack of competition. There’s a chicken and egg problem: planes are expensive because so few people buy them, but so few people buy them because they’re expensive.

Lack of competition is not the root cause. It's all the regulations. Certifying a new GA airplane takes a lot of time, and costs a fortune. This translates to high development costs, and certification costs, and ALSO is a huge barrier to entry for new companies, and a significant barrier for existing companies to develop new modern designs.

I could potentially muster enough resources to design and build an ultralight aircraft (that does not need any certifications), but a type-certified aircraft even as simple as a Cessna 152? Forget about it.

You could argue whether those certifications are worth it for safety, e.g. by comparing Canada's much more generous ultralight aircraft max weight allowance compared to US, or looking at the change in accident rates in European countries that recently deregulated ultralight aircraft, but whether it's worth it or not, regulation is the single most impactful market force driving the cost of GA aircraft.

Lack of competition is also sometimes directly enforced by the government. For example, several countries mandate the use of FLARM, a proprietary collision avoidance system for light aircraft. Governments gave this company a monopoly without requiring their protocol to be made interoperable, open source, and dis-encumbered from patents.

mattmaroon
3 replies
20h0m

I do believe that’s a factor (and mentioned it further down) but there are shockingly few companies that build planes.

The regulatory cost is amortized over the number of planes built. If people bought planes the way they buy cars, they’d cost far less. Hence the chicken/egg problem I mentioned.

krisoft
2 replies
10h22m

but there are shockingly few companies that build planes.

Because the ones who try go bankrupt twice before they manage to certify their planes? If ever.

mattmaroon
1 replies
7h36m

Or because of mergers and acquisitions like every other industry.

indymike
0 replies
6h23m

Not really. Many companies simply can't stay on the field for 20-odd years to get an airframe approved.

TylerE
3 replies
20h14m

One key difference I see between something like this and an ultralight is the danger to people on the ground. A few thousand pounds moving at up to 200mph or so (potentially 300+ after structural failure) is a lot of kinetic energy.

Aeolun
1 replies
12h46m

I’m fairly certain there’s little difference between being hit by a 2 ton car going at 100mph and a 4 ton aircraft going at 200mph. Either way you splatter.

4gotunameagain
0 replies
12h25m

The clear difference is that cars have a limited, well known and clearly visible area where they are dangerous, planes could land on your face while you are having a picnic at the middle of the park.

nikitaga
0 replies
11h2m

Definitely not "key". On the ground fatalities are very rare, perhaps 1%-2% of all general aviation fatalities [1].

One massive restriction on ultralight airplanes is that you can't carry passengers. Again, on paper, because of risk, but it ends up having some controversial effects. If you want to occasionally carry passengers, as many pilots do, you can't fly a cheap, simple, light, and slow ultralight aircraft. No, the regulations push you to fly a more expensive, complex, heavier, and faster one that is type-certified, but requires higher skill and currency (regularly recurring flight experience) to operate safely.

Given that pilot error is far and away the main cause of general aviation crashes, that push does not seem very wise, safety-wise, even disregarding the question of costs.

A few thousand pounds moving at up to 200mph or so (potentially 300+ after structural failure) is a lot of kinetic energy.

Also, FTR, Cessna 152, a type-certified two seater, weights 1670 lbs gross, cruises at 120mph, and if it ever hits the ground wrong, it very likely won't be because it broke up in mid-air and plummeted at terminal velocity onto someone's house, but because the pilot stalled it at low altitude while turning from base to final, crashing onto airport property or an empty field nearby.

[1] See table 10 in the accident statistics spreadsheet here: https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/Pages/research.aspx

joshvm
2 replies
17h37m

I would only add that if people have an interest in aviation then gliding is a fun gateway, and relatively inexpensive. As a student it felt like a lot of money (an aerotow might cost 40-50 pounds), but a year subscription to my old airfield cost about 1.5 hours of powered instruction time, flying is cheap on top of that.

You get very good at understanding how an aircraft handles and I like the club aspect. It's really more of a sport than a utility activity, but a lot of glider pilots go on to get PPLs (and a lot of instructors and competition pilots are retired airline or military because they love it so much).

Aircraft cost is in the range of a luxury car, $400k would get you a top end racing glider. You can pick up used aircraft for much less.

birdlogic
1 replies
14h48m

Yes! As a PPL that recently picked up gliding, I hugely recommend it. It’s a proper sport with a super high skill ceiling, supportive clubs, and competitions/racing when you’re ready. In studying for the glider rating, you’ll cover quite a bit that’s also applicable to flying “power”.

Plus, the economics are great. I bought a glider earlier this year for about 15k. I recently flew 5 hours from a $50 aerotow to 2500ft on a weak day and had a blast fighting my way around the course I was trying to fly. That’s compared to the $170/hr my club Cessna rents for, and which is nowhere close in terms of joy-per-hour.

Airplanes are for transportation, gliders are for sport!

Find a club near you (US): https://www.ssa.org/where-to-fly-map/

nunodonato
0 replies
8h22m

isn't gliding more dangerous that GA? I've been wanting to try it, but the idea of not having an engine if you really need one, scares the crap out of me. Would love to fly in a motorized glider

indymike
1 replies
6h24m

I was shocked when learning to fly how much GA tech was stuck in some weird pre-World War II era state.

This is accurate. Between regulations and insurability, pilots have the choice of newer, less expensive, and more innovative experimental aircraft that are expensive to insure, or FAA-approved aircraft that were not even state of the art in 1952. It's so bad that most people are flying refurbished 1970s model planes because the new ones are identical except for the electronics and upholstery.

FabHK
0 replies
1h32m

It's not quite as bad. The Cirrus SR20 and the Diamond DA40 are basically from around 2000, the Tecnam P2010 is from 2011 (all fully certified).

bloggie
1 replies
5h4m

I feel that your third paragraph justifies the sentiment in the second? If left to their own devices, a functionary will add enough regulation to kill any fun activity, because they are not affected by the decisions they make.

Another example is the new 406 MHz ELTs; it's not clear how effective ELTs are at saving lives, despite their 'obvious' utility, but now the price is higher, they have batteries that require replacing and only expensive manufacturer-approved ones at that, it replaces a system that was working fine and offers no additional utility to the end-user who may be dead after it activates.

It is not even the above example that will bring down GA, it is the death by a thousand cuts, from NIMBYs moving next to ancient airports and shutting them down, to functionaries dragging their feet on lead-free fuels leading to an environmental crisis, to under-staffing of control towers so GA traffic is forcibly reduced, and so on. So the GA community, like with the gun control debate, has to take a give-an-inch, take-a-mile attitude towards regulation.

jonah
0 replies
30m

I'm curious about your comment about 406 MHz ELTs[1].

(I'm not a pilot, though I know a few.)

(First, a clarification, the old 121.5 MHz ELTs also require their manufacturer approved batteries to be replaced every few years in order to maintain their certification.)

(I also don't know the stats on whether ELTs are effective at saving lives or not. I can only assume they are though as anything that can speed the rescue of a lost or injured person greatly increases their chances of survival.)

My direct experience comes from the other side - finding people using ELTs (planes), PLBs (people), and EPIRBs (boats) - with a county Search and Rescue team in California. (To be fair, while we have a lot of rugged backcountry, we don't get a huge number of plane crashes in remote areas.)

I will strongly argue that - aside from price - the new 406 ELTs are far superior.

For those of you who don't know, all ELTs transmit a special signal[2] on 121.5 MHz which can be picked up with radio direction finding equipment[3].

Here's how a search works with the old ELTs - a plane crashes and sets off the beacon. The signal is hopefully heard by another airplane in the area who happens to be monitoring 121.5, by a ground-based monitoring station within range, or by a SARSAT[4][5] satellite when it makes a pass overhead every 90 minutes. Any of those can only detect the presence of a signal and its relative strength. So, now, once the info goes up the chain and back down the chain to the locally responsible agency, a search is initiated. Other info will be used as well - radar tracks disappearing, ADS-B data, etc. - but from the ELT side, teams will head to high points in the area with their RDF equipment and take multiple bearings on the signal which are triangulated to focus the search area. Once they make access to the area, the RDF equipment is used to further refine the location. If available, Civil Air Patrol and other airborne assets are also tasked with locating the plane via ELT signal as well as visually. This is fine and good and all works quite well. It is slow though. It takes time for the signal to be noticed and it takes time for the signal to be triangulated.

The new ELTs also transmit a digital packet on 406 MHz which includes a bunch of data including a serial number and the beacon's coordinates.

So, now searching for a plane with a new ELT now goes like this - a plane crashes and sets off the beacon. It starts sending out a digital burst every 50 seconds or so which is picked up by a satellite or ground-based receiving station. Satellite data goes to the Air Force Rescue Coordination Center[6] which then validates the information and passes it - including the coordinates - to the locally responsible agencies to initiate a rescue. (As an aside, since the signal incudes the serial number which has been registered to the owner, they will know details of the aircraft and can attempt to contact the owner to possibly confirm it was an accidental activation, or gather other information.) Now that the local agencies have the coordinates, they can make direct access to the location and effect a rescue in a much more timely and less resource-intensive way.

In one notable crash - of an experienced bush pilot - I was involved with, it were primarily found when they were reported as late in returning from a flight and the wreckage was identified as the large black spot on the side of a mountain directly inline with their last few ADS-B[7] (and Spidertracks[8]) transmissions. (I don't recall if the ELT signal was used or if the transmitter was destroyed in the fire.)

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_position-indicating_...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:COSPAS-SARSAT_Locator_Bea...

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L-Tronics

[4] https://www.sarsat.noaa.gov

[5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Cospas-Sarsat_Pr...

[6] https://www.1af.acc.af.mil/Units/AFRCC.aspx

[7] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ADS-B

[8] A proprietary aircraft tracking system which sends location and other data via the Iridium satellite network. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spidertracks

n_ermosh
0 replies
22h18m

It feels like the real problem in this industry is lack of competition. There’s a chicken and egg problem: planes are expensive because so few people buy them, but so few people buy them because they’re expensive.

100%. We're here to try to break that cycle.

We definitely think aviation needs this too and I'm excited to connect with all the people out there who agree!

EncomLab
15 replies
6h23m

Great ideas - all destined to wither and die on the vine of certification and regulatory approval. A certified Dynon autopilot for a Cessna 172 starts at $26k just for the components - you expect a similar amount for installation and then ongoing maintenance, calibration, and servicing.

Designing and building the technology is the easy part - pushing that technology through testing and certification is the very hard (and very expensive) part. Even if certification is accomplished, all of the follow on risks of determining maintenance standards, component life cycle, and periodic inspection and replacement schedules has to be defined as well.

Then a doped up former major league pitcher decides to hop in your plane and fly it into the ocean and everything you have done is called into question and you end up buried in lawsuits.

jay-barronville
9 replies
6h8m

Have you considered that maybe Airhart and its founders have thought through those inevitable hurdles and decided to push forward anyway?

Even if they don’t ultimately succeed, so what? This is how true innovation happens—someone decides to take a chance on an idea/concept everyone else thinks is impossible or unrealistic.

There are innovators and then there are armchair critics who just tell the innovators all of the reasons why they’re going to fail.

EncomLab
4 replies
5h55m

This "armchair critic" was an engineer at VisionAire Corp. in the late 90's and watched a truly innovative aircraft and company be consumed by the red tape and outright corporate protectionism of the regulatory bureaucracy. Not only have I considered it - I lived it. What relevant experience do you bring to this discussion?

jay-barronville
3 replies
4h47m

Good for you. Why didn’t you answer my question though?

Have you considered that maybe Airhart and its founders have thought through those inevitable hurdles and decided to push forward anyway?

Do you genuinely think you’re the first person to tell them all of the reasons why they’re going to fail?

Wouldn’t it be much more useful to try to understand, in good faith, why they’re pushing forward with this venture anyway despite all of the hurdles in their future?

EncomLab
2 replies
4h31m

Have you considered that a significant number of companies that are presented - in good faith - as revolutionary startups that will open aviation to the masses are just investment schemes? I understand that they are pushing forward with this venture and are actively seeking investments "despite the hurdles" - what is your play in this?

jay-barronville
1 replies
4h18m

Have you considered that a significant number of companies that are presented - in good faith - as revolutionary startups that will open aviation to the masses are just investment schemes?

So you’re suggesting that Airhart is just engaged in an investment scheme? Do you have any evidence to support that?

EncomLab
0 replies
3h55m

Have you heard of occam's razor? Time will tell - in the meantime what you chose to believe and what I chose to believe are equally worthless opinions.

Stevvo
3 replies
5h34m

Look at their staff; all engineers, nobody there who has ever got anything past the FAA.

jay-barronville
2 replies
4h28m

Look at their staff; all engineers, nobody there who has ever got anything past the FAA.

So what?

When the Collison brothers founded Stripe, they (1) were young, (2) had no experience at all in the domain, (3) weren’t even U.S. citizens, (4) were entering a highly regulated space, and (5) were about to compete with some very powerful institutions that have existed forever worth billions and billions of dollars. In the eyes of folks who just look at all of the ways you can fail, they were extremely unattractive and Stripe’s fate was obvious failure. Today, most Americans can’t avoid using Stripe (both directly and indirectly) even if they tried. They’ve overcome all of those hurdles to the point of making it easy for the average engineer to build products without even having to think about the hurdles, dealing with regulators, etc. I vividly remember how awful the process of implementing payments was prior to Stripe (the process took a very long time)—they changed the game.

Maybe Airhart fails or maybe they just manage to change the game.

EncomLab
1 replies
4h14m

Are you seriously comparing a payment processor to an airplane manufacturer? Are you aware that Stripe received VC funding from Musk, Thiel and Sequoia in order to keep it from competing with PayPal and to provide a second-source provider to protect PayPal from accusations of monopolization of online processing fees? Are you aware that the storyline you are promoting is in fact a specifically curated myth?

jay-barronville
0 replies
4h11m

Are you seriously comparing a payment processor to an airplane manufacturer?

Clearly, my comparison had more to do with the regulation aspect than actually comparing payments and airplanes. Did you read the comment I was responding to?

baggachipz
3 replies
5h32m

Then a doped up former major league pitcher decides to hop in your plane and fly it into the ocean and everything you have done is called into question and you end up buried in lawsuits.

Here's what I don't understand. If the same meathead pitcher gets in his Ferrari and drives it into a tree, nobody questions the car company or buries them in lawsuits. Driver crashes car, it's their fault.

So wouldn't it stand to reason that aviation evolve into the 21st century by eliminating much of the red tape? Sure, cars are required to leverage new technology to enhance safety (e.g. mandating back-up cameras), and the same should apply to an aviation world which treats aircraft as they are: cars in three dimensions rather than two.

All that red tape was necessary when flying was extremely dangerous with primitive technology. We now have the means, through continuous enhancement, to make a "safe enough" aircraft and offload some of the risk on the driver.

talldayo
1 replies
4h39m

the same should apply to an aviation world which treats aircraft as they are: cars in three dimensions rather than two.

If you think an aircraft is a car with extra dimensions of travel then you've trivialized flight. Airplanes have gotten more complex over the past 50 years, and you're not going to get away abstracting any of it comfortably. The red tape exists because flying is hard, expensive and extraordinarily risky.

Junior aviators shouldn't be getting into planes they cannot operate themselves. It's like trying to claim it's safe putting a person without a drivers license behind the wheel of a self-driving car. You might feel that your life or the major-league pitchers' isn't worth enough for it to matter, but there's at least 1 or 2 important people on the overbooked 747 you crashed into due to crosswinds on the runway or after ignoring ATCs demands to "go around".

baggachipz
0 replies
3h7m

I'm trivializing small aircraft flight, because it's a personal transport like a car. And the reason I'm doing so is that it seems very technically possible to safely control and simplify the amateur/small craft experience. So, my question would be, with modern technology, why should flying be hard?

I'm not suggesting this for a 747. Let's compare it to a private driver's license versus a CDL. Of course we shouldn't let any schlub to pilot a plane, just like we (ostensibly) require a person to take driver's training and pass a test prior to getting behind the wheel.

In my admittedly ignorant mind, we could automate and make safe the entire process. The OP prevents a device with redundant and safety systems making it nearly impossible to execute dangerous maneuvers, and balance weight and weather concerns. Current computing could automate air traffic control at small airfields where these small planes would fly. The airspace carved out for these craft could be enforced by the fly-by-wire system on the plane. And so on.

My point is, with modern tech, it would possibly be feasible to trivialize personal flying.

EncomLab
0 replies
4h51m

You can't inject reason into a conversation that is largely defined by $$. GA is an incredibly tiny market - faa.gov has the current active non-student pilot population in the US as less than 500k. The survival of the companies that rely on that population is predicated on the tight regulatory environment - not in spite of it.

sansrealname
0 replies
5h52m

Exactly. There's a reason an IFR GPS navigator costs upwards of $10K. It's incredibly expensive to make certified avionics.

"(an aviation grade GPS can cost upwards of $10k, but it’s the same hardware as in a $20 consumer grade GPS)"

No, it's absolutely not the same hardware as a consumer grade GPS. And this misses the entire point of why it costs so much.

daft_pink
11 replies
1d

I disagree with your assessment. I think that the core problem with GA is that most people in the United States want to travel distances beyond what an affordable GA aircraft can in a single flight. I live in the midwest and I generally want to travel to the East or West coast or Southwest or Florida and the range of a Cessna just isn’t going to cut it. The only practical vehicle would be a Phenom 300 or Honda Jet II, but I don’t have $8 million lying around.

Reality is that without North American continental range, it just isn’t worth it to go get a pilots license and buy a plane for the few trips that I can just easily drive. Maybe if I lived in Boston, General Aviation would be great, but for many Americans who live in areas in the middle that aren’t near large airports, the range of these aircraft just make them expensive toys that aren’t very useful for the size of North America.

mritchie712
5 replies
1d

I might be over estimating, but I'd also think taking off and landing will tack on a few hours to the start and end of your trip. Fueling, safety checks, dealing with the control tower, etc. all seem like they'd effectively take your time savings to zero.

n_ermosh
3 replies
1d

once you get to wanting to travel about 150 miles, the time savings do start kicking in, even if you assume 30-45 minutes of getting to the airport, preflight, etc. The benefit of a small airplane is that at small airports, getting from walking up to the airplane and then into the air can be pretty quick. And part of our goal is the automate as much of the prelight process as possible, wherever we can do it safely

dwighttk
2 replies
23h36m

If you succeed in making this all easy, won’t these small airports fill up with planes?

n_ermosh
1 replies
23h25m

We will eventually hit a limit to the current infrastructure, but based on where the GA market was in the 70s when a lot of the small airports were built, we estimate we can handle ~10x the number of planes we do today.

dwighttk
0 replies
4h43m

So we can go from half a million pilots to 5 million? Then what?

restalis
0 replies
21h0m

"dealing with the control tower"

I know little to nothing about GA, but... it only makes sense to take time if the procedures are still done somehow manually, like speaking with human operators out there. It true, the dependence on a fallible human attention for something that can be automated, that right there is a safety hazard to me.

n_ermosh
3 replies
1d

You're definitely right that the cross continental trip is a big and common one. however, 90% of long distance trips are made by car in the US with a median trip distance of about 200 miles. If we can make flying as easy as driving, the ability to make that trip in half to a third of the time, we believe that's a big win and incentive for a lot of people. There are 19,000 small airports in the US and 300M people live within 15 miles of at least one. So we totally think it's reasonable for that medium distance trip to be done by GA airplane rather than car.

BWStearns
1 replies
23h42m

I've found my GA flying to really be about trips that you _wouldn't have made otherwise_, but the biggest barrier is cost. I've done little adventure trips with my wife that were super fun and without a PPL we wouldn't have done the equivalent. But when it comes to boring stuff it's just too expensive to justify flying so the trips don't happen (since I have to rent).

My suspicion is that the middle of the Venn diagram between "can afford a $500K aircraft" and "doesn't fly GA because they're not going to stay proficient enough to be safe" is vanishingly small. The doctors who fly their Cirrus once a year think they're Maverick so they don't care about the safety features. The guys who fly every chance they get aren't the ones stall spinning on base to final.

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h26m

Cost is definitely a barrier and our long term goal is the get down to a plane that costs <$100k. getting there is incremental, this is just our first product to start wedging our way into the market.

daft_pink
0 replies
13h48m

I guess I don't see a whole lot of value in spending thousands and thousands of dollars for a few short trips. I think that the underserved market is the well to do person that doesn't live near a major hub international airport like Ohio or Nebraska or Iowa and they want to be able to fly direct on their schedule and they can't just head to the airport and fly direct wherever they want for a few hundred dollars instead of having to bounce through a hub and being at the mercy of the airlines schedule.

But I think the main reason why people don't do that who can't afford a multi-million dollar private jet is that if you take a compass circle and draw it around your location with the range of your average GA aircraft anywhere that's not on the east or west coast you get 4 or 5 cities that you aren't likely to travel to anyways. America is just too big a place for these types of aircraft.

Plus, while there may be all these airports that you are mentioning, can you really count on getting fuel to take you back at these minor airports or the FBOs to service outside a much shorter list of airports? That cuts the range away even more.

cameldrv
0 replies
22h32m

The other problem beyond range is dispatch reliability. Most light planes can’t go very high or fast to get around thunderstorms, and they can’t fly in icing conditions, and flying in low visibility with a single amateur pilot is still dangerous even with avionics improvements. This means that if you don’t want to die, you have to cancel a lot of flights at the last minute, which makes it only useful for trips where you have a viable alternate means of transportation.

From a speed perspective, one thing that would make a lot of difference is speeding up the preflight. Now you have to pull the plane out of the hangar, go to the fuel pump, fill multiple fuel tanks, check the oil, sump the fuel tanks, etc. Electronic sensors for oil and water in the fuel, a simpler fuel system, and a built-in electric motor for getting out of the hangar might save 20+ minutes per flight, which would actually be better than even a faster plane because these tasks are annoying and dirty.

Another thing that would be great is a bigger baggage compartment with electric power for folding e-bikes or scooters. America is amazing in the number of small airports we have, but most of them have no rental cars and are outside of town.

hahamrfunnyguy
9 replies
1d

As a paraglider pilot (unpowered), I will say that the technical aspects of flying the aircraft are only a small part of what's involved in a flight - as you point out.

It's a bad idea to get pilots in the air with less training. People can't safely pilot cars in two dimensions.

Making the avionics easier to use and more affordable sounds like the actual winning product.

n_ermosh
7 replies
1d

The way we see it isn't less training, but training focused on the most important parts of flying: decision making and risk management. Given the current track record for accidents, they almost always culminate in the pilot failing to control the airplane, whether due to directly stalling or being distracted by another issue and then stalling. By eliminating loss of control as a failure mode, pilots can spend more of their minimum 40 hours on decision making and risk management training, rather than on stick and rudder training. Then when in the air, they put more of their mental load on ADM. We are just breaking down the barrier that stops people from even getting there in the first place.

talldayo
3 replies
1d

By eliminating loss of control as a failure mode

I think this is a flawed view of the problem, even with an industry-grade FCS to work with. If you're in the air, you should know how to break out of a stall, belly-land in an emergency, or route around turbulence as it crops up. These things happen, and preventing someone from doing a loop-de-loop won't eliminate a category of failure-modes.

This is something I very much wish would be a reality one day, but you'll be kicking yourself with every incident report that blames bad piloting. One can only hope that they wouldn't risk their own life trusting an untrained pilot.

n_ermosh
2 replies
1d

Most accidents occur because the pilot makes a bad decision somewhere and a chain of events leads to an accident (in GA--commercial is a completely different beast). Our hope is to break that chain by making it as easy as possible for the pilot to continue flying the airplane and bring it safely to the ground in a high-stress emergency.

ryandrake
1 replies
20h58m

Even when the tools are available, pilots need the training to know to use them. How many NTSB accident reports include non instrument rated pilots getting disoriented in IMC despite having an autopilot with a "level" function? If your system can keep them out of this kind of trouble without them even having to take action, it will save lives.

TylerE
0 replies
20h35m

The thing that worries me is that this will attract the same kind of pilots as Tesla's so called FSD.

TylerE
1 replies
1d

How do you propose this training happens? Surely this will require a full PPL as you're well above LSA limits.

I'd also be deathly afraid of what happens when the automation inevitably fails.

n_ermosh
0 replies
1d

A lot of the existing training system from the FAA and others all emphasize aeronautical decision making and single-pilot resource management. It's the core thing that we are taught when we learn to fly.

Also, under the upcoming MOSAIC regulations, such airplanes will be LSAs and flyable with a sport pilot license.

drpixie
0 replies
15h4m

they almost always culminate in the pilot failing to control the airplane

"failing to control the airplane" is a little like saying everyone dies of heart failure. Yes their heart stopped - but why!?

The real cause is somewhat earlier. Why was a normally competent pilot in a situation where they no longer adequately controlled the aircraft?

Improve avionics - great. Improve situational awareness - really helpful. Handling should be way down the list - it becomes quite intuitive very quickly.

chinathrow
0 replies
22h7m

Making the avionics easier to use and more affordable sounds like the actual winning product.

Garmin is the clear leader in the certified avionics class for general aviation aircraft these days. If you somehow manage to capture a part of their market, you win big time.

bronco21016
9 replies
1d

So basically a GA Airbus. I think this is a pretty cool project, and while it may not achieve the lofty goals you’ve set forth, any improvement in safety is worthwhile.

As other commenters have point out though, where this stuff falls short is ultimately still the human. Ok, great… your aircraft won’t stall in Normal Law. However you’ve now lost a generator and a whole FCC and you’re in direct law. The 400 hr pilot hasn’t actually flown a plane with direct input since their primary training 5 years ago. They also don’t remember what the different flight envelopes do and do not provide. Essentially the system is more complex but normally it works so the complexity is hidden. They’re not equipped to handle flying the airplane anymore.

This is where GA really ultimately falls short IMHO, proficiency. Airlines are the safest they’ve ever been because the pilots make an entire career out of being prepared for every contingency. People using airplanes as a personal travel tool can be trained and proficient to the same degree but often they are not because flying an aircraft is ancillary to their primary mission.

n_ermosh
7 replies
1d

Thanks!

you're totally correct that emergencies are where the real issues lie. That's why we've built in multiple layers of fault tolerance so that a generator failure or a flight computer failure doesn't immediately revert you to a direct law control scheme (I'm assuming you're familiar with Airbus control laws given that you're using those phrases)

On top of everything, small GA aircraft have the luxury of being to use a ballistic parachute (which we will have) to bring the entire airframe to the ground in the event of a complete system failure. Which is always better than just letting the airplane crash into the ground.

I agree that proficiency is a fundamental issue. We want to make it easy to be and stay proficient. If flying becomes part of the primary mission, you do it more often and as a result stay proficient. The most dangerous pilots are the ones who haven't flown in 3 years and jump into a plane for an IFR cross country to an airport they've never been to before. We don't want that to happen either.

dorfsmay
2 replies
14h16m

How do you make it easy to stay proficient? For example you say your plane will never stall, will your pilots train stall recognition and recovery regularly? How will prevent something like what happened to AF447?

n_ermosh
1 replies
2h7m

We'll still encourage and require the same proficiency checks that pilots do today.

Our hope is that GA pilots will no longer need to do things like train stall recovery. We are moving into an era of aviation where aircraft (not just airplanes) will be complicated enough that computers have to be in the loop to handle things like that, because it allows us to create more interesting aerodynamic aircraft that are more efficient and have better performance.

regarding something like AF447, the immediate answer is we have the ballistic parachute as a final backup in case the pilot is unable to land the plane, for whatever reason. Realistically, it would depend entirely on the exact situation our plane was in, what systems have failed vs which haven't, and the pilots actual skill level

dorfsmay
0 replies
53m

My point about AF447 was:

  - even with redundancy, there can be enough failures that the computer no longer has enough information to make the right decision, one thing humans seem to be good at.

  - people who had been trained in stall recognition and recovery, but probably had not kept proficient at it (unlike pilot of slow airplanes like GA and glider pilots) failed to recognize it (only 1 of the 3 pilot did) and did not recover from it.

cfiggers
1 replies
5h15m

proficiency is a fundamental issue

Have y'all considered that a fully digitized, fly-by-wire aircraft, of the type that you're proposing to build, would also essentially be a ridiculously high-fidelity flight simulator whenever and wherever it is sitting still with the engine off?

This could be part of your pitch—the pilot could program in a flight plan and then fly it in simulation, practice all the radio work etc., using the actual physical controls they would use to do it for real, then go do it for real all in the same chair.

n_ermosh
0 replies
2h13m

we've definitely thought about that! the force-feedback fly by wire makes it really easy to replicate the feel of flying the real thing very well. What you see outside though will be fixed, so maybe for instrument training it would be good, though I'm not sure about using the actual plane vs recreating the cockpit in an indoor simulator

bloggie
1 replies
21h6m

What are you trying that other companies have not tried? Ballistic parachutes are available on several aircraft.

If you load up on redundancy - well, electronics redundancy it seems, since the rest of the aircraft seems to be a Sling TSi - you increase cost and weight, decrease speed and useable load, and so on, and now your aircraft costs $800k-1m and $100-150/hr to operate. How many new clients that would not otherwise have gone into GA will you attract? Dual navigation is already commonly available. So what are you doing different that YC was interested in paying for?

n_ermosh
0 replies
2h11m

The core innovation here is the fly-by-wire/simplified control scheme. This doesn't exist in any GA aircraft.

As our system has been developed so far, it has negligible impact on the speed and usable load of a base TSi, costing $500k for everything.

morning-coffee
0 replies
21h47m

This. I liken it to the flawed approaches associated with self driving cars... software handles everything up until the point it can't then asks the user to take over in the last second. Not a great strategy.

As a software engineer and private pilot, I'll take mechanical controls connected to the flight surfaces and my competency as a pilot to risk my own life, rather than turn it over to other software engineers, hoping they get everything right, leaving me with no real connection to the flight control surfaces when the shit hits the fan.

I'd at least have to know what kind of engineering process and change management practices or functional safety procedures are being followed by the company developing this stuff before I'd even consider going for a ride in such a plane.

dotancohen
6 replies
23h9m

  > Flying a small airplane is complicated, mentally taxing, and dangerous—about 28x more dangerous than driving a car.

  > Our system makes it impossible to lose control of the airplane, potentially solving 80% of today’s fatal accidents in general aviation.
So this system is still at least five times as dangerous as driving a car? Is that considered safe enough for you to take liability in case of an accident, as e.g. Mercedes does with their vehicular auto-driving system?

chinathrow
2 replies
22h24m

Our system makes it impossible to lose control of the airplane

Thing in aviation is, that there are a couple of outside factors which might leed to a loss of control: bird strike and mid-air collision come to mind.

n_ermosh
1 replies
22h14m

True--but those are quite rare compared to other sources of fatal accidents. And if it does happen, we have the full airplane parachute to bring the airplane safely to the ground

chinathrow
0 replies
22h5m

Yes sure, but then I would not use the word "impossible" related to loss of control.

t0mas88
1 replies
22h30m

The general opinion in professional flying is that the pilot and operator (for something like Airhart the owner would be both I guess?) decision making has an immense impact on safety. You don't typically have a two sided crash where some other party is at fault like in a car. The vast majority of general aviation accidents happen because of bad deciding making. So it's much more in your control.

While the stats may conclude "loss of control" as the cause of the accident. Often that loss of control is caused by for example the decision to fly into instrument conditions (bad weather) while the aircraft or pilot is not suitably equipped, trained and experienced for it.

imoverclocked
0 replies
21h23m

You don't typically have a two sided crash where some other party is at fault like in a car

However, increasing the number of things in the air will likely shift that, at least a little bit. Things at uncontrolled fields can get busy with just a handful of aircraft in the pattern. Add a hot-head and the safety factor drops significantly.

So it's much more in your control.

WX is never in your control. Just like anything in life, you can make all the right decisions and still die. It's just that aviation is less forgiving than the rest of our lives so (inevitable) mistakes matter more.

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h1m

Our goal is to get to the same level of safety as (if not safer than) automotive. There are some issues that we don't immediately address including engine failures, but at the same time, most of the stats are based on engines that were designed 50 years ago, while we are using a much more modern engine with better monitoring and data collection.

However, a large number of accidents are just "unknown"--we have no idea what happened. With the level of connectivity in our airplane we'll at least always have data to understand what went wrong if an accident does occur, regardless of if it's caused by our system or not. From there, we can refine to solve the issues that we currently have little insight into.

sdeframond
4 replies
7h54m

The problem is that small airplane technology hasn’t innovated and is stuck in the past. Flying a small airplane is complicated, mentally taxing, and dangerous—about 28x more dangerous than driving a car.

I am surprised you don't mention fuel efficiency. Flying a small airplane is much less efficient than driving a car, especially on shorter trips due to take off and landing.

And cars are already burning too much fuel, so...

this15testingg
1 replies
7h31m

but you get to "beat traffic"! lol

sdeframond
0 replies
6h46m

Joking aside, that's an interesting point actually, since it would probably be a common argument for this this type of transportation.

However I doubt it would work for the masses due to Jevon's Paradox https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

nullindividual
0 replies
3h37m

No mention of pollution and some lip service to a "green future" because pollution is irrelevant for this type of individual who Just Doesn't Care about the environment they live in -- who would, when you can have VC money flying up your rear? Screw everyone else, he's got his!

FabHK
0 replies
1h18m

A Diamond DA40 does around 28 miles per gallon (< 9 litres per 100 km) at 60% power cruise (5.1 gallons per hour at 124 knots). Sure, more than a car, particularly if you add takeoff and landing (though also note that in a plane you can go in a straight line rather than following roads). But it's not outrageously more so, and of course in aggregate much less than what cars consume now.

The environmental impact is not the main issue here.

michaelmior
4 replies
23h11m

This looks really cool! I'm curious if you're able to share any details on how you plan to manage autonomous landing. There are obviously a lot of moving parts there from communicating with ATC, finding a safe landing zone, actually bringing the plane down, and I'm sure many other things I haven't thought of as a non-pilot.

michaelmior
1 replies
22h48m

Cool! Didn't know this was a thing that already exists.

n_ermosh
0 replies
22h55m

our system has a complete picture of what airports exist in the vicinity and can plan a path to get their fairly trivially. ATC communication can be done by the system automatically as a "broadcast only" emergency message with it's intentions and rely on ATC to give the airplane priority (though we'll have obstacle avoidance as well to avoid other traffic that ATC can't get out of the way). There are other systems on board that let ATC know that your airplane is in an emergency and needs to full priority.

mercurialsolo
4 replies
1d

Super ambitious project that you are attempting - kudos to that!

What do you think of 1. Licenses 2. Air traffic control & routing for personal crafts 3. Landing / Takeoff / Turbulence (weather) - where typically most of the human skill today is used in for commercial flights. 4. and probably the one for interface design and overall autonomous systems - human decision making + autonomous systems really have a difficult time working in tandem - fully autonomous is less risky at an aggregate level but puts onus and more of the blame on the company / maker versus human-in-the-loop.

n_ermosh
1 replies
1d

all things we've thought about!

1. today, you need a PPL to fly this plane. However, a new set of regulations, called MOSAIC, is coming down the pipeline that have support for aircraft with simplified control systems and getting licensed in such aircraft, specifically when they are small, light airplanes. Basically, you'll be able to get a license in such a plane, skip the parts of tests that don't apply, and be restricted to only flying that type of airplane (This is my interpretation, I obviously don't speak for the FAA)

2. The current ATC system handles personal aircraft quite well. this is especially true in busy airspaces like LA. Our hope is to create a more automated routing system where you just enter the destination you want to fly to, the system generates the route taking into account, terrain, weather, winds, standard routes, airways, etc, files it with ATC for you, and you just confirm that it's a good path and be on your way.

3. This is the core of our system. In the demo video, the landing I'm doing has a cross wind with some gusts and you can see the system handles it super easily and makes it significantly easier to takeoff and land, even in turbulence. you can barely tell there was any kind of weather at all.

4. This is a tough one for sure. One core thing we are doing is having our joystick be active and have force feedback. So when flying, you can "feel" what the system is trying to do and you can push back on it if you don't like what it's doing. You as the pilot are still in charge of what happens, we just making it easier for you to execute on it. Additionally, there's lots of UI elements that will provide hints to what you are asking the plane to do + what it can do + what it's actually doing. This should help close that loop so that the pilot is still in control, while letting the system handle the aviating elements of flying.

speedbird
0 replies
6h16m

On no. 4, it's when things hit the fan and people get overloaded that they revert to basics and don't take in complex information well. Particularly if they don't have regular relevant training/experience. Having the controls move as per system / AP input with the ability to override manually is good, but then how does the envelope control work, does it start ignoring input, or lock up the ability to override the controls, ... ?

What about the scenario where you are in climb out, 50' AGL, and wind rotor off some trees gives you an immediate 90 degree roll (happened to me in a PA38), does the system auto recover that, does the pilot, what happens if the panicking pilot attempts incorrect controls, ...

Not saying all this isn't solvable, but it's complicated and I'm struggling to see how you are going to get a large enough market to deliver all this tech at an affordable price. Force feedback controllers, flying and engine controls all with redundant sensors and actuators, mechanically robust ...

lostlogin
1 replies
1d

Super ambitious project that you are attempting - kudos to that!

The GPS and gyroscope reimplementation would appear to be a business opportunity in themselves - presumably there is a reason someone hasn’t undercut those parts already. Small market?

user_7832
0 replies
1d

presumably there is a reason someone hasn’t undercut those parts already. Small market?

I suspect the answer is simply regulations. Far too many modern things in aviation have been held back by the FAA.

kspacewalk2
4 replies
1d

Wondering what you think about this video[0], which (if one ignores the clickbaity and colourful language and focuses on the substance of the argument) frames problems with mass adoption of "flying cars" as fundamental and idea-killing non-starters, rather than hurdles to work hard on, and overcome.

[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6fcWOivJ6bs

n_ermosh
3 replies
23h48m

I love this guy. trains solve all the worlds problems :)

His discussion is focused a bit more on europe which I think is a very different environment than the US. We don't have trains and want to go larger distances more regularly. We also have a much larger airport infrastructure and a complex airspace system that handles the issue of flying over populated areas and flying approaches safely quite well. So as long as things aren't falling of the plane over someone house (which really isn't a problem even with todays airplanes) I think until we get high speed rail, small airplanes are the next best thing

kspacewalk2
2 replies
22h55m

We don't have trains

If you take optimizing transportation options as a holistic problem, rather than focusing on any individual user who needs to travel those 50-500 km distances, more trains is a far more straightforward and efficient investment than flying cars, no?

We also have a much larger airport infrastructure and a complex airspace system that handles the issue of flying over populated areas and flying approaches safely quite well.

Well, yes, at the scale of our current number of commercial aviation flights and a very small number of private planes. You're proposing to kick it up how many orders of magnitude, if we're talking number of air vehicles simultaneously in the air? You need to build an entirely different traffic control system for that, and noise pollution becomes a far more vexing problem. That last one, I'm guessing, is the idea killer if we're talking more than a small number of flying cars. If you ever get to a point where this is an actual concern, i.e. there are actually a lot of them in the air, wait until those rural voters get their hands on you and start contacting their state lawmakers, and until those representatives start law-making.

So as long as things aren't falling of the plane over someone house (which really isn't a problem even with todays airplanes)

But it is a problem that increases with the number of vehicles in the air.

I think until we get high speed rail, small airplanes are the next best thing

Is it though? Building good passenger rail (no need for actual HSR) is a solved problem with proven solutions, tested for decades all over the world. How many decades will it take to actually develop a "production-ready" small airplane operable by very quickly trained sorta-pilots, and then deploy the infrastructure needed for N of them to safely operate in an M-kilometer radius? I don't have a good feel for what you think N and M will be, so it's hard to tell. But I'm gonna go ahead and guess it's a far less well-defined question than "how long will it take to connect two cities with 200 kmh rail link".

edit: yes, I'm nay-saying, playing devil's advocate while rooting for the devil just a tiny bit, but I'm not trying to be a jerk, and I am open minded and looking forward to your responses.

n_ermosh
1 replies
22h22m

If you take optimizing transportation options as a holistic problem, rather than focusing on any individual user who needs to travel those 50-500 km distances, more trains is a far more straightforward and efficient investment than flying cars, no?

maybe. But people are still tied to the trains schedule and don't have the "get in a go" freedom that they do with a car. I don't know the details of what it actually takes to build a train network but my intuition is telling that it's fundamentally more investment because of the land requirements.

You need to build an entirely different traffic control system for that

probably true. but I think it'll take some time to get there and that gives us the opportunity to invest in that. The more modernized airplanes we have, the more opportunity we have to start creating a more automated ATC system that uses digital communication between the airplane and ATC, rather than the voice system we use today.

But it is a problem that increases with the number of vehicles in the air.

We (as an industry) have gotten pretty good at knowing how to build an airplane so that parts don't fall off (this is a facetious example, I'm really referring to general system reliability) that revolves around rigorous production standard, and those we definitely must continue to follow.

Building good passenger rail (no need for actual HSR) is a solved problem with proven solutions

True, but even those solutions are starting to become outdated. Rail also has a very high safety bar because of the consequence of failure, so developing a new rail network is really hard too.

How many decades will it take to actually develop a "production-ready"...

We expect that we will 10x the number of vehicles flying over the next 10 years, so N is ~10k, and M is 500km. In the US, we already have that infrastructure, and I suspect (based on not much but my own intuition) is that it'll take another 10 years to get that infrastructure updated to support every 3x (sqrt(10)) increase in N

Aachen
0 replies
9h27m

I don't feel tied to train schedules when they go between cities every 15 minutes and between countries every two hours or so. That's the situation near me currently and that's sufficient to not look at a schedule for short trips but just show up, and for the holiday-distanced trips you need to plan it anyway and leaving an hour later is not going to make any difference

_s
4 replies
19h4m

Sounds a lot like the Airbus's "normal law" flying!

My $0.02 - I'm a CPL ME/IR who gets wet a lot, and is upside down half the time. Background is Automotive and Mechanical Engineering, been in software since 2007.

Want to shake up GA?

  - 150kt Cruise, 4h endurance  
  - 400kg "useful" load for pax/luggage @ 4h endurance / batteries  
  - 3-axis AP that'll do coupled approaches + autoland  
  - BRS, FIKI, Oxy/Pressurized  
  - $100k fly away
The Cirrus SR20 is the closest we have to this, at 6-7x the cost. You can kit build a Sling or RV10, which will get you what you want at 3-4x the cost plus 2-3 years of time.

Garmin, Rotax, Vans etc ... the avionics, materials, plans and tech already exists. It's needing a few hundred million dollars to set it up to be produced at scale so the $100k avionics package can be had for $10k. The $100k equivalent Rotax or Lycoming can be had for $10k. Maybe it's electric vs avgas.

Foreflight, Garmin Pilot etc do so much of the planning - and integrate well with the "Connext" or Dynon etc already. They've like racked up millions of hours now, I know I've thrown in a few hundred hours worth of feedback to them.

Your closest competitor is Cirrus who are already very successful using off the shelf components customized (eg Perspective+ vs 1000Nxi) to their liking, and are running a pretty substantial wait list for their planes. Their training is top notch, customer service is excellent and have thousands of airframes now flying over the past 20+ years.

I'm glad you guys trying to shake up this space, and I'd like more than anything to be proven wrong - I genuinely hope there's enough runway and capital to setup manufacturing to bring these component prices down and actually deliver a plane at a comparable cost to a car.

n_ermosh
3 replies
19h0m

150kt Cruise, 4h endurance - 400kg "useful" load for pax/luggage @ 4h endurance / batteries - 3-axis AP that'll do coupled approaches + autoland - BRS, FIKI, Oxy/Pressurized - $100k fly away

Totally agreed. Our long term roadmap has basically this exact product on it. However, anyone who doesn't know about GA will have no clue what this even means. We want more people to get into GA so that there's enough of a market that building such a plane becomes a sustainable business.

_s
2 replies
12h0m

I don't think the GA market will ever grow that large though - not without substantial effort to make compliance with all the regulations effortless.

You need more pilots, so making it easier to navigate and comply with Parts 61/141/142, with 67/68.

You need more aerodromes; Part 139.

You need more aircraft, that's Parts 21, 23, 33, 35, 45 and maybe 34, 36 and 39 too.

You need more mechanics; Part 66 / 147.

You need more maintenance facilities, Part 21, 39, 43, 145.

There's maybe 50,000 active GA pilots (PPL or LSA) doing it for pleasure regularly? The rest are time building for the airlines, and same for mechanics.

To get that 50k to 500k to 5M actual people ... I think an affordable aircraft is probably the easiest part. Maybe it'll get people interested? Though you can already buy factory-built LSA's for $300k that'll do 150kts (see Risen); Europe already has a booming LSA scene ... but it hasn't really resulted in more people flying, not as far as I can tell.

I don't think an aircraft is the missing link, but I can't express how much I'd love to be proven wrong!

pbronez
1 replies
5h20m

I haven’t done any piloting. If I could convert a 250 mile trip from a 5 hour drive to a 90 minute flight, I would take my family of 4 to many more places. I’d be willing to invest several months in the requisite training.

Currently I won’t do that at all because (1) way too dangerous, (2) way too expensive, (3) not obvious how to start.

Honestly, I’d love a subscription model for this. I’d pay an initial fee for training. Certify me when I’m safe. Then let me pay to get the airplane and fuel for a specific journey. Handle all the maintenance for me. Check my work on planning. Have a real expert available on integrated speed dial to talk me through anything complicated.

If this winds up being fun and fast, I’m willing to pay more for it. The specific trip I’m looking at would cost $800 to fly with a standard airline. I’d pay double that to self-fly. The premium gets me convenience (I control the exact departure time, less airport hassle) and adventure (flying!).

n_ermosh
0 replies
1h51m

we should talk!

We are exploring how to make a subscription model work. It's not possible in an experimental category airplane, but our future models where they can be rented (legally due to FAA requirements) will make that possible.

Zak
4 replies
20h18m

This reminds me of programming languages designed with an English-like syntax in the hope that people would be able to develop software without learning to code. It also reminds me a bit of the Ercoupe, an airplane designed in 1937 with the ailerons and rudders mechanically coupled so that pilots would have fewer controls to operate and reduced ability to put the airplane into uncoordinated flight.

Neither approach has remained popular into the modern era. Of course it also reminds me of Airbus, which has a similarly simplified fly-by-wire control system that abstracts away the details of controlling the aircraft under normal conditions. Airbus promised that system, introduced on the A320 would make planes uncrashable, which pilots promptly disproved on that aircraft's first passenger flight[0].

Helping people get pilot's licenses without learning to fly coordinated turns does not strike me as particularly useful, but there is no doubt room for improved avionics and planning software.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_France_Flight_296Q

nl
1 replies
18h24m

This reminds me of programming languages designed with an English-like syntax in the hope that people would be able to develop software without learning to code... Neither approach has remained popular into the modern era.

Au Contraire!

MS Office macros continues to use VBA (Visual Basic for Applications) which traces its roots to BASIC - one of those "English like syntax" languages. MS Office macros remains one of the most popular languages in the world.

Zak
0 replies
2h3m

I wouldn't put BASIC in that family; it's probably closer to simplified FORTRAN. SQL is probably the best counterexample.

jhugo
1 replies
19h23m

The crash you reference was most likely caused by a pilot choosing to fly too low (they performed the flyover at 30ft instead of 100ft) and striking trees which had not been marked on charts provided to them. The pilot did try to blame the fly-by-wire system, but it wasn't very convincing.

Zak
0 replies
18h37m

I don't think the pilots were correct to blame the system either, however I do think some of their decisions to put the aircraft in a dangerous situation were influenced by a belief that the computers would keep them out of trouble. Airbus trying to market the plane as uncrashable probably contributed.

ArpanRau
4 replies
19h9m

Former pilot (now paragliders) and founder/engineer here-

I'm not sold that this approach - eliminating the need for coordinated flying- really removes the big barriers to flying. I'm surrounded by aviation lovers who don't fly PPL, and the big barriers are cost, time, and fear.

The Ercoupe tried this exact approach in the 30s in one of the big GA booms and it just wasn't borne out.

I'd love to see more GA pilots, but this won't get us there as quickly as say, comprehensive medical reform or a production aircraft that's cheaper than $50/hr to fly would.

n_ermosh
3 replies
19h3m

The Ercoupe tried this exact approach in the 30s in one of the big GA booms and it just wasn't borne out.

The Ercoupe was a great idea for it's time, but we can do so much more with the technology we have today that we didn't have back then

a production aircraft that's cheaper than $50/hr to fly would.

yes! our long term goal is to get there, but we need more people flying airplanes today to generate enough scale to actually build such an airplane and also stay in business. That's our approach, get more people who can afford to fly doing it, then use that to drive down the cost for everyone.

ArpanRau
2 replies
18h59m

How many people who don't fly, but can afford to, have you interviewed about their reasons for not flying? This is where I would start trying to solve that problem. I'd be shocked if any of them mention coordinated flying :)

My 2c - the best way to go to big scale with a GA product is to somehow find a way to make it dual use and secure the DoD as a customer. The problem with doing this is that the DoD becomes your main customer and GA becomes your hobby...

n_ermosh
1 replies
18h46m

We've talked to many and the complexity of flying a plane is a big factor--because the knowledge that if they mess up stick and rudder means they have a high chance of losing control and crashing scares them from flying. Our system helps alleviate that fear.

jki275
0 replies
15h8m

I think you're solving the wrong problem.

People who are afraid of learning to aviate shouldn't be flying. Fear of things one isn't capable of doing is healthy.

throwaway_ab
3 replies
13h11m

A few thoughts:

- Enable fall back controls where the pilot can input "traditional" controls when the more advanced system is degraded, even though it's all fly by wire their should still be inputs that fully mimic a traditional cockpit and ability to use this system should be allowed if the pilot requires it.

- Drop any focus or marketing on getting more people flying, if the ease of use of your aircraft is such that pilots who otherwise would not be qualified to fly now can fly, this is a recipe for disaster.

- Instead, focus on bringing a higher quality aircraft to market for pilots who want a more capable system, this cannot do any harm imo.

- Any system that lowers mental workload so that more focus can go into other areas of flying is welcome, just ensure there is always a method to fly the aircraft without the "auto" magic, there should always be controls that give raw control if needed even modern fly by wire commercial airliners have this fall back ability.

imoverclocked
1 replies
12h43m

If you watch the video, they are advertising two inputs: a stick (which doesn't act like a stick) and a speed suggestion (not actually a throttle.) If the system were to suddenly degrade to standard inputs, it could be confusing and potentially lethal.

I don't think this is a system for pilots. This is a system for ... someone else.

Stevvo
0 replies
9h5m

That someone else doesn't exist, because you need a pilot's certificate to fly a plane, and that isn't going to change.

Aeolun
0 replies
12h51m

if the ease of use of your aircraft is such that pilots who otherwise would not be qualified to fly now can fly, this is a recipe for disaster.

How does that work? If they’re now qualified to fly then clearly they meet the standards set out for that. It could be argued that if they meet those standards but would be a danger to themselves and others in a different plane, it’s still a net win.

pricechild
3 replies
1d

Howdy! FI(H) here. Looks very cool, I watched the video too.

Many students get the hang of hovering within 10 hours - "learning to fly" really isn't that hard? I see the rest of the course as "learning to become a pilot." That means the background knowledge and practice to allow decision making & dealing with emergencies etc.

I think if you could improve just a single one of the problems you touch on (difficult controls, navigation, mass and balance, fly by wire etc) you could make a lot of money...

... But improving all of them in one shot... that sounds unreasonable to me? Are they really connected?

Our system makes it impossible to lose control of the airplane, potentially solving 80% of today’s fatal accidents in general aviation.

I'd love to see details on how you achieved this... or at least your definition of "impossible"...

n_ermosh
2 replies
1d

You are definitely correct that "learning to become a pilot" is the meat of training. Our belief is that we want to make the continued act of "aviating" as easy as possible so that pilots can focus on the decision making aspect of being a pilot, and when doing so, not let the airplane get ahead of them and cause an accident.

Basically, you can't command the plane to do anything it can't safely do. If you pull the stick full back, you'll just climb at your maximum safe angle of attack. Hold the stick full right, you'll be turning at a 45 degree bank. Compared to todays planes, which you have to actively be on top of and "ahead of" the entire them they are being flown.

pricechild
1 replies
19h59m

I get the idea... but what happens when a pitot tube is blocked or an aoa sensor gets stuck or ... ?

With "traditional" controls and an autopilot failure, you still have control over all the control surfaces.

With your solution, you don't have enough hand axis to fall back to manual flying? How can the computer possibly guarantee safe flight in all conditions?

In the case of an e.g. air speed sensor failure, how do you get on the ground safely? Is the answer "Just BRS"? Or multiple sensors etc. ?

n_ermosh
0 replies
19h52m

Multiple sensors, actively modeling the flight dynamics to detect anomalous sensors/behaviors (i.e. is what we are measuring what we expect to measure), and BRS as a final backup.

gwbas1c
3 replies
21h11m

In the US, trips that are 50-300 miles are almost all done by car because that distance is too short for commercial airlines and too far for public transportation.

About once a month, I make a 90 mile (180 round trip) drive to see family. The drive is usually 90-100 minutes.

Would GA really save time? It's half an hour for me to get to a GA airport, and then roughly half an hour to get to my family from the other GA airport. And then, we'd need to arrange ground transportation.

spaceywilly
1 replies
20h58m

You will also need to account for the time to pre-flight the plane, and fuel it up, possibly wait on the taxiway, and possibly divert around weather (including to an entirely different airport if necessary).

gwbas1c
0 replies
9h44m

Makes a lot of sense.

Also, I have kids. They all puked in the car when they were babies, and needed sudden pee breaks when they were potty training.

You can't just pull over a plane.

n_ermosh
0 replies
21h6m

In your case, you do start to approach the point where time-wise it's about equal. But, 30 minutes to your nearest GA airport is on the long side, most people (300M) live within 15 minutes of one (don't have a direct source for that--it's based on analysis we did of locations of airports and population densities)

globalise83
3 replies
23h46m

Presumably anyone who wants to fly this would still have to go through a traditional pilot qualification with an old-school plane? So this is actually targeting people who do fly airplanes, but want to be more comfortable and more able to focus on the navigation and general enjoyment of the air while reducing the actual risk of flying, rather than having to, as you put it, micromanage the aircraft. As someone who likes nothing better than to look out of the window of a passenger jet with the GPS and map on my phone in my hand to see where I am, and to know which geographical features are unravelling below, I kinda get it.

n_ermosh
2 replies
23h41m

They don't necessarily have to learn in an old school plane. In fact, our early adopters who aren't pilots will be getting their flight training through us in an Airhart airplane (included in the purchase of the airplane)

In the near future, a new set of regulations is coming out called MOSAIC, which will allow pilots to learn how to fly purely in simplified control aircraft. This is expected to come roughly at the same time as when we begin production, so we hope that new pilots will be able to learn under these new regulations and not have to learn the old-school way of flying at all.

spyckie2
1 replies
4h33m

From a marketing and pitch perspective, I’m imagining the “shake up” potential of your plane being much more ala iPhone or Tesla. Hard to describe but once you experience it you get a diehard fan that won’t go back to whatever else is on the market.

Is your first plane more of a roadster or a model 3, and what does your path look like to getting to a plane that has a cult following?

n_ermosh
0 replies
2h15m

this is definitely more of the "roadster". we will be building a limited number to get it into peoples hands as quickly as possible, with future models being lower cost, more efficient, and hopefully even better in terms of control systems, avionics, and autonomy

BWStearns
3 replies
1d

Always happy to see new GA aircraft, and the tech here looks very cool. The emergency autoland and chute will definitely be lifesavers. If your system can reliably prevent base-final stall spins then that would clearly be awesome.

One thing that jumped out at me is what are you trading to get that protection? While I have no issues with fly by wire, I'd be nervous about a GA aircraft that's overly opinionated about what it should be doing vs how to do it.

* Can I put it into a forward slip, or will it refuse or return to coordinated flight? This could be critical in an engine related emergency where you're too high and can't or don't want to risk getting farther from the airport.

* If I need to make a steep turn to avoid someone heading the wrong way on base is it going to let me?

I see the value in stall prevention but, outside of stall spin on final, that's largely been solved in GA via passive aero design characteristics making it tough to stall and harder to stay stalled.

phkahler
1 replies
23h27m

> If your system can reliably prevent base-final stall spins then that would clearly be awesome.

I keep thinking we need more canard aircraft - they don't stall. Most of them are designed with laminar flow wings and no flaps, so landing speeds are higher which makes them less safe and not good for grass strips. I'd like to see a stall-free aircraft without those drawbacks of canards.

BWStearns
0 replies
22h31m

Look up the Vashon Ranger, the Kitfox, and the Foxbat. You really cannot stall them by accident and they're conventional layouts. The Ranger/Foxes will just nosedown if you even manage to get them into a stall. We could also bring back biplanes and make some AN-2 derivatives.

I think a cheaper approach to what Airhart is trying to accomplish (from a don't kill pilots perspective) would be to make an aftermarket smart stall horn that could warn earlier and maybe gives some audio/visual feedback if you're getting uncoordinated at a certain angle of attack.

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h57m

If your system can reliably prevent base-final stall spins then that would clearly be awesome.

This was actually a core inspiration for this project. A student on his first solo at an airport north of me crashed on his base to final turn.

Can I put it into a forward slip, or will it refuse or return to coordinated flight?

Yes, you can make if forward slip. It's a bit clever imo--you just "ask" for low speed and a high descent rate and the energy controllers in the flight computer will figure out that a forward slip is the best way to achieve that. We also have independent ailerons that can be used as spoilers for an even faster descent.

If I need to make a steep turn to avoid someone heading the wrong way on base is it going to let me?

yep! just push the stick full deflection. you'll feel the active stick fight back because it doesn't want to bank that steeply in normal flight, but you are in control of the plane and it will do anything you command up to it's aerodynamic and structural limits.

9dev
3 replies
21h29m

I understand the excitement on a technical level, and your plan sure sounds neat; and I definitely have a lot of respect on a personal level.

On the other hand, humanity is rolling head-first into a climate crisis, won’t stop emitting way too much CO2, and people generally refuse to adapt their lifestyle even a modicum in face of an exponentially growing list of problems.

Do we really need even more personal aviation in the situation we’re currently facing? Is that what talented engineers should work on, are personal planes in addition to personal cars really what people should be buying?

ctoth
2 replies
20h58m

Do we really need even more personal aviation in the situation we’re currently facing?

Yes? What's to stop them from using the fly-by-wire tech on a battery-powered, solar-powered, or hydrogen-powered airplane as they become viable? What in particular does the motive power for the prototype have to do with global warming?

Is flying inherently bad even if carbon-free? I certainly don't think so!

Mad props to the engineers behind this project. We need more innovation going in more interesting and varied directions, and less pooh-poohing. Maybe you can be the one who works on the hydrogen engine!

9dev
1 replies
6h48m

Is flying inherently bad even if carbon-free? I certainly don't think so!

No plane is ever going to be carbon-free. The energy source doesn't even matter—producing and transporting the constituent parts and involved people has its own, big, footprint. If a single employee drives to the factory, it's no longer carbon-free; you've just externalized the cost.

If your house is burning, you don't use an induction stove instead of gas and say "everything is fine, this thing doesn't ignite as easily, and I'm really hungry"—you focus on extinguishing the fire first.

So instead of decomissioning planes and radically cutting emissions that destroy the biosphere, apparently we'd rather build new planes so more people can fly and destroy it even faster. Marvellous creatures we are indeed.

ctoth
0 replies
4h40m

If a single employee drives to the factory, it's no longer carbon-free

I'm actively really trying to understand your perspective here, and how you do... anything? at all? Ever? Do you not leave the house?

If I drive to the factory with my EV and work on a hydrogen airplane using electric tools charged with solar panels, this seems perfectly reasonable. What does not seem reasonable is your complete anti-human anti-anything attitude.

Our house is not on fire. If it were, I would invest in putting the fire out. I would not just stop doing anything at all and say oh gosh anything I do will make the fire worse.

ryandrake
2 replies
22h4m

As you probably know, there is actually a lot of innovation already going on in the Experimental category. Fuel Injection, FADEC systems, advanced engine computers, terrain avoidance, synthetic vision, electronic trim, and so on. I built a Van's two-seater, and the technology I have up with me is night and day different from where we were 20 years ago, let alone 40.

Are you going the experimental / kit build route, or will you be the certified manufacturer? If it's the latter, how do you plan to navigate the FAA? I think a lot of aspirational "GA innovators" ultimately die climbing the regulatory hill.

n_ermosh
1 replies
21h57m

We are starting in experimental, working with Sling Aircraft for the airframe, factory build assist, etc to prove out the exact product that we want to take to certification in the future.

ryandrake
0 replies
21h6m

Thanks for the reply. This is a super interesting project and I wish you great success. As a builder/pilot I have so many little questions, mostly around how you're making all the trade-offs and decisions that pilots make based on the situation in the air (leaning for cruise / power, climb and descent rates, weather-related decisions, switching tanks, and so on). Do you anticipate equipping / certifying the airplane and systems for instrument flight? Is your entire avionics package custom, or do you use some off-the-shelf?

memset
2 replies
17h17m

I have a silly question: my dad got his private pilot a few years back and in watching him I learned is that, even with engine failure, pilots train to be able to glide the aircraft safely. On a Cessna 150 this is purely mechanical.

In this case, how does the pilot have control to be able to land in a field in the case of engine failure?

(Not a pilot myself, so pardon the naive question!)

Stevvo
1 replies
8h51m

Following their answer in another comment, you don't; aircraft turns into a useless brick and you pull the parachute and hope for the best.

n_ermosh
0 replies
1h39m

Well, not exactly. In case of an engine failure, the system still has power from the batteries to control the actuator and glide the plane (in fact, it will automatically switch to flying at the best glide speed to extend it's range) to a safe landing, whether it's at an airport or in a field. But if you are over some trees, mountains, or somewhere else where a landing is impossible (which is a problem in today's planes too) the parachute is a final backup. the parachute is also the backup in case of a complete system failure

makestuff
2 replies
21h45m

Unlike a traditional airplane, it becomes impossible to command the airplane into a stall, a spin, unsafe attitudes, or other bad states.

Interesting product and definitely different from most YC startups we see!

However, I am curious how the above will be impossible. Since it is fly-by-wire it seems like there is always a chance your sensor/servo fails and causes bad input. Or a software defect causes bad input with no manual overrides to just fly the airplane.

spaceywilly
0 replies
20h45m

I worked for a company doing something similar and they used servos that were strong enough to control the plane, but no so strong that the safety pilot couldn’t overpower them if needed. I think it’s the same for any autopilot really. And there’s always a big “disconnect autopilot” button in case it goes haywire.

I think they will need to consider that situation though, if the autopilot does fail the pilot would still need to have enough skills to land the plane. Even ATP pilots have this issue where they over rely on automation too much and lose their ability to land manually in an emergency situation.

n_ermosh
0 replies
21h37m

redundancy in sensors, computers, and actuators reduces the probably of a system failure due to random errors/failures and dissimilar computer systems help reduce the probability of a common mode software bug causing a failure.

jmugan
2 replies
18h53m

My worry is the noise pollution. I'm always surprised at how loud it is when a small airplane flies over.

n_ermosh
0 replies
18h49m

it is indeed a problem. however, Sling (who we are working with on our first model) is also developing a "Whisper" version of their airplane to make it dramatically quieter (https://www.slingpilotacademy.com/airport-noise-reduction/#1...). We hope to adopt the tech into the Airhart Sling as well

hollerith
0 replies
18h47m

And unlike other aircraft, the small fixed-wing ones spew lead into the atmosphere as if this were still the 1970s or something.

imoverclocked
2 replies
22h11m

Congrats on the launch!

The core of what makes a good pilot isn’t stick and rudder skills; it’s good decision making and risk management.

At best, this is only half of the story. What separates GA operations from airline operations in terms of safety is much more involved than that:

- GA (Part 91) flight hours are not recorded so safety data can only be estimated

- Part 91 incidents follow much less scrutiny than part 121 or part 135 incidents

- Part 91 lacks consistent checklists/flows and rigorous training for many particular aircraft

- Passenger airlines in the US (Part 121) have

  - pilots that go through rigorous training and check rides on a schedule

  - chief pilots that oversee operations

  - chief pilots that continuously refine procedures 

  - data collection and monitoring for many variables of flight

    eg: exceeding an accepted bank angle while under manual flight control

  - ... and so much more that part 91 lacks
In practically every example so far in aviation, adding automation makes things harder, not easier. In general, the more complex the automation, the harder it is to understand and safeguard against failure.

One safety factor in a lot of small GA planes is that pilots can often lose all power (engine, electrical, etc) and still fly and land their aircraft. Fly by wire removes that ability. Not being able to competently fly the plane coordinated also removes that ability.

The question I think you are not addressing is: there has been a lot of effort to do exactly what you are doing. What sets your approach apart from those efforts?

n_ermosh
1 replies
22h3m

thanks!

In practically every example so far in aviation, adding automation makes things harder, not easier.

While somewhat unsatisfying as an answer, I think the industry has done it wrong, exactly because the result was harder, not easier. the UI/UX of modern glass cockpits is incredibly unintuitive and difficult to use. It's extremely opaque as to what the system's actually doing, if much. And no one has truly tackled the core problem of stopping our less trained, less rigorous part 91 pilots from losing control of their airplanes.

We definitely recognize that this creates a new failure mode. However, we're address those failure modes with redundant systems and following the same engineering standards as commercial aircraft. Many of them fly pure fly-by-wire and rely on the probably of a total electrical failure to be extremely low. We are doing the same.

If everything really does fail, there's the full airframe parachute to bring the airplane to the ground as a final layer of safety

imoverclocked
0 replies
21h35m

the UI/UX of modern glass cockpits is incredibly unintuitive and difficult to use

Be careful here :)

The current UI/UX is the best that design had to offer ... at one point. That design is then solidified in concrete; It was once considered to be intuitive but the world's design of interfaces always moves on. Touch/swipe based UX drives many design decisions today but those practices can fall over in turbulent situations. That is to say, the "intuition" is not an innate factor of the interface itself. Rather, it's culturally informed.

Any UX design you create will likely seem unintuitive to either the previous or to the next generation. Either way, current pilots will likely just view it as something that needs training to adopt. I don't envy your task of making a new UI that is modern and timeless! It will be fun to see what you come up with though. :)

erellsworth
2 replies
5h18m

Freedom of Flight for Everyone

*The full price of the Airhart Sling pre-tax is $500,000 with availability predicted for January of 2026.

"Everyone" is quite a stretch. It's hard for me to see this as anything but a new toy for rich people.

stronglikedan
1 replies
3h30m

Or just people that work hard for what they want. Besides, you don't have to own one to use one. Lot's of folks can fly a plane without owning a plane.

n_ermosh
0 replies
1h54m

Airhart Sling is just the first step too. yes, it's expensive, but it gets the tech into today's market. Our mission is to scale the market to develop a plane that costs <$100k by bringing in a new wave of people into aviation--those who don't fly airplanes today for the reasons I've discussed.

user_7832
1 replies
1d

I love the concept, as an aviation nerd (and hopefully future GA pilot). However I'm a little cautious - understanding weather particularly is massively different from moving in 2 dimensions and you can't land "anywhere", unlike how you can pull over. And the average person who doesn't know much about the weather isn't likely to know what a microburst is or why it's dangerous.

I'd recommend pitching this to (new) pilots instead at least for starters.

n_ermosh
0 replies
1d

Thanks! Our early adopters are a combination of new pilots, those that have already begun the training process, and even some experienced ones that want a better, safer flying experience

singhuler
1 replies
23h41m

First of, so nice to see someone solving hard problem. Best of luck to you and your team.

Do you see the overcrowding of airspace as a concern at all?

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h37m

Eventually, it might be. Currently, the US airspace system could handle ~10x the GA traffic we have today (I'm basing this on the fact that when we were building it up in the 70s, we were selling and flying ~10x more airplanes than we do today).

However, as we get to much larger scales, we can start using our aircraft to actually augment ATC to help handle the traffic. the airplanes can have more intelligent communication systems to coordinate with each other and the pilots and automatically send and receive data to/from ATC with digital comms rather than voice radio. That's an entirely separate project and company though when Airhart is a huge success and we hit this problem :)

shekispeaks
1 replies
16h15m

This is commendable, people who travel 50-300 miles do not use an Aeroplane because you need a car on the other end regardless, so I rather take my car.

For example, SF to Tahoe is demonstrated as a route I could fly, but I need a car on the other end for sure. I could rent a car which is a pain.

I could arrange a driver service, but at that point I could get driver to drive me from San Francisco.

It is too expensive for folks who want to fly themselves and save money, it is not a great deal better for those who can hire drivers.

topspin
0 replies
16h5m

If all the talk about reducing costs for this aircraft is fully realized it will still cost at least a few hundred thousand dollars. If you have those means then funding a few cars isn't much of an issue.

rkagerer
1 replies
20h9m

...three flight controllers ... two different sets of sensors ... independently compute the desired actions to take, and vote on what to do. Each ... has its own power source, backup battery, networking hardware, and set of critical sensors.

You didn't mention activators. Do all the redundant components you mentioned connect to a single voting system, and single set of actuators? How do you avoid your voting system and actuators being another single point of failure?

Or does each redundant system have it's own set of actuators, and enough of them to tolerate failure of one set? (e.g. three sets sized such that two working ones can overpower one erroneous one)

n_ermosh
0 replies
19h55m

yes I should have mentioned actuators as well. the actuators are internally redundant in terms of computation and power and will fail silent and not move if they disagree. Then, each control axis has 2 sets of these servos.

I say axis, rather than control surface, because for something like ailerons, we can have one go neutral in a fault case and the aileron on the other wing still operates with some reduced control authority. So even though each aileron has one servo, the roll axis has 2 and it maintains redundancy

polishdude20
1 replies
21h38m

How much of GA accidents are caused by the high prices of training? Like, there are minimum hour requirements to get a license and then minimum yearly hours for proficiency but I can see the high cost of training and flying to cause pilots to just do the bare minimum.

My wish would be that prices go down and we'd see more pilots training more often and becoming better as a result.

n_ermosh
0 replies
21h35m

We want to see prices go down too. That will only happen if more people want to fly airplanes and the market grows. So, we are trying to make it more accessible to people who wouldn't otherwise want to fly.

pazimzadeh
1 replies
19h16m

The cost per trip seems to be about on par with commercial flight prices. Can an airplane like this ever be made electric, with similar range?

n_ermosh
0 replies
19h8m

Today's batteries aren't quite good enough to hit the same performance. But developments in the hybrid electric space look promising. Battery technology is improving though, so in the relatively near future, it very well could be

nurple
1 replies
22h52m

Digitalization of aircraft is a really interesting space right now! Even local legislatures are talking to media about "vertiports" (ostensibly to justify the CEOs flying to the office, we promise it's coming to you), though I really wonder how they'll drop an R44/66/Bell505 sized aircraft into a business park because of the noise.

I'm watching two companies in this space(I guess 3 now!):

Hill Helicopters[0] is working on a ground-up build of an aircraft, turboshaft engine, and an avionics suite that you can "drive like a car". It's an enormous undertaking, and I'm not sure if they'll pull it off or not.

The second one is Skyryse[1] and their SkyOS. They're focusing on the avionics like you guys, and putting it in an R66 initially, though they plan fixed-wing versions as well. It is also intended to be a single-stick input which can handle emergency situations automatically; they've already demonstrated their first automatic manned autorotation.

I do think that one of the bigger problems in aviation is cost. Most people can't afford an aircraft whether it flew itself or not. This leads to people not flying enough to become excellent and safe pilots. I've been working on my rotorwing addon and the R44 time is $750/hr!?! If you look at the cost of aviation indexed against median income, it has increased over 5x since the cessna 172 era. In cities, another big problem is hangarage, these have waiting lists currently in the decades and costs in the range of a new home.

Another area I'd really like to see more innovation in is aircraft design. Besides Mr Ruttan, everyone just builds tried and true designs and rarely explore the edges of what is possible.

I will also say, while I think that the range you're targetting is smart, and the mass of mostly unused airfields is staggeringly sad to me, there are a lot more issues than just getting there that need to have infrastructure that I'm not sure will be easy to scale.

I think the reason we see gov talking about vertiports now is because in medium-to-large cities they are completely lost on how to solve the traffic issues (hence rich powerful people asking for them). One area that I don't think aviation looks at enough is relatively short-range travel. If you think of a time-topography map of a city, you could make a much larger city, by area, if you can shrink the time it takes to travel (i.e. same QoL if I can go 50mi in 15min vs 10).

0. https://www.hillhelicopters.com/

1. https://www.skyryse.com/

n_ermosh
0 replies
22h38m

You're totally right the cost is the driver right now. Our goal is to get the market of people who don't fly planes right now into it so that with economies of scale, we can drive prices down. On our roadmap is an airplane that costs <$100k.

Another area I'd really like to see more innovation in is aircraft design. Besides Mr Ruttan, everyone just builds tried and true designs and rarely explore the edges of what is possible.

Just wait till you see what we've been sketching up :) Having control systems like ours unlocks a whole new world of possibilities for aerodynamic design.

newsclues
1 replies
23h19m

Could this enable a cheaper flight as a service? Short hops from city to city or the cottage, with cheaper pilots it could be lower cost.

n_ermosh
0 replies
22h50m

I hope so! That's definitely a use case we want to see happen, but when you start charging people for flights things get... complicated

mhb
1 replies
19h53m

In the demo, on what is the system's assumption that you want to land based?

n_ermosh
0 replies
19h47m

a combination of altitude, commanded descent rate, and commanded airspeed transition the control system from flight to landing, flare and touch down, and into ground control mode.

mercurywells
1 replies
20h29m

In your video, what flight simulator engine are you using? Is it something you created or is it something like Xplane or MSFS?

n_ermosh
0 replies
19h59m

The core flight simulator is x-plane with some of our own stuff on top

kreck
1 replies
23h59m

First of all: great that you’re working on bringing innovation to general aviation! During training I also wondered about some technical aspects, as a lot of the tech in an airplane is from almost 60-70 years ago.

However, as a PPL holder myself I think that understanding weight and balance, aerodynamics, flight planning, ATC, airlaw, principles of flight etc. is paramount to keep yourself and others safe.

In the air you cannot simply drive to the side of the road and have a look at what’s going on. As a pilot you must be able to make decisions on the spot. To be able to make those properly, you have to understand what’s going on from first principles. In aviation safety is the primary goal. Statistically more than 80% of aviation accidents can be traced back to human error. Anything that facilitates bringing people in the pilot seat suggesting they need less training is something i strictly oppose.

Despite, anything that helps to simplify aircraft operations may decrease cognitive load and is therefore welcome.

I guess you're aware of the ICAO/FAA hoops you have to jump through to get anything of what you're developing beyond experimental certificate but having seen how long it took e.g. Volocopter to gain their (still incomplete) type certificate it is a long road.

If you'd be able to simplify avionics and create an affordable standardized fly-by-wire kit that alone would be a great innovation for GA especially in the ultralight and light sport aircraft category.

I wish you all the best!

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h53m

thanks! I 100% agree with your comments.

anything that helps to simplify aircraft operations may decrease cognitive load and is therefore welcome.

exactly. decreasing cognitive load is very important and I think we as existing pilots tend to forget how much of their cognitive load goes to just aviating. But the students who drop out certainly don't.

joshe
1 replies
20h36m

Very excited about this. I've been flying curious for years, but haven't actually done it. Some of the cons that have held me back...

A few of the places I'd want to travel to have consistently bad crosswinds. Crabbing looks complex and you have to get 5 things right or you die. For the non flyers check this out https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ca0V5q4XSb8 and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Ri0D_0DdIU and how to do the maneuver: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=92K8s-vppDI&t=3s

It greatly limits your available flying days if you think "hey 30mph crosswinds are super sketchy, I don't want to fly today." So that means delayed trips or delayed returns. Hard to plan around.

I realize this isn't part of the current iteration and requires lots of regulatory hoops... But in future with automation, it would be amazing to know you could fly in clouds or evenings easily with only a basic private pilot's license.

Aviation self driving is so much older and reliable than automotive self driving, it's frustrating that it isn't generally available. It's awesome that you are working to bring it to low cost flying, thanks for working on this and congratulations on the launch!

I'll add that I think the "easy to drive as a boat or car" size of the market is easily 10x the existing private pilot market. (And the easy as a car and the price of a pickup truck size of the market is probably 1000x the current market). So I think you are on to something big.

TylerE
0 replies
20h33m

You're not landing this thing in a 30mph crosswind in something this small, no matter how fancy the control logic. You'd be too skewed to land safely. 30mph is pushing is for some airliners. The aircraft this is built on is only certified for a 15kt cross.

The bigger problem is that low level winds that strong are often associated with bad weather...which again doesn't mix well with small planes.

j45
1 replies
22h43m

Wow, that flight sim demo is inspiring - almost looks obvious like it’s how it always should have been.

I never saw learning to fly enjoyably die to the immense respect I had for the work piloting takes to do well.

If this type of aircraft could also help organize fractional usage and ownership it would create even more beginners.

n_ermosh
0 replies
22h37m

thanks!

We are creating a complete "managed ownership" experience, so that fractional ownership is super easy too

iandanforth
1 replies
16h0m

The video and the pitch strike me as odd. The value proposition here is to grow the market for small planes by making them easy. You still need to be rich so this is basically an expensive toy. I'm not sure comparisons to what came before matter, the people who will buy this don't know or care about the existing way to control a plane.

All you have to do is show how easy your system is. To which end, why the hell would you put two separate hand controls rather than a steering wheel that also goes in and out and some pedals for speed up and slow down. It it's as easy as a car, make it like a car.

Etheryte
0 replies
10h19m

Based on the comments the submitter made in other subthreads, their long term plan is to market a plane that's in the $100k range, whereas currently you would be looking to dish out at least $400k. Whether that's realistically feasible remains to be seen, but that steep of a cut would surely make it a lot more accessible than it is right now.

iambateman
1 replies
23h49m

This is fascinating.

Other, smarter commenters will undoubtedly point out potential issues…but since I am a decidedly uninformed groundling, I hope you succeed.

Ambitious, complicated, probably-impossible challenges create space for the kind of projects which could actually change the world.

Sounds tough…good luck!

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h47m

thanks! my hope is to eventually make you a well informed airling!

howintelligence
1 replies
1d

I hope you succeed

n_ermosh
0 replies
1d

thanks!

fdeth
1 replies
21h13m

Another Icon A5 then, but non-amphibious and FBW?

jannw
0 replies
5h31m

that was my first thought also, except ICON is bankrupt.

consumer451
1 replies
23h47m

Really cool to see people working on tough problems.

Are you building your own FADEC system, or working with existing engine control systems?

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h44m

thanks!

initially we'll be working with existing systems (specifically, a Rotax 916iS) which has an almost-FADEC, but we're adding our own systems on top of it to add push to start, full control of the throttle, automated restart in the case of an engine failure in flight, and full data collection to better predict when maintenance is going to be needed.

catchmeifyoucan
1 replies
23h39m

I got my PPL a while ago, and I'm super excited about this! Though, I'm mostly a renter, so I may not be of much support to purchase at $500,000.

This would be quite the upgrade from a 1980's Cessna.

I guess we'll have to wait for the new standards, but things like learning about the engine, stall recovery and crosswinds are a pretty major part of aviation training. Though the plane can do these things, I'm not sure how much training will be abstracted away (since it's a generic curriculum and we can fly most ASEL).

Few questions:

1. Does the flight controller have a back-up?

2. What does the override for controlling rudder and aileron look like. How about spin recovery or taxing with headwinds?

3. Would you sell your avionics set-up so I can retrofit and replace a Garmin System. I've always found Garmin's to be tricky and hard to read. Yours looks waay better

4. Love the Live ATC transcriptions

Best of luck! Hoping I get to fly one of these some day.

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h29m

congrats on the PPL! we understand that 500k is a high price point for a lot of people (but still cheaper than a new SR20 and we have the same performance and better fuel economy), but our goal is to get to a scale where our 3rd model costs <$100k.

1. the flight controller is triply redundant, so it's basically 3 flight controllers and any 2 can fail and the system will still function (though with a greater risk posture as you now don't know if that 3rd one is giving correct information. There's also an emergency reversionary mode to fly the airplane directly without the flight controller in the loop

2. We don't think that a direct override is necessary or even recommended. We're relying on the fact that we have multiple sensors, flight computers, and servos to make sure that the probability of being wrong is < 1e-7. You can't force a spin in the system and the system will always leave enough buffer so that external factors can't initiate a spin. but if one happens, spin recovery is automatic.

3. We are exploring this possibility. If you are genuinely interested, fill out the contact form on our website and we'll talk.

4. Thanks! we are actively debating making this a standalone radio product for any airplane to replace an existing comm radio

callalex
1 replies
15h22m

As a layman, I have a question about the mass market appeal aspect (or as you call it, making it sexy). Is there any hope that your vessel wouldn’t require earmuffs and a comm system? Or is that only possible after a million bucks of exotic materials?

spaceywilly
0 replies
15h16m

I think battery electric planes will make this less of an issues, once they arrive. The motors are quieter, vibrate less, don’t generate smelly fumes, and there are more mounting options. The eVTOLs from Joby are supposedly very quiet in operation.

bozhark
1 replies
21h47m

MEMS gyro for fly-by-wire airplane using “ clever sensor fusion math” does not sound reassuring

At $500,000 why not use the laser-ring gyros that’s hardly cost prohibitive

pjkundert
0 replies
21h0m

One expensive laser-ring gyro, or 3+ independent MEMS gyros?

I’ll take the multiple independent gyros, thanks.

badgersnake
1 replies
11h43m

No mention of the environmental impact of this, which leads me to assume it would be bad. Any comments on this?

authorfly
1 replies
4h50m

My positive encouragement to your success. Personally, I believe in a futuristic vision of transport like this for 50-300 miles, trains for 3-150 miles, and bicycles and ebikes for < 10 miles. Without roads, we could breathe so much more.

It may seem unrealistic, but just visit the Netherlands, or visit the airports around the UK and Western Europe. It's ridiculously cheap to get around by bike, and healthier. Yes not all or even most environments are not suitable for cycling. But enough city-like or nature environments are and can be connected. The world cries from the concentration of people and tourists to the same, accessible spots. You see this if you every go 40 miles off course in the US, or even 20 in Europe. Amazing spots, waterfalls. If unaccessible, an hour walk away from car access... such beauty is open. Wouldn't we all benefit from distributing people more widely, sharing experiences more affordably?

nullindividual
0 replies
3h29m

It may seem unrealistic

Yes, it is unrealistic for the North American continent as our population is spread out today.

Wouldn't we all benefit from distributing people more widely

No, this is antithetical to the protection of the environment. Concentration of population is far healthier for not only individuals (reduction or elimination of polluting personal transport; potentially walk-able locations), but for the environment, as well. Spreading people out creates a far larger impact and necessitates, as you can see in North America, the use of individual transportation and all of the support services that transportation requires, as well as the human requires (more city govt, more FD, more police, more sewage treatment, more... everything).

The op is on the path to produce a vehicle that dumps far greater amounts of pollution into the atmosphere than modern cars do. Whatever environmental "vision" the op has is pure greenwashing. Plainly, it's an outright lie.

atlex2
1 replies
22h47m

This is super great, glad to see you-all up'ing the ante for safety. As you say a good percent of accidents are pilot error based loss of control events (https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/data/Pages/GeneralAviationDashbo...). There's a lot be said for getting multiple safety technologies in one package, as you seem to be doing.

I'm interested in your approach to certification. I've heard the LSA limits are increasing dramatically, but how sure are you that MOSAIC is going to turn-out as you hope for fly-by-wire control? Are you prepared for the regulatory environment as it is today by going with an experimental platform like the Sling? Usually there's a mandate for a home-builder to build "51%" of the aircraft, so I'm also wondering how that works for a characteristics augmentation system such as yours. What percent of the control laws fit into the 51%?

On the certified side, Piper is shipping the Pilot 100i trainer aircraft with Electronic Stability and Protection (ESP), preventing students from doing some wild stuff while flying solo, using the Garmin G3X certified avionics. Garmin has also been working on auto-land. With a continued development of these certified platforms, combining a ballistic parachute, how much room is there for you with an experimental aircraft?

I looked at the prescribed spot at Oshkosh and sadly couldn't find your booth as I was excited to meet you-all.. Previously I enjoyed flying Joby's sim which is a great example of Simplified Vehicle Operations (SVO). While they're in the powered lift space, I'm curious how much overlap you two have in the control-law certification path of your SVO aircraft.

Finally, as an aviation startup founder myself (FlyShirley.com - Your AI Copilot from Sim to Sky), I'm approaching this from a different angle for a lot of the same reasons, including how task saturation, fatigue/distraction are contributing factors in many accidents.

Super excited to see more aviation startups on hn. Hope to chat at some point. Cheers!

n_ermosh
0 replies
21h49m

I can't speak for what will or won't happen with MOSAIC, but the current proposal bakes in SVO so we (and a lot of other companies) all hope that stays.

Yes, our first product is experimental and has a 51% requirement, but Sling has a great factory build assist program that will help with that. Typically, electrical systems aren't included in a 51% build and Sling builders don't usually touch the avionics (when doing a factory assist), so we hope that stays true.

The things that exist today are good steps in the direction, but we are pushing the boundary further with fly-by-wire, where these is very little innovation.

anonymouse008
1 replies
4h40m

Aero-engineers: why can't we make airfoil kits to make certain vehicles 'air worthy'? A 10k addon to your current sedan to make it short take off and landing sounds way more fun than anything else.

I understand that weight on ground for stability is completely different than air travel... but why not create a whole class of vehicles around this premise?

The only one I can remember is the SkyCar from Moller. He was a little ahead of the game with petrol based quad motors.

commakozzi
0 replies
4h38m

LOL> uh. yeah cars are just WAY too heavy. You'd need some very large airfoils and quite a bit of power over what you would typically use in a GA aircraft. For example, i can move a Cessna 172 around on the ground with my bare hands. Good luck doing that with a sedan.

Carrok
1 replies
23h9m

As someone who lives very near to a small airport with many small planes taking off and landing every day, and also has a young child, I have grown increasingly concerned with the use of lead in the fuel of these planes.

Do these planes you are building burn fuel containing lead? If so, how can you justify a 10x increase in small plane traffic, as you have stated is the goal or at least the potential capacity elsewhere in this thread?

n_ermosh
0 replies
23h7m

We are concerned about that too. Our first airplane, the Airhart Sling uses unleaded fuel. In future models, we will be investing into greener propulsion tech.

zw123456
0 replies
15h32m

I am so sorry to see this. The absolute last thing we need is yet another fossil guzzling vehicle. Please stop what you are doing immediately and go back to the drawing board and help save our planet by inventing a craft that uses solar power to charge batteries to fly. I am sure I will get down voted to hell for this. But tough shit. The planet is chocking and we simply do not need more people burning fossil fuel for fun and pleasure. Stop. Please. Stop and rethink this.

yunohn
0 replies
7h40m

I recently found this YouTube channel - https://youtube.com/@bryceangell, which showcases the exact demographic that would buy this sort of aircraft. Very interesting to learn about their use cases and POV.

worik
0 replies
22h33m

This is a terrible idea. A waste of talent

Worsening the systemic problems that are burning the planet

We need more high density transport for the 500 mile range, not more individual aeroplanes- each with one passenger

wood_spirit
0 replies
10h2m

Drones are easy to control from iPhones. I look forward to a flying car that is as easy to control declaratively and letting the computer fly the plain

vunderba
0 replies
18h21m

"With Airhart Assist (that’s what we call our system), you just push a control stick to the right and the flight computers do all those steps to put you into a coordinated level turn."

Somehow I'm reminded of the staggering amount of continuous calculations the onboard computers had to do to keep the F-117 (the aerodynamic equivalent of trying to fly an Egyptian pyramid) from augering in.

towndrunk
0 replies
5h22m

Using a Rotax 915 iS no thanks

timfsu
0 replies
20h32m

Congrats! I was an angel investor in a regional transit airline (https://www.surfair.com/) - there are a lot of wonderful places out there especially in the US that folks aren't traveling to because of logistics. As someone with a family as well, I'd love to learn to fly if it could be made safer and easier. Hoping you guys succeed!

speedbird
0 replies
8h0m

I think you’re trying to solve the wrong problem, though with a lot of the right tech.

Basic stick and rudder skills aren’t that hard, save perhaps for crosswind landing/takeoff.

Envelope protection and emergency auto land are good, but I think already done by other companies.

Taking existing controls (stick and throttle) but giving them different names and making them command inputs rather than controls, but ones that vary what that command is subject to the IMPLICIT mode the aircraft believes it’s in (TOGA, land, cruise, taxi etc) are sowing the ground for confusion - look at all the analyses of Airbus incidents due to pilots not understanding what modes the aircraft thinks it’s in due to combination of control and sensors and control law fallbacks due to failures. The idea is sound but pilots lulled into complacency with normally simplified handling get into wild and sometimes fatal rides when things go amiss. Spend time on Mentor Pilot’s excellent channel.

Personally I think one of the biggest improvements to safety would be a decent AoA display and warning system for all aircraft.

Next up a solution to VFR into IMC, with subsequent loss of control or terrain / obstacle impact, which is effectively a use case of envelope protection and emergency autoland.

This tech exists, it’s just not in most of the fleet and not triple redundant.

Finally, rather than trying to make an aircraft more like a car, or only being confident flying your aircraft within a narrow regime, go do some aerobatics and unusual attitude training so you get a feel for how the wing really flies.

smt88
0 replies
23h32m

First, Soylent names their company after a famous product made out of humans.

Then iRobot and now an aviation company named after the most famous dead aviator.

Seems... not ideal.

seeekr
0 replies
19h50m

super cool, and if this works you'll bring a big part of what we dreamed of as "the future" into the present!

rushingcreek
0 replies
22h0m

It was awesome meeting you guys way back in 2022 during our YC batch. I’ve always loved this idea and I’m so stoked that you’ve made it a reality. Would love to try it out :)

roshankhan28
0 replies
11h1m

This is a really great idea that i would love to be a part of. although i dont own a aircraft not even a simulator. How are you guys planning to accomodate the large number of people who will simulatneously would want to travel the same route at the same time?

robomartin
0 replies
20h14m

I am sometimes flabbergasted by some of the things YC will fund. This is one of them.

I don't know where to start, other than to say I would never make some of these assertions in public. Doesn't YC provide legal support to the startups it funds?

For example:

"Unlike a traditional airplane, it becomes impossible to command the airplane into a stall, a spin, unsafe attitudes, or other bad states."

This is categorically and absolutely false and wrong. There is no such thing as "impossible". Do not ever say things like that or you will find your own words used as weapons against you in the inevitable court case when something does go wrong. Too late now, it's already out there.

Attorney: Sir, your plane stalled and became uncontrollable. The pilot had no controls because you removed pedals and any industry-proven direct control mechanisms. Your company asserted this failure mode was impossible, yet, it happened. Exhibit A, in your own words.

"we can use MEMS gyroscopes that cost <$100 instead of laser-ring gyros that cost $1000 if not $10k"

Attorney: Sir, your aircraft killed all four of its passengers, destroyed three homes, killed an additional three people on the ground --two of them children-- and sent half a dozen others to the hospital in critical condition. Why did you use cheap sensors instead of industry-standard, battle-tested, fully-vetted, qualified, susceptibility-tested hardware?

"We’ve developed our own control surface actuators"

Attorney (following-up to the previous question): Control surfaces failed to actuate controls as required. You used cheap self-designed actuation hardware that did not have extensive engineering design, testing and qualification pedigree as industry-standard products...to save money...

"own radios and GPS hardware (an aviation grade GPS can cost upwards of $10k, but it’s the same hardware as in a $20 consumer grade GPS)"

Attorney: I repeat the question. Your cheap $20 GPS just killed half a dozen people. How could you justify placing such little value on human life?

"The only real single point of failure is the engine."

False! A triple-redundant design, will, at best, mitigate a single failure and ZERO in the case of common-mode failures. Triple modular redundancy requires, at a minimum: Triple redundant power, triple sensing, triple compute, triple actuation and no common-mode failure mechanisms. Once a triple-redundant system experiences a single failure, it turns into a system with two possible sources of truth, which means it is impossible to know who might be right.

My free advice is to stop talking and get out of this business before you kill people. Seriously. You are not at SpaceX with hundred-billion-dollar budgets launching craft that fly so far away from population centers that they could explode and nobody gets hurt. Before Crew Dragon flew for the first time billions of dollars went into evolving the systems that made it possible.

Then again, what do I know? I could be wrong.

remolacha
0 replies
22h55m

This is so epic. One of the fundamental challenges in mainstreaming personal aviation is the difficulty of learning to fly. If you can make it 10x easier, it will be a massive step forward. Good luck and congrats on the progress so far!

nullindividual
0 replies
19h11m

I'm shocked YC would fund this. The idea alone is irresponsible on multiple levels as others have mentioned.

Is this where the techbros 'went too far'?

You will not succeed. Guaranteed.

nradov
0 replies
17h16m

Cool concept, I hope you're able to make it work.

Do you plan to integrate auto GCAS functionality into the flight control system?

Does the flight control system automatically detect ice buildup? (One common cause of GA crashes is inadvertently flying into icing conditions with the autopilot engaged. The autopilot compensates for the ice buildup to a certain level, then it reaches its limit and disengages at which point loss of control may be inevitable.)

Will the autoland system use Garmin Autonomi or are you building your own?

Will you attempt to detect possible pilot deviations and give them an alert?

nkrisc
0 replies
15h51m

If we already have the infrastructure and the technology, why isn't everyone flying planes?

Because driving a car 50-300 miles is cheaper, easier, and may even be faster in some scenarios.

Oh, and when I get to my destination, I have a car.

I’m not a pilot and this couldn’t make me one. Too expensive, too much work, too inconvenient. Very cool but everyone isn’t going to be flying any more than they already are. It’s for people who already are or already want to be pilots.

nick4981716
0 replies
20h17m

Would be great if you can make CFIT difficult/impossible to accomplish by default as well.

neals
0 replies
10h0m

I see Electric flight "taking off" to for small airplanes, right here in my backyard in Europe. I've been on a few flights and the adventages are huge,l. Range is still an issue. But for small stuff, I wouldn't bet on jet fuel anymore.

natch
0 replies
13h50m

Since this view seems underrepresented here, I'll say I'd just as soon see the number of aircraft in the sky stay at right about what it is now, not more.

Having random tech bros flying overhead is not an anxiety reducing phenomenon.

On the other hand, taking the other side of this, what you're working on seems long overdue.

I would suggest building for the future (electric). Yeah as you said batteries are not ready yet, but think about it, you should be thinking forward to a time when they are. As an analogy, people in YC today are not just designing products that will be using today's AI. They are designing products that will be using the AI of a year, two years, from now. And you should be working this way too. And with electric, the drivetrain will be way more reliable and people like me who wonder if you're going to dribble gas on my house will have less to worry about.

muhaaa
0 replies
20h17m

I love the idea & I love to fly but building and operating air planes is a shitty business.

Technology wise we could have fly by wire fully automated planes, vtol, and helicopters easily (at least in limited areas first). The problem is not tech it's regulation, insurance, backwards compatibility and scale.

Sadly scale is the killer. You would need a Toyota for airplanes but your market to sell is tiny. You just cannot spread your dev costs over huge volumes of planes. I have seen aero dynamic designs which are comparable to fuel efficient cars but travel at 200mph. But it's very expensive and risky to build a company around it.

What you might be able to break into is Garmins market but hard! Maybe new markets like electric planes or vtol.

I hope I am wrong and you are right. I wish you guys succeed bc GA aviation is stuck in 1970s.

msnkarthik
0 replies
10h55m

Congrats Nikita. What about the regulations from the government for private aviation? What kind of hurdles are you seeing in getting approvals for this project?

memtet
0 replies
13h4m

The only way this can turn profit is if you make it into rideshare and recruit hobbyist pilots to become Uber drivers.

lsh123
0 replies
16h32m

My $0.02:

- The stick-and-rudder skills aren’t hard and not the main reason people die. It’s the decision making that kills.

- The “faster to fly” than drive for me starts at about 3 hrs drive (wind, preflight time, takeoff / climb / landing time, deviations by ATC, etc). My indicated airspeed is roughly your true btw.

- Looks and feels like Cirrus with AI. I am missing barn doors for luggage and dogs; 200 kts cruise; 6 hrs with tip tanks; and gross to actually do it. I’ll stick with my Bonanza.

- Main problem you will face is insurance. It will be expensive if even obtainable for low experienced pilots.

light_triad
0 replies
21h25m

As someone interested in learning to fly this is very cool. Congrats on the launch!

an aviation grade GPS can cost upwards of $10k, but it’s the same hardware as in a $20 consumer grade GPS

I think the cost of aviation hardware might be much higher because of issues with precision, insurance, updates, redundancy and the very small volumes compared to consumer volumes. Is there a way to certify consumer hardware for aviation applications or are there essentially monopolies and regulatory capture that limit cheaper alternatives from entering the market?

johntiror
0 replies
8h58m

As a pilot and tech professional, I completely resonate with your observations. However, the fly-by-wire concept concerns me a bit. I imagine it significantly complicates the onboard technology and makes maintenance more complex and costly. Additionally, I assume the training will need to address potential malfunctions, such as alternate law and direct law scenarios, which might make the rating process more complicated rather than less. How do you plan to tackle these challenges?

jmward01
0 replies
13h9m

I want all of this and it really shouldn't be hard. In fact, many have tried at least parts of this but failed because of the regulatory hurdles. Taking 10 years to bring a product to market while spending a huge amount of $$$ testing and certifying it just to sell to a small GA market is a very hard business model to make work. How do you plan to get over those hurdles? I think the only real way to break into aviation is to start in a space that isn't overly encumbered with regulation. What about ultralights? paramotors? maybe even electric? Innovating in these spaces may be able to get you the market that could side-step the problems with testing and certifying in the GA space.

jdprgm
0 replies
17h0m

Guessing you guys have already read it but here is a good related book for others in the thread: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/42036377-where-is-my-fly...

Project sounds like an ambitious exciting idea and i'd take the pessimism/skepticism as a positive sign that you are on the right track. It feels like something has changed in tech for a lot of people with regards to tackling really ambitious projects compared to years past.

I'm curious how the relative difficulty of fully automated driving would compare to fully automated flying. I'm no pilot but it seems in a lot of regards flying might actually be easier with regards to the number of possible scenarios cars can be faced with.

I imagine trying to compare the risk between flying and driving is pretty interesting. I would think in flying risk is significantly more dependent on the individual vs the tremendous risk in driving posed by every other car on the road. That and I would guess the accident vs fatal accident balance is completely different.

Considering we fairly easily are willing to give basically any 16 year old a car license and just accept a rather high risk rate with driving I wonder how much the gap between driving and flying could be closed. That and the financial gap as well -- from a raw materials perspective could we in theory have a honda civic of the sky that a significant percentage of Americans (say 30-40%) could find accessible?

jbaviat
0 replies
21h10m

There’s a plethora of other problems that make flying cumbersome

How about CO2 emissions?

iuiz
0 replies
9h13m

"*The full price of the Airhart Sling pre-tax is $500,000 with availability predicted for January of 2026. This purchase secures a production slot in the limited first manufacture of the aircraft."

hank808
0 replies
21h12m

Is this statement accurate? "Airhart Assist provides a combination of (car like) cruise control as well as automatic rudder control." If correct, does it do anything else?

gwbas1c
0 replies
21h14m

A lot of people will likely wonder: “isn’t removing stick and rudder skills going to make worse pilots”? Short answer: no. The core of what makes a good pilot isn’t stick and rudder skills; it’s good decision making and risk management.

I find it's easiest to just ignore this mindset. These are the people who claim that a manual transmission is "real" driving. (Unlike the people who enjoy driving stick and aren't snobs about it.) The market will favor you and everyone else will see those people as snobs.

fzxu22
0 replies
19h36m

Getting cheaper and better planes is good. But this is not a correct way of solving traffic problems in US. We need high-speed railroad network, not one airplane per household.

fredsters_s
0 replies
17h26m

Super awesome, love the vision, exciting to try something in this space, and agreed with your core observations and conclusions. My only criticism is that the interior / package needs to look way cooler to tempt people across. Working with a decent industrial design firm and making some sexy renders would go a long way!

frankus
0 replies
15h52m

I’ve often thought this kind “do what I mean” control could expand to a lot of machines where currently it takes potentially years to develop an intuition around how moving various levers/pedals actually results in things moving physically in space the way that you intend.

A few years ago I rented a mini excavator whose levers are directly connected to hydraulic valves that control the motion of the bucket in a weird polar coordinate space. It’s extremely tricky as a beginner to even e.g. make the bottom of a trench level, and it seems like just a bit of intelligence would make this trivial. Even a bit of force feedback would do wonders for controllability.

frankdenbow
0 replies
6h41m

Congrats on launch! Definitely interested to see where you go with this. What I was looking for on the site was more about what the differentiators are compared to the standard planes in the category. A bit more about that and the mission would go a long way (some of what you say here should be on the site). Live reaction here: https://youtu.be/oklA3qnTbsc

feistypharit
0 replies
17h14m

If there’s no rudder controls, how does one do cross wind landings?

fdeth
0 replies
21h12m

Kudos on not going with a Garmin for the software and glass cockpit. Super ballsy.

ericciarla
0 replies
6h13m

This is dope! Go S22

dzonga
0 replies
21h21m

I used to fly the same type of plane like a decade or so ago.

very fun plane, easily carried away by the wind. for people that are not pilots surely sling will cause a lot of panic.

doctorpangloss
0 replies
14h32m

I also built autonomous aircraft when I was a student at Cornell

You should urgently pivot to strictly autonomous vehicles, airborne or otherwise. Waymos are here and now, they are at least as impactful as GLP-1s and LLMs.

dnrvs
0 replies
5h4m

In the US, trips that are 50-300 miles are almost all done by car because that distance is too short for commercial airlines and too far for public transportation.

How can the solution be worse cars rather than better public transport?

dmitrysergeyev
0 replies
18h51m

Isn’t a better solution for the given distance - rail transport? It’s more affordable, ecological and can serve higher number of people from different economical layers. This seems more like an enthusiast toy rather than an alternative for 50-300 miles travel options.

diceduckmonk
0 replies
12h27m

Do you view passenger drones as a competitor?

Photography and hobbyist drones are easy enough to control, and I would expect a manual passenger drone to follow that consumer model.

calmbonsai
0 replies
16h5m

How are you going to address the insurance, ownership costs, and FAA certifications for this?

Atm, the real barriers to entry in the market are the insanely high regulatory and liability compliance costs--not flight aides, pilot training, or folks with the desire to fly.

- Look at the long path that Cirrus had to take with it's "Safe Return" auto-landing feature.

- Look at the decades-long adoption curve of even basic/obvious tech like 100LL avgas.

- Look at Bye Aerospace's struggles bringing a simple "go-kart" electric training aircraft to market

I'm not optimistic for ANY substantive innovation in this space without a serious overhaul of the regulatory environment.

brainless
0 replies
12h6m

Congrats on the launch and kudos on building on bold ideas.

I think car rides are "good enough" for a certain distance vs short flights. Short flights (tiny aircrafts) are so expensive because they have to compete with the good enough option and I am not sure that can ever happen.

The more important point is that flight accidents can affect people or buildings that are far away from roads - practically anywhere within a certain range of a flight path. This will have huge effect in people's mindset about safety and work against the popularity of such flights.

boffinAudio
0 replies
10h43m

Are you familiar with the Pivotal Aero?

https://pivotal.aero/

This unusual aircraft seems to be a move in the right direction, apropos making flight simpler - because its flight dynamics are designed, inherently, to be forgiving to non-trained pilots.. Its landing mode is a function of its wing pitch and air speed, so it will 'automatically' transition from flight to landing modes based on air speed - there is no need on the part of the pilot to get heavily involved in the approach to landing, and so on, beyond the usual 'is it safe to go down there' decision-making process.

I'm curious what you think of the Pivotal Aero Opener concept, and how long you think it might be until similar designs arrive on the scene. It seems to me that the Opener is a bit of a leapfrog ahead of traditional plane design decisions, intended for non-pilot use .. from your perspective, what are the pros'/cons' of the Opener, as a design, and would you consider similar concepts in the future of Airhart Aeronautics?

bix6
0 replies
1d

Exciting project, good luck!

bbor
0 replies
15h28m

Ok I can think of a thousand things that could go wrong, but ultimately, this is some real damn innovation. Well done! Can’t wait to see how this evolves.

attilaberczik
0 replies
6h32m

flying is worse for the environment, as few people should fly as possible, not more

asynchronous13
0 replies
2h33m

Have you engaged with the FAA yet? Even if you're going the experimental route, it's useful to have an active and ongoing dialog with them. And they are tremendously more receptive to working with companies on new technologies than they were 10 years ago. It's a different regulatory environment than you would have been dealing with at SpaceX.

asimpletune
0 replies
23h18m

These are the kinds of problems, when I was younger, I always imagined the tech industry would be solving. This is just so cool. Congratulations to you and your team and I really hope a future of small, safe, and affordable personal aircrafts becomes a reality!

ah27182
0 replies
11h52m

Sounds awesome! Are you guys hiring at the moment?

_djo_
0 replies
21h30m

Smart approach partnering with an established light aircraft manufacturer with a good safety rating (South Africa’s Sling Aircraft) rather than trying to reinvent the wheel on the base platform. That gives me more faith in the rest of the engineering decisions made on this project.

Wishing you all the best! Anything that improves the safety of flying GA aircraft like this is a good thing.

Zigurd
0 replies
20h14m

Nitpick: "Manual lever" not level.

RomanPushkin
0 replies
22h36m

No offense, but:

The only real single point of failure is the engine

Sounds like a dangerous statement to make. There is multiple more: software, flaps/alt controls, pilot failure, etc.

And also "lever sensor fusion math" - personally being software engineer I am not a big believer in "clever"

I also wanna mention that I really like the idea, and looking forward to where it gets you; hopefully such skeptics like myself will have enough trust into what you're working on!

Pufferbo
0 replies
18h19m

I’m not sure it’s a great idea to name your product/company, who’s goal is to make it easier to fly, an homage to one of the most famous disasters and mysteries in the history of flight.

LarsDu88
0 replies
15h5m

It's awesome to bring some innovation into the airplane market. That being said, changing the control scheme seems like a bad move. Stick and rudder are not that complicated. Lots of aspiring pilots will not buy this thing because they are all going to have been trained on conventional controls.

I even ran into this when making my unrealistic VR space flight sim (roguestargun.com)

The first thing people complained about was the fact that I didn't setup the controls with conventional pitch and yaw axis. I watched videos of folks crashing repeatedly. I finally gave in and a bunch of 4 star reviews turned into 5 star reviews.

K0balt
0 replies
19h24m

Honestly, I love the idea of a more modern GA airplane… but I think that for most people, stick and rudder skills are the least of their worries. Don’t get me wrong, people do stupid stuff all of the time, but I think the real improvements that you can bring are in the flight planning and monitoring software. A moving map with range heatmap at present conditions, warnings as options get closed out, airfields within glide range under present conditions, audible warnings and stick shaker if you do some kind of stupid cross control fuckery or need to lower the nose of the aircraft, etc. Sort of a co-pilot system that keeps you up to date with options, conditions, checklists, vectors, etc.

Most accidents are a result of bad planning, and even an overweight or poorly functioning aircraft could be detected early in the takeoff roll with accelerometers. If you had a system that could keep up on realistic plans under the circumstances of the flight, it could go a long way towards improving flight safety.

Chippster1
0 replies
5h22m

I find this whole concept somewhat disturbing. It sounds like he is trying to democratize aviation by creating an airplane that just about anybody can fly without any pilot training. This is so far removed from the reality of the FAAs perspective, that I do think it is destined to fail. This aircraft will never be certified by the FAA, it would cost hundreds of millions to do so and will certainly not allow automotive grade hardware. The FAA will never lower their standards for Pilot training, and hardware certification, so that any pilot that does fly this airplane will still have to meet airman certification standards (ACS) as all other pilots, and that means learning to mitigate the things that this company is trying to eliminate. Although our technology has certainly advanced significantly, history has shown that this so-called “airplane for everybody” is doomed to failure. This has been tried many times before, but the reality is that Pilot training and experience is the most significant factor and the greatest hurdle to creating more pilots in our world. This idea of anybody simply getting in an aircraft and going anywhere you want to go, much like you would get into a car, may indeed happen, but it will not be with a human pilot, this will happen when we have autonomous drones and everybody inside the aircraft is simply a passenger, not a pilot. Sorry to be a party pooper, but don’t expect this concept to really materialize, I think the people working on this are young dreamers who have yet to learn the reality of aviation law. All too often, the pace of technological innovation, drastically exceeds the pace of legal change and oversight by the FAA (and for a very good reason). Yes, there are indeed a lot of things that can improve in general aviation, but that change will happen at a snails pace, It will be very expensive, and I do not see that changing anytime soon. On a more positive note, we are seeing significant technological changes in our general aviation cockpit. Also, if you look at statistics and something called the Nall report, the last 25 years has shown a drastic reduction and accident and fatality rates in general aviation, something we need to be proud of!

E Chipps ATP CFI CFII

Avisan
0 replies
11h7m

I'm particularly impressed by your commitment to building the hardware and software in-house, which allows for greater control and optimization.

Animats
0 replies
19h16m

Nice. It's certainly do-able. NASA funded efforts in this direction from 1994 to 2001, with their Advanced General Aviation Transport Experiments (AGATE) consortium. [1] Around 2011, they tried again.[2]

There were two main goals - better avionics capable of handling large numbers of small aircraft in busy airspace, and small jet engines for small aircraft. The Cirrus Vision Jet is partly an outgrowth of that effort. It is capable of finding an airport and landing automatically in an emergency. Plus it has a back-up parachute. It costs $2.3 million, though.

Cost, as usual, will be the problem. Many have set out to build modern low-cost general aviation aircraft. Some nice high-cost aircraft have resulted.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_General_Aviation_Tran...

[2] https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20110000757/downloads/20...

AdrianB1
0 replies
20h32m

Sport pilot with ~10 years of experience and a few hundred hours: I would never fly such a plane. Not only it does not solve any real problems I have with flying planes, but I think it is the most insecure place to be when (not if) the s hits the f.

Biggest 2 problems I see with flying these days are engines and overall cost. Archaic engines with mixture adjustment are a thing that needs to go away (fuel injection anyone? 2024 is calling) and the ginormous cost of planes needs to change in order to sell. There is also the problem of decent avionics costing way too much, but this is included in the second main problem - it is 20 times cheaper to fly with an iPad than a decent glass cockpit, while the reliability can easily be compensating by having 2 iPads onboard, even a third as a backup.

Aachen
0 replies
10h11m

We want people who don’t think about airplanes as a mode of transportation to start flying

Oh yeah that's just what we needed. I love flying but rarely do it because it's not like airplane transport is underused compared to our available resources to run this system. It's not sustainable to keep using the limited amount of atmosphere as a dumping ground for combustion products so the big task ahead of us is finding workable alternatives as well as installing facilities (there are several options today) that remove the extraneous greenhouse gasses and other emissions within a reasonable amount of time. We can make transportation sustainable but there's a long way to go yet

In the meantime, I don't see that flying being too underutilised is a problem any one of us benefits from solving, even if that requires thinking beyond the immediate "I get somewhere faster" and "it is fun and beautiful in the sky" benefits which I fully recognise

101008
0 replies
23h6m

It sounds amazing! Let us know if you are hiring, working on this type of problems must be exciting! (Though I personally have no related experience I bet it'd be great and challenging!)