I highly recommend everyone try it out if you're in SF. It's an incredibly smooth and sure ride. The cars are really nice too (Jaguar I-Pace electric cars), clean and spacious.
The first time you ride in one, it feels truly sci-fi. But within 5 minutes, you're almost bored of it - that's how good it is. If I had to choose between an Uber of questionable cleanliness and driver temperament and a Waymo with a slightly longer wait and slightly more fare, I'd choose the Waymo every time.
(I have no affiliation with Waymo, Google or any related industry - it's just an amazing service!)
I love how we've gone from "Taxis are gross and dirty, that's why I love Uber!" to"Ubers are gross and dirty, that's why I love Waymo!" in the span of 5 years.
What do you think comes next? These cars are literally unsupervised.
Unsupervised in what sense? There's internal cameras that are periodically checked. Weight and seatbelt sensors that give alerts if a passenger is or puts objects in the drivers seat, or if too many individuals get in the car.
I'd be shocked if a similar or greater level of observability doesn't also exist outside the car.
What do you think is more likely to get vandalized - a room with a human sitting in it, or a room with a camera watching it?
The room with the human sitting in it, because humans are known to vandalize things.
I can't believe I have to specify this, but I obviously meant "other than by the human watching the room". Equally I don't expect the Uber driver to be the one vandalizing their own taxi.
And yet you'll find that your definition of clean may far exceed the driver of an Uber's at least every other trip.
They do occasionally, I smell smoke in the headliner because the driver is an occasional smoker.
They have my credit card and they could ban me from their app. It's not like people constantly trash hotel rooms or rental cars.
99.9% of people also don't vandalize toilets, buses, trains and other public amenities, it's the 0.1% that do that's the problem...
None of those places have a good idea of your identity, though.
I've had a dude with a Tagalog accent take over the speakers in my car and asked me and the folks I was inside with to leave because I decided to clown car it with friends visiting from out of state. With that said, there for sure is someone monitoring, but it's similar to how checkout at Amazon Go stores went.
I'd be curious to know how this monitoring scales over time.
We have computers that can drive a car in city traffic and you're worried that we can't have a computer look at the inside of a car and tell me if someone's left a mess? A non-ML model background subtraction algorithm from the 2000's could tell you that.
computers can't smell
VOC sensors are pretty good
“Massive fart detected. Initializing ejector seat in 3, 2…”
I’m not sure how you could make that work. People that eat Indian food step in and it might get set off, so people will cry racism. You drive next to a particular industrial plant, etc..
I’ll be curious how this is profitable long term.
Does your long term include changing from offshoring?
If not, what are you expecting to be prohibitive?
I don’t work for Amazon but I have worked with the tech. The media really ran with a misunderstanding there - the error rate for JWO is dramatically lower than people seem to think.
https://www.forrester.com/blogs/no-amazon-isnt-killing-just-...
How do you remotely detect if car stinks or not?
Why do you think they need to? These cars go to a centralize location every night, I would assume, and cleaning at scale can happen. How often do you think an Uber driver cleans their car in comparison?
Not to mention the problem is pretty eminently solvable: let users flag a car as having an unacceptable condition. If that happens dispatch a new car and send the dirty car directly back to home base for cleaning.
The main problem with Uber/taxi quality is that the responsibility for cleanliness is on individual drivers, with widely varying results as a natural outcome. In fact a lot of problems with Ubers and taxis is downstream from the ownership and responsibility model.
The advantage of something like Waymo is that the responsibility is now on Waymo itself.
Worth noting that this is a problem in other lines of business: it's harder to ensure quality in franchises vs. stores operated directly by the brand. The more independent parties you have in the mix the more incentives become misaligned and the fewer levers you have available to ensure compliance to some standard.
This also isn't impossible to solve with human drivers, because ultimately this isn't a technological problem but an organizational one. Livery car services where drivers are employees (as opposed to independent owner-operators contractors) can centralize cleaning and training, and have more means to ensure compliance to a standard.
The "downside" of such a model is that there are many more laws to ensure you can't shovel your own expenses onto the employee.
People take taxis because they're too drunk to drive.
This sometimes leads to in-car vomiting.
There are also still smokers among us.
They have sensors to do this. They also know how to cycle the cabin air completely from the Covid days.
Amazon has plenty of odor detectors for ~$50: https://www.amazon.com/odor-detector/s?k=odor+detector
I assume there are sensors available suitable for Waymo taxis.
Unsupervised in the sense that there's no driver there to clean the car when it gets dirty. At the same time, presumably part of the odor of an uber comes from the driver, so that helps. I wonder if waymos roll down the window (weather permitting) between riders, to air it out. Might be dangerous at a red light, since people could throw stuff in or even dive in through open windows.
Or, maybe.. when the Waymo cars return to the depot periodically during the day.
https://youtu.be/3QZ3e7mWD9E?si=CbP063vAtrnOTihp
Makes sense if they're nearby frequently, but if vehicles are serving larger areas, that would happen less often.
They may have multiple depots in the larger area. Maybe spread further apart though
True! Presumably they'd refuel the vehicles in these places as well. The number of depots would depend on how much time you want to waste having vehicles driving out-of-direction and (1) the cost of additional real estate plus (2) the cost of employees at each location.
They're electric cars, so I assume they don't need to be juiced up in between rides.
If the cameras are not AI monitored now, they will be next month.
By mechanical Turks for a few years.
There's internal cameras that are periodically checked.
Not appealing for me personally.
I think GP meant unsupervised during the ride by a remote human driver.
Public transport, hopefully.
And mingle with the masses? in SF?
Maybe if they re-invent trains or buses again
You joke, but I've heard more than one argument about how self-driving cars will drastically improve traffic because, for inter-city travel, they will be able to drive very close together on the highway in a long convoy, leaving almost no space between cars...
150 cars long! 90000 horsepower! May Immortan Joe live forever!!! To the Vineyards!
I don't think it's such a bad idea, actually. There's value in having something that can drive in a "train", but that can also disconnect when needed and drive on its own.
If you're driving long distance, you get the advantages of a train, but door-to-door, with no scheduling conflicts and no egregious stop times. If your destination is 5 minutes away, it's still a car.
It'll end up being the opposite that causes a positive effect, if there's one to be had.
Leaving proper gaps (which next to nobody reading this will be familiar with!) allows for cars to cross, or even merge.
You need to get rid of excessive solar energy when prices turn negative anyway. So why not charge a fleet of electric taxicabs.
Why not charge a fleet of busses or trams?
Why not both? We aren't trying to be efficient here, we are dumping excess energy from intermittent sources.
Public transportation is not a true panacea even where it’s seen most favorable. Car ownership increased 14% in Europe from 2012 to 2022, across the board:
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/w/d...
The future will be a combination of trains, a more extensive robotaxi network for the last mile, which can be cars or vans, and a much smaller percentage of personal vehicles compared to today. Buses as they are today will decline.
Waymos ads are obnoxious and it keeps selling my travel data to everyone, I'll better get a car
Source?
Windows 11, Google, et al.
For more see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enshittification
“I made it up”, got it
Of course not. "It came to me in a dream".
They supposedly use trip info for their own advertising. Says also "in some cases" shared with third parties for ads.
"We collect usage data that includes trip history, buttons or links you click on our mobile app, in-vehicle interfaces, wait times for our vehicles, and other actions you take with our products and services"
"We collect information about your location in a few different ways. When you take a trip, we collect the pickup and drop-off location and details about the vehicle’s route."
"We may also use your information to personalize services, advertisements, content, and features, communicate with you including marketing (which you can opt out of), service, and account messages, or communicate other information we think will be of interest to you "
"We will retain information we associate with your Waymo account, such as name, email and trip history, while your account remains active."
"Waymo will not disclose your personal information with a third party unless one of the following applies: ...
- We're involved in a merger, acquisition, reorganization or sale or transfer of some or all of our assets
- In some cases to help us tailor ads and offers to your interests as detailed in the U.S. state law requirements section
- Comply with any applicable law, regulation, legal process, or governmental request ... "
https://support.google.com/waymo/answer/9184840#zippy=%2Cinf...
You have ID of who was in the car and when, and a 'report' button in the app for the next passenger. Easy enough, if something is reported you have the choice to wait for the next one while the trashed car goes to be cleaned or ride anyway at a discount if you solve it yourself - e.g: put the trash in a bag in the boot of the car. After N reports attributed to you, you get banned.
open car door
trash car (or don't)
report trashed car
ride for discount
You forgot the last step: Get banned because the video surveillance shows the trash being thrown in after you've unlocked the car.
Yes. But this is obviously asocial enough to deter most people. Significantly better deterrent than self-checkout, at least.
Uber can have reporting as much as this, or more. I can think of some: the driver owning the car incentivizes keeping it clean; bad reviews for dirty cars.
This problem is orthogonal to selfdriving.
Uber started as off duty black car drivers doing gig work. Those were the default right? The random guy with a car gig was rolled out as uberx later?
But I'm completely with you on the unsupervised part. People doing all sorts of things back there that an ML might not identify. Now if they hire an army remotely to monitor, I guess that could scale because of wage disparities.
Not just wage disparities. You can probably watch the typical video of an individual sitting calmly scrolling on their phone back at 32x speed. More complex scenarios with multiple people at 16-4x. Even assuming they pay 'car monitors' as much as drivers (which you're right, they probably don't) the cost for the monitors is still probably less than 10% the cost for equivalent drivers.
You probably only need to do that when something is reported as well.
Most likely a “data driven sampling methodology to identify the predictive factors of damage.”
Not just wage disparities, but also time / location.
Quickly going through CCTV footage from a ride to catch "unusual things" takes much less time than driving. Even if somebody had to watch the entire ride at 1x speed and just one ride at a time, there's no need to do it when the car is idle or driving to pick up the next passenger. You can also hire a lot less watchers than you have drivers, because a surge in demand in one city can be serviced by watchers in many other cities. There's no need for night shifts either, you can make everybody work 9-to-5 in whatever timezone they're at.
Motor vehicles are gross and dirty, that's why I ride a bicycle.
TBF, after riding up a few SF hills in the summer I’m pretty gross
Life is just a giant story we tell ourselves. This is no different. Who knows what tomorrow's story will tell!
Well it's because as Uber expanded and had to desperately fight for its margins, it started to lower its standards for UberX. Before, cars had to be fairly new and in a relatively good condition. Now it's no longer the case.
Self-driving + self-cleaning cars obviously.
Regardless of whether the Waymo is supervised, they're brand-new cars, of course they'll be cleaner.
Organic, manual, hand-driven authentic vintage driving experience (before it was cool, of course).
Might actually cut down on the contingent who leave trash or other debris because they believe a person will be cleaning after them.
I know, I know. We can dream.
Wouldn't the Ubers potentially be cleaner? Who's cleaning the Waymo between rides?
I've taken 38 Waymo rides so far. Every one of them has been very clean, cleaner than the average Uber ride.
Is that a function of the limited population in the beta though?
It's a function of the filtered population. The cars are at full capacity day and night so the increased number of users won't affect a single car's cleanliness nearly as much as the type of people that will be riding in them.
What do you mean by the type of people who will be riding in them?
That new group is people who aren't at the frontier of trying out new tech.
The way this will manifest is the drunk idiot who'll puke all over the car. The bored asshole who carves his initials in the seat. The edgelord who gets their jollies out of destroying other people's stuff.
Good chance you had some in the original group as well, but early adopters are usually mostly people who deeply understand tech. Once that falls away, you have a less thorough understanding of tech, and a very surprised realization that booking something under your name that has cameras all over will likely result in you being held accountable for what you did. But after you did it.
How that'll play out in the long run is anyone's guess. If Waymo maintains rigorous enforcement and the courts actually play along, it might just work out. It's still going to be capital-intensive because we seem to have created a world where being a major asshole in public without consequences is kind of an entitlement people expect to have, and Waymo will need a very strong "yeah, not here" vibe to prevent that. Which requires a number of high-profile incidents.
Yes, the subtext of the question likely was "are you discriminating against the poor!?" If it was indeed, the answer to that question is "no, the ride pricing will do that".
I don't know what 'deeply understanding tech' has to do with any of that. Plenty of people who 'deeply understand tech' get drunk and puke in places. Honestly, you sound like a Victorian-era petty lord looking down his nose at 'commoners'.
Bingo
and you said it wasn't a loaded question. That was intellectually dishonest of you.
I don't think you understand what "loaded question" means.
A loaded question is a trick question, which presupposes at least one unverified assumption that the person being questioned is likely to disagree with.
Can you quote my question back to me and point out the presumption that the person is likely to disagree with?
I'll take that as a "no".
I'm sorry. You lost me.
Drunk party goers on a Friday night, people smoking in the car on their way to Dolores, petulant teenagers…
I've been riding MUNI for 25 years. The only assault I saw was a drunk office worker on his way home on the 31AX.
I Guess you must not be riding it as much as you think you do. I’m an infrequent rider and I’ve seen 2 altercations and multiple (10+) disturbances since January.
The funniest (or not if you’re not from SF) was a guy boarding a full bus with a 7 foot long dining table with the legs attached, arguing and threatening anyone who protested. Eventually he dropped the thing on someone’s foot and starting an altercation which delayed everyone by 15 mins.
I've ridden the 22 through the Mission at midnight every Tuesday for much of the last seven years. I assure you that's exactly as much as I thought I do.
You might be magic. Crazy, crazy shit goes down on Muni. I used it to commute from outer Richmond to downtown for years and the bystander effect was fully powered up on many of those rides. And it wasn't always the homeless people, little old Asian ladies could be hella scary.
I might be. I also commuted downtown from the outer Richmond for years, on the 31, the 38, the 1, and the 5. Oh, I've seen plenty of crazy stuff, but only one assault.
Okay, the point I think the poster up there was trying to make is that there are degrees of assault. I never saw anyone murdered, and only twice some sort of physical struggle. The number of times crazy yelling broke out is uncountable by me, though.
I rode BART for a year, every day something bad happened
That's a loaded question, but sure, let's go there. The problem with public transportation is that the public is allowed to use them, and the rules, legal and social, are not well defined or enforced. Assaulting other passengers is generally tolerated by the system, depending on the type of assault. Physical assault is considered too far and doesn't go unnoticed, but chemical and audio assault on fellow passengers usually goes unreported. The types of people are those who would assault others on some fashion.
Whether this translates to Waymos smelling like meth or fentanyl when you get in them thanks to the previous rider remains to be seen. Or just needles, foil, or used condoms left behind. They record video, so Google could close the person's account so they won't be able to book Waymos with that account again, so we'll end up having to see how hard it is to create new accounts to use Waymo on to ban nuisance riders.
It's not a loaded question to ask what a person means when they introduce a term.
That's a tautology. Nobody knows if a person fits the type of person who would assault someone, until after they've gone and assaulted someone.
Breaking news, google introduces social credit system that "only applies to waymo and think of the childen". More at 9
/s
I agree with your point about the approach to the argument, but I think google has enough info to make a way to vet passengers by identifying if you are likely to trash a vehicle.
Granted in my work I've never made the attempt to smell fentanyl, but it isn't one with a reputation of having an odor. I assume you mean the smell of recreational users of fentanyl.
i wonder if it's a function of a consistent cleaning schedule. Many uber drivers seem to wait far to long between interior cleans.
No idea. I'm just reporting on what's already actually happened in the past (my ride experiences) instead of speculating on what might happen in the future.
Potentially. But, with each driver exercising quality control over their own vehicles, the actual result will likely vary from hitting as good or better a standard to being worse. The Waymo standards, thus far, are pretty high, so I would expect on average Uber/Lyft/Etc. would fair worse on average.
I have no doubt that Google is waiting for more adoption before starting to cut costs everywhere and before you know it your puked out ride will direct you to www.waymo.hr/help to find an article which resolves your issue
Why would that be any different from Uber? Doesn't Uber also want to cut costs?
Uber has partner drivers which have their own companies, their own rating, and can be punished for their behaviour. Once a company completely vertically integrates (like Google would like), meaning they have their own cars, they no longer want to punish themselves for bad behaviour/cars. Since they have to choose between short term cost of higher maintenance fee or long term cost of loss of quality of service their managers will start to optimize for quarterly results: cutting short term costs. What they want is to first entrench the market, push out competitors, introduce complex regulation and fees which prevents new competitors into the market and then start cutting costs everywhere they can and increase prices.
Since you mention Uber, I can definitely see in my city how the quality of cars decreased and they started using almost inclusively cheap immigrants who realistically couldn't pass a drivers exam in my country and have on multiple occasions driven into wrong directions/ran red lights etc.
Waymo is posiionting itself as a premium product. Defending that brand precludes letting the cars go to shit.
They may be trying to, but when has Google ever successfully positioned something as a premium product and defended that?
Pixel phones? Nest? The Bayview hotel rooms are pretty nice. Hell even Gmail feels pretty premium to me, but I guess this word might be considered subjective.
Also, Waymo isn't even Google. You might accuse me of overstating this, but truthfully they operate as a different company.
There's always a first time.
Yup. Plus, if Waymo can clean its cars with greater efficiency at lower cost than Uber can, then all other things being equal, Waymo will have cleaner cars.
I didn't understand any of that.
The drivers are not the same people who activate their account.
There are schemes where undocumented immigrants ask someone to activate their account on their behalf. In practice, the person giving you a ride could be literally anyone.
Uber doesn't really have a way to increase profit through messier cars. But they can do things like increase prices after taking over a market, which they have not been at all shy about doing.
Don't they? Allowing messier, older, and less pleasant cars would increase the supply of drivers, allowing Uber to place lower bids on those drivers, lower their prices, increase volume and revenue, and increase profit.
The standards might one day be a problem. As in, maybe, and one day. Not definitely, and not currently.
Sometimes it's worth not worrying about problems too far in advance.
I would be surprised if the Waymp cars weren't exceptionally nice in this phase, while they're trying hard to gain market share and trust. Google Search was a clean and delightful experience once upon a time. The aspect I'm more interested in is what the experience will be like if they ever become a dominant transport option.
Waymo's have cameras inside the car to make sure the vehicles are clean: https://support.google.com/waymo/answer/9190819
Yeah they probably pipe that video to an algorithm that does background subtraction so they're able to assert that the vehicle is clear of foreign objects, but those cameras don't detect smell. If someone defecates and wipes it somewhere the camera doesn't see, then what?
The rider reports an issue and Waymo sends a new car while they send the dirty one back to the depot back to be cleaned? Offending previous rider is charged a fee and then banned for life.
Hard for me to imagine this being a widespread problem. Probably about as much problem as there is with something similar happening in the elevator of a private building.
"the algorithm has decided that the subject has likely defecated with 63% probability and will be ejected in t-5 minutes.
Subject has no recourse to appeal and is banned from life including his ancestors and spawns"
One of the worst parts of the Uber experience is the smell of the driver. Especially those that put on heavy cologne or perfumes.
Those who choose to drive around with air recirculation on all day...
No one but they have to return to base to recharge pretty quickly, whereupon someone can clean and tidy them.
I wonder if the cleanliness will be maintained over time? Presumably this requires humans to physically clean periodically, and it seems like this would suffer when the company starts to squeeze costs to improve margins.
The biggest problem with cleaning is that compared to Uber where there's a human driver, the autonomy factor will almost certainly lead to more people fucking shit up simply because they can. Look at anything else that goes unattended in the public way: ebikes, delivery bot things, scooters... nasty combo of "I want to fuck with The Man" and "haha nobody is here watching I don't need to be as careful with my messy sandwich"
Thats silly. The cars are private property and full of cameras being monitored by a tech giant.
I’m sure the account agreement is going to require you to to accept being charged egregious bills for damaging or dirty-ing the cabin
It is indeed silly. And yet every taxi driver has plenty of horror stories, and that's with a human sitting there.
Taxis have basically no recourse if you just ditch. Waymo has a video of you, your full name, your billing address and your credit card on file.
So do hotels, I guess that’s why no hotel room has ever been trashed.
I guess that's why no hotel lets you pay cash.
What? Plenty of hotels let you pay cash. Or is that sarcasm?
They'll accept cash if you fork out a $300 deposit, and the people who are likely to both pay cash and trash a room rarely have that much extra money on hand.
A friend of mine works night audit in a rough part of the valley. As soon as he says the magic words 'we require a major credit card or a $300 deposit', they immediately hang up.
This heavily depends on the country, plenty of places in the US and other credit-card-loving countries are credit (and specifically credit, NOT debit) card only for this reason. Plenty of tourists from countries where such cards aren't as popular get bitten by this.
I've never been to a hotel that didn't require a valid credit card as a hold for security when checking in.
Sure you can pay in cash at the end if you want.
But you can't get a room in the first place without a credit card, even if they never charge it.
(I mean I'm sure there are some exceptions somewhere, but generally speaking, no, cash isn't sufficient.)
The point is when there's damage, it can be billed to the malicious actor in question.
Unlike Waymo, hotels can't really bar the bad actors from staying in any hotel ever again.
At some point, the people who tent to leave a mess in Waymos just... won't be allowed to ride in Waymos any more.
At some point, the people who tent to leave a mess in Waymos just... won't be allowed to ride in Waymos any more.
Starting to sound a bit like a credit system or some other dystopian shit show. You do something dumb, drunk while in college and you're cut off...sounds amazing.
No, the point was that billing the damage to the malicious actor in question will prevent damage.
But for some people, a fine is just the cost of doing the thing. And for every bad actor you ban, there's another bad actor willing to take their place.
Some taxis have that too. Where does it get them?
The keyword there being "some". If an account is tied to the person, recourse for negligent/malicious behavior can be applied, but that only works if there's an account to add the penalty to.
On Waymo's part, requiring an account to use the service would be in the benefit of the service as a whole.
Waymo has a video of you, your full name, your billing address and your credit card on file.
The future is awesome
That's my biggest concern too. My fear is in 20 years nobody will be excited to go in these because the interiors will be whittled down to dilapidated NY subway seats.
Once these become more common I am sure they'll adapt the interior to be more similar to the subway (plastic seats, no carpet, hard plastic everywhere) instead of having luxury car seats.
It's probably a little bit better since a car is a closed environment. That won't save it entirely, but it'll at least mitigate the issue I expect as compared to e.g., a public bus.
1. The cars are not unattended 2. Public transit and the like get rekt because they are cheap and there is no consequences whatsoever. When you get $400 full detail bill like they do for rentals and/or get banned for life (even as a +1 because they have your face) that tends to have a chilling effect
You need an account, probably with a credit card, if you're gonna ride. If you intentionally mess up the car, you'll probably just get banned from the service.
Waymos do have interior cameras, so if you puke in the backseat you can't blame it on the previous rider
I think eventually they’ll just make a car (like Zooks is) without all the messy crud (steering wheel etc) and with fixed, waterproof seats and such. It will be designed for automatic cleaned by driving into a depot and being hosed down.
Think of those self-cleaning toilets.
Right. This is a prototype. You've got a whole empty seat not being used, and a steering wheel sat there baiting someone to play with it. The vehicle was never designed for the purpose for which it is being used.
I totally agree we will start to see very specific driverless designs that are very easy to clean.
Either that, or Johnny Cabs. I'm easy.
https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/1dolh8l/ve...
The nhtsa used to require all vehicles have steering wheels. Looks like that rule changed in March 2022 for autonomous vehicles so we should so start seeing those. I guess it just takes a while for new autonomous vehicles to be designed and built to take advantage of the change in rules.
Let me introduce you to WayGlo. They pivot to automated car cleaners...
I wonder if they'd ever offer riders a discount for taking trash out that was left behind by other riders. They could even include a vacuum and give people a couple bucks off for cleaning it out during/after their ride.
Every rider’s identity is known. That’s going to play a huge role in how people treat them.
I imagine the cars all head to some centralized location for cleaning and whatever other maintenance. That probably makes cleaning a very economic, factory-like procedure. Beats something like Uber where drivers have to bring their cars to a car wash or whatever (although presumably the Uber drivers aren't being paid to wash the cars because they aren't employees, so the unpaid labor there gives Uber an advantage).
That's a good robotics project. All the cars are the same. The cars do not have any objects inside that belong to the occupants and should stay. So robotic interior vacuuming could be quite practical, as a station in the car wash. A vision system can inspect for damage and route that car to the maintenance line.
So smooth they apparently opt to blow red lights instead of stopping abruptly.
source: I commute by skateboard in SF daily. Just yesterday an empty Waymo cruised straight through a fresh red, narrowly missing my entry into the crosswalk.
But don't get me started on what I've seen human drivers do on the same streets. Just annoyed that Waymo's aren't better.
Surprised traffic lights aren't updated to communicate with cars directly. Why not have traffic lights broadcast 'stop' message along with turning red?
I suspect traffic lights, roads and cities will have to be updated to work with driverless cars.
It does. It uses a specific band on the electro magnetic spectrum commonly supported by most receivers
SF traffic lights do not.
Of course they do. A specially trained human can even visualize those signals.
Lol I missed the joke.
hm? Are you mixed up with Transit Signal Priority where Muni can request the light stay green a little longer?
I've never heard of the lights transmitting their timing
This article from SFMTA erroneously states that the busses use "GPS to communicate with the traffic signal", lol, what is the actual band used ?
https://www.sfmta.com/blog/green-lights-muni
I think the commenter was alluding to the 430 terahertz band.
Why? That would be expensive and the cars are designed to understand the lights as they are.
Competing anecdata: Yesterday I was running downtown and a Waymo stopped for me at a green light because it wasn't sure if I was gonna jaywalk (jayrun?). Only once I stood still for a few seconds did it continue to make its turn.
This was in a turn-left-only intersection with a separate pedestrian light. Maybe the Waymo got confused and thought I also had green.
Could also be that they're taught to be overly cautious to avoid suicidally stupid humans
It's pretty normal for people running in densely populated cities with 15mph average traffic speeds to ignore red lights. Nothing suicidal about it :)
Yes, but SF seems to have some truly reckless pedestrians, often presumably under the influence of substances. There are graduations between "cross at a red light when you think it's safe to do so" and "barge into a 4 lane street in the middle of a block because the voices in your head tell you to".
I sometimes wait on pedestrians when turning right on a green and pedestrians do a little dance on the corner that makes it hard to tell if/when they're gonna cross.
Have also nearly been hit as a pedestrian by a Waymo. I also last week saw a Waymo blow through a yellow-red very aggressively, so I think the downvotes on above comment are intensely biased.
The way you can tell that a mode of transport is very safe is there are tons of people online whining that they almost got killed by it.
No. It means it’s only a matter of time before this technology breaks the law and kills someone.
Or people are sensitive to it and the rate at which it kills people will be lower than humans, or probably already is!
I think it’s legal to enter an intersection on yellow and exit on red in CA. Thats why.
Human drivers speed up to avoid red, and yay you avoided red but the suddenly higher speed is far more dangerous for everyone around.
Why would it be illegal to enter on yellow? I thought that's the entire point of yellow. Otherwise we'd just have red and green, and hopefully you can imagine how that would work out.
In some states you are supposed to attempt to stop on yellow unless it’s unsafe to do so: https://axleaddict.com/safety/The-Meaning-of-the-Yellow-Traf...
I would like to see video of an equivalent incident.
Anecdata to say I've been in a Waymo and had it run a red.
Is there any kind of limit to them besides the geofence? Can you get a Waymo at night? In the rain? I suppose it never snows there. How about roadworks? How do they react to vehicles with emergency signals? Can they follow directions of a cop in the street?
No. Yes. Yes. Waymo's have been taught to handle construction and emergency signals. Waymo's can follow hand directions from a cop in the street.
Are there no freeways inside the geofence? Someone in the thread mentions that they will be adding freeways soon, so I understand it can't do those now.
There are freeways within the geofence in SF. My understanding is that Waymos will not drive on those freeways without a safety driver for now.
Freeway driving is easier than surface streets. Maybe merging in is the hard part.
You haven't driven on 101 in SF, I take it.
10 mph would be a great average speed, usually.
Based on my limited experience with Telsa model 3 FSD and my Toyota lane assist/radar cruise control, congested highways are the absolute sweet spot for self driving. Not much happening on the sides, and stop and go traffic being quite tedious for the human. It's happy to speed up and slow down over and over again.
well, in that case they should drive on 101 in the City. No pedestrians (normally) as you said.
Of course, if you have an accident there, you piss off a whole lot more people than you would on a surface street.
never been. Is that the one from the phantom planet song?
YMMV greatly depending on time of day.
uh, in southern california there used to be an unspoken rule: if you can't pass the driver's test with freeway included, you go to NorCo and take the test there. No freeway - the hardest thing is the "parallel park and reverse" which is just being told prior "when you pull over, take as long as you need to get as parallel as you can to the curb, then just go in reverse, look over your shoulder, and don't touch the wheel." Well, that and you automatically fail if you hit a cow.
Freeways in CA aren't the worst in the country (lookin at you, TX), but they're still not easier than surface streets, especially during off-peak hours.
Can you expand a bit on why you feel freeway driving is "easier"? the only thing i can think of is you're much less likely to get into a head-on[0] collision.
[0] apply directly
There's fewer pedestrians that might or might not be about to step in front of the car. Less need to predict human actions. There's mostly no perpendicular intersections. Generally visibility is good, don't have to remember that there was a car getting ready to enter traffic behind the peach tree. No skate boarders.
Fuckups are substantially worse though
that's the key point. a crash at 5 mph is inconsequential next to a crash at 50 mph.
It's "easier", but if you screw up, the consequences are MUCH worse.
Also, when Waymos get confused on surface streets, they can just stop. Can't really do that on a freeway.
Good point. Not sure what the status is in SF. They're working on it in Phoenix: https://waymo.com/blog/2024/01/from-surface-streets-to-freew...
They are starting to obstruct bike lanes just like Ubers, I’ve seen this happen 3-4 times and it’s documented here: https://sfba.social/@SafeStreetRebel/112634004752866771
Years ago they were very respectful and conservative of basic road markings but clearly they have now ‘expanded capabilities’
California law says vehicles can enter the bike lane whenever they feel it is safe to do so.
This is false. Please don't spread dangerous legal misinformation.
See CVC 21209(a):
No person shall drive a motor vehicle in a bicycle lane established on a roadway pursuant to Section 21207 except as follows:
(1) To park where parking is permitted.
(2) To enter or leave the roadway.
(3) To prepare for a turn within a distance of 200 feet from the intersection.
They definitely cannot enter a protected bike lane as shown in the tweet.
And they can't just park in bike lanes, obviously.
While they pick up in almost every location the drop off is sometimes "close by" like 3min walk to final destination (the app tells you in advance tho so you can decide to order or not). This is quite annoying sometimes and I picked uber instead.
https://waymo.com/blog/2022/02/utilizing-key-point-and-pose-....
I’d say the same, maybe. But yesterday I had an Uber with a guy that had a degree in history and a love for SF lore, and told me about the tomb of Starr King, and then I went on a quest to find it with my friend. Just saying that there’s magic out there that’s not technological.
Not so difficult to add this feature with the help of human like voice and LLM backend.
That kind of misses the point; it was the human that was interesting to me and the interaction we had, not that he gave information.
I think llms can create a good interaction based on the exchange. But is the real question is what make humans unique that these algorithms cannot do.
Put a tone monitoring system to tell if the person is getting annoyed, and have a fallback that reroutes you to a warehouse of offshore comedians.
You'd replace your parent's with an LLM.
You're not wrong, but I think part of point of storytelling is about connecting people with each other and creating a sense of community.
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Dark magic too, I've been on one too many rides where the driver insists on monologuing on topics that range from detestable (politics) to alarming (the driver was armed, and had picked me up from the airport)
Was there a law against being armed in the airport dropoff/pickup area there?
No, I added the pick-up locationbut to make it clear the driver knew I was unarmed as I was coming off a flight, since one can't legally fly with a gun.
It's legal to fly with guns in checked bags, but I don't know the specifics of the interaction with the driver.
In most countries, including US and all EU member states, one can legally fly with firearms and ammunition. There are some rules that must be followed. Sure, you can not take them to the cabin.
I have women friends who have been physically assaulted by human drivers.
Yeah, I've ridden with two cool drivers with history degrees, one jazz musician from Ethiopia, and one who I'd already met elsewhere. Zero interest in riding in a Waymo. (Disclaimer: Alphabet shareholder)
Another comment, another thread mentioned that Waymo requires more walking than an equivalent Uber ride - to the pickup location, from the drop-off location. Anyone know why this might be true?
I'll hazard a guess: because Uber drivers are sometimes willing to stop for a minute in an illegal spot to park to do a quick pick up or drop off, and Waymos are never willing to do that (presumably).
During one of my last Waymo rides the car stopped on Powell between Bush and Sutter (facing South stopping on the regular lane a bit before the Powell/Sutter crossing). This caused other drivers to drive on the cable car tracks to go around the Waymo (which are separated from the driving lane with a double yellow line) and it caused a truck to do a right turn directly from the cable car tracks (as there wasn't enough space to merge back into the lane).
Not sure if was legal or not for the Waymo to stop there, but given that Waymo stops take quite a bit longer than stops with Uber/Lyft (as it takes a while for the car to continue driving) this was one of the worst places possible to stop. Especially as there would have been space available right after the crossing next to Walgreens.
Honestly, it’s almost always legal to stop in a lane. Regardless of the fact that other drivers had bad behavior, that was the right thing to do. Some of the future of all this is that we will need to install curbs in places we don’t have them now to prevent bad human behavior.
This is absolutely false in California, please don't spread dangerous misinformation.
See CVC 22400(a):
No person shall drive upon a highway at such a slow speed as to impede or block the normal and reasonable movement of traffic unless the reduced speed is necessary for safe operation, becauseof a grade, or in compliance with law.
No person shall bring a vehicle to a complete stop upon a highway so as to impede or block the normal and reasonable movement of traffic unless the stop is necessary for safe operation or in compliance with law.
The above was referencing stopping on a city street ("Powell between Bush and Sutter"). You're talking about stopping on a highway. These things are not particularly comparable.
I’ve seen a Waymo stop and pick up a rider at Octavia and Linden. If you look at a map, you can see that it’s totally blocking all traffic.
Double parking is legal (in some cases) in California, but this wouldn’t be allowed under any reasonable interpretation.
I’ve also seen Waymos double parked on both sides of the street, which blocks other cars from going around them.
Last night a waymo dropped me off near the giants game. Presumably somewhere you aren’t meant to stop as I heard a security guard on loudspeaker asking “the car with the display on top” to move along as I was walking away, but the car wouldn’t move as there was still relatively fast traffic moving past it.
I’ve had to walk a few times near steep hills, I was wondering if partly it was due to the angle of approach and the sensor view being blocked so they avoid the area?
Human taxi drivers are okay parking illegally to do pick-ups/drop-offs, and we as a society usually tolerate that, as long as they're quick about it.
But Waymo probably isn't comfortable telling its cars to park in many illegal parts of streets, even if it's going to be quick. Partially because determining which illegal parking jobs are socially acceptable vs unacceptable is a hard determination for a robot to make.
Fwiw there is a checkbox if you want to absolutely minimize walking. It'll often do things like drive around the block so you don't have to cross the street yourself.
One thing I actually think is really cool about the Waymo ux (full disclosure, I work for Google but not Waymo) is how it elevates the pickup/dropoff locations to feel like more of a first class feature (compared to just typing in an address and your Uber driver dropping you off in the general area).
I don't think I've ever had to walk more than 30 feet to a pickup location, but I have had it drop me off at the nearest cross street (usually on streets where it would've had to double park in front of my exact drop-off location)
I got access to Waymo in LA a few weeks ago and have taken it 4 times. It's capabilities are impressive for sure, but I'm not sure I'd go as far as "smooth and sure ride". The car's skills seems to vary between impressive and "nervous new driver". It drives like someone that got randomly stuck into a much bigger car than they are used to.
When I rode in one, admittedly a long time ago when cruise was still operating in sf too, the waymo car pulled over for a firetruck. However, the firetruck was merely crossing the road we were on and it was 3 streets away. And the waymo pulled into a bus stop to do this. The safety driver had to nudge it back into traffic.
The rate at which these systems are improving makes it almost useless to compare even six months ago.
Prove that. Because last time I checked in there wasn't a self-driving system in play that wouldn't faceplant into wet cement, blow through crosswalks, or find itself trapped in a cleverly deployed ring of salt. Additionally, by their own admission Waymo is nowhere near level 5 autonomy, which means they still haven't reached parity with what a mediocre human driver is capable of.
Well they just announced that they are doing tens of thousands of rides per week. That either works or it doesn't. And they seem pretty comfortable doing that. Also there's a distinct lack of horror stories involving Waymo cars. And I assume that they don't have thousands of mechanical turks wielding a joystick somewhere, which means these things are mostly working as advertised (i.e. autonomously) with the very occasional manual intervention.
So, what you are asserting and that cannot be true at the same time. So, my conclusion is that whatever you think you know here is probably wrong.
Idgaf if they're round-tripping the equivalent to mars and back weekly, the fact of the matter is their tech cannot perform at the level of a human driver who's had their license for a week, by their own admission. No amount of argle-bargle changes that as the autonomy levels are very well-defined and Waymo self-reports as L4 under optimal conditions and no clear path to L5 in sight in the next decade. Let's not confuse a legislative fuckup on the part of cdot with actual technical prowess yeah?
You are splitting hairs. Tens of thousands of rides per week. Autonomously. Those are the keywords. Other things they are bragging about involve such things as 24/7, night and day, and foggy conditions. I would suggest actually reading the short press release. They make quite a few interesting claims in it. Anyway, anyone in the SFO area will probably be reporting all the wonderful and uneventful rides they are enjoying with Waymo soon.
As for people that recently got their drivers license. I'm pretty sure that demographic is over-represented in the statistics of who drives the least safely, traffic fatalities, etc. Also insurers and rental car agencies have policies that reflect those cold, hard statistics. It will be interesting to see what they do when level 5 starts happening (probably sooner rather than later). My guess is that they'll charge people extra for the privilege of taking control of the car as they are far more likely to damage the vehicle and otherwise cause trouble.
And obviously one of the points Waymo is trying to make with their press release is that they are already safer. It's a press release of course and not the same as cold hard facts. And you make a fair point about self reporting. But it suggests the obvious notion that computers are getting pretty good at not crashing into stuff (or people). I find that entirely unsurprising, BTW. It does not seem like a particularly hard problem.
Not only will safety take a long time for technical reasons, but its extremely predictable under what financial conditions corporate execs sweep safety issues under the carpet. If Alphabet has a few tricky quarters good luck to everyone.
Oh sure yeah. It'd take exactly one legislative push to place full liability in the case of accidents onto the vehicle manufacturer (where it clearly belongs) to fold up every autonomy division in the industry like a wet towel. What galls the shit out of me is there's apparently enough dumb money afoot to float R&D spend equivalent to the GDP of a middle of the road 3rd world country just to make cabbies lives even more miserable.
I appreciate the implication these cars are driven by ghosts :rofl:
took two waymo rides in SF and two nightmare cab rides in SF and memphis in the last couple of days.
one waymo was perfect, the other ran a red light then stopped in the intersection diagonally across two lanes of traffic until the light turned green. didn't endanger anyone but felt awkward!
on the cab ride to SFO my driver kept falling asleep and veering into the next lane, i tried talking with him to keep him awake but it was clear he'd been driving all morning and was exhausted.
the cab ride from memphis international was interesting, the cab was falling apart, driver was nice but he tried to convert me to christianity for the last ten minutes of the ride.
the waymos will end up safer but totally devoid of character.
My AIs have no character, I demand my Roomba show a little passion when cleaning.
Ghosts in the machine aren't real, which is a shame, so we should fix that!
You joke but that would go so hard. Like DJ Roomba from Parks and Rec.
From my (hopefully) neutral point of view I think Waymo running a red traffic light is the worst of all and most likely will end up in a disaster.
For huge metropolitan cities for examples London, Istanbul, Delhi, Tokyo, Jakarta or Sao Paulo running a red traffic with a car can most probably cause fatal accidents. I am now more than convinced that level 5 autonomous driving cannot be achieved in my lifetime, and much better efforts should be better directed toward non-invasive highly accurate early detection of high mortality diseases like CVDs and efforts for properly mitigating climate changes.
This self driving car ride brought to you in part by: your local Christian church
The possibility of "character" is always my biggest dread when getting into a taxi or an Uber.
I just want to get from point A to point B without having to make small talk or delicately navigate a political discussion with a stranger. A stranger who both controls the vehicle and, in the case of Uber/Lyft, will be giving me a rating at the end of the ride.
I will prefer a human driver (for several reasons) for a long time to come. I would even pay more for a a human driver.
Because of safety concerns or because you like the idea that in principle humans should be driving?
In other words, what kind of safety metrics do you think would be necessary to change your mind?
If in N years 90% of your peers use self-driving cars, and the only accidents you hear about are in the news about people you don't know, would that change your feelings about safety?
Primarily because I Lack trust (safety concerns) and prefer the flexibility of human drivers. Besiides, I think eliminating "simple" jobs like being a driver will result in more social problems.
I am blind. General statistics and adoption rate in my peer group (sighted coworkers) are not representative for me at all. None of these datapoint give a good indication how much I am (as a visually non-participating pedestrian) in danger.
Given my life experience, it is safe to assume nobody really thought about blind people. I am regularily tripping over (and hurting myself with) badly placed bicycles. I am assuming a high percentage of these bicycle owners are well-meaning, green-voting people. However, their political and/or personal attitude doesn't help people like me at all, we still get hurt on a regular basis, and nobody talks about it. I would be surprised if this changed with AVs.
How is pricing? https://www.reddit.com/r/SelfDrivingCars/comments/18abac9/pr...
Why deal with real people when we can plug ourselves into the matrix? Until we get so bored that we ask the matrix to create fake people for us to interact with.
I definitely would not want to be a beta tester of this software. I know too well how the sausage is made, I guess.
We are way too aggressive with allowing self-driving cars on our roads. Companies are incapable of building a toaster without bugs, our banking apps are a burning garbage dumpster fire, and yet we somehow think it will be different this time?
They're worth trying once, but they're not ready to replace Lyft/Uber. The cost is similar or sometimes even more for Waymo, and the trip often takes longer thanks to the car's skittishness. The ride length estimates are also quite optimistic which can lead to arriving later than one intends. I don't see a real compelling reason to keep using them.
Personally I dont understand why they went with Jaguars. I wish they had gone with Hondas and struck a deal with them to integrate their level 3 Autonomous tech as it is the most advanced in the industry.