Full text of the ruling here:
https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/noncompete-rule...
It's not surprising after thinking about it for a minute, but it did startle me to read that the FTC measures innovation by the number of patents issued.
In addition, the final rule is expected to help drive innovation, leading to an estimated average increase of 17,000 to 29,000 more patents each year for the next 10 years under the final rule.
I've always thought of that as representing a stifling of innovation.
The short lifetime of patents and the requirement that you publish detailed information about the invention significantly mitigates this. If they were measuring innovation by the number of copyrights filed, then I might agree with you.
In theory? Yes. In practice? No.
For a lot of industries 20 years is an awfully long time to the point of complete irrelevance - and that "detailed information" is often vague enough to be unusable. Combine that with an overly-broad range of patent-able things and an overworked USPTO granting clearly invalid patents, and in practice (at least in the tech/software world) it's doing more harm than good.
Patents are no longer about protecting R&D investments. They have become more about patenting the vaguest concepts possible, in the hope of making a profit when someone else does an actual invention which somehow stumbles into your patents' wording.
Patents are no longer about protecting R&D investments.
Patents are always the tool of the moneyed and the lawyered, which is not the same thing as protecting R&D investment. There are exception, such as the guy who spent 12 years suing car companies over the windshield wiper, but that actually proves the rule because of time spent. It even apparently cause his marriage to break down. [1]
1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Kearns
To be fair, this appears to be a case of greed:
Presumably, the point of a patent is to 'protect' the little guy which I would argued actually doesn't.
Not that I don't agree with you, what makes Kearns' pursuit 'greedy'?
He rejected $30,000,000.
Jury awarded 1/6 after litigation.
Ford payed double to get rid of this nuisance.
$30 million in 1990 was fuck you money. It’s still enough to comfortably retire on for a high school aged person.
Inflation begs to differ. That much money left liquid for 60 years at 10% inflation will be worth less than 100k of today’s money.
Edit: sorry about the non sequitur. Bitterly learning about inflation and fiat recently.
What? That's not how inflation works. Even left to rot in a bank account it would still be 30 mil today. Not worth as much as 30 mil in 1990 but still worth as much as 30 mil in 2024 because it is still 30 mil.
The only way I can think of it making sense is if @syklep is from a country with a currency that has inflated 10% every year with respect to the dollar for the past 60 years, and that they assumed you'd buy local currency with the $30m when you get it and now would try to sell it back for dollars.
I don't think that currency exists though. The closest current example I can think of is if you're Argentinian and you bought $30m worth of Argentinian pesos in 1992 which would be worth ~$35k today. But that is due to relatively recent hyperinflation, not yearly 10% inflation, 10 years ago it would still be worth $4.3m, 15 years ago $8.8m.
You'd have to be seriously asleep at the wheel (or being strong-armed by local law enforcement, unfortunately) to keep your liquid currency parked in a hyperinflationary currency.
Seems like kind of a non sequitur. Who would keep the money purely liquid? GP was pretty obviously talking about if it were invested, which statistically would have beat inflation using even pretty conservative options/funds. Using the 4% rule, it would have yielded $1.2m annually in 1990 value, and adjusted up for inflation every year thereafter. That's more than $2.8m/year in today's dollar.
Not only that, but in the odd scenario where it was "kept liquid", or kept purely in cash, it'd be worth $30m in today's money, not $100k. It's not clear where the $100k figure is even coming from. Even $100k/year doesn't make sense in any context I can derive.
I don't know when exactly it happened but you can be 100% sure anyone complaining about fiat currency has no idea what fiat currency actually is, has something to sell you, and if you don't get out soon enough you'll be standing there listening to them misunderstand Nixon at you.
You should learn some more.
10% inflation? And left liquid and earning literally nothing?
I guess if he lit the money all on fire, it would be worth nothing, too.
Don’t forget that the lawyers probably took 33-40%, after costs.
He acted as his own layer, or at least, it's what Wikipedia reports
Definitely agree — software patents should be abolished, full stop. They serve no purpose but to impede innovation and progress.
I’d argue the same applies to all patents; the world would be better off without them in general.
Maybe software patents require releasing the source code and last for a shorter term related to the pace of technological change. Then the incentive to share the advance is preserved instead of everything being a trade secret.
There’s not much in software that other people can’t figure out on their own though. Not too much social benefit in sharing.
I think Linux is a strong counter argument. And software might be simple to recreate, but it’s a shame to have so many smart folks spend time reinventing the wheel instead of building on each others work.
But the value in Linux is not the innovation but the sheer effort to (re-)create it. Patents don't protect that at all, copyright does (not that I am arguing for copyright, it also causes more problems than it solves).
Aren't the details of algorithms usually secret? E.g. my understanding is that the primary value that Tik Tok brings to the table is their recommendation algorithm.
The primary value of any social network is the network effect
There are no software patents.
https://www.uspto.gov/sites/default/files/documents/RT2%206-...
I mean look at slides 8 and 9.
OK fine, but there are patents covering applications of rubber, steel, electricity, and software.So either you think "well it's not a software patent, it's a patent that covers the application of some software" is a useful point to make, or you're being pedantic for pedantry's sake. To the former, I don't think that makes a difference to someone being sued by a patent troll.
Is there a video that goes with those slides?
Well no system can work that way - if judges in court were overworked and making invalid judgements, then the legal system would fail no matter what kind of laws you have and no matter what police does
These are pretty strange arguments. Why should an overworked USPTO lead to more patents? That assumes that the default is to grant the patent. If the default is to reject the patent, then an overworked office would not lead to more patents.
An overworked Supreme Court does not lead to more Supreme Court decisions.
Former USPTO patent examiner here. I'll answer why an overworked USPTO will lead to more patents at present, but I make no claims that it should be this way.
The effective default is to grant patents. Why? Because the examiner has a finite amount of time for each application and has to have some sort of justification for a rejection. Unless there are some formal problems with the patent application, "I couldn't find prior art" means that a patent will be granted. Examiners could try "official notice" to basically say that they don't think it's novel or non-obvious without providing a reference, but that's easily defeated by attorneys. Examiners must provide a clear justification for a rejection.
If the amount of time an examiner has is too low (and it's far too low), that increases the chance that no prior art will be found, and consequently increases the chance that invalid patents will be granted.
Contrast that with the Supreme Court: The Supreme Court can decline to see a case. You can't do that as an examiner. You can try to have an application transferred, but that will just give it to another overworked examiner!
Interesting. Did you enjoy it? Why did you stop?
The path of least resistance makes appearance once again. If we don't understand that this guides the default final state, we would argue about nothing constructive.
The problem is, it is in the interests of the wealthy and powerful that both those things be true—that the USPTO be so overworked they can't adequately review most patents, and that the default be to grant the patent.
And the wealthy and powerful use that wealth and power to influence how government functions.
Thus, the current situation.
I think we are mixing up two different ideas
Suppose an institution is overworked, it has two options - long queue or rush the job.
Courts understand their role is important, so you have a long wait, but they d0 the job properly.
Patent office, perhaps, rushes the job. Now whether they issue too many or too few patents is maybe equally bad, in my view, it’s screwed up either way.
I think different patent lengths for different industries would do much to improve the current insanity.
I think full audited accounting of research costs should be included in the patent filing and that the patent should end either after 20 years or until profits from the invention (including payments from other companies licencing the invention) match 10x the costs.
And the maximum payout on violating a patent should be the remaining profit to end the patent.
Differences between industries then look after themselves.
Oddly all patent creators realize that extended Cabo vacations are the best way to brainstorm, and private Jet flights help with collaboration. Obviously only affordable by wealthy companies.
"short lifetime" is relative. Had Apple been granted a patent on the idea of a smartphone the same year they released the iPhone, that patent would only expire in three years.
There are some industries where due to slow-moving markets the 20 year patent period is still sensible, but for most sectors we would be better off with a 5 or 10 year patent period to account for the increased speed of innovation.
Apple did not invent the smart phone. The invented several features that make them useful (even their version one lacked apps), but others made smart phones before them. What Apple really did was make them useful by eliminating several of the things that made them annoying not not useful before.
that’s literally every patentable invention ever, though.
Remington didn’t invent the hunting rifle… they didn’t even invent the first self-loading or lever action rifle, probably.
“removing the annoyances and downsides that make a previous approach infeasible or impractical” is more charitably described as “a useful innovation that advances the field”.
Now, the problem is that a lot of patents are issued for things that someone else already has done, so the recipient of the patent isn't actually advancing the state of the art. But on the face of it, "removing the annoyances and downsides that make a previous approach infeasible or impractical" is literally what patents are supposed to be granted for.
The difference is you can work around those patents*
They didn't say Apple invented the iPhone. That was a counterfactual example to make a point.
Also, the point counts even if Apple just patented enough to block comparable phones.
The point: For the smartphone market, 20 years would be a very long effective time for any foundational or gatekeeping patents.
Didn't Samsung and Apple have a tiff over the shape of the phone? "Rectangle with rounded corners"
How is the lifetime of patents short? I mean they last for 20 years, that's an entire generation of time to make a profit?
They're short relative to other IP (like copyright), and short relative to inventions that have long R&D and cost recovery timelines. If $NEW_DRUG takes 5 years to develop, 5 years to trial, 5 years to market, and 5 years to profit...20 years isn't all that long.
If the invention takes 3 weeks and $0, yeah, 20 years is a long time.
…then the patent can be invalidated on the basis that it is obvious.
If the invention is commercially valuable, then invalidating it (or just pretending it doesn’t exist until you get sued, then invalidating it) can make more sense than licensing it.
A related issue is that there are many, many patents that most people (e.g., competitors) mostly ignore, because everyone, including the patent owner, knows that they would be invalidated if challenged.
Yeah, it seems like we should have stricter "obviousness" testing when patents are issued. At least based on some of the software ones I've seen.
for software patents they should have to disclose the sourcecode
Any patent that fails to “teach” the innovation can be challenged and will likely prevail if it’s an egregious gap. That’s the public benefit part, in writing.
Depends on the industry, 20 years is a lifetime in software.
20 years is not short! 20 years might be appropriate for capital-intensive innovations (e.g., in pharma), but definitely not for industries where innovations are not typically capital-intensive. E.g., 20 years for cryptography and software patents is a disaster.
not if patents become a weapon against actual innovation - which it has devolved into being today.
Far from being made to progress science and the arts, patents have become a method for which large corporations can add moats to competition. Things like codecs for video/audio, which are purely mathematical expressions, have been patented. Genes and molecules, even tho they might occur naturally, can be patented (a very tenuous form of invention - it's discovered, even if not naturally occurring!).
And not to mention design patents.
I say the entire patent system needs to be abolished, or at least, made such that only applicable to physical mechanisms, and not software, nor biological systems.
In theory maybe, but in practice it seems like the opposite. The current growth of the 3D printer market is in part directly tied to the lapsing of several key patents in the area.
Further, most patents may contain key details, but they also intentionally contain as much broad information as to create a massive exclusionary zone, not to mention burying any legitimately useful information.
Respectfully, how do you define the current patent terms as “short”? Sure copyright is much worse, but innovation regularly happens on the scale of months! The current term of 20 years seems incredibly long to me, and it’s not clear that even at 5 years patents would provide more benefit than harm.
Most of the purported benefits of patents seem based on theories that most people don’t understand. We all take some received knowledge about their supposed operation, and usually proponents of patents know nothing about how powerful innovation in open source and other patent-free spaces can be.
Insane to me that they use this as a measure of innovation, when almost by definition it is the antithesis of innovation.
What definition is that? Because the legal definition of patent I’m familiar with requires each patent to be a unique innovation.
That fewer patents are filed is not evidence that fewer innovations are taking place. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.
That fewer patents are filed is not an absence of evidence. It's evidence that fewer patents are being filed. If one believes patent filings are correlated with innovation (which is debatable either way), then it is (non-probative but still significant) evidence that fewer innovations are taking place.
This is exactly the claim I'm taking issue with. The OP implied that the legal definition of innovation was "patents filed" and implied that this is somehow meaningful, and I'm saying that the absence of patents is not evidence of a lack of innovation.
a patent is a legal restriction affecting what others are allowed to produce. a person/group hit by such a restriction may elect to not produce the (innovative) thing they otherwise would have.
so that's the viewpoint in which patents may be "the antithesis to innovation". i won't argue which one's correct, just providing it here since you requested.
Patents also require disclosure of how something is done, and the history of innovation in the Western world has been one of iterative improvements on patented inventions so as to be granted a new patent.
Software arguably is not suited for a patent system, but patents have worked well for centuries.
What objective metric would you recommend they use, instead?
Productivity improvement in a physical application - it now takes fewer people less time to build a house
It takes less resources to remedy a failed over bridge. You’d have to have a basket of measurement like how we measure CPI - current approach is lazy.
What if an innovation makes things better, instead of faster?
The house takes just as long to build, but it's sturdier, longer lasting, better insulated, etc?
Well those are all measurable quantities, and you can measure them in proportion to their economic importance - like house insulation is a big change if you live in cold climate, etc.
I am not saying it’s easy, but economics is full of complex measurements, financial derivatives, and god knows what. Maybe they should spend some effort measuring the real world.
Without opining on the validity of the overall patent count as a measure of creativity, here's a cool paper I saw describing how to determine 'creative patents' - https://raw.githubusercontent.com/aakashkalyani/WebsiteUploa...
Sadly, over my long career as a tech startup entrepreneur, my experience has been that your assumption is correct the vast majority of the time. Now when I teach or mentor young tech entrepreneurs I'm often explaining why they probably don't want to prioritize filing patents as part of their startup strategy. While there are certain exceptions, especially in pharma, biotech, materials science or medical fields, the years it takes for a patent to become enforceable and then the upfront cost + further years required to actually get a judgement, make patents largely ineffective in most startup contexts. There's also substantial uncertainty as to whether a startup can get the patent granted at all. After that, there's the challenge of getting it granted in a form which remains defensible and can't be easily worked around. Many people don't realize patent examiners can refuse to grant a patent unless the applicant narrows the claims.
Conversely, as a tech startup these days you do need to worry about patents potentially being used against you. The majority of tech patent cases are giant vs giant fighting over turf, a large incumbent trying to kneecap an emerging startup competitor (usually filing suit to make the startup unattractive to investors for a year and never intending to actually go to court) or patent troll vs everyone. Personally, I had both a giant trying to stop my startup's Series A funding and several patent trolls. Despite having no actual merit, the giant's suit did freeze our Series A and we nearly died. After seven months we'd demonstrated we could survive without a Series A so they dropped the suit (of course) but by then they'd cost us more than half our cash in just defending an obviously sham claim. As one investor told me, "Yes, it's clearly a bullshit claim but it will still cost serious money and a lot of founder attention over the next 18 months to get it thrown out and that, unfortunately, tips this deal over our risk threshold." And responding to the constant patent trolls just burns up startup founder attention and scarce cash in nuisance legal fees.
Despite the old-school trope of "garage inventor patents invention, makes fortune", frankly, from the perspective of fostering typical tech startups, you'd probably prefer a world where there were no patents outside of pharma, medical, bio, etc.
Pardon my language but the patent thing has turned into a **** measuring contest, and serves no useful purpose.
When I worked at FAANG you had a whole class of PE engineer who literally couldn’t build anything to save their lives. But they would constantly file patents with a frenzy like IT guys rack up certifications. Of course when the patent office gets an application from $FAANG they approve it.
And people who aren’t in the know just see patent on the resume and keep hiring these people thinking they are the next Elon Musk or something, unfortunately.
Wouldn't that mean they are accurately identifying ego-driven candidates that aren't actually engineers? :P
I wonder how frequent that is, the "We've pointless patents. And legal budget larger than your last round. Thank for playing, goodbye." It seems a reoccurring theme.
But as for the usefulness of patents to startups, at least with material-science-y hardware, I've heard possession of a defensive patent portfolio described as "table stakes" for existence, with enforceability et al being secondary.
It was interesting watching patents and unicorn dreams shape VR. Instead of years of commercial ferment exploring low-hanging niches, we wait for monoliths to eventually create maximally-hard mass-market consumer tech, and will then backfill easier niches, eventually. An industrial policy optimized for pharma, yielding pharma-shaped industries.
Both things - that the number of patents measures innovation, and that they serve to stifle it, can be true at the same time. Under a fixed patent regime, the more innovation there is, the more individual patents are necessary to stifle it. Of course, if we allow the patent regime to vary, then if it changes to make patents easier to acquire then that means less innovation.
However, it's true that this property - of being a valid measure, but interventions to change it having the opposite effect on the inferred variable - is a very unfortunate one in a metric.
It'd put it like this: the more patents there are, the (exponentially) more "innovative power" you need to achieve the next one.
Text of the rule itself starts on page 561, "XIII. Other Matters"
FRED has a good blog post on measuring innovation.
https://www.stlouisfed.org/open-vault/2021/june/how-to-measu....
Wonder ultimately how this will be handled once the Chevron Deference case is ruled on by the Supreme Court. The interpretations I've seen from other sources is that this will be overturned if the courts decide against the principle
I'd say the number of patents filed and granted by practicing entities of small to mid-size would be a pretty good measure of innovation. I think patent fees and complexity should be progressive, esp if you have working hardware and don't just flip the patent to a troll.
I feel like, much like BMI, patent volume can be used to measure a population.
Sure, for any individual‘s fitness or a company’s “innovativeness” they are useless, but in aggregate they can be revealing.
They do stifle innovation when one company locks up a huge portfolio of them. Forcing the employees who came up with the patentable ideas to sign non-compete agreements prevents them from working on anything related to those inventions elsewhere.