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Starship's Third Flight Test [video]

DarmokJalad1701
70 replies
4h30m

The test is essentially a success at this point. Starship can take payload to orbit and open/close the payload doors. The remaining things are icing on the cake. They can refine re-usability while flying payloads.

travisgriggs
33 replies
3h49m

I wouldn’t classify the re-entry survival problem as icing. But otherwise, I agree with you.

DarmokJalad1701
18 replies
3h38m

They can launch payloads that bring in revenue while working on that problem. There is a good chance they put a bunch of Starlinks on the next flight.

Laremere
11 replies
3h28m

They might do one to test deployment, but it'd be a throwaway. Their relight test was skipped (not said why), so they still don't have confirmation they can control where Starship re-eneters. Until that happens, it's very unlikely they'll target actual orbital velocity. The Starlink satellites do have thrusters, but they're ion engines, so not nearly enough thrust to get that last bit into orbit before they'd re-enter.

baq
9 replies
3h5m

99% chance that they lost attitude control hence couldn't point the business end towards wherever they wanted to. we know they can relight the engine on the booster and we know they can relight for landing burns.

no surprise if the next launch has a couple pre-production big starlink birds.

LorenDB
6 replies
3h0m

On the contrary, they absolutely had attitude control. Otherwise reentry would have seen the ship tumbling out of control and quickly breaking up. Instead, SpaceX was able to begin a controlled reentry in the upright position, indicating nominal orientation performance.

Plasmoid2000ad
1 replies
2h47m

I'm no so sure, it at least looked like it was tumbling before and throughout re-entry. If they had attitude control, I think they would have at least stopped the visible rotation at some point before re-entry?

I'm not sure why the ship not immediatly breaking up, but eventually breaking up is proof that they at attitude control - especially against what the live feed showed - rotation.

dotancohen
0 replies
1h45m

  > If they had attitude control, I think they would have at least stopped the visible rotation at some point before re-entry?
Maybe they thought the flaps would help stabilize once hitting some atmosphere. In fact, that seemed to happen though not before quite a bit of plasma cooked the unshielded side.

Laremere
1 replies
2h14m

My bet on the re-entry failure is that they have really poor attitude control. They definitely had some, but you can also see at different points that the plasma was shifting directions. At T+46, it was doing a spin as the first plasma started to show. At T+47, it was going down on the edge of the heat shields. At T+47:40 it appears to be going down engine first.

Moreover, I'm guessing the reason they skipped the mock re-entry burn was due to not being able to settle the propellant. Though it's really hard to tell if the turning of the Starship was to rotate which side was getting heating from the sun, or if it was spinning out of (or with less than desired) control.

Tim Todd noticed that the gas thrusters were icing over and then releasing the ice. So it's a reasonable guess that this was part of the issue, but that's leaning even more into speculation territory.

Laremere
0 replies
12m

I just noticed that I typed "Tim Todd" instead of "Tim Dodd". It's past the edit period so I shall forever live with this shame. In my defense, I was on 5 hours of sleep so I could watch the launch.

numpad0
0 replies
2h2m

I'd speculate one of main tank bulkheads breached and gas kept leaking from payload door which overpowered RCS. Then, during reentry, the vehicle briefly managed to regain attitude by aerodynamic forces on the flaps, but became north-northwest aligned and broke up.

baq
0 replies
2h50m

they were tumbling, just slowly. they started reentering side first. that it broke at 65km was unsurprising - shuttle experienced peak heating about there.

bitcurious
1 replies
2h14m

know they can relight the engine on the booster and we know they can relight for landing burns.

Do we know that? Booster crashed into the water at full speed; landing reignition failed.

apendleton
0 replies
1h48m

They did demonstrate this during their Starship-only bellyflop/landing tests a couple of years ago. This wasn't in space, though, obviously, and wasn't after an extended coast period. So... we know they can relight them under at least some circumstances, but whether or not they can under _these_ circumstances is maybe unclear.

toomuchtodo
0 replies
2h47m

As long as it is profitable when thrown away, the math works. Remember, until Falcon 9, they were always thrown away (except for Shuttle). Even if not profitable in the short term, the delta between cost and breakeven is an R&D expense.

Payload able to be delivered to orbit safely and insurable? Ship it. The more you do, the faster you get better.

throwuwu
5 replies
3h30m

Exactly, they’ve reached feature parity with large expendable launch systems so they can piggyback paying customers with a high risk threshold (starlink) on flights they’d be doing anyways. Given their cadence this phase won’t last long, they’ll likely achieve at least one successful landing next flight.

ortusdux
2 replies
3h22m

They have also been eager to launch version 2.0 starlink satellites, but they don't fit in the falcon fairing. The first couple batches of those would be test articles as well, so I'd be surprised if the next starship launch doesn't a few on board.

dotnet00
1 replies
2h43m

They've been launching a version of the v2 sats that do fit in the Falcon 9 fairing and supposedly have all the functionality of the larger versions. The issue is that F9 can only carry ~24 of those at a time, which slows down the pace of expansion a lot.

ortusdux
0 replies
26m

The new 'Pez dispenser' on the starship is designed for the full sized V2 sats, which are about 2x the mass of the V2 minis.

gorkish
1 replies
2h7m

Yes this would all be true, if it were true. It is likely to become true at IFT-4 but they are very demonstrably not quite where you say they are.

This was still a suborbital flight and they cannot do much of anything that is commercially practical on suborbital flights (like launch satellites, even if they raise their apogee). They appear to have not had good control authority in coast and reentry. They did not do a relight/deorbit burn test that is likely an obstacle to tackle before they can make orbital flights. I assume we'll get some confirmation about these things soon enough, but please, you can be optimistic without being hasty.

DarmokJalad1701
0 replies
17m

This was still a suborbital flight and they cannot do much of anything that is commercially practical on suborbital flights

If they had flown a slightly steeper ascent and burned for a little longer (possibly a minute if not less), they would have ended in a stable orbit. Not doing that was intentional.

They do not need engine relight capability to reach orbit - plenty of orbital rockets exist that cannot relight their final stage.

wongarsu
5 replies
3h41m

They have a great pipeline for building ships. They want reusability, but for near-term needs like deploying bigger Starlink satellites and their moon lander contract they could probably power through without reentry survival. It would be expensive, but unlike in-orbit refueling not really mission critical

TMWNN
2 replies
3h38m

My understanding is that Starship is financially comparable to Falcon 9 on a per-payload basis even if fully expended.

dotancohen
0 replies
1h41m

Comparable to Falcon 9? Unlikely - they've got three dozen Raptor engines on that thing, which alone account for the entire cost (not price) of a Falcon 9 flight. Maybe it is comparable to legacy launch providers, such as the Deltas and Atlases. But unlikely comparable to a Falcon 9 launch, even considering the larger payload.

cryptonector
0 replies
3h24m

If so that would be amazing.

ncallaway
1 replies
1h57m

but for near-term needs like deploying bigger Starlink satellites and their moon lander contract they could probably power through without reentry survival

Starlink sat deployment, probably. I’m not convinced on the moon lander contract though. Each mission requires the moon lander itself, plus a number of tanker launches to refuel the moon lander. I think it’s something like 8-15 tanker launches.

If each of those tanker launches is an expendable vehicle that’s… probably economically survivable, but definitely not sustainable.

generalizations
0 replies
29m

Though, if the tankers are expendable they won't have to reserve fuel for the landing, and the number needed to refuel would probably be at the lower end of that estimate - maybe even 6-10?

johnyzee
4 replies
3h44m

Yeah, breaking up in-air during re-entry (at 65 km going by last telemetry) seems like a potential big issue to fix.

tempaway444641
0 replies
3h40m

The point they were trying to make is that getting up is MVP, getting back down can be figured out later

dotnet00
0 replies
3h37m

OP's point is that the tests become a bit cheaper and a bit easier to get licenses for since they can get to orbit and can deploy Starlinks. The reentry problems of course have to be fixed, but the FAA mishap investigation will involve fewer delays, just like how Falcon 9 was able to keep flying, attempting landings without having to wait for a mishap investigation to finish every time a landing failed.

baq
0 replies
3h2m

it's the expected outcome of an imperfect (literally not precisely perfect) reentry. something went wrong. it could be a very minor thing like a stuck valve somewhere. we'll know in the next test if they figured it out.

DarmokJalad1701
0 replies
1h30m

Yeah, breaking up in-air during re-entry (at 65 km going by last telemetry) seems like a potential big issue to fix.

That's what pretty much every non-SpaceX rocket does today with very few exceptions.

bell-cot
1 replies
3h25m

If their cost per kg to orbit, with total loss of both Booster and Starship, is substantially lower than any of their competitors - then it is success, and recovery is just icing on their profit margins. Er, cake.

(And would be very cool marketing and PR, obviously. Not that SpaceX has much need for either of those.)

avmich
0 replies
52m

No quite; even if 1st and 2nd stages deliver cargo to orbit cheaper than competition, you still has to make sure there is enough demand to pay back the cost of Starship creation. That demand may require not just being cheaper, but to being substantially cheaper than competition, to enable additional uses.

What SpaceX is doing with Starlink reminds of the situation with early versions of Windows, when, as Bill Gates described, the industry wasn't keen to produce applications for it. So Microsoft started writing Word and Excel in house. Similarly, SpaceX created Starlink which needs lots of launches, and which couldn't exist with previous level of launch prices, but is able to make profits if the prices are as low as SpaceX can provide.

cchance
0 replies
1h57m

Re-entry is icing because every other cargo rocket besides falcon, lands just like IFT3 lol

ajross
14 replies
3h50m

Not quite: the apogee burn they had planned didn't happen (no word as to why yet), so the ship didn't technically demonstrate the capability reach orbit. It came back down in the Indian ocean on its original suborbital trajectory, essentially like an ICBM.

DarmokJalad1701
13 replies
3h47m

That is a matter of the trajectory they chose on purpose for this test flight. A different flight profile would have given them a perigee above the atmosphere (rather than -50 km)

Laremere
12 replies
3h39m

Parent's (correct) point is that it isn't a matter of the ascent trajectory. They can't leave the Starship up in orbit, and where it reenters needs to be controlled.

DarmokJalad1701
11 replies
3h32m

They can't leave the Starship up in orbit, and where it reenters needs to be controlled.

Why? Plenty of boosters re-enter uncontrolled and burn up all the time.

wolf550e
2 replies
3h12m

Starship is huge and heavy and made of steel, it will not burn up on reentry, if it falls on a populated area it will kill people. They will not be allowed orbital trajectories until they demonstrate they can control the deorbit burn.

dotancohen
1 replies
1h38m

An empty Starship has a very low ballistic coefficient, it will be torn apart by the atmosphere if not carefully controlled. Add to that the FTS and there is no real danger to population on the ground.

wolf550e
0 replies
49m

Of course it will not maintain its shape, but the pieces that land will be large.

It's made of 4mm thick steel sheets, and the FAA disagrees with you.

ajross
2 replies
3h26m

Stated simply: zero-thrust "orbits" repeat the same trajectory again and again. So if you end your burn in the outer atmosphere near your launch pad, the next time around you will be back in the outer atmosphere (near where the the launch pad "was", ignoring the rotation of the planet). And since there's air there providing resistance, you'll re-enter and crash.

Getting to orbit requires at least one more burn near the apogee of the original orbit to circularize it and ensure the spacecraft doesn't approach the atmosphere again. Starship didn't do the apogee burn they intended to do, so didn't demonstrate this capability.

DiggyJohnson
0 replies
1h43m

Singe burn to orbit is pretty common though in reality, with the dynamics of staging, engine throttling, and precision insertion capabilities most modern rockets can hit the mark.

DarmokJalad1701
0 replies
1h28m

Getting to orbit requires at least one more burn near the apogee of the original orbit to circularize it and ensure the spacecraft doesn't approach the atmosphere again

The Saturn V went direct to Earth orbit without requiring relighting the third stage engine.

terramex
0 replies
3h26m

Non-reusable boosters don't go into orbit and perform calculated crash into ocean soon after launch.

Small second stages and spacecrafts can be allowed uncontrolled orbital reentries because they usually burn-up. Starship is too big for that, debris would rain like when Space Shuttle Columbia disintegrated over land. They most likely will need to show engine relight capability to control reentry point before going orbital.

golol
0 replies
3h17m

Ok so they could leave Starship in orbit and launch payloads like that. The idea however is to launch payloads WHILE testing reentry and landing. This requires an engine relight in orbit.

dotnet00
0 replies
3h3m

Typically American policy is to have a controlled reentry option for as much as possible. The disposable first stages of all rockets don't need a controlled reentry because they are always suborbital and thus their splashdown location is relatively well known ahead of time. The second stages are typically supposed to deorbit and burn up over water after a launch to LEO. There are occasional cases where something goes wrong and they fail to deorbit, which is when we sometimes hear of the burn up due to gradual orbit decay being witnessed over land.

Toutouxc
0 replies
3h23m

First thing that comes to mind: Starship has a lot of protection against burning up, so huge chunks of it could survive and cause damage.

Laremere
0 replies
3h21m

Afaik, when talking about objects large enough that some debris will actually hit the ground, only China intentionally lets their final stage re-enter uncontrolled. Everyone else at least has a plan for controlling re-entry. SpaceX has lost control of some of their Falcon 9 second stages before, but that's the exception not the rule.

golol
7 replies
3h21m

One technical modification: They need engine relight in orbit to work to deliver payloads, otherwise Starship will stay in orbit and they can not test reentry.

neffo
6 replies
3h6m

You need a second burn just to enter orbit. You burn at the top of the sub-orbital arc (opposite side of the earth) to enter orbit.

exDM69
4 replies
2h14m

No, that's inefficient and real spacecraft don't do that for typical low earth orbits. Works in Kerbal Space Program, though.

Normal orbital insertion is a single burn to orbit (with staging). With the correct initial roll and pitch, the spacecraft follows a perfect gravity turn and ends up in a near circular orbit at main engine cut off.

dotancohen
2 replies
1h49m

Do they typically burn softly until near apogee, then put on the power until raising the orbit on the other side to their current altitude? In KSP, I can easily get an orbit on a single burn (with staging) but getting it circular obviously requires adding energy at apogee.

exDM69
1 replies
1h35m

No, most rocket engines have quite limited amount of throttle capability and run near maximum thrust until cutoff.

The rocket yaws and pitches in the first seconds of flight while the vehicle is still subsonic, then flies a gravity turn trajectory at zero angle of attack (facing the direction of travel) at near maximum thrust. Any errors accumulated during early part of the flight will be corrected by adjusting the timing of the second stage cutoff based on radar tracking.

The initial pitch over is just a few degrees off vertical, but must be precise to a fraction of a degree (KSP tolerances are higher due to small planet).

You can get a pretty good circular orbit in Kerbal Space Program with one burn if you do a few attempts and trial and error binary search for the optimal initial pitchover angle, but it's very difficult to do without throttling the 2nd stage burn. If I recall correctly, the MechJeb mod can do a precise single burn to orbit.

dotancohen
0 replies
1h22m

Thank you. Yes, I figured that real life engines could not throttle enough for the maneuver as stated. I am familiar with the gravity turn, but I just don't see how energy can be added continuously, uniformly right up to a circular orbit. But I've not really put much effort into trying to understand that, I'll start looking more at real life pitch angles at various altitudes. Maybe I just need to start that gravity turn sooner - you mention that it already starts in the first few seconds. Thank you.

numpad0
0 replies
1h27m

IIUC real launchers do a single burn to orbit because S2 TWR is not very high and relight is finicky. Launchers that has relightable S2 and/or hypergolic S3 routinely do circularization burns.

There are reasons "apogee" is more recognized word than "apoapsis".

DarmokJalad1701
0 replies
1h32m

You need a second burn just to enter orbit

Not necessarily - it is completely dependent on the ascent profile. For example, during the Apollo program, the Saturn V would fly directly into a parking orbit and only relight the S-IVB for the Trans-Lunar Injection burn.

enraged_camel
7 replies
3h53m

I think they also successfully demoed in-space fuel transfer.

xondono
6 replies
3h49m

Fuel transfer with what? That would require things like docking

hagbard_c
1 replies
3h47m

Transfer internally between tanks in the bottom and top of the ship. This was one of the planned tests, I have not heard whether it was accomplished though.

dotnet00
0 replies
3h42m

There was a callout saying that it was successful.

Edit: On the other hand tweets from Gwynne suggest that they still need to review the data to see if it was a success.

enraged_camel
1 replies
3h46m

They performed an in-ship fuel transfer, from one chamber to another. My understanding is that this is a very important pre-requisite for an actual transfer from one ship to another, because of the need to keep the fuel at cryogenic temperatures during the transfer, which is apparently not easy. Last time it was done was decades ago, but in kilograms. SpaceX just demoed a transfer of tons of fuel.

extraduder_ire
0 replies
1h53m

Bigger problem than keeping it cryogenic is getting it to one side of the tank while in orbit, so the pumps don't run "dry". Harder than just doing an ullage burn first too, because moving that amount of mass around also moves the vehicle.

cchance
0 replies
1h53m

They used tanks inside the ship to transfer from 1 to another to prove the process, was discussed and called out as success, and talked about many times before the flight

Tor3
0 replies
3h47m

They transferred something like 10 tonnes of fuel from one end of the ship to the other.

bane
2 replies
41m

Here's a fun thought, how many Starship launches would it take to put the equivalent mass of the ISS up in the same orbit?

DarmokJalad1701
1 replies
36m

The ISS weighs ~420 metric tons. That is 2-3 expendable launches or 3-4 reusable ones.

GeoAtreides
0 replies
2m

Jesus Christ, that really puts it into perspective what a game changer starship is

gameshot911
1 replies
1h41m

I'm not sure the payload doors successfully opened and closed. Anyone have more details?

hagbard_c
0 replies
1h19m

I heard the announcement about the door opening and saw - what I assume to be - live images from the inside which showed the door first opened, then closed so it seems that test worked.

namaria
34 replies
5h57m

I was just watching Spacex official stream and at ignition they switched to Musk hawking cryptocurrency. What just happened??

edit: wild I just realized take off is 50 minutes from now... what had I been watching?? they did a countdown and there was ignition... was that a time wrap? Am I going insane?

edit2: @spacex034 is not @spacex... today I learned...

cam72cam
14 replies
5h55m

SpaceX does not stream on YouTube, you are watching an old launch on a fake channel. Please report them.

dpcx
9 replies
5h50m

Is that new? Because SpaceX has streamed launches on YouTube for years.

TOMDM
4 replies
5h47m

Yes, the official stream is only on Twitter now.

greedo
3 replies
5h7m

They also stream the launch live on the spacex.com website.

sneak
1 replies
4h36m

That’s a Twitter embed on the SpaceX website. It’s still streaming from Twitter.

dylan604
0 replies
3h35m

but no Twit...er, X account required

ta1243
0 replies
4h37m

Thank you

I tried signing up for twitter but gave up at the "match these dice with these symbols (1 of 10)" stage.

It's not a great interface compared with youtube etc, not rewinding etc, but at least it works

Hamuko
2 replies
4h52m

Musk decided that Twitter is now a video platform and he's decided to dogfeed with SpaceX.

atonse
1 replies
4h28m

Twitter was a video platform before Musk took over. They were doing Thursday night football (NFL) and other things.

Looking at the SpaceX feed, they seem to be using whatever tech they got from the Periscope acquisition (at least the servers were still pscp.tv).

Hamuko
0 replies
3h52m

Twitter was not a video platform – it had (some) video features. Very different. And people always considered Twitter videos to absolutely suck.

pixl97
0 replies
5h38m

They did that for IFT-2 and the first channel I went to was one of those crypto bullshit things too. Very dumb decision on SpaceX's (well probably Musk himself) part.

namaria
3 replies
5h54m

Dang I got got. Thanks for letting me know

bluescrn
2 replies
4h41m

You weren't the only one, I clicked on it too, as did thousands of others, before finding a real stream

sneak
1 replies
4h35m

YouTube does a bad job of real time takedowns of spoofed live streams. You’d think for big events like this they would have somebody just standing by and monitoring social stuff so that things like this don’t happen.

Then again you'd think one of Amazon's 1.5M employees would have the job of finding fake USB sticks for sale on the site, but apparently nobody has that title either.

dylan604
0 replies
3h32m

You’d think for big events like this they would have somebody just standing by

This implies that YT has humans that are not in sales. It feels like YT just has bots building more bots at this point.

elif
6 replies
4h35m

this is probably exactly why x started doing video. youtube is so full of fake channels that it readily presents fake ones at the top of search results.

the x stream has been great and had a far greater reach (2.5 million) than any of the youtube streams by a factor of 10x or so.

ajross
4 replies
4h30m

Twitter is awash with garbage too, likely even worse. Every major account, without exception, has multiple fake clones (often many created per day) running around trying to steal clicks and occasionally phish users. The Internet is just hard.

You're just saying that the Twitter official account is official. No reason you can't have an Official Account anywhere else, SpaceX just doesn't.

elif
3 replies
4h25m

when you search spacex on x, you are presented the official account first.

when i searched spacex on multiple youtube apps this morning, i couldn't even find the official spacex account after going through pages of menus.

ajross
0 replies
4h23m

Again, because there is no official SpaceX feed on YouTube, they deleted it. Can you link to the channel you think you should be seeing?

To be clear: if you search for "SpaceX" on Google, you get the corporate website as the first link and the Twitter account as the second. But YouTube has nothing to show you, by SpaceX's choice.

russdill
0 replies
2h27m

NSF had 1.5M views on their stream, Everyday Astronaut had 1.8M views.

sph
4 replies
5h51m

You got bamboozled by an AI Elon deep fake.

namaria
3 replies
4h45m

Oh man and I had just downloaded the top result when searching app store for bitcoin wallet to send him bitcoin so he would double it for me!

bbarnett
2 replies
3h56m

Wait, double it? Would you please link me?

fallingknife
1 replies
3h48m

Screw that! I'll triple any BTC you send to this address: fjreisorhsksjshsjsjsj

bbarnett
0 replies
3h3m

I'm sorry sir, but my software won't take that address, a typo? Please resend.

jfoster
4 replies
5h54m

There's a fake SpaceX YouTube account that looks official because they included videos from the real channel in playlists to get verification ticks & have managed to harvest thousands of subscribers. YT's interface is a bit dumb for including the verification ticks in that use-case.

smallmancontrov
2 replies
4h36m

YT's interface fights negative feedback harder than a spoiled toddler.

Hiding downvotes, squirreling the "block channel" feature into a dot menu, breaking it completely on recommended pages, and then breaking search pages... it's almost like they don't want to fight spam.

sph
0 replies
3h39m

They're in the ads business - watched hours = money.

Why remove spam and clickbait when it means less money? Youtube is the stereotype of post-hype company that is just milking its users to increase their bottom line, driving the entire product to a slow death.

dylan604
0 replies
3h31m

They get paid to serve that spam. Why would they reduce the avenues to serve the spam?

trollied
0 replies
3h22m

looks official because they included videos from the real channel in playlists to get verification ticks

That is not how it happens. The account is verified because it is a stolen account that had lots of subscribers & views. They hide/delete the existing videos & rebrand the channel. It famously happened to Linus Tech Tips last year after a staff member fell for a spear phishing attempt.

mavhc
0 replies
5h54m

you were not watching the Spacex official stream?

cchance
0 replies
1h51m

ya theirs a shitload of fake spacex streams with AI generated crypto scams

perihelions
22 replies
4h51m

It's in orbit!

("...and we have a callout for nominal orbit insertion...")

edit: Not actually in orbit! This is a suborbital flight. Mea culpa

preisschild
21 replies
4h36m

Technically its suborbital

thelittleone
8 replies
4h26m

Isn't orbit above 125 miles (200km)?

usrusr
2 replies
4h7m

Orbit is a speed, not a distance. You could do a suborbital hop that has its highest point beyond the orbit of the moon. (if you aim very, very well)

WithinReason
1 replies
3h58m

At the same time, if your velocity vector is pointing towards the ground you're not achieving orbit no matter your speed

the8472
0 replies
3h45m

It works if you're a black hole or a chunk of degenerate matter. For transatmospheric orbits being a large ball of iridium will work too.

malfist
0 replies
3h36m

It's in space (above the Kármán line), but not in orbit. Orbit implies it has the velocity for staying in space, which isn't the intention here. If anything goes wrong they want to be able to not leave junk in orbit

madaxe_again
0 replies
4h23m

Orbit is when you drop an apple off a dining room table - it’s just a very crappy orbit.

“On orbit” typically means in a stable orbit around a body - but in the case of starship, it could have been on orbit, the delta v is more than sufficient, but that’s an unsafe configuration if you don’t know your engines will relight.

hoorayimhelping
0 replies
4h7m

Space is generally defined to be 100km above earth's surface, an arbitrary point called the Karman Line [1].

Orbit is when an object is traveling so fast that it reaches the horizon of a body before the body's gravity can pull it down to the surface, but perpetually. It's basically perpetually falling around the body. Imagine one of those guys in a wingsuit skimming along the surface of a mountain, never actually touching the surface. It's similar to that, but at a much higher scale.

1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K%C3%A1rm%C3%A1n_line

apendleton
0 replies
4h19m

Orbit is mostly about speed, not about height. Going straight up and down doesn't count, even if you pass the height that some orbital vehicles attain.

This vehicle is actually going orbital speed, but not quite orbital height (or rather, it's in an "orbit" that has a very eccentric elliptical shape that would cause it to hit the atmosphere on its way back around; it'd be well above a typical orbital height at apogee, though).

KineticLensman
0 replies
4h7m

Orbit is when you turn the engines off and stay up there.

ghufran_syed
6 replies
4h20m

It's at 26000 km/h which sufficient for orbital velocity. It looks like it's in an elliptical orbit. I guess we'll see soon if they need to do a de-orbit burn, or if the orbit just intersects the atmosphere and they use atmospheric braking?

perihelions
5 replies
4h16m

I did the math. So, the minimal orbit at 180 km, the one that grazes the earth's surface at its perigee, is about 7.75 km/s or 27,900 kph. The other commenters are right: it was never technically orbital.

edit:

    (let* ((μ 398600.0)     ;; km^3/s^2
           (r 6371.0)       ;; km
           (peri (+ r 0.0))
           (apo (+ r 180.0))
           (a (* 0.5 (+ peri apo))))
      (sqrt (* μ
               (- (/ 2.0 apo)
                  (/ 1.0 a)))))
    ;; 7.745844595118488

grecy
1 replies
3h34m

That is really cool. For those of us that are space nerds but don't have the depth of understanding, do you mind walking us through the calculation above?

perihelions
0 replies
3h18m

I apologize I don't have a good explanation of it at hand! It's a form of the vis-viva equation [0] that's basically a restatement of conservation of energy. It derives the (scalar) speed of an object in a 2-body orbit, at any position within that orbit, as a simple function of their separation distance.

In the form I'm using, I'm using standard parameters of an elliptical orbit: the periapsis (the closest approach to the center of mass of the massive body (which is a focal point of the ellipse which the orbit traces)), apoapsis (farthest distance), and semimajor axis (their arithmetic mean [1]). I'm evaluating the orbital velocity at the highest point, the apoapsis. μ is a short form for the product G*M, the standard gravitational parameter [2] of Earth (which is known to much higher precision than either the universal gravitational constant G, or the mass of the earth M, individually).

The particular orbit I'm applying it to is one whose periapsis is equal to the Earth's radius—an orbit that touches the surface of the Earth. This is the dividing line for orbital / suborbital: a suborbital trajectory is one that (mathematically) goes beneath the Earth's surface.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vis-viva_equation#Equation

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semi-major_and_semi-minor_axes...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_gravitational_paramet...

ghufran_syed
0 replies
4h13m

Thanks! On one of the feeds, it sounds like they didn't want to leave a bunch of debris in orbit if they had an anomaly

eagerpace
0 replies
35m

But it would have been if they executed the burn in at a slightly different angle.

BenoitP
0 replies
4h4m

26000 km/h

27,900 kph

Seems like they want to test the limit. Same speeds as LEO, but guaranteed to come down.

dotnet00
4 replies
3h49m

Technically it's a transatmospheric orbit. That is, an orbit such that it'd stay up there if the atmosphere were not present. The difference between this and full orbit is just a few seconds longer burn, so it's a difference with little meaning in terms of proving out the ability to reach orbit.

perihelions
3 replies
3h36m

I don't believe that's the case—see the math in my sibling comment.

dotnet00
2 replies
3h19m

The number going around from people who typically do this kind of thing is a ~55x235km orbit: https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1768270310199935299

I'm not really in a place to judge your math right now to really add anything on that.

perihelions
1 replies
3h4m

Yeah, that guy's absolutely a domain expert! But note that he writes -55 km, not +55 km—that is a suborbital trajectory. Its perigee is below the earth's surface; -55 km is a negative altitude.

(He's also clearly using a different set of data than I have access to. I can't read the context of the Twitter thread so I don't know what numbers he's looking at).

dotnet00
0 replies
2h57m

Ooh that's a good catch, I subconsciously substituted the -55 for ~55!

BenoitP
17 replies
6h45m

When: 8:25 AM CT

Launch window: 7:00 AM CT - 8:50 AM CT

--- Updates:

(future)T+40: Starship relight and entry

T+12: Elevator music engaged, please stay tuned for T+40

T+11: Payload door testing

T+8: Upper stage SECO, nominal orbit insertion

T+7: (mine) KSP moment for booster reentry, instabilities. Signal cut off because of exhaust conducts electricity and absorbs RF. Status unknown

T-11: Still no blockers. Watching winds, may have hold at T-40s.

T-30: Broadcast started

T-60: (SpaceX Twitter) The Starship team is go for prop load but keeping an eye on winds, now targeting 8:25 a.m. CT for liftoff

T-65: (SpaceX Twitter) Shifting T-0 a few more minutes to give boats time to clear the keep out area, now targeting 8:10 a.m. CT

T-65: (SpaceX Twitter) New liftoff time is 8:02 a.m. CT, team is clearing a few boats from the keep out area in the Gulf of Mexico

T-45: No blockers

T-90: (SpaceX Twitter) Weather is 70% favorable for today’s third integrated flight test of Starship. The live webcast will begin ~30 minutes before liftoff

---- Streams:

High Quality VLC: Open VLC, Media, Open Network Stream, paste following, Play:

(higher quality) https://prod-ec-us-west-2.video.pscp.tv/Transcoding/v1/hls/g...

(lower latency) https://prod-ec-us-west-2.video.pscp.tv/Transcoding/v1/hls/g...

NASASpaceflight: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RrxCYzixV3s

Spaceflight Now: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EfnkZFtHPmM

Everyday Astronaut: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ixZpBOxMopc

LabPadre Space: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LMyXho_YCK8

(FR) Techniques Spatiales: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BRXfWLVMEQ8

---- Mission profile:

https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=starship-...

---- Links:

https://twitter.com/SpaceX

https://twitter.com/elonmusk

https://old.reddit.com/r/spacex/comments/1bb8scf/rspacex_int...

BryanLegend
7 replies
6h8m

Thanks, I like the Spaceflight Now commentary the most. Best analysis.

ta1243
6 replies
5h58m

I find those youtube channels far too grifty for my tastes. Sadly as twitter doesn't seem to work ("Something went wrong. Try reloading.") I have lost quite a lot of the excitement I used to have for spacex.

SEJeff
2 replies
5h52m

What’s grifty about nasa space flight? They’re a private news org that does incredible coverage of SpaceX and spends funds doing as such. They’re mostly donation driven but they don’t solicit them really. They just thank folks that do on their livestream. Their forums are an absolute goldmine of knowledge if you take a look and it is an incredibly friendly community.

ta1243
0 replies
4h43m

Whenever I've seen them (not sure which specific ones) they've been either

1) Whining about donations (and shoutouts every few seconds)

2) Whining about the cost of cameras (I remember one of the early exploding and the commentator spent the next 10 minutes going on about his expensive cameras)

Yes they are funded by begging, that's not something I'm interested in listening too. I've seen US TV occasionally, I find it unwatchable with the jarring commercials, but I guess if you are used to that then the begging streams.

The spacex stream traditionally is a good feed, not too fanboyish, no begging, but it seems it's no longer reliably broadcast

sneak
0 replies
4h33m

Well, first off, they’re not NASA (or the NSF). I always thought it was sketchy that they used the name, it seems to imply that they are official when they are not.

tompark
0 replies
5h36m

i get the same message, but if you log into twitter then it says the stream will begin at 5:52am PDT

numpad0
0 replies
1h31m

It's SpaceX's problem that they're not where the public expect them to be.

bryanlarsen
0 replies
5h53m

I've been listening to SFN for about 20 minutes now and haven't heard a single reference to donations. Like parent, they're my preferred feed.

If you can get SpaceX's twitter to work, you can use them for audio. If so, EverydayAstronaut will likely have the best video.

namaria
6 replies
5h21m

VLC stream links hit the spot for me... I was really hoping to see the official stream but twitter is... well... not what it used to be. Anyway thanks!

_Microft
5 replies
5h10m

The URL on the „VLC“-links look a lot like „Periscope“ which was acquired by Twitter long ago. Maybe this is actually the official Twitter stream itself?

namaria
3 replies
5h8m

Whatever the infrastructure spacex is using for the stream, the twitter front end doesn't load for me. That's what I meant.

edit: now it loads but it has 10s delay so I'm sticking to VLC

greedo
2 replies
5h6m

You can watch the stream directly from the spacex.com website.

namaria
0 replies
5h3m

Now this one isn't loading on my side. And I got gigabit fiber at a major European city close to a big exchange.

4ggr0
0 replies
4h26m

That's just the embedded twitter stream :D

BenoitP
0 replies
5h2m

It is, how to reproduce:

Twitter stream page, F12, network tab, look for m3u8 file, right click, copy url, open in VLC

deadlydose
1 replies
6h40m

Pretty sure the first YouTube link you provided is some scammy fake stream.

BenoitP
0 replies
6h35m

Updated, Thanks!

simfoo
11 replies
4h47m

1000 km/h booster impact at sea, call that a "soft landing/splash down". Poor fishies :)

_Microft
7 replies
4h44m

I guess they didn’t want to make it too easy for some Chinese fishing vessels ;)

sneak
6 replies
4h37m

Chinese fishing vessels in the Gulf of Mexico?

jajko
2 replies
4h4m

On shores of Africa, in Gulf of Mexico... yes, in 2024 ships can travel far

bbarnett
1 replies
3h54m

Probably even in Lake Superior.

Kon-Peki
0 replies
3h4m

I was going to write that a boat could get from the ocean into Lake Superior without ever entering the United States (by hugging the Canadian side of all lakes and rivers), but it appears that there is a dam on the St Lawrence River near Cornwall Ontario that forces you to take a short <10 mile detour through a river/canal in New York.

schnitzelstoat
0 replies
4h34m

They are on vacation.

_Microft
0 replies
2h18m

Some species are rare. You need to look in the right places if you want to catch some fine raptors.

Etheryte
0 replies
3h11m

Illegal fishing by Chinese fleets is now commonplace in Africa, in Argentina, etc [0], so given how much they've expanded operations over the years it's only a matter of time before you see them there too, if it hasn't happened already.

[0] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/09/26/world/asia/ch...

pixl97
1 replies
4h43m

Hopefully the NASA flight monitoring the launch has video of the booster coming back down.

russdill
0 replies
2h15m

The WB-57 was not in the air today.

fernandotakai
8 replies
4h8m

those plasma views when starship was coming into atmosphere were absolutely mind blowing.

it makes a lot of sense to use starlink for this, but it never ever crossed my mind.

kkoyung
5 replies
3h55m

Having those plasma views in livestream. It is incredible.

schnitzelstoat
3 replies
3h51m

Yeah, in HD. It's sci-fi stuff.

chinathrow
1 replies
3h19m

As of today, it's the new normal!

mrandish
0 replies
1h13m

The new norminal!

chasd00
0 replies
3h50m

yeah that was really cool, it looked like an artist rendition of what it could look like hah. I'm looking forward to high-res photos of those views.

ordu
0 replies
3h50m

The booster puncturing spheres of clouds on a way back was awesome also.

travisgriggs
6 replies
3h42m

I was surprised that during the initial ascent footage from the fin-cam, you can see that the grid fins are out. Do they not fold back on ascent? Or possibly drag on one side to arc over? Just seems weird to have your “drag device” deployed during ascent.

Laremere
2 replies
3h34m

Grid fins aren't drag devices. They are control surfaces. As long as they are oriented so the fins are aligned with the airflow, they have no effect on orientation. The benefit of not folding them in is one less part that can fail. There might be a slight reduction in drag by folding them in, but not much and apparently not worth it.

russdill
0 replies
2h14m

The side edge of the grid fin may have more surface area than edge on.

dylan604
0 replies
3h27m

I'm guessing 33 Raptor engines won't feel the effect of whatever drag those fins might produce. Instead, they'll just drag that drag into space

malfist
0 replies
3h38m

They're control surfaces, they help keep the pointy end up and the flamey end down

grecy
0 replies
3h37m

They fold in/out on Falcon 9, but for the starship booster the decided it's not worth it. The extra weight and complexity to fold them in/out doesn't provide enough of a benefit. Elon talked about it a couple of years back on one of Everyday Astronaut's videos.

dotnet00
0 replies
1h29m

I think that between the high TWR allowing the vehicle to spend less time in the thicker parts of the atmosphere and the lower pressure 'wake' the ship on on top would produce, there isn't as much drag over the fins as one might think. IIRC it was one of their various "delightfully counter-intuitive" discoveries during earlier testing.

rawling
6 replies
4h47m

Hahah, the elevator music while they wait for reentry...

4ggr0
3 replies
4h29m

I actually have the stream open in the background, can't believe how happy and calm this music makes me while patching servers :D

namaria
1 replies
4h9m

If you like that here's a protip: search for bossa nova instrumentals on youtube for soothing tropical background music

4ggr0
0 replies
4h5m

Ahh, beautiful, thanks! :D

Sounds like the perfect music to calm down in the evening or while cooking.

engineer_22
0 replies
4h27m

Came here to say exactly this :) great choice of music!

geocrasher
0 replies
33m

My first thought was "This sounds vaguely like the music on the radio in Portal. Does a future SpaceX become Aperture Science? Is Elon Musk the progeny of Cave Johnson?"

corobo
0 replies
3h55m

Music with intermittent control updates was great, reminded me lofi ATC exists (lofi music with airport control tower audio)

https://www.lofiatc.com/

conradgodfrey
6 replies
5h43m

For an uninformed person like myself - what's the expectation for this launch? Is it expected to explode like the last two?

pixl97
4 replies
5h39m

Well, yes, but the question is when.

If everything goes right the booster will likely explode when it lands in the gulf . Starship itself will most likely explode on reentry somewhere over the Indian ocean.

Now, I think the question is, will it explode before then, and of course that's why they do flight tests to find out.

pixl97
3 replies
4h49m

Replying to myself. Booster made the boost back burn successfully and had a mostly controlled flight into the gulf. I say mostly because it looked like it had some instability and met the water somewhere close to 1000km/h if telemetry was right (or went unstable just before then).

10 minutes into flight starship is coasting in space for the next 30 minutes and should relight at around 40 minutes.

elif
2 replies
4h32m

the instability was due to partial engine relight

cwillu
1 replies
3h52m

It looked to me like there was some major oscillations shortly before the engines relit though.

pixl97
0 replies
1h55m

Yea. If I had to make an uneducated guess I'm thinking one of two things.

1. Starship is leaky. Outgassing and/or leaky valves made attitude control difficult and used up ullage gasses quickly.

2. Thrust control/RCS has programming or physical issues. Saw a lot of ice breaking off places near deorbit, so if you had ice building up and redirecting gas the ship wouldn't perform as the computer expects.

TOMDM
0 replies
5h41m

They are hoping to achieve a hard landing in the ocean.

Given the progress shown between the first and second integrated test, odds are decent that they'll achieve it, however they are also trying for a number of firsts in orbit so who knows.

whitehexagon
5 replies
5h46m

Anyone have a non youtube link please?

whitehexagon
1 replies
5h35m

thanks, I had to unblock twitter.com on my firewall, lets see if it starts up [edit] up and running, great!

whitehexagon
1 replies
4h6m

Wow, the re-entry is almost as exciting! hopefully the ship got the heat shield rotated into position again. I wonder why they dont cover the whole rocket with them if they are as light as they demonstrated. Amazing watch anyway, thanks.

macintux
0 replies
3h59m

Placing the heat tiles is (currently) entirely manual, and is very time-consuming. Starship is big.

BenoitP
5 replies
3h45m

FR24 shows a Dassault Falcon 900EX doing circles around the expected Starship re-entry location (Perth to Perth flight plan):

https://www.flightradar24.com/MXJ/345b8f09

grecy
2 replies
3h14m

From a safety perspective, how does that work?

This is obviously a test, and safe to say the vehicle was out of control and not entirely predictable. I realize they wouldn't fly into the actual predicted landing area, but just being close must be a risk.

Would the flight crew on that plane literally be scanning the sky above them to make sure they're not in the direct path of whatever comes down at whatever speed?

terramex
0 replies
3h7m

If onboard computer would sense that Ship is going somewhere it should not be it would trigger FTS (Flight Termination System) and destroy it with debris falling into Atlantic Ocean (exclusion zone was there as well).

Once Ship finished burn it simply had to land in predicted landing area in Indian Ocean, it did not have enough fuel on board to significantly change trajectory even if computer went crazy.

BenoitP
0 replies
2h57m

I guess some risk analysis can be made with the plane's and Starship's cross-section.

Let say they are cubes of 30m each. The expected area where they might both be present to be a 5km square. That's a 0.000025 chance of collision at most; and I suppose the plane is away from the center of the expected Starship Gaussian. I'd personally ride in that plane and risk that, even to just to get a glimpse of the reentry.

mrandish
0 replies
50m

Interesting that there was a flight sent to be in the splashdown area. My guess would have been there's not much engineering/scientific benefit to getting in the neighborhood of the splashdown. Maybe some footage could be gotten just for curiosity but at this early stage of re-entry testing of such a new and different vehicle I suspect the odds of being close enough to acquire decent air-to-air visuals would be pretty low.

Maybe the flight was an attempt to get close enough for a stored telemetry downlink post-rentry blackout but pre-splashdown?

mikeyouse
0 replies
3h43m

Not looking good - Returning to Perth now.

tempaway444641
4 replies
4h24m

T+37: Seems a little turny-aroundy in orbit there

and a bit "small-pieces-falling-offy"

Still, good job getting it there

T+43: seems to be turning around a bit too much for something thats got heat shields on one side and is about to re-enter

T+45: flaps moved, maybe that is supposed to get it the right way round, I get it now - it uses the flaps to orient for re-entry

T+46: the little bits of debris must be tiles coming off

T+46: flap glowing red, can see plasma (edit: spacex tweeted a video of this bit, its quite something https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1768279990368612354 note the camera position moves because the camera is on one of the forward flaps)

T+47: "biggest flying object ever in space" uh-oh

T+47: serious re-entry flames

T+48: loss of signal

T+54: still no signal

T+62: saying they lost signal via starlink and TDRS at same time so maybe that was the end of it

T+65: confirmed lost during re-entry

T+67: the presenters all eat a large pie. each.

pixl97
1 replies
3h53m

T+46: the little bits of debris must be tiles coming off

Seemed like ice to me, which itself can be it a problem. The vehicle didn't seem very stable even before this point so I'm wondering if we're getting ice build up on the cold gas thrusters which changed the control dynamics keeping the ship from flying stably.

tempaway444641
0 replies
3h26m

Yeah could be. Some of the debris looked very specific in shape though. On some shots of starship you can see missing tiles (not many though)

namaria
1 replies
4h8m

I'm still in awe that I got to watch a reentry live stream just now. I wish I could tell my child self what wonders were in store. Watching humanity progress in real time is amazing.

AnimalMuppet
0 replies
21m

Kids. I got to watch a moon landing live. (Not a stream, and crummy resolution, but still...)

fabian2k
4 replies
4h32m

Looked very impressive and there is enormous progress compared to the earlier tests. Especially as all engines seemed to work throughout the entire launch, the earlier tests had significant engine troubles so they seem to have a handle on that now.

The reentry burn failing doesn't seem like a huge deal in this case, especially as the engines worked very well earlier.

XorNot
3 replies
3h56m

Its still an issue because they haven't really confidently demonstrated a relight of the engines while flying.

Hot staging avoids a relight, but they still need to do it.

It does mean they technically have an expendable heavy launch vehicle though.

hughes
1 replies
3h47m

The boostback burn demonstrated relight today.

Daneel_
0 replies
3h11m

The key demonstration is “relight in a vacuum”, which was the test that was skipped late in the stream. If you can do this then deorbiting is possible. Relight of the booster doesn’t demonstrate this, unfortunately.

hagbard_c
0 replies
3h42m

It does mean they technically have an expendable heavy launch vehicle though.

That is how they started using Falcon 9 as well: first expendable but testing recovery - which failed several times in several interesting ways - until that process was refined into what now seems to be a normal thing: the first stage launches, drops off a second stage, turns around and makes its way back to either the launch site or a floating platform. I assume they have the same plans for this system: launch expendable while using the hardware to refine the process of recovery until in not that many years from now they launch and land and launch again.

sashank_1509
3 replies
2h45m

So FAA cleared SpaceX and then within a few days they completed their launch pretty successfully by all accounts. So does that mean SpaceX could have launched a while back with no issues and were just waiting on the FAA? Did the FAA literally just slow down progress?

Not a good look on the FAA, they should just let SpaceX do what it does at the speed they want. If they cannot add any value to this engagement, the least they can do is to not subtract value.

pixl97
1 replies
2h4m

When you're launching the largest and heaviest rocket ever made not running headlong into creating the biggest fuel air explosion is part of the regulatory agencies job. The first launch was pretty wildly out of control so everyone wants to make sure the rocket explodes when told if it doesn't go where it's supposed to.

s1artibartfast
0 replies
0m

I think you touch on the issue of managing public perception as part of the FAAs job.

In general the public is not monolithic when it comes to this. Many people would ecstatic with the biggest fuel air explosion and thought Launch 1 was great. Others were aghast.

dotnet00
0 replies
1h18m

It's a bit of a complex interplay. If the FAA were finishing their investigations very quickly, SpaceX could be more aggressive with their testing. But on the other hand, as SpaceX gets a better read on how long the FAA might take, they time their readiness to when the FAA will be done.

For example, here they waited ~1 week between Starship being ready and done with a wet-dress rehearsal. If they knew that the FAA would be finishing earlier, they'd try to get through the WDR earlier. But since there's plenty of other development and testing to do on the ground, they just do that in the meantime.

The FAA delays were more of an issue around IFT-1 because they really couldn't proceed on much without knowing how all the big systems they built would perform, they would've been working blind (and considering how the launch infrastructure needed further strengthening, doing too much more without that data would've probably been a waste of money). That isn't really the case now, while they wait on the FAA they can focus on the payload bays, refining the control systems, building the second launch tower etc.

2OEH8eoCRo0
1 replies
1h58m

Raptor in-space relight demo | No attempt

That was a big one to not attempt. Why didn't they attempt it?

cubefox
0 replies
28m

Possibly because they partially lost attitude control. Possibly because the cold gas thrusters got frozen.

dougmwne
1 replies
4h47m

Starship has reached orbit!

fernandotakai
0 replies
4h46m

man, so much progress from the first two test launches. starship is alive and well, and the booster almost made it to soft water landing.

allenrb
1 replies
5h30m

Very excited for this as usual, and thanks to a few delays, I won’t be on the train at T-0.

As for expectations, I’ll be thrilled to see Starship reach orbital velocity. Last time was so close. Engine restart and intact reentry? Even better but maybe more of a stretch? Fears? Only that it doesn’t do as well as IFT-2. And that’s always a possibility.

boiler_up800
0 replies
4h41m

Also commuting around this :) Looks to be very successful. I wonder how many tests the ship can pass in orbit.

xixixao
0 replies
5h59m

Going for fueling, launch scheduled with 25min left in the window (getting tight) (8:35CT). Watching wind speed.

renewiltord
0 replies
4h0m

Mind-blowing stuff. Breathtaking to be honest. Live video is such high quality. Sci Fi made real.

Looks like Starship lost but so much farther than before. This is incredibly exciting stuff.

piva00
0 replies
4h58m

It's flying! And all engines are burning, it's pretty damn impressive to see this thing lift off.

maxglute
0 replies
4h34m

Breathtaking stream.

jumpman_miya
0 replies
1h24m

Man this has me crying like a baby. I do not know why.

jboggan
0 replies
4h9m

That re-entry video was quite amazing and beautiful.

iamthirsty
0 replies
3h48m

Unfortunate that it was lost on re-entry. Super glad most of the mission was a success.

hereme888
0 replies
4h32m

The elevator music during this next 30 minutes in orbit! lol

Flawless launch.

duluca
0 replies
5h5m

What an amazing effort. Best of luck to team SpaceX. I really hope both ships survive all the way to the ocean this time.

DarmokJalad1701
0 replies
4h42m

Beautiful flight so far!