Lessons Learned: Build a Very Fundable Startup
Every founder should learn from this disastrous scenario the importance of building a very healthy, fundable startup. A healthy, vibrant startup draws more investors during fundraising. The competition gives founders the leverage to negotiate for more founder-friendly terms. Healthy startups get better valuations, better terms, and raise funds with much less effort.
Hmm. The lesson I learn from that is to bootstrap/self-fund, rather than get investment in the first place.
Yeah I have a small business and I sway strongly towards being contempt with letting the business grow at its own rate.
No, it won’t have a 1 bil payout, but you make your own rules and you’ll get a healthy cash out from the dividends after only 1 year or so.
It also forces you to keep pivoting and finding a cash cow rather than assuming your initial plan was any good. We’re on like plan #10 now and in hindsight if we went with any of our original plans we’d still be burning money whereas current plan was profitable after just 1 month once we figured it out.
Does anything have a $1B payout for the founder? I guess there are a few companies that achieve this, but it takes only a modicum of humility to realize you're not likely to be one of the most successful founders this decade.
Even if anyone gets a cool $1b, the IRS is going to come for a good chunk of that...
Yep, although the qualified small business stock exemption comes in handy if/when that happens. You get to exempt a percentage of the gain of the sale of your stock, and if you roll over the gain into other QSBS (by investing in startups, for example), you can defer the non-exempted portion.
Or just be like Peter Thiel and do all your angel investing through your Roth IRA...
https://www.propublica.org/article/lord-of-the-roths-how-tec...
He bought gambling stock with his retirement fund, struck gold, and now has 5bn untaxed in a US account?
He bought 1.7 million founders' shares of Paypal (then Confinity, which he cofounded and was CEO of at the time) for under $2000. These are terms you would never offer to an investor, that you'd never offer to an employee.
For comparison, the SEC filing for Paypal's IPO has Thiel Capital investing a bridge loan of $100k in 1998 which was then converted into 500 thousand shares (100x higher valuation than his individual "purchase" the following month).
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702...
From the ProPublica article, re: why this was problematic:
So which loophole let him get away with it?
Longstanding underfunding of the IRS, if I had to guess? It's much more expensive and time-consuming to go after wealthy tax cheats than, say, people incorrectly claiming the earned income tax credit. The ProPublica article states that Thiel was indeed audited in 2011, but the audit was eventually closed with no known outcome.
Yeah, more or less
If you’re paying taxes, you’re winning.
If you're paying taxes you should change your accountant
Yes, if you're paying taxes you should engage a wealth management team that knows about collaterialized loans.
If you are making more than enough to pay a significant amount of tax, but get away with paying a derisory amount or even nothing, then you are really winning!
IRS takes less than 50%.
A lot of this confusion is people talking past eachother. For most people the level of governmental entity taxing them isn't the concern, its the amount of tax the government in general demands in particular contrasted with the level of service provided.
Add up the IRS cut, state and local, gas tax, sales tax, fees to use services already paid for with taxes and are basically required for life in the US (road tolls, document fees, vehicle registration fees, public transit fares, etc), costs for compliance with laws like hiring someone to help you file taxes or taking a day off work to renew your driver's license, higher costs for goods and services due to monopolies granted by government (drug patents where the same drug costs a quarter of what it does in the US everywhere else the world, higher than otherwise internet fees paid to entities like Comcast who are granted monopolies, hospitals that are expensive due to monopolies granted by certificates of need, etc), inflation caused by money printing to pay for foreign wars without broad popular support, housing that is more expensive due to policies that benefit homeonwers at the expense of those without assets etc, etc.
Its way more than half of your productivity that is taken, if you are productive and earn wages. Those earning capital gains are hit about half as hard, another happy little accident that benefits primarily the wealthy and powerful to add to my list above.
Oh and the best part, after paying those taxes for decades once you get sick, all of the sudden, the government and the medical industrial complex doesn't have the money to help you. You get to live in a cardboard box under a overpass.
You're making a comment about people "talking past each other" and yet you're talking about gas tax and sales tax in relation to business acquisitions and venture capital payouts.
Well, I for one could live with that... :)
Oh, the humanity! A founder in that situation is going to just get > 500million, not the full billion! How would they be able to afford food?
Also, aren't taxes on things like stocks, equity, etc far lesser than personal income taxes anyway?
= turnoff for investors. They only care for chances at homeruns — singles and doubles are not welcome. You’d better swing for the fences, because that’s the purpose of VC.
(This is my understanding, not my endorsement. Please correct as needed)
That’s the model essentially. Makes a lot of sense too.
Anyone can get S&P 500 returns with little to no risk. That’s not to say they won’t lose money but it’ll be market returns either way, will be very liquid, and readily transparent to the holder.
Given the risk involved in early stage investment the maths just don’t make sense for an investor to shoot for anything short of the moon.
tldr; Seed funding / early stage investing is closer to lottery tickets and Vegas than to your 401k.
Unless it’s buying SP500 index funds, I doubt it. Especially the last 15 years.
I know quite a few people who would have been further ahead (financially) if they had just invested in SP500 and retired.
Even beating the nominal index is hard, since losing companies just drop out and are replaced and you will own stock in them and not in the ones taking their place.
There are motivations beyond return. Alignment of capital with values to support a team/product/service that you believe will help in a manner you care about.
Yes, but those investments are not coming from "VC funds". At least not ones marketing themselves as such.
There are plenty of outcomes for an investment that sit between "S&P 500 Index" and "Unicorn Startup", and in fact most PE feeds in that range. But VCs are running the casino model where the law of large numbers works in their favor.
No this is 100% the point of Venture Capital, and 100% what "startup" actually means. Startup means a moonshot, something that has a 99.9% chance of failure but if it succeeds will have a gigantic impact.
Someone working on their $500 MRR form-builder app isn't building a startup, they're "just" building a regular ole business.
Personally I'd much rather build a business than a startup.
That’s definitely how VCs work, but startup has a broader meaning than that. Any young business that is still figuring itself out is a startup, even bootstrapped “lifestyle” businesses.
I guess that’s why investors bake in protection against singles and doubles.
Basically, give me my market returns if you’re not going to hit a homer so that I don’t need to keep shoveling cash and can spend my time and money on the remaining at bats.
It's not that they aren't welcome out of some kind of hubris.
It's that singles and doubles aren't profitable for the VC fund.
The VC business model is based on promising investors high return in return for high risk. Typically the fund will take a management fee along the line of 0.5%-2% a year, sometimes frontloaded a bit to account for the higher cost of marketing and finding investment opportunities. 0.5%-2% does not get you rich unless you're a huge fund with very tight operations - it costs money to have people following up a large portfolio. For most smaller funds the management fee will tend towards the lower end, and will just keep the lights on.
Then on top of that you get carry. Carry can vary enormously based on your reputation, and your promises. Specifically, the higher the threshold before the carry kicks in (the hurdle), the more you can insist on retaining above that.
A not untypical example would be to retain 20% of any return over an amortized yearly return of ~7%-15%.
Put another way, in this case $400m of investment was made. The last round was 3 year prior, but much of the capital had been in the company much longer. The VC's in question would, with a 7% hurdle rate need a return of $490m before they'd see any money beyond the management fee if this company was typical of their portfolio and the entire $400m investment was "only" three years old (much of it would have been older).
As such, if the VC funds in question were otherwise successful, a $465m exit would have been dragging their profit down. Not as much as if it'd gone bankrupt, but this was a really bad exit for the VC's, and basically represented the VC's having written the company off as a failure and salvaging what they could before they lost more.
The investors in the VC (the limited partners in the VC fund) would have done better, but keep in mind 7% represents roughly the return of an index fund over time, so for them getting "only" $465m back after it had sat in the VC fund for years will also have represented a significant opportunity cost vs. putting the money in a safer vehicle that might have returned more.
It's also important to remember that the risk/return preferences between VC & founders are not aligned.
VC wants to have a portfolio of 100 companies swinging for the fences, knowing most of them are going to zero.
Individual founders do not want to go to zero, and many would be happy hitting singles or doubles.
That is, VC wants their founders to take more risk than is expected value positive for any given founder. A lot of the legal & financial levers VC uses are to force this upon you as a founder.
No, that seems about right. Traditionally investors prefer investing in a number of moonshots with the hopes that one of them succeeds to such an extreme that it pays for the losses on the rest. There are even some investors known to invest in direct competitors to hedge their bets.
The question only seems to be whether this strategy still works in a higher interest rate environment. As I understand it this development mostly stems from it being more profitable to invest with a low ROI (or a low probability of a high ROI) than to keep the money in the bank.
Given the situation described in TFA, that's just as well.
WhatsApp likely did.
Minecraft as well.
Instagram perhaps?
Also, an IPO?
Formative experience: working at a startup, coming upon a fundamental technical problem that will prevent delivery of any of our revenue generating projects & realising that anyone who has spent a meaningful amount of time working on the software would notice the same problem. Noticing nobody else has brought it up.
Wow, quite a quandry. What did you do?
Super curious as well
It's not that exciting - I was already halfway out the door for unrelated reasons. It's a problem that almost any company in that space shares. It's made me put a strong premium on working for companies that sell a real product for real money, today.
I feel you. In a similar experience now.
Valuation (I’m told) depends on ARR. Company not really set up to generate meaningful ARR from its core business. I keep hearing “it will get better” but as far as I see, the problem is squarely at the top and some specific deputies. So, why do I keep hearing that?
It sounds like very poorly messaged religion some days.
Actually, it just might. RightNow was a bootstrapped startup back in the dotcom heydays, which managed a 9 digit exit after selling to Oracle. Midjourney is a unicorn without a cent of VC funding. Zapier raised just $2m, and they only got into YC on their second try.
The old maxim of "build something people want" is crap honestly - it's more appropriately worded as "build something people will pay for".
Which... Is the same maxim still
Nope. A lot of people and businesses "want" something. But they're barely ready to pay a reasonable market rate it. Whether it be a $2 pm SaaS or a $100m blockbuster drug compound.
They would still want it though, if they got the drug compound at a heavy discount, or the SaaS for free. And they'll keep telling you they want something that does exactly what those products do.
There are two ways to do this. Build something that a lot of people will pay a small amount for, or in my experience the better self bootstrapping business is to build something that a few people will pay a LOT for (a super niche product).
Never say never. I worked for MailChimp who never touched investor money, never gave out any stock to any employees (not even key engineering staff), each founder retained 50%, and they turned down multiple $1b+ offers until finally accepting $12b from Intuit.
That "plucky founder becoming billionaire" thing reminds me a little of Whatsapp, which sold for $19b (although I believe did have Venture Capital)
https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/travel-technology/952359-tho...
Especially this post from Jan Koum:
i'll tell you all a funny story which has to do with flyertalk: i am actually flying to Barcelona for MWC right now using the M&M miles award ticket (i am posting this from LH455 flight)... i obviously got these tickets many months ago - i prefer to fly using miles when i can to save company money. as you know, award ticket inventory is limited and last minute changes are nearly impossible... and this is where it gets cute:
we announced the deal with Facebook on wednesday after the market closed. during the process, we realized there was a chance we might not be able to get the deal wrapped up and signed on wednesday and it could delay.
when the risk of the delay became real, i said: "if we don't get it done on wednesday, it probably wont get done. i have tickets on thursday to fly out to Barcelona which i bought with miles and they are not easily refundable or even possible to change. this has to be done by wednesday or else!!!"
...and so one of the biggest deals in tech history had to be scheduled around my M&M award ticket
Hilarious because they probably had much more than the cost of a first class business ticket in the not-even-under-lock-and-key petty cash drawer in the next room. But good for him!
It definitely happens, it will generally mature more slowly. Not that there is anything wrong with that. I find the pace of bootstrapped companies healthier and more sane.
Be aware of the story of Dr. Janet an Dr. James Baker, the founders of Dragon Naturally Speaking, which has been discussed here several times.
They seemingly did everything right and still go screwed in the end.
What they did wrong was accepting an all-shares transaction in the acquiring company. Those come with risks, and sometimes the risk is that the company goes bankrupt a year later and you'll be left with nothing.
My understanding is that they were badly advised by Goldman Sachs. Still, "doing the right thing" sometimes includes ignoring bad advice.
The way I see it is that they did not stand a chance and for me the moral of the story is that if you are not screwed by investors you can very well get screwed by someone else.
Contempt is not equal to content. I think autocorrect got you
The summary is "When the FanDuel founders raised funds, two key investors received a liquidation preference that entitled them to the first $559M in an acquisition. Founders and employees would be paid only if the acquisition exceeded $559M. Because the Paddy Power Betfair was for just $465M, the founders received nothing"
Also they raised over 400M in funding. If you exit with 465M with 400 million raised in funding AND liquidation preference entitles investors to first $559M in an aquisition, of course you are going to get nothing.
The question is why they raised 400M in funding and could only exit for 465M. This tells me it was a failed business.
Honestly $400M in funding with only a preference of $559M seems pretty reasonable as far as the VC world goes. That's a 39% return, which yeah is a lot, but we're also talking about half a billion dollars and when your entire business model is built on looking for 10X or 100X returns, a .39X guarantee isn't out of this world crazy. Especially when the actual exit was about half that return.
The last round was also 3 years prior, so the amortised yearly return was definitely not something their investors had any reason to cheer about. From their point of view this was a failed opportunity.
People forget that VC funds also aren't great business for the partners without carry (you get a management fee that keeps the light on, but you make your profit largely from a proportion of returns of the fund above some threshold; on top of that, in many funds you're required to lock up a significant chunk of your own cash as well, so poor returns both means you earn less and means your own investments return less), and a return like that likely would have had a seriously negative impact on their carry.
The employees were sold a lie that their stock options were worth taking a lower salary. Every single developer effectively invested something resembling 10-30k and was totally wiped out, and if they worked there 3 years that's probably a quarter of their life savings. But the investor only demands a meager $200 million return on their $400 million investment before they recognize the workers' investments.
Were they? Do you have inside info? I have done many startups, and in none apart from one did I accept a lower salary whether as regular staff or as a founder [EDIT: to be clear: after a funding round, as a full time employee; as a founder/co-founder I've of course done work for free on the side, but with according amount of stock]. In the one where I did, I forced in a clause in the investment agreement guaranteeing us a raise after the next round.
I know it can happen, and maybe it happened here. If so that's shitty, and people will have learnt a hard-earned lesson they shouldn't have to have had.
[Also in case anyone do face this argument: as a general rule don't unless you feel like a founder and your share holding gives you good reason to; e.g. even in one of the startups I got 7.5% of on joining I was paid above my previous salary - the one case mentioned above where I was "underpaid" for 6 months, I had 25% of the shares when the company was founded]
"The investor" here are mostly VC funds that almost certainly lost money on the return they did get, as they in turn take investments on terms that leave them with a minority of the profit after clearing certain hurdles. Given the duration from the last round and the amount of the exit, it's highly unlikely that exit cleared the hurdle, and so this likely at best did nothing towards the VC fund managers profitability either. At best it will have offset even worse investments a little bit.
The investors putting money into those VC funds again, got some returns, but lower than they would have if they hadn't taken the risk in the first place and just put the money in an index fund. If you're going to account for lower salary as a loss, then the limited partners and the general partners in the VC fund also suffered a loss by not getting the return they would have if they didn't invest in this company.
That is the risk you take when you choose to make an investment - be it in cash, or labour. Don't take those risks if you're not prepared for them.
I'm all for lots more workers rights than most people on this site would have the stomach for. But this was not a successful company. This exit was a failure. There's no realistic scenario where staff would get much - if any - return from an exit on terms as bad as this one.
Isn't that the broadly accepted value proposition for working at a startup?
You accept greater job insecurity than more established companies, and lower salary than more established companies, but in return you get the opportunity to receive a larger slice of the proceeds from a "good" exit. It's like buying a lottery ticket. You don't sign on with Meta expecting a great exit, but you gamble that you might see a great exit when you sign on with Series-B-R-Us.
I'm not saying I agree with the gp here that the workers were wronged, but the widespread assumption is that startups pay less than more established companies.
And I agree completely that the gamble did not pay off for anybody here. The investors lost money, the workers lost money, the founders lost money. And that's the risk you take on when you make that kind of investment.
I've definitely declined further interviews with companies with something to the effect of "I don't have the stomach to be in an early stage startup right now".
Uh, I'm working for a startup because it pays more then more established companies and provides better benefits.
I'm not sure why I would work for less unless I was founder, or it was a charity or other public good.
This is definitely uncommon. Startup cash compensation for engineers in SV is about 1/2 of a large tech company's.
Base or TC?
Depends on how you value your lottery tickets. The value I assign to them is 0 until proven otherwise.
It's a common negotiating tactic. As I said, I've only once (in 30 years) accepted less, and then I owned 25% of the company prior to the investment. Sometimes they do mean it, but far less often than people think.
This is true, and a reason to not accept a lower salary because you are more in need of an ability to maintain or expand your cushion.
There are certainly companies that want you to think this is just the way it is. And it depends on what you compare against. You won't get FAANG salaries at a startup, but most people don't work at FAANG's.
Some startups will not hire at non-FAANG market rates either. If you have the skills to be attractive to them, however, odds are you don't have to settle, and that includes choosing other startups. Unless you're convinced this specific startup is the next Google, odds are it's a bad bet to concentrate your risk by accepting a trade like that.
Most of the time you'd be better off getting a market-rate salary and investing the money in a way that spreads your risk.
The problem is that it is exactly like buying a lottery ticket: The odds are extremely heavily against you and most such jobs do not provide enough shares to be worth it when you factor in likely dilution and things like liquidation preferences and the very, very high odds that the company will fold before any exit event.
If the company is pre-seed and you're offered 5-10%+ and a guaranteed (in writing!) salary increase after the A round maybe. If you're coming in as employee 10+ after A and you're being offered sub .1%, sure you could win the lottery, but you could also find another startup and get the lottery ticket and* the salary, and put the extra salary in an index fund and be far more likely to get a high return.
I'm not saying there aren't ever deals that are worth it, but put another way: If you accept a lower salary for shares, you're investing in the company. Have you done the calculations of risk-adjusted potential returns and done the due diligence you would if you were to put money on the table? If not, why not? It's the same thing.
Unless you're really sold on that startup in particular to the point where if you weren't hired you'd like to participate in their investment round with your own cash, it's likely not just a bad deal, but you're concentrating your risk.
Most tech workers also don't negotiate their salaries. I've hired dozens over several decades, and I've had less than I can count on one hand actually try to negotiate, and in each case, we went back with a higher offer. Conversely, I've never accepted a first offer. I've sometimes walked because we were too far apart, but I've never had a prospective employer decline to up their initial offer.
I've been offered substantially higher pay than the CEO by startups who did want to pay below-market but were more concerned about getting the right person.
My experience is that if you can get offers, you can get offers from startups at market rate, and it's down to whether or not you consider that investment worthwhile if it had been separated from the employment. If you struggle, and a startup offering below market is the only option, sure, don't be too proud, I wouldn't be either if times were tough.
In my experience, startup employers will never volunteer information like whether there are liquidation preferences.
It's largely irrelevant. In the face of lack of confirmation, you discount the value of any shares or options accordingly. The first thing I make clear when negotiating is that unless they can prove otherwise, my assumption is that the value of the shares they offer is near zero. If they want me to consider them worth anything when assessing the value of the total comp, it's on them to demonstrate that they are. Otherwise I will expect a salary that reflects a value of the shares near zero.
The employees chose to take that risk, knowing that options might not materialise. It's not guaranteed, and isn't advertised as such. If it is advertised as such, that's not the VC. That's the hiring manager.
Let this be a lesson to employees that they shouldn't value their stock based on VC valuations. Those VCs pay a premium to get those terms.
Yeah basically the investors let them larp as businessmen and they churned the investment capital and produced a bunch of hot air and imposed opportunity cost on the investors.
The bottom line is these guys were not profitable.
But the investors got very lucky to not see -100% return.
Could you explain to me the point of it, though?
What's the point of accepting 400M to build a business if you essentially don't own any of that business (because of the 559M buyout ceiling).
Were they gambling on a buyout more than 559? I don't understand why someone building a business would accept these terms.
Yeah. I've not had an exit that high, but I've had an exit where my 25% initially was whittled down to 10k, and frankly I was surprised I got anything at all - in the end I was diluted to hell and back, but none of the later rounds had any liquidation preference that got triggered. It's easy to see a large exit number and assume it means it's a success, but in the case in question the (significantly more modest than $559M but still significant-sounding) exit was even below the total amount raised, and I'd written it off as a failure and left when we needed to staff down and I didn't feel I was needed any more about 5 years before the company was finally sold.
It sucks to see "your" (at this point it did not at any point feel like it was "mine") company selling for huge amounts and get nothing or near nothing, but it's worth people understanding that a large-sounding exit does not automatically mean it represents a success.
E.g. in this case the last round in 2015 apparently valued them at over a billion. Going from a $1bn valuation to a $465m exit is not great...
It's easy for people to think these terms were onerous, but if they could get $275m (the size of the last round) at those terms they likely could've still have found significant investment at less onerous terms if they wanted less risk. They chose to take those investments.
Taking VC cash is very often a game of deciding whether you want to gamble it all on faster growth or take less risk for less cash, but with the additional caveat that the investors you take on often will cheer for the "gamble it all" option as they have many parallel bets while you as the founder has one.
I've taken VC money several times and been part of early stage VC funded startups several times (including a VC), and I wouldn't rule out doing so again at some point, but it's important to go in understanding that the VC's incentives and yours are different, but if they are too different, then taking VC money might not be right for you, and that's fine.
Stories like this often have a lot of missing details that would provide more context and explain why things played out the way it did. I have no doubt the founders knew the risks they were taking and signed up for it. However, the big question is whether the employees knew the risk they had been signed up for. The lack of transparency for employees is where the big problem lies. If you are a non-exec level employee at a startup where most of your compensation is in private securities, you should apply a significant discount to your valuation to account for this opacity.
That's true, and good advice. I tell people straight up when I interview at startups that I value their shares near zero until/unless they can prove to me they're not. If they can't, that's fine, and I'll apply a significant discount no matter what, but my base salary need to be accordingly.
For starters, in any early stage startup I'd discount by 90%+ just because it's a startup, entirely irrespective of whether I like the idea, and what investors think.
It wouldn't suprise me if the estimated value of those is negative. I.e. your wage will be lower due to "wage dumping" by gamblers. I did not find amy stats on the median or average payout.
This shall be printed in block letters in a red frame ahead of most Paul Graham essays about milk, honey and richies in startup land.
He and VCs push theirs agenda because he has hundreds of bets, while founder has one.
They play different game and are quite quiet about it.
Sure, it ought to be clearer, but apart from maybe the first time, I still would have taken VC cash because it allowed us to do things we otherwise wouldn't have been able to try, and it was a fun ride. Even without any large exits, if you negotiate then you can still come out very well.
But, yes, people ought to go into it understanding which game they're playing, and understanding that your odds are different. Not least because it might make a difference in how you judge advice from your investors.
(There's also only one decision I regret us making due to investors being too willing to take risks; in retrospect I was firmly proven right but whether the board vote going the other way would have made a financial difference in the long run I can't say)
That's not super useful advice for founders who (really) need some investment from the get go.
The lesson would rather be: don't raise so much at the seed stage. Google got started with a $100K grant.
FanDuel raised $400M in four years [1]
And it looks like one of the the FanDuel founders did it again [2]
This is reckless and should be a massive red flag for new joiners.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FanDuel
[2] https://futurescot.com/fanduel-co-founder-secures-largest-uk...
So they raised $416M and sold for $465M. That's 12% ROI. The investors could just buy normal stocks and get similar returns in a year. I don't think there is anything remarkable about this case. It's not like they got a $100K grant and received nothing from a $500M sale.
ROI depends on whether the company is profitable going forward too I'd imagine...
Why would that matter? The investors got their cash and walked.
Several years after their last funding rounds, so the amortized yearly returns would be well below market. Most of the general partners at the VC funds involved likely "lost" money (it'd have dragged down their carry), while the limited partners would have seen below-market returns...
This was almost loss transaction. That 12% ROI easily got eaten up in fees.
I think the problem with the article is that it emphasized the absolute acquisition value and omitted the fact that the company raised $400M. Considering the amount they raised, $559M seems much more reasonable and not quite bad terms?
That's actually one of the best points in here. They didn't make any money or valuation over their funding. Really? You couldn't make a gambling site for less than $400M? Maybe 2500 years of human labor at 150k / yr? Really?
Their sale was a 16% increase on their investment rounds. They soaked up half a billion in investment, and then got almost no return or "value added."
Almost as dumb as that $500 million tomato farm that couldn't grow tomatoes. (had to check, AppHarvest)
So the founders probably paid themselves great salaries and perhaps even sold some stock during the funding rounds. Their employees on the other hand likely got thrown under, and given that the funding terms were likely confidential had no way of seeing this coming in any great detail.
The general lesson is: be smart. Also, taking funding with really bad terms might make sense sometimes. However quite rarely.
The other viewpoint is, that typically at funded startups founders get some salary. You can view it also as an another job.
This changes the complection of the whole article! "Sell for half a billion and get nothing" is _exactly_ what you expect if you raised almost half a billion in finding.
I'm sure all the points in there are important and maybe the author's product is still useful. But it's not really an accurate picture to say that these founders got shafted by unfair terms. They just didn't build a very valuable business relative to the amount of money they spent...
It's still better to have 10% of a billion rather than 100% of a million. It's just that "valuation" is only one of the metrics that really matters, and selling your equity has to be done progressively and by reading the small prints in every file. It's sad that startup founders have become so good at raising money that they forget that a path to profitability + understanding the actual financials (beyond just valuation) matters.
It's just what are the odds of 10% of a billion vs 100% of a million.
Without any statistics at all to back this comment, I bet there are a magnitures more software companies out there that have made people 100% of a million, vs 10% of a billon. You're talking such a small pool (which might seem large in HN terms) when in reality there's an incredible number of small software companies globally.
Of course not discouraging anyone from shooting for the moon.
You can also earn 100% of a million in a few years by punching the clock in a 9-5 in the big tech side of the industry. Even at that level of expected returns, startups are extremely risky investments...
After we signed with a vendor, the owner took us out on his boat one weekend. As we walked through the harbor he pointed out all the other boats owned by competitors and other companies in the same industry. "This is Supercom's boat, this boat is owned by the person that started Megacom, and that's Supercom's old boat and now it's owned by the Digicom guy..."
You are nitpicking, think 50% of 10 million or whatever number you think your VC money is going to help you reach. Still better than a million. My point is you don't have to take any deal regardless of how unreasonable they are in terms of how fast your investor think you can grow, but you may want some investment to help you grow at a higher rate, sooner. The debate isn't bootstrapping vs financing but how much you can finance and under what conditions.
I’d rather take 100% of a million than Fan Duels’ 0% of half a billion.
Also, avoid that VC/Shareholder and blacklist them.
Why? If VCs invested $416M across 2009 (starting with the Series A) through 2017 and the company sold for $465M in mid-2018, how much value increase over the funding amounts did the company generate via its employees?
The Series E itself was 2/3 of the total funding and was about 3 years before acquisition. If we assume all of the investments happened 3 years before (rather than ranging from 3 years to almost 11 years, that's a return of under 4% per year. Investors in Fan Duel would have been just about as well off to pay down their mortgage at nearly historic low mortgage rates rather than invest in risky startups.
If I invest $400M in your company and you sell it for $400M, I think we can all agree that you should get your paycheck for the time you worked at the company, but you didn't create any value from the company.
That failure to create value on the part of FanDuel isn't anyone's "fault" per-se, but it's also not something that means that an equity payday has been earned by anyone.
As far as I remember, there was debate around that valuation.
"Early investors filed suit in New York against FanDuel's board for breach of fiduciary duty in allegedly undervaluing FanDuel to enrich themselves." ( FanDuel Wikipedia )
There was some unusual relationships in the deal, and the valuation of the company post-purchase was dramatically larger.
Not sure if suit is public, but article:
"The new lawsuit claims that the board – which allegedly included only one independent director and six directors tied to KKR and Shamrock – priced the value of FanDuel’s stake in the merged company at about $559 million. That number, the suit alleges, was no coincidence. Under FanDuel’s operative bylaws, preferred shareholders were due to receive all of the first $559 million from any merger."[1]
[1] https://www.reuters.com/article/us-otc-fanduel/fanduel-found... ( "juicy tale?" )
It seems like the suit was settled in FanDuel's favor/against the early investors/employees.
https://archive.is/vAaKC
They could have chucked them something. I'm not thinking a large %, but maybe a mill or so.
That’s like reading an article about domestic abuse, and deciding that one should just never be in a relationship because that could happen.
Dunno, the lesson I've learned is "have your lawyers look at it, and don't fucking give the VCs full priority" would also have worked.
So true. There’s only so many things you can master at once. Better to master making a product people will pay for, than playing the VC game for the first time when they’ve already mastered the rules