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Return to office is 'dead,' Stanford economist says

nostrademons
157 replies
2d1h

Manager of a hybrid team here, 2 remote, 4 in 2 different remote offices, and 4 in the office with me.

My experience is that remote workers often have higher velocity but lower agility. When there's a well-defined task and little ambiguity, remote workers can usually complete it faster than in-office workers. But when the task is highly ambiguous, requires many course corrections, involves rapid communication, or relies on a large degree of trust, the in-office teams end up more productive. It all stems from known research on the benefits & detriments of office work, i.e. offices build trust and allow higher-bandwidth communication, but they also have more distractions and a less comfortable work environment.

I think the trigger that would bring people back to the office is a new economic boom based on new and unknown technology. That creates a highly ambiguous environment where you're forging ahead in unknown directions and need a lot of trust in leadership to make progress at all. Established companies with known markets probably would be better off adopting remote work - the employees work faster, and there are already well-known processes and strategic direction. Of course, if you're already well-established in your market, it probably doesn't matter what you do.

morgango
57 replies
2d

I totally disagree. I have worked remotely for more than a decade and run a team that is 100% remote. The company I work for is remote first as well. For white collar work, there is no difference between remote and on-premise employees. There is a huge difference between remote and on-premise leadership, however.

In my experience, remote workers are significantly more productive than on-site employees IF the culture is one of employee empowerment and trust. If you expect people to be mature, communicate effectively, and get things done AND you give them the tools and support to do it then being remote is absolutely no barrier. It just gives people an extra hour or two a day to think about things and do a little extra work because they are not commuting.

The missing piece is that leaders need to plan, execute, and communicate effectively. They need to empathize with their teams and work with people as individuals, which means extra time and thought and attention. Face-to-face work covers up for a lot of incompetence because that person is standing in front of you. Remote employees can't hide behind a herd and remote leaders can't hide behind an org chart. You don't need to spend millions of dollars on a building to cover up for poor leadership and weak culture.

For reference, I run a team of 10 remote employees and am responsible for highly technical engineers that support sales for a team that generates 8-figures of annual revenue on SaaS and on-prem software.

nostrademons
27 replies
1d23h

Have you worked in startups though? Organizations of 1-20 people where the whole company doesn't know who its customers are, why they would buy the product, or how to make money?

In my experience it's basically impossible to "plan, execute, and communicate effectively" in these environments, because if people knew what the plan was or how to execute it, someone would already have done it.

The company relies on quick and efficient feedback between employees, leadership, and potential customers. That's the part that's much harder with remote work. In a startup, if you tell an engineer to do something and it turns out it's impossible, you will see him grimace and cuss you out in person, and you can adjust the plan accordingly. With remote work, you don't get that body-language feedback, and he'll probably say yes while looking for other jobs and posting about how incompetent his manager is on Hacker News.

presentation
8 replies
1d23h

I’m running engineering at a small startup that’s full remote, it’s working fine for us. Don’t agree that remote work means you can’t have dynamic communication. It just means you need to choose the right employees and have an higher bar of alignment on how you work and communicate.

Don’t hire people who don’t value synchronous communication. People who want all communication to be async and don’t plan to respond promptly to messages (like the work/life balance crowd on HN) will not produce a dynamic team because that’s not the strong point of async communication.

Do quick calls when text conversation gets too long, build a team where you can expect people to actually make an effort to show up to the calls. For us we also have strategy calls with video regularly (but not too frequently), and make sure everyone is aligned to the plan and concerns are resolved before building. Make sure the team understands that for anything where they are unsure what to do or have any ambiguity around requirements, that they proactively ping the right people.

Doesn’t mean you need to be on all the time and that async communication is not valuable, but you need everyone to know when it is and isn’t the right way to go. So long as people are making a best effort to value communication speed it works out.

Hire people who are motivated enough to form opinions, and confident enough to say they really think. Most people are not invested in their work, or not invested in the problem space enough to bother making the mental and research effort to form valid opinions on your problem space. This is fine for when things just need to get done (not everyone on the team needs to be a decision maker), but foster those who are ready to invest. Make it clear it’s a good thing if they do form opinions and are willing to express their doubts about the strategy to others/leadership.

For us we also have very clear owners of different aspects of our operations and product. Someone will make the final decisions on those aspects. This doesn’t mean they make all choices, they can choose to defer to someone they trust to make the call. But someone needs to be clearly responsible, and others need to know that if a conversation is not resolving that they can pull the right person in to resolve it efficiently. People need to agree to disagree at some point once those responsible make a choice.

This general approach works for us, people don’t tend to hate their managers if they understand why choices are made, feel that their concerns are heard, and are aligned ideologically with the approach and way of working. But it does require choosing the right people and setting a higher bar for yourself on alignment.

theonething
2 replies
1d22h

Don’t hire people who don’t value synchronous communication. People who want all communication to be async and don’t plan to respond promptly to messages (like the work/life balance crowd on HN) will not produce a dynamic team because that’s not the strong point of async communication.

Basecamp has always been remote and asynchronous and they seem to be doing well.

presentation
0 replies
1d20h

OP is talking about fast moving startups in an ambiguous environment, async is good but optimizing utilization doesn’t help if you’re going in the wrong direction. My point isn’t “don’t value async work” it is “don’t not value sync work”

cosmodisk
0 replies
1d22h

Don't hire people who can't put two coherent sentences together in an email. I've seen many many of such types. They are tragedy in remote environments.

j4yav
2 replies
1d22h

Async teams achieve dynamic results through multi-threading, not being really good at dropping everything else to do one thing at a time really well.

presentation
1 replies
1d20h

Ya but OP is asking about startups in an ambiguous environment. I think that works well when you’re more steady state.

j4yav
0 replies
1d10h

I have personally experienced that effective multi-threading is much better when there is more ambiguity. I at least don't think it's a truism that for startups doing one thing at a time and doing it well is obviously superior.

erik_seaberg
1 replies
1d21h

If you present a plan in a meeting, don’t expect all important concerns to be raised right there before the meeting ends, people will need time and quiet to think it through.

presentation
0 replies
1d20h

Agreed, give many chances to raise objections.

bugglebeetle
3 replies
1d23h

I work for a remote startup and no, the parent, is correct. The company was previously languishing until they replaced the tech lead and hired me. Both of us can get shit done without being told what to do every 5 minutes. The previous people couldn’t. We’ve since increased our customer base and service usage massively, without any issues.

esafak
2 replies
1d22h

That is just a question of experience. A junior engineer needs hand-holding and a senior one does not. They had the former, and needed the latter.

bugglebeetle
1 replies
1d21h

The people we replaced were both mid-career. Just not good at taking initiative or anticipating future needs.

LtWorf
0 replies
1d5h

It's not like you're a junior until 28 and then you're a senior. You can retire a junior if your skills are that.

ath3nd
3 replies
1d22h

Disclaimer: Head of Engineering, been working in startups only.

In a startup, if you tell an engineer to do something and it turns out it's impossible

I see a problem with that approach. To me, it's not about you telling the engineer what to do, they are not a tool to execute your bidding, they are a colleague with ideas how to achieve the goal you are striving for.

What is great about remote is that it kind of forces you to write down your ideas in some format, in PRs, in proposals, in documents. That gives the space and time for others to chime in, at their own pace, without your "body language" or your "room presence" shutting them down. Granted, it's not the American way with a top-down approach to startups, but if your working model is you simply tell your engineers what to do and they execute it, then imo you are missing 90% of their value.

you will see him grimace and cuss you out in person, and you can adjust the plan accordingly....you won't get that body-language feedback

I have never had anyone at work "cuss me out", whether that's been remote or in the office. That sounds like a very unhealthy culture to me.

Additionally, I stipulate that looking for inscrutable clues in people's faces can instead be replaced with building a culture where you reward people for speaking (or writing down) their mind and all contributing towards the common goal, and there is a healthy amount of discussion (preferably written). As a technical manager, your role is to provide a clear goal to your teammates, and work with them to a good solution, not analyze their body language and making decisions based on that...

yes while looking for other jobs and posting about how incompetent his manager is on Hacker News.

I'd be doing the same if my manager's main job is observing my every facial expression and I am not allowed to say no or at least explain why I don't think the task that's been presented to me is possible to be achieved in the proposed way.

valval
0 replies
22h1m

It’s funny how arrogant you are about all of these very basic human traits being relics of the distant savage past, as if you were levitating above everyone else.

skirmish
0 replies
1d17h

What is great about remote is that it kind of forces you to write down your ideas in some format

It really doesn't for some people. I have coworkers who will never communicate through text; after the first 1-2 messages they always say "let's just have a quick conference call", and then it ends up endless as they talk. I personally mostly avoid them as much as I can.

notabee
0 replies
1d21h

Additionally, I stipulate that looking for inscrutable clues in people's faces can instead be replaced with building a culture where you reward people for speaking (or writing down) their mind and all contributing towards the common goal, and there is a healthy amount of discussion (preferably written). As a technical manager, your role is to provide a clear goal to your teammates, and work with them to a good solution, not analyze their body language and making decisions based on that...

To add to that, a lot of engineering types are also very neurodivergent and just do not communicate on that level the same way as other people, leading to copious misunderstandings and miscommunications when it's not a "say what you mean, and mean what you say" sort of environment. That probably makes a certain other type of person uncomfortable, when their main skill is social hacking and not necessarily efficient management, planning, or collaboration.

vinnymac
2 replies
1d23h

It is especially true for startups to be open minded and flexible. If engineers aren’t having those kinds of conversations, perhaps they do not feel comfortable being open and honest.

If we create an environment where engineers feel comfortable enough that body language isn’t required as the sole feedback indicator in this scenario, perhaps the entire workplace would benefit.

nostrademons
1 replies
1d23h

I agree with all that, but it's also significantly easier to build trust in an in-person environment where the employee can read the leader's body language and judge for themselves whether leaders authentically believe in the mission that they're having the employees execute, as well as their chances of success.

There's a reason why generals who lead from a desk aren't really trusted, or why when executives skip off to New Zealand it corrodes morale in their organizations.

ghaff
0 replies
1d20h

I don't think that most people are disputing that it can work either way. But enough people are invested in staying remote themselves (I'm one!) that it turns into remote is better in all circumstances and people who want to be in an office are just as well-off as well.

tedivm
1 replies
1d23h

Have you worked in startups though? Organizations of 1-20 people where the whole company doesn't know who its customers are, why they would buy the product, or how to make money?

That sounds like an amazingly poorly run startup with horrible leadership.

The startups that I've seen that are successful purposefully try to fix that problem. We flew people out to customers, had them shadow them to see how they worked, and had a group of customer advisors. Out of all the startups I've been involved with the remote ones have done the best.

Honestly, the manager you're describing is incompetent. Why is that manager relying on reading body language instead of building enough trust with their engineers where the engineers would just say "that's impossible?". It seems like that manager is doing a poor job and is using remote work as an excuse for their own lack of ability.

jayd16
0 replies
1d19h

Why fly them out and not just video call?

But jokes aside, I think this is really unkind. You're never going to have perfect people or perfect situations. Saying a process works great under the best conditions is only looking at things inside a small sliver of reality.

j4yav
1 replies
1d23h

How would you explain GitLab or other all remote companies that have been successful since 1-20 employees, given your analysis here?

tedivm
0 replies
1d22h

The people pushing RTO have to ignore a huge amount of data in order to make their point.

veidr
0 replies
1d21h

OK, so... remote work isn't suitable for companies/startups with incompetent managers? But then... what kind of work really is

theonething
0 replies
1d22h

he'll probably say yes while looking for other jobs and posting about how incompetent his manager is on Hacker News.

I feel this to the core.

taway1874
0 replies
1d22h

If one joins an org of 1-20 people without understanding "who its customers are, why they would buy the product, or how to make money" then it is on them.

jayd16
5 replies
2d

If worse leaders can be effective in office and not remote, isn't that a pro-office argument?

happytiger
2 replies
2d

On identical logic: that on-prem companies don’t hire the best leaders because they aren’t needed.

jayd16
0 replies
1d20h

For that to follow, you'd have to assume that its irrelevant anyway because the best and not the best provide equal value. Conversely, if the best provides more value no matter the situation then companies are incentivized to hire the best and RTO.

bluGill
0 replies
1d22h

There are a lot more okay leaders than great leaders. And it is hard to developer new leaders.

hot_gril
1 replies
1d23h

I'm confused by this too. What good is an in-office leader if everyone else is remote?

jayd16
0 replies
1d19h

The conversation is about remote or co-located leadership. If the lead is in-office and the team is not, it would be remote leadership in this context. The whole team needs to be in office to change that.

j0hnyl
5 replies
2d

I agree with you. I find remote work infinitely more productive for ambiguous task as well. I have memories of being in an office and getting into conference rooms and dicking around for 30 minutes before the work actually begins. This doesn't happen with remote meetings.

bluGill
4 replies
1d22h

Those conference rooms are often where you learn about unstated requirements. Or the real requirement that they assuemed was too hard to asked for so they put in something that would accept that they thought was easier (even though the real requirement is easier). That is also where you learn when the company is shifting directions and so you can start doing what the company really wants.

All of the above can be avoided with remote work. However it is a lot easier to pick those things up in the office.

j0hnyl
3 replies
1d19h

I don't completely agree here, but there is some merit to what you are saying with regards to honing on some social cues, gossip, candor, etc. However, I'd still take being in the dark on some of this stuff in exchange for all the benefits of working from home.

bluGill
1 replies
1d19h

You can skip all that even when in the office. However you run into real danger of getting fired because you are producing things that they don't need.

LtWorf
0 replies
1d5h

That is when you point to the ticket description and ask "where does it diverge from this description?"

johnnyanmac
0 replies
1d3h

I'm sure most would too. But this is more about worker efficiency than personal desires. People who say they lose zero productivity in every stage of work lose some credance when the underlying narrative incentivizes them to say that.

hot_gril
4 replies
1d23h

"If you expect people to be mature, communicate effectively, and get things done"

That's a big if

The_Colonel
3 replies
1d23h

Alsi "communicate effectively" is easier said than done, esp. given it's a two way street and remote communications can be pretty challenging for the employees.

hot_gril
2 replies
1d22h

I think the SWEs can really take a lesson from the semi-technical sales people. World of difference even in a casual convo with them. I've been reforming myself too.

LtWorf
1 replies
1d5h

Semi-techical sales people are less technical than non-technical everyone else.

hot_gril
0 replies
20h13m

That's the point

dcsommer
4 replies
2d

remote workers are significantly more productive than on-site employees

That is what GP says, too. GP was saying the advantage of in-person is agility and course-correction, which require intense discussion.

The missing piece is that leaders need to plan, execute, and communicate effectively.

Maybe with perfect leadership this is tenable, but when responding in a quickly evolving situation, I can see the advantage of in person. It just doesn't seem realistic to expect leadership to do all the planning. Engineers "at the bottom" often have better perspective and should be at the planning table.

My personal perspective: I'm currently 100% remote and enjoy the improved throughput. I also have had to get better at planning, as you point out. But when I have to do heavy coordination, video conference fatigue gets real. I'd prefer to be in person for those days with >3 hours on video.

starkparker
2 replies
2d

GP was saying the advantage of in-person is agility and course-correction, which require intense discussion.

I worked in-person for the first 7 years of my career and remote for most of the last 7. This was true until the pandemic. It's not true anymore. Even in-office workers at my current hybrid workplace are using huddles and threaded chats to meet and decide things faster than scheduling a room or walking up.

The only thing that was consistently faster in-office was the espresso machine, and even that flipped around when the Bambino came out around 2019.

johnnyanmac
1 replies
1d3h

Have you really had zero issues with brainstorming and team design remotely? I find it way more efficient to jot down messy ideas on a whiteboard than mess around with a virtual mock. Those are great as a polishing step once we reach a general approach we agree on. But constantly shuffling, panning, and resetting a Mirio board ends up with utter chaos IME

starkparker
0 replies
17h34m

Have you really had zero issues with brainstorming and team design remotely?

Literally none. PMs are disciplined, there's top-down and bottom-up accountability, there's good transparency of work status and blockers, and people can take days off, miss meetings, and still contribute to decision making because all the work is done in a shared space that everyone in the company can see.

We don't even need standups most weeks because everyone knows where everyone is just by looking at the related tickets.

The closest things to "problems" are in bridging front-end design and back-end implementation collaboration because they use different tools, but that was at least as big of a problem when it was turning whiteboard mockups and Post-its into engineering tickets.

j4yav
0 replies
1d22h

I don't recall middle management being amazing in person - mainly I recall some unnecessary guy who spent all day on Facebook until he got bored, who then starts wandering around bothering people. With 100% remote, those positions just seem to be gone which is a big upgrade in my book - though I can understand why middle management is anxious about it.

j4yav
3 replies
1d23h

I think the difference is 100% remote. Hybrid is the worst of both worlds.

Gigachad
2 replies
1d20h

Hybrid is my ideal option. I don’t think there is any point coming in every day, just 2-3 days to get all meetings and collaboration done, and then a few days at home to grind out the work that requires no discussion.

j4yav
1 replies
1d10h

If all the same people are in or out on all the same days that could work.

Gigachad
0 replies
18h50m

That's how we do it. 2 days a week everyone I work with goes to the office, then the other days it's sales teams or whatever. Means you actually get a lot of value out of the time in.

winterplace
0 replies
1d22h

Could you share about the way leaders plan, execute, and communicate effectively?

Do you have an email address or a contact method?

smabie
0 replies
1d23h

If you've been remote for a decade then what are you comparing it against?

csomar
0 replies
2d

I totally disagree.

You know both premises can be true at the same time, right?

hellisothers
41 replies
2d1h

Anecdotally having spent several years at my current job in person and now several years fully remote (whole company, full remote) I find it much much easier to do quick huddles and swarm on tasks/ideas. Before you had to convince everybody you wanted to talk to to leave their desks and hopefully find a free conference room and you had to premeditate this by days for scheduling (and free conference rooms). Now we can meet almost right away, no physical context switching.

As with most things it really depends, also having some people be remote and some in person is always going to disadvantage the remote workers and set them up for failure in management’s eyes so no surprise there.

nostrademons
39 replies
2d1h

"Before you had to convince everybody you wanted to talk to to leave their desks and hopefully find a free conference room and you had to premeditate this by days for scheduling (and free conference rooms)."

This may be a company-culture thing, but before remote work, collaboration at my past employers was always "Swing your chair around and open your mouth". It didn't take a whole lot of convincing or a conference room.

no_wizard
33 replies
2d1h

IMO this is the worst kind. It means I can be interrupted at a moments notice. Unfortunately, even the act of asking "hey are you free?" means I am sometimes broken from very deep concentration.

Remote Work lets me silence the things I don't need to deal with right away while those that truly need my attention I can prioritize ahead of time or there are ways to "break through" the silence because its urgent enough to warrant it.

I hated not having that level of autonomony in the office. Mostly, so did everyone else once they realized how this wasn't as nice as it seemed

helen___keller
18 replies
2d

This is exactly the tradeoff, right?

By definition this is more efficient communication when you can ping someone irl, interrupt their flow, and get an immediate response.

And yes, it’s significantly worse for deep work.

In exchange for losing deep work, you no longer have to write a detailed thought to your PM, wait 5 hours for them to ping back “sounds good to me”, then begin working on it the next business day not feeling sure if they even read what you wrote.

commandlinefan
8 replies
2d

This is exactly the tradeoff, right?

But you're also expected to meet your weekly "commitments" in JIRA - which means you're going to be working nights and weekends to do the work you're supposed to be doing since you were interrupted all day to do the work other people were supposed to be doing.

But you're right, this _is_ the tradeoff, and it's by design, since you're "exempt".

milesvp
3 replies
1d23h

No. The answer isn’t nights and weekends. It is much easier to simply document interruptions. This also means that during planning you can now actually plan appropriately for your time.

Please don’t accept the narrative that exempt means unpaid overtime is ok.

danaris
2 replies
1d23h

If their supervisors believe "exempt" means "abuse this person with all the unpaid overtime", and don't respect their time and autonomy and expect them to respond to every interruption and get all their own stuff done, it's very unlikely that documenting those interruptions and "planning appropriately" will actually make a positive difference. More likely it'll just get them told they're being insubordinate.

Now, the ideal answer in a situation like that is to leave and find a better job. But if everyone in a situation like that could just leave and find a better job, we wouldn't have situations like that for long.

milesvp
1 replies
1d22h

Yeah, I’ve worked in some very toxic workplaces. The other reason to document, is that now you have ammunition that you can take to progressively higher levels of management. Bureaucracies hate paper trails, and the sooner you can establish a paper trail the better off you are. But I do get it, often “heads down, do your work” is the only path due to factors outside of work.

danaris
0 replies
1d21h

I dunno; I'd say "bureaucracies love paper trails—they just want the bureaucracy's official paper trail to be the only one," heh.

But yeah; if you're in an organization that is not totally lost to corruption (of whatever stripe), or one that has to answer to higher authorities, like federal laws and the SEC, then documenting can be an extremely effective way to force, if not necessarily genuine changes of heart, at least skin-deep changes of behavior.

The case where I saw stuff like this happening second-hand (it was to a family member), the rot came, unfortunately, from the top. My family member was doing absolutely amazing work supporting the stated mission and values of the organization, and was having to fight tooth and nail to make it happen. Unfortunately, the organization's actual mission and values were much more along the lines of "make lots of money and pander to the people who will give it to us," so the job description was changed overnight to one supporting part of the organization that they had made perfectly clear over their years in that position they would have nothing to do with (because it was the part that most strongly violated the stated values). This was sufficient evidence that, after they quit and applied for unemployment, the state agreed this was constructive dismissal and paid out in full.

verall
1 replies
1d23h

which means you're going to be working nights and weekends to do the work you're supposed to be doing since you were interrupted all day to do the work other people were supposed to be doing

Only if you're totally overscheduled?

It is a balance: you need to do your own work, other people need you to do their work, and you also need other people to do your work. Depending on your and your company's culture you may need to block out sections of your day for deep work. Or you may need to ask your manager for support to not be the SPOF for a bunch of other people's work.

commandlinefan
0 replies
1d22h

Well, not to put too fine a point on it, but every job _I've_ ever had ends up devolving into a 24/7 expectation without much in the way of appreciation. This seems to follow the person, not the company.

nostrademons
1 replies
1d23h

I've never worked in a place driven by JIRA, always companies where they just expect a small team to come out with a product or major feature on a timescale ranging from ~quarter - ~year. You're evaluated by whether the product or feature launches and how good it is, not by how many tickets you close.

commandlinefan
0 replies
1d22h

whether the product or feature launches and how good it is, not by how many tickets you close

We're measured by both.

steveBK123
3 replies
1d22h

It can be asymmetric though of course.

The smartest person on your team is going to be interrupted the most. The worst person on your team is going to do a lot of interrupting. So your highest quality producer will produce less & your lowest quality producer will have their incompetence papered over. With remote, a lot of this interruptions are now on slack, and searchable.

In an environment with a lot of juniors that need coaching, the office definitely excels. For a team of mature engineers trying to work on challenging tasks, it can be highly disruptive.

I've been in a fully remote job and gotten more built in the last year than in probably my previous 5 years in office. Meanwhile when I was in-office, most of my coding was after hours (back at home).

Remote also means I spend less time in conference rooms listening to monologues and more time on 1-1 or small group zooms with productive screen shares of code/data/probelms.

bluGill
2 replies
1d21h

You should ALWAYS put your smartest/best developers on the least important project. This means your second best developers can grow to become your best developers, and nobody feels bad about interrupting the best developers. It also means if an urgent must do now project comes up your best developer is free to drop everything to do it - who cares that you just made the least important project late, while if they were on an important project management would have to think about priorities. (most do it now projects are things that can be done in days or weeks, if they are more than that it needs to go through the budget process)

Any large project will have plenty of technical debt that isn't important to clean up now but should be done. There are always new tools to try and see if they add value to your project. There are new frameworks to try that might or might not be worth telling everyone to start using for the next story.

The above does work for a tiny company of course. However for larger companies it is important.

steveBK123
1 replies
1d21h

You should ALWAYS put your smartest/best developers on the least important project.

How do you retain your smartest/best devs when you are putting them on the least important projects and expecting them to tolerate infinite interruption?

Certainly there is a tradeoff of coaching vs doing for seniors, and you want to raise your overall team up.. but in practice a lot of "agile" environments are very focussed on output, and want to see more points/stories out of higher paid people. It sets up an adversarial system where nothing is expected of some, and everything is expected of others.

You are also correct about team size. In an engineering org with 1000s of people, you want everyone to grow and no 1 person really matters.

In startups, small orgs, and teams of 3-5 devs.. you do need your best doer to, actually, well.. do.

bluGill
0 replies
1d19h

The best/smartest get to work on interesting problems. They get interupted a lot, but between they have time to try interesting things that someone focused on the important wouldn't. They are the ones trying rust first. They are the ones asking "what if" and trying new architectures on a small scale.

no_wizard
1 replies
2d

That sounds more of a planning / culture issue than something thats unavoidable. At the beginning of the pandemic, this happended alot, where I had to wait for PM input or what have you, but eventually, culture molded to be more async and we were given more trust to do things we felt were right.

We re-structured meetings to be more productive, for example: PMs are required to write all the requirements in advance of a refinement session so everyone can read them first, and you are expected to have read them. This opens up for async discussion (via Jira messages) and come refinement meetings, a way to ask and discuss directly.

In the last 2 years since thats taken place, I have not had another instance of waiting on a PM for a response.

In cases where we need something more urgent, there are always ways to get a PM on the line ASAP, we have protocols for that (seldom used, but they exist)

helen___keller
0 replies
2d

Yes, there exist company cultures and management styles that greatly assist remote teams

ipaddr
1 replies
1d23h

You can write a deep thought at 9am get on with your day and wait. Same thing happens in person.. send an email from your desk and wait.

Not sure I see the difference unless you are roaming the hallways ready to pounce to ask them a quick question before their next meeting.

op00to
0 replies
1d22h

The hallway pouncers are well known. I am remote but used to visit an office and knew to stay away from people who would do the hallway pounce and you’d walk away with a bunch of work. No thanks dude!

willcipriano
0 replies
2d

In exchange for losing deep work, you no longer have to write a detailed thought to your PM, wait 5 hours for them to ping back “sounds good to me”

In my experience those people take forever to make decisions anyway so you'd be doing exactly that from the office.

scottLobster
7 replies
2d

Unpopular opinion, but this seems more like an issue of developer comfort than actual productivity, similar to how taking adderall can make you feel more productive than you actually are.

If the product quality depends on you maintaining a flow state for extended periods, then you're either working in a research lab or it's a poorly designed product.

I say this as a dev who also gets annoyed when my deep focus is interrupted, but so long as the interruption is actually warranted (and with my company's culture it usually is) I swallow my annoyance, task-switch and get the job done anyway. I'm already earning a higher salary than than most people in the world with good benefits and flexible hours. I can be mildly annoyed at work sometimes if it helps get the job done.

no_wizard
3 replies
2d

I disagree. I can move through quite alot, quite well, when I can work in a deep flow. 2-4 hours of deep work can be incredibly productive end to end and we follow TDD pretty strictly, which lends itself well to really thinking about problems and their solutions in my experience thus far, but it requires the ability to really walk through a problem space.

Our code quality here has improved significantly around this, and we are shipping faster than ever.

That isn't to say I'm unavailable (or anyone else) its that there is an acceptance that not all things are urgent, and if they are, its warranted to break through any focus periods.

scottLobster
1 replies
2d

Doesn't sound like we disagree that much. You are actually available, but not all things are urgent. I'd say the difference at my workplace is that pieces of the product are extremely old, developed under different architectures with different technologies under multiple management regimes of varying quality. There's a lot of tribal knowledge, so everything is kind of urgent by default as someone new to a specific piece of code can't move forward efficiently without picking the relevant SME's brain. Forbidding interruptions would be akin to mandating "only the SMEs can work, and the rest of you need to waste money twiddling your thumbs or banging your head against obscure legacy code until they feel like helping you". Most of the time when I'm interrupted it's because someone's blocked and I have the knowledge to unblock them, or I can at least point them to who does, so my loss of flow state is their gaining the ability to move forward at all, and everyone benefits.

By contrast it sounds like you guys designed your product around maximizing the impact of flow states and minimizing the need for interruption. I bet you have good documentation too. I'm honestly jealous, it would take tens of millions and years of re-writes to do the same here, and our prime customer wouldn't be willing to accept the delay even if we had the funding.

diracs_stache
0 replies
1d22h

It may not be that "only SMEs can work" but that "SMEs don't have 5 tickets this sprint but 3 high level deliveries over the next quarter" thus they are allowed work uninterrupted from the daily churn and focus intensely (contributing to their already high base knowledge). Whereas other engineers are constantly distracted and stay surface level trying to stay afloat.

prox
0 replies
1d23h

I completely agree with this way of working, and we have the same “protocol” as it were. I check my comms once every one or two hours to see if there is any pressing matters.

So little is actually urgent, unless you have some business critical infrastructure you have to maintain, but that sounds like a different role entirely.

naasking
2 replies
1d23h

If the product quality depends on you maintaining a flow state for extended periods

I think you've conflated quality and productivity; you started talking about one then switched to the other. They are related but not the same.

Certain dev tasks require deep flow for good results/quality. Robust refactorings, abstraction design and prototyping. Basically anything where you have to preserve invariants under code transformations. This isn't all dev work, and isn't necessarily frequent either, but when flow state is required it's usually important work that's core to a program's operation, so product quality definitely depends on flow.

If you're working on such a task, an interruption requires a return to that flow state to ensure good quality, and that takes time and will definitely impact productivity.

Other tasks do not require going very deep though and so achieving comparable quality doesn't require much depth in your flow. Interruptions won't affect productivity much in such cases.

My two cents.

scottLobster
1 replies
1d22h

I think the key point of the line you quoted was "for extended periods". Obviously flow states are useful, perhaps even required in some contexts, but to demand a full day of uninterrupted flow-state engineering bliss is IMO unrealistic and very often counterproductive. Software development at the company level is a team sport, and being actively hostile to necessary communication simply because it "interrupts your flow state" is the act of a prima donna or "rock star" developer. I've refactored a lot of code/been doing deep design work and been interrupted during said work. Did it make my personal task take substantially longer to complete due to the task-switching/getting my flow state back? Sure, but the interruption was for a good reason and my help was actually needed. On balance the interruption saved the company money and time because the drop in efficiency of execution for my slice of the pie was less impactful than what my help was needed for.

Now if you're getting constantly pinged for stupid shit that anyone could Google, then perhaps you should politely confront the person(s) doing so and make your expectations clear rather than declaring a pox on all interruptions.

naasking
0 replies
1d20h

Sure, but the interruption was for a good reason and my help was actually needed.

Wouldn't this be true of just about everyone complaining about such interruptions though? I can't imagine anyone would mind being interrupted if the building were on fire. People just differ on what they consider to be good reasons.

I'm sure there are unreasonable people on all sides, both those asking for unreasonable conditions to interrupt them and those not respecting reasonable conditions for interruptions, but I don't think it's the majority of the people complaining about it. I've been in this situation a few times, and lots of people just don't have good impulse control and so don't even think twice about interrupting you if it's more convenient for them.

jayd16
3 replies
2d

Did you notice that the grand parent is promoting instant interruptions with remote meetings? You're talking about being able to ignore your coworkers requests easier.

Seems pretty contradictory, no?

I also do wonder what the real value of it ignoring live requests is. You personally get to stay on task but what about what's lost? If you block two or more people isn't it worse overall?

no_wizard
1 replies
2d

Work should be structured to be as non blocking as possible in the first place. If its not, there is either an issue in planning, resources, or in (unlikely) cases, truly it has to be serial, in which case it should be planned accordingly

I'd also argue, that 2 people being blocked because of X should warrant breaking through any focus period, as thats clear indication of an issue that needs more attention.

If you're talking about 2 people being blocked simply because they don't know what to do, thats why companies should have proper mentorship programs in the first place, it was a need hidden because being in-office made this less visible of a need, but it was always there, and dedicated mentorships are better than ad-hoc problem solving in these types of cases. Not every senior needs to be in the "deep work" pool (we do mentorship on rotation where I work)

JumpCrisscross
0 replies
1d23h

Work should be structured to be as non blocking as possible

Which works if the work is predictable. If you’re in a dynamic environment, that’s not possible. Hence, agility.

To take an absurd example, military command shouldn’t be RO.

LtWorf
0 replies
1d5h

Noobs mostly do the interrupting and want to be able to interrupt.

On the other hand, the experts are just getting interrupted with noob questions, and end up helping several people with their tasks in a day and their own task is still there undone.

Noob get promoted and expert doesn't.

Expert hates the noob.

Clear enough?

johnnyanmac
0 replies
1d3h

Feels like and environment problem. One workplace I had was an open office, but it also had a few dozen "focus rooms". Very tiny booth sort of room with A desk and outlets. Someone in a focus room clearly shouldn't be disturbed, but in the open space you're generally a bit more open.

OfficeChad
0 replies
1d9h

If you want to work in silence - become a monk.

garciasn
3 replies
2d1h

Sr. Director; team is entirely remote. Company is half remote with 1 day per week required for non-remote employees.

My team is highly technical and generally requires deep thinking and little interruptions to make progress. The single best thing that remote work has done is stop the endless interruptions via shoulder tap at the desk.

taway1874
2 replies
1d22h

Glad to hear! How do your engineers deal with impromptu messages in Teams/Slack disrupting their deep work?

garciasn
0 replies
1d16h

It's a lot easier to put yourself in Do Not Disturb via whatever team chat option you're using than having to hide from someone tapping your shoulder at your desk.

LtWorf
0 replies
1d5h

I wrote localslackirc :)

I basically have the ability to completely block certain people, quietly ignore channels until I get mentioned directly (@here gets ignored), and cause the abusers of @here to not generate a notification for me.

I also don't see gifs and reactions, which is a big help in not getting distracted.

op00to
0 replies
1d22h

I would never feel comfortable interrupting people like that in an office. What if they’re in flow state?

commandlinefan
0 replies
2d

leave their desks and hopefully find a free conference room

I've spent the last 20 years or so working for large conglomerates that have multiple satellite offices in different continents so huddles were always on zoom anyway. But they're still insisting on RTO.

m3kw9
7 replies
2d1h

The tech isn’t there for quick discussion, it’s a very UI/UX issue especially for current generation of video conferencing software, there is a huge layer between digital and physical. Hopefully AR can bridge some of that gap.

Future job may look for prospects that are adept in AR office work and will be asked how well they use it

foobarian
5 replies
2d1h

This is such a huge gap. Why there is no widespread more impromptu collaboration product I have no idea. I try to get people to use the excalidraw shared whiteboard any chance I get, at least that doesn't require the uncomfortable on-camera appearance.

There's got to be some other process we could try to recreate (to the extent possible) that "together" feeling of the office. Maybe set aside an hour when team calls into a meeting but just keep on working as normal? And can banter/ask random questions etc. Otherwise things are just too formal.

m3kw9
2 replies
1d23h

Is hard to replicate the physical instant access you get at an office and simulate it well in digital form. in the physical office space you cannot ignore someone while maintaining plausible deniability like if you were remote. You likely will be responded if you are face to face physically. I’m not sure if replicating that remotely is too intrusive for people to handle(forcing a camera to be on when requested).

You can always ignore people from remote till you are good and ready

ghaff
0 replies
1d22h

Well, and getting together for lunch, or a beer/mocktail after work. Virtual socialization feels so forced by comparison. And no-agenda meetings don't work either.

I sort of agree on the virtual whiteboarding (it's partly a surface area thing) but I think we've also discovered that colllaborative docs work fine for a lot of purposes.

JoeAltmaier
0 replies
1d23h

We had a product called Sococo some years ago, that showed active team members. You could 'knock on their door' and know whether they were ignoring you or not.

So it's possible, with the right interface.

gopher2000
0 replies
1d20h

Lots of teams/groups have open video conferencing rooms where people can just hang out without any specific purpose - while doing other work. It works to some extent.

ge0ffclapp
0 replies
1d22h

Google meet works for my team. We have a few rooms dedicated to hang out in during the day. Some people leave the camera off, others don't. It reminds me very much of the office where if someone has a random question there are already people around to answer it. There is no expectation you have to be in a room but lots of people do it because it is fun and interesting.

esafak
0 replies
1d21h

If anybody wants to work on this find me on LI.

cheschire
7 replies
2d1h

There's also the struggle of remote workers in a hybrid team unable to move up the ladder as easily as on-site workers for the same trust-based collaborative reasons you mentioned. It is possible that remote workers would look elsewhere for upward mobility, leading to more turnover.

Additionally, because the social fabric is weaker around remote workers in a hybrid environment, there may be a perception of them being less likely to remain out of any sense of loyalty or obligation. This seems like a potential stigma that remote workers would need to overcome in the absence of explicit inclusivity efforts by leadership.

no_wizard
5 replies
2d1h

Loyalty is a funny thing, because companies are not loyal, yet they want their employees to be loyal, without reciprocating in any manner.

I don't recommend holding loyalty to any company. Maybe to co-workers(s) or a direct boss (IE, if they leave, maybe you leave too. I've seen this happen) but certainly not to the employer, since it will never be reciprocated

twelve40
1 replies
2d

I think maybe instead of loyalty just some appreciation for the things that were good. Otherwise easy to turn to this toxic Blind-style cynicism, that never sat right with ne.

no_wizard
0 replies
2d

I'm all about appreciation, and I don't sit well with the culture on Blind either.

However, there is a difference in appreciating a situation and being professional vs being ignorant of the ultimate fact: at any time, the business can just let you go, either via layoff or other means. Its best to be aware that unless you're in the C-suite, you're a cog in the machine.

That however, is not an excuse to do bad work or act unprofessionally

helen___keller
1 replies
2d

Agreed but the image of loyalty is valuable even if loyalty is never worth giving

seadan83
0 replies
1d22h

A person is rarely so f'ed as when their manager _no_ longer believes that person would always act in their (the managers) best interest.

bluGill
0 replies
1d21h

Nobody is perfectly loyal. However some companies are more loyal than others. Some places you regularly see 10% let go. Others go decades between laying people off. Of course things can change at any time, but both extremes exist and generally come with enough other culture factors that they won't change very fast without obvious warning (that is getting bought out)

alienicecream
0 replies
2d1h

there may be a perception of them being less likely to remain out of any sense of loyalty or obligation.

Well, technically that would be a market inefficiency, so we should be encouraging employees to view their employers as fungible and switch jobs as soon as it's advantageous to them. If your employer is trying to keep you around through social ties instead of competitive compensation you're being taken advantage of.

zapcto
5 replies
2d1h

So many of these managers are basically saying, "in-office is better because I get to engage in high-status behaviors with other people IRL." I get that it makes you feel good but that's not necessarily translating to the bottom line.

ericmay
3 replies
2d1h

Nobody has any numbers on what is translating to the bottom line. There aren't any facts and even then the variables will be highly dependent on person, company, situation.

electrondood
1 replies
2d

I mean, companies all did WFH successfully for 3 years without issue. The bottom line is probably more affected by multimillion dollar commercial leases than C-level "feels" about productivity.

bluGill
0 replies
1d21h

Those 3 years would different enough in important ways so you cannot look at numbers to compare before/after.

pgeorgi
0 replies
2d

That's not what the RTO proponents bring forward. A sincere "I prefer you to be here so that I can admire my kingdom and feel good" would be more productive than the currently preferred grasping for straws on why it's better for the bottom line:

Everybody gets a good laugh, and returns to their tasks, or coffee chats, or whatever it is that they were doing, where ever they were doing it.

danenania
0 replies
1d22h

I think this is pretty much the key to it, psychologically speaking. It comes down to status and personality type.

Higher status and more extroverted workers tend to get energy and motivation from going to the office. It feels good and is fun for them. Our brains have evolved to know when we're high on the social totem pole and give us copious feel-good chemicals as a reward.

For similar reasons, lower status and more introverted workers tend to not enjoy the office. They find it de-motivating and draining.

This isn't always the case across the board, and there are often other reasons involved like family/commute, but I think it explains the different camps fairly well in broad strokes.

All that said, an argument can definitely be made that having happy, highly motivated leadership actually is extremely important to a company's bottom line, so I don't think it can be so easily dismissed.

wharvle
2 replies
2d1h

This can be made better or worse by processes and tools.

After years and years in Slack workplaces, I’m now witnessing firsthand how Teams can effectively throw sand in the gears of remote work, simply due to how its UI is designed. The lack of basic normal-ass chat rooms in a “team” pushes everything into 1-1 chats and chats attached to meetings. It kills serendipity, splits attention in unhelpful ways, and, thanks to the astonishing bad idea of how they crammed a threaded model—and only a threaded model—into a single-channel chat interface for Teams chats, makes those feel disorganized and high-friction. It’s like the tool was deliberately designed to create ad-hoc, hidden silos.

A simple choice of tool can make a big difference in the effectiveness of remote workers. Business processes and such can have just as big an effect. A lot of that stuff improves in-person work, too (that Teams horse-shit isn’t better for in-office workers, either) so adjustments to improve remote work tend not to even be trade-offs.

red-iron-pine
0 replies
2d

I been saying for years that Teams is worse than Slack -- glad I'm not the only one.

The lack of basic normal-ass chat rooms in a “team” pushes everything into 1-1 chats and chats attached to meetings

Exactly.

The big killer is being able to pop into a team's room and say "hey tell me about VLAN X" and get an answer from someone. or even just figure out who to ask. with teams that's much harder, you have to play the "find the right person to ask" game, and the visibility is poor.

(that Teams horse-shit isn’t better for in-office workers, either)

Teams is fine if you need a IM client for people who are in cubes on the other side of the office and integrates with the Office suite. but for distributed team use it's garbage.

potta_coffee
0 replies
1d23h

Most of the company uses Windows. A few of us actually write code and are on Mac. For some reason, for me, Teams is perpetually disconnecting from the network and requiring a refresh. It's essentially become a worse email service for me.

no_wizard
1 replies
2d

Time and again I see this when these claims come up, it comes down to a lack of responsive cultural changes to new norms, rather than inherent differences in in-office vs remote work. If you change your processes and cultural norms to facilitate better work for all styles, everyone benefits. There are ways to overcome preceived deficiencies of remote work. In short, its a solved / solvable problem, but it means changing culture, and seemingly, thats what the C-Suite hates.

I would love to hear otherwise. I haven't yet seen evidence to the contrary, and I'm very open to it. I don't think executives like culture changing without their fiat, which is what happend in most WFH transition cases. Some did end up embracing it anyway, but over and over again as of late, its being walked back, and even Amazon admitted they have no data to backup their RTO plans.

The pattern of behavior I'm obvserving aligns (to me) with what I'm saying: its C-suite taking back control because it diminished their executive power and increased competition for labor, driving up labor costs.

omginternets
0 replies
2d

100% agreed. I've noticed major differences between companies that are deliberately organized to facilitate remote work, and companies that deep down wish they could convince people to RTO.

The difference is palpable in, for example, whether and how explicit norms around asynchronous communication are implemented, whether office budget is repurposed into services and materials that enable remote work (including, for example, company offsites), etc.

It's obvious that certain jobs require in-person presence, but I think the big reveal is that most white-collar jobs don't.

lamontcg
1 replies
1d22h

The problem with hybrid teams are that there tends to be in-person communication happening in the in-office teams which the remote employees aren't brought up to speed on. That creates alienation and preferential treatment. And the latter is important since it isn't a blinded scientific experiment and the manager gets to pick and choose how to interact with the two different teams, which is going to shift the outcomes. If the manager was remote-only with 8 remote employees they'd have to adapt to 100% remote work and the bias would likely evaporate.

OfficeChad
0 replies
1d9h

This is how it should be, if you care - return to your team in person.

hot_gril
1 replies
1d23h

In most tech companies, I'd agree. When I was on exceptionally good teams where everyone was energetic and responsive, remote was perfect. When I was on average teams, it was too hard to get a hold of remote people even if they were productive. The individual action is simple, respond to messages ASAP and take video calls readily (maybe aside from some prearranged team-wide "focus time"), but leadership didn't set this direction.

I'd like to think that any new software workforce can arrange itself to be remote-only if it really tries, and it'd be much better off that way. Can also see why an existing company would rather bring people in-office.

The_Colonel
0 replies
1d22h

I think this is a problem comparing older remote companies which likely selected for people who are good at working remote, but an average employee / team won't be as effective.

I've worked in a rather average team remotely during Covid and it was pretty bad. Lack of communication, difficult to get hold of people, low productivity. The team fared better before Covid for sure.

headcanon
1 replies
2d

That aligns with my (admittedly anecdotal) views as well. I wonder if thats part of why so many managers and leaders feel lost without in-office culture. Most organizations are not good at that kind of explicit communication and organization, and remote work magnifies those flaws. So instead of trying to reduce ambiguity and improve the process accordingly, they instead just wish people could come back to the office and absorb that inefficiency.

And I'm just talking here about dysfunctional organizations, there are plenty of valid reasons for a functional organization to need in-office culture if they need to work through "legitimate" ambiguity (like designing a new technology or product).

bluGill
0 replies
1d21h

Explicit communication is harder as you don't get feedback about what people don't understand. A conversation means you see the blank look on the other's face and know to slow down, or see they got it already so you can go faster. Without that feedback you have to carefully go into extreme detail about everything because you can't be sure the other understood any other way and that is a lot more effort - most of that effort is wasted because the other would get it with much less, if only you knew that.

bnchrch
1 replies
2d1h

I'm not typically a statistics hawk.

However your team having 2 members that are remote, then generalizing it to all remote workers is a bit of a leap.

Outside of that I do agree. New technologies that require a high degree of experimentation and discovery lend themselves to in person work.

nostrademons
0 replies
2d1h

It's really 6 - the ones in remote offices effectively serve as remote workers for the purposes of management effort & management style. One of them is a singleton anyway - he has a desk in the office that is local to him, but he's the only one on the team there, and I don't really care whether he comes in.

Also about half of the rest of the org is remote - folks that collaborate with my team, but who I don't have reporting-line responsibility over. So there's a good sampling across 30-50 people who I interact with as teammates as well.

EMM_386
1 replies
1d23h

I would resepectfully disagree. I think this depends on the engineers you are working with.

I have been remote since 2014, so far before the pandemic changed all of this. I also have 25+ years of experience.

I am able to handle architecting a major enterprise project fully remotely. The entire tech stack, writing code, handling pull requests, highly complex issues requiring communication between myself and other people to ensure everything goes smoothly.

It does.

We release updates on a weekly cadance and everything thus far (2 years with this current project) has been smooth sailing. And the number of issues, new features, and requests addressed in each update is significant.

It can be done remotely, without issue. I spent over a decade in the office, with an hour commute each way.

I am never doing that again.

esafak
0 replies
1d21h

I also have 25+ years of experience.

With such a user name it goes without saying :)

DwnVoteHoneyPot
1 replies
1d23h

I totally agree. If you have a task oriented job, working from home is great. More focus, more comfort, more efficiency.

If you are a CEO and need to bounce ideas off of I.T., legal, finance, marketing with highly dynamic environment, definitely need to be in same location. Think war room or command center.

ghaff
0 replies
1d23h

The CEO of a large company will certainly have in-person face time with their senior leadership team (among many others including customers). Their office may also very well not be in the same location as that of many of their first or second level reports.

wdb
0 replies
1d23h

When I go to the office. I am in online meetings talking to my colleague (and others) next to me.

tracerbulletx
0 replies
1d23h

Come on now. Maybe that's true with workers who are not very good communicators or proactive yet, but it's not true if they are good at it. I've been involved with plenty of fully ambiguous online open source projects and they've all been incredibly nimble and excellent at resolving complex disagreements and decisions quickly.

tootie
0 replies
2d

I have been running remote teams for many years. Offshoring has been a thing for a long, long time. Globally-distributed businesses have been a thing for a long, long time. I had been lucky with some walkable commutes in the past and the period immediately preceding the pandemic, I would walk 20 minutes to the office, sit at a desk and spend my day on Slack and Meet with my dev team in South America, my clients in the midwest, my account managers in California. Maybe get a coffee with whoever was around, then walk home. There were days I just didn't bother going in and nobody noticed.

The economics of it are purely about labor efficiency. A company in the midwest that needs tech services isn't limited to service providers within driving distance. Service providers aren't limited in hiring. Talented people in developing nations get ready access to first-world markets without needing any connections. This was all thoroughly proven and justified before 2020.

seydor
0 replies
2d

Too small sample size

pmarreck
0 replies
1d23h

I think the same. It's also (IMHO) way more important to work in person together at a startup, where that agility has maximum application.

nomy99
0 replies
1d23h

I agree with this. I manage a fully remote team, and the bottleneck on delivering complex technical projects is the inability to effectively communicate. Slack/Teams do have limitations as communication tools.

evantbyrne
0 replies
1d23h

We are just now shipping novel biotechnology to market (cancer screening via cell-free DNA fragmentomics), and everyone that can be remote is. I'm skeptical that being in a new market in of itself makes RTO competitive. I can see how being able to hold people hostage IRL would be helpful in a state of emergency though, and a hard pivot might qualify as such.

dvfjsdhgfv
0 replies
1d21h

Thank you for sharing your experience. Mine is the opposite: when I work remotely, I work. There is only measure my work can be estimated: whether I finish my tasks on time or not. But when I'm in the office, there are many distractions and productivity suffers, not to mention the fact that open plan offices are completely unsuitable for zoom/teams calls.

drewcoo
0 replies
1d14h

Maybe it's easier for managers to accept all of the workers' stumbling when there's more contact between them. Rapport lubricates forgiveness.

Remote work seems to only be a manger problem.

So how can we help managers feel more "in control?" Or where can we hire managers that are like that?

code_runner
0 replies
1d23h

it just comes down to willingness to stop and chat with each other. at a company of sufficient size everyone is in different offices/cities/countries anyways so you'll always hit some sort of odd issue. You just have to be able to control what you can.

For me, being in office would add nothing, because my team is split between two cities, and if i ask a question outside of my team its highly likely we're talking about crossing oceans.

Like anything, its about communication

broast
0 replies
2d

Interestingly I see divides like that in the fully remote parts of my org, so I think it may be more related to what those teams work on rather than work style.

In fact our in-person teams have the opposite reputation: they are slow but theoretically work on high business value problems, while the remote hive mind takes care of business in the background.

bostik
0 replies
1d21h

I believe it is more nuanced. Full disclosure: before moving to UK I worked for seven (7) years in a remote-first company. And while it is certainly possible to run with a fully distributed, remote-only organisation, not every company can do that. The company would have to have been built, from day zero, to not merely "support" remote working but to fully endorse it. Starting from the founders.

When the plague hit, I was one of the few who knew how to transition from office to remote without a glitch - because I had the experience for how to do it. I honestly believe that fully remote can work only for a select few businesses, but mostly remote is perfectly doable for vast majority of tech and tech-adjacent companies.

To start, remote work self-selects for two types of people. Seniors, who already know how to work independently and productively - and the reasonably well-off who have the space and can afford to dedicate a physically separate study as their office. The overlap between the two is significant.

Several things are fundamentally more challenging in a fully remote setting. Such as...

1: Training and/or onboarding juniors. People entering the industry need constant supervision and near-synchronous assistance for a prolonged period of time. The first two years of your career you are clueless. Yes, you too, a HN reader. We ALL were! Training juniors takes time, skill, attention and - let's be honest - a personal touch. Doing that remotely is possible, but a lot harder. And only really possible in a company where everything has been built, from the ground up, to assume remote-first for everybody.

2: Active brainstorming. Bouncing ideas rapidly off of each other depends on establishing a rhythm where any communication delays are detrimental and can crash the cycle at any time. Having to devote brain cycles to communication delays and/or equipment detracts your attention.

3: Mob debugging. Very few things are more effective at complex root-cause analysis than having two or three people cluster around the same set of desktops, with enough large monitors to pull up new dashboards on a whim, and a whiteboard or three ready for quick scribbles and ad-hoc diagrams.

4: Random encounters. The US term is for some reason "watercooler effect", but in my experience "not at the office"-effect would be more accurate. If your culture manages to encourage people to take a walk outside the office setting, a small but meaningful fraction of those end up with valuable insights and outsized productivity boosts. Getting away from the physical office, while discussing things with coworkers, is an essential aspect.

5: Cultural cohesion. Maintaining a good company culture is tricky when most communication happens without leadership having any clue of it taking place at all. The only solution I can think of is solid trust.

Replicating or reproducing any of the above in a remote-only setting is incredibly hard. However - remote work has enormous benefits that don't necessarily show up directly. Such as:

Ten-second commutes. The ability for a remote worker to effectively flip from at-home mental state to at-work mental state, without having to endure commute is an incredible advantage.

Disturbance shutdowns. At remote work we can completely block off coworkers (or managers) from disrupting the flow. Just remember to also set your phone to silent.

"Friendly face effect". When your mostly-remote workforce does meet in person, they tend to spend time talking about things they have had simmering at the back of their minds. Stuff that has takenl iterally weeks to form. And they are for most parts happy to see each other. Compare that to office work, where seeing the same faces day after day gets dreary, really quick.

Encouraging async communications. When you have to properly think through what you want to convey, and actually take time to do it right, email chains can become quite fruitful[0]. Sure, the latency of communication may be slower, but the S/N ratio for non-combative topics tends to be high. (For combative topics, nothing helps. Best way to resolve them is to put the people involved in a cage and let them pummel each other to different shades of blue.)

For all of the reasons above, I believe that for most companies the best approach in the long run will be "mostly-remote". Have people meet in person for couple of days every couple of weeks, so that they can get all the synchronous activities done in one batch, and then let them disperse back to their home offices to focus on their real product-oriented work.

Onboarding juniors and non-senior new hires is still going to be tough. For companies that thrive on hiring newgrads, it's unlikely they could ever embrace remote work for real.

One of the unexpected downsides of mostly-remote is that a company going down that route is incentivised to have location based salaries. This works, mostly, when their staff live reasonably near large cities. But by incentivising their workforce to relocate to lower CoL areas during employment, they are actually also encouraging social isolation. I saw this first hand - and it's not healthy.

0: Writing a good email takes time. You may have to spend an hour on it, just to ensure that readership can not easily misunderstand the message you want to convey.

asdadsdad
0 replies
1d22h

the key part is really trust. there's no substitute for in-office work on that matter. 100% agree with your take on this.

alberth
0 replies
1d23h

”My experience is that remote workers often have higher velocity but lower agility.”

I concur.

I’m a remote employee (no company office in my city)

I work remote 3 weeks and then 1-week travel to be in office.

It’s a great balance of the dynamic you described.

agumonkey
0 replies
1d22h

To me it's all gray. I agree that in person makes room for freeform chat, exchanges, collaboration but it's also a swamp of masks and fluff where people just chat, annoy, babble, disrupt and nobody is enjoying any of it.

A good internet link and company hosted audio/video room is enough for us to share issues, unblock, pair or cut some slack.

acchow
0 replies
2d

The new technology is already here: LLMs. OpenAI requires 3 days per week in office

LtWorf
0 replies
1d7h

But when the task is highly ambiguous, requires many course corrections, involves rapid communication

Seems like the kind of task that should have never been created, but required you to schedule meetings first, which you didn't.

Failure on your side.

CapstanRoller
0 replies
1d17h

I think the trigger that would bring people back to the office is a new economic boom based on new and unknown technology

The modern Internet, the WWW, Linux, etc. and most of the core infra as we know it (and take for granted) was built in the 90s by people worldwide largely communicating via IRC and mailing lists.

If that's not an example of new and unknown technology, then I don't know what is.

btbuildem
124 replies
2d2h

It's good to see the broad but anecdotal sentiment backed up by data.

The RTO/WFH struggle is clearly about money (what else could it be about in a corporate world?), and it's fascinating to watch some companies chew their own limbs off (metaphorically speaking) to appease investors-at-large.

Here I speculate, but the pattern seems to be that board members are involved with multiple organizations, and are stakeholders in even more - and those with ties to commercial real estate (and all the funds heavily invested into it) will do whatever it takes to push for higher office occupancy. At the same time, they're doing this (arguably) to a disadvantage to the companies they're supposed to steward - forcing best talent out, paying a premium for half-empty office space, and generally eroding morale by this display of duplicity.

At the same time, I love seeing the quiet resistance by the rank-and-file and even some middle management. The new reality is here, and there's no going back. The % of days WFH has flatlined, and I imagine over time it will begin to slowly but steadily trend back up.

matchbok
66 replies
2d2h

I love how it has to be some massive conspiracy, not the well-known fact that junior employees and productivity both take a hit with full-time remote work. A lot of these orgs are coasting and the impact won't be known for a while.

EA-3167
22 replies
2d2h

If that's a "well-known fact" then could I trouble you for some sources to that end?

Kiro
13 replies
2d1h

Let's be real. The reason we all love WFH is because we can slack off. It's so easy to game the system and make it look like we're working when we're not.

SketchySeaBeast
1 replies
2d1h

Not any more than when I was in the office. Let's be real here - it's a rare individual who can do deep and productive knowledge work for 8 hours straight. All work from home means is that now when I take a break it's to do something productive, like a load of laundry, or really relaxing, like taking a walk, instead of trying to surreptitiously browse the internet for a bit.

doubled112
0 replies
2d1h

Sometimes I have an epiphany loading the dishwasher. That should count as billable time, no?

zarathustreal
0 replies
2d1h

Sorry to have to be the one to throw ice water on you here: most of your colleagues are in fact working hard and enjoy WFH because they enjoy spending time with their family and working from a comfortable work environment.

If we want to talk about conspiracies, let’s talk about management’s belief that everyone producing value is secretly trying to game the system

ubercow13
0 replies
2d1h

I don't think it's any easier, it's just less unpleasant because you don't have to pretend to be working as actively while slacking off.

And if this is true it just proof of the merits of WFH. If everyone is 'slacking off' and productivity is basically unchanged, it just shows what a waste of everyone's lives working in the office was.

taylodl
0 replies
2d1h

Stop projecting your personal failings onto the rest of us. My productivity has never been greater - and I started this career journey in the 80's.

Add in the new AI tools and productivity is getting another bump.

I guess you're just getting left behind.

We won't miss you.

red-iron-pine
0 replies
2d

studies have repeatedly shown that office workers -- and most workers in general -- are productive for about 6 hours a day. and that's on the high end.

there are a lot of do-nothing, go-nowhere meetings that fill the gap and make it appear like things are happening.

WFH just shows that the emperor has no clothes and that a lot of time is spent doing BS tasks. there is still a ton of BS, but I can be chopping veggies and prepping a crockpot meal while on pointless 30+ people calls.

pcthrowaway
0 replies
2d1h

Funny, I have bittersweet feelings about WFH because it was so much easier for me to slack off in office. All I needed was a butt in chair for 8 hours a day.

WFH I'm expected to track my productive time and ensure it adds up to 8 hours. Maybe some people can get away with fudging their records but I think there's a pretty widespread understanding that coworkers who regularly have lengthy periods where they're neither responding to DMs nor producing output aren't actually working for the full workday.

In office, if I spent an hour to go for a walk and to a coffee-shop during my 8 hour workday, it was understood that I was probably doing some backround processing while stretching my legs.

WFH if I disappear for an hour, it's assumed I'm not working (and I'm certainly not tracking that as productive work time)

op00to
0 replies
1d22h

I took two hour lunches, with alcohol. I would wander into random university lectures instead of meetings. Do not underestimate my ability to fuck off from work no matter the location.

ksenzee
0 replies
2d1h

If you’re justifying this to yourself because you think everyone else is slacking off at home, you might want to rethink. I am not slacking off—my productivity is at least as good at home as it was in the office, even on days when I’m not at the computer a full eight hours. Judging from what we get done, other people on my team are also not slacking off. But if someone were regularly slacking off, I’d be able to tell—and I’m not even a manager, just a principal who listens at standup. At least wait for a better job market if you insist on playing roulette with your career.

j4yav
0 replies
1d23h

I've personally never worked harder or had better results since working for all-remote companies.

dogleash
0 replies
2d

The reason we all love WFH is because we can slack off.

Don't insult me like that.

I won't pretend I don't know people who only work 4 hours a week, but stop acting like you know me.

I love work from home because I can get actual quiet. Not music downing out distractions. Quiet.

If you want to insinuate that I don't work, or perpetuate a culture that assumes I will not work as hard because there's no hall monitor, then get bent.

SantalBlush
0 replies
2d1h

The three big reasons for me are: 1. No more commute. 2. No need to move for a new job. 3. Way more real estate options. No longer needing to live inside a major metropolitan area near my job means I can save hundreds of thousands on a house, or pay much cheaper rent. It's a no-brainer.

Clubber
0 replies
2d1h

It's pretty easy to spot people who aren't working. We hired a guy and it was pretty obvious he was doing multiple jobs. We fired him in a week. Unfortunately my boss got cold feet and his replacement had to be in-office.

johnfn
7 replies
2d1h

Just talk to a few? I know plenty of junior developers who've told me that their professional life suffered during remote work over covid.

red-iron-pine
2 replies
2d

you mean the pandemic that completely upended the entire global economy and society?

the one that made entire industries basically vanish? the one that no one was prepared for?

like, I been 100% remote since 2015 for orgs that were already equipped for that, and life went on just fine when COVID hit. Jr. Devs at orgs that weren't equipped for remote definitely suffered, in the same way that not having winter tiers or chains would screw you when a sudden blizzard hits Texas.

johnfn
1 replies
2d

in the same way that not having winter tiers or chains would screw you when a sudden blizzard hits Texas.

Doesn't this just prove the point, though? You seem to be saying it takes additional resources and time to make WFH work as effectively as normal, in-office work. Many workplaces are resource-constrained and may not be able to implement those practices.

EA-3167
0 replies
1d23h

How do those resources compare to the cost of maintaining offices, the costs to workers of commutes and being more or less forced into expensive and crowded urban centers, and the environmental cost of the commute and the property maintenance?

ethanbond
2 replies
2d1h

I know plenty who said the reverse. Uh oh!

johnfn
1 replies
2d

Why is it surprising that different people could have different reactions to WFH? Some people liked it. Other people hated it.

ethanbond
0 replies
1d21h

The original claim that’s being supported is:

the well-known fact that junior employees and productivity both take a hit with full-time remote work

Not “some people were less productive, others were more productive,” which is obviously the actual truth.

llogiq
0 replies
2d1h

So professional work during a worldwide pandemic with all the hardship that entailed suffered...from working remotely? I don't buy that.

tnel77
16 replies
2d1h

I didn’t know it wasn’t possible to mentor junior employees remotely. It’s impossible to assign a mentor, actively check-in on their progress, encourage collaboration, etc. over a computer.

I guess I’ll have to tell the junior I’m mentoring that we are doomed.

Annnnnnyways, I’ve been having a great time mentoring a junior engineer at my company. We regularly meet to discuss his work and I constantly stress “please bother me if you have questions.” I reach out once a day to ensure he’s good to go and he often reaches out a few times a day for questions. We assign him work that is challenging, but within his skill set and abilities.

In summary, anyone saying juniors will suffer either has no idea how to mentor remotely or are just lazy. Adapt or die.

Edit: I will add that my company flies all remote employees into the office once a year for the sole purpose of team building. We did our hackathon in person and focused on building those bonds that can help people work better together. It’s technically optional, but who wants to turn down a free mini-vacation?

foobarian
4 replies
2d1h

Way back (talking multiple decades) on my first day at $JOB, my manager took me on a walk and introduced me to about 30 other engineers across multiple teams. A bit of smalltalk and bit of shop talk with each one. I still connect to 15 out of those individuals even today. I wish there was a way to replicate that for the remotes these days, because I felt that was pretty awesome.

no_wizard
3 replies
2d

There are, like remote happy hours, travel blocks, team get togethers etc.

These are solved / solvable issues. Socialization at work can be facilitated in a myriad of ways, even remotely. Games are popular way of doing it, virtual happy hours, team building activities etc.

photonbeam
1 replies
1d22h

Remote happy hours are hard because everyone is at the same audio volume /distance.

I wish I could emulate walking-over-there on zoom

no_wizard
0 replies
1d19h

you could use fluid rooms in Zoom, lets you go in and out to talk to someone

There needs to be a normalization of "peeling off" the main chat room

ghaff
0 replies
2d

There are. I admit to finding them annoying for the most part and I usually avoid.

dukeyukey
3 replies
2d1h

I (generally) haven't heard people saying it's impossible, but it absolutely adds friction.

tnel77
2 replies
2d1h

It undeniably takes more effort for me to reach out via Slack than it does for me to swing by a cubicle. Maybe I have gotten lucky with my experience, but I plan on continuing to mentor new hires. It’s certainly possible that I’ll change my opinion as I get a larger sample pool, but I’m happy with the experience so far.

convolvatron
1 replies
2d1h

I used to kind of think this, but for me reaching out slack has turned into something I really appreciate. I can asynchronously ask someone to get in touch with me. they do when they are ready. i dont interrupt them. i can continue doing other things. there is no set meeting time, we can just have a little chat with zero effort, say goodbye and go back to work.

at the end of the day after doing this I do feel more tired, but I get plenty of self-scheduled productive little discussions.

away271828
0 replies
2d1h

I've mentored someone remotely and it seems to have gone pretty well. Doesn't hurt that they person is very good. And, yes, chat is invaluable.

I still feel you're losing something without in-person (including social) interaction. I know for me personally, I would say I have much weaker connections to many people I've never met in person. That said, there are a bunch of other factors involved with building new connections as well that aren't purely about being virtual.

randomdata
2 replies
2d1h

The lessons from academia suggest that some students thrive in a remote environment, while others completely fall to pieces. It could be that teachers fear losing their jobs to technology if they are not a prominent fixture in an in-person classroom, thus making that up, but it is also quite plausible that different people are actually different.

Finding a student/junior who is able to do well in your business environment at a distance does not imply that it is scalable across all workers businesses need to hire.

dfxm12
1 replies
2d1h

Very few business environments are remote though. Almost every one is hybrid, practically all of them if you consider the ones that were in-person or hybrid before the pandemic. Looking at the comments in this thread, too many people seem to be arguing against a "mandatory remote work" strawman.

If you truly need an in-person job or employee, you can find one.

randomdata
0 replies
2d1h

> people seem to be arguing against a "mandatory remote work" strawman.

Not at all. Even if there was such a thing as "mandatory remote work", that does not preclude going to an office. Remote work allows working from anywhere.

The premise is that, absent of job obligation, there is little reason for the seniors to show up at the same place as the juniors. If such obligation is placed on them then you have an RTO mandate.

concordDance
1 replies
2d1h

I didn’t know it wasn’t possible to mentor junior employees remotely.

Might be possible, but most can't do it from what I've seen.

So if you go full wfh your pool of people who can mentor shrinks by a large factor (4x is my bet).

no_wizard
0 replies
2d

IMO most people can't mentor effectively to begin with, its simply a little more obvious when its remote.

This is solved by having a structured mentorship program and guidelines, and really good onboarding.

Of course, this means businesses have to invest in this sort of thing, and of course, they don't, because they implicitly got it for free by having seniors covering for juniors for so many decades it obfuscated the problem

matchbok
0 replies
1d19h

You only like it now because salaries haven't adjusted to the fact that the pool of candidates who can do you job goes up considerably if you are full-time remote. Long-term, wages will stagnate as opportunities in non-USA countries open up. There is no reason for your company to pay you a USA salary if you are full-time remote. And they won't, eventually.

matchbok
0 replies
1d19h

Annnnnnyways the leaders at top companies, included Zoom, seem to disagree. I guess you are smarter than them. :)

ctoth
12 replies
2d1h

It's more than three years since most people started working from home. Can you estimate when you expect these impacts to start showing up?

Filligree
3 replies
2d1h

Speaking for myself, I’m getting the hang of training people remotely. It takes more structure, and it took a year to learn how, but it’s totally doable.

duckmysick
2 replies
2d1h

Can you share what worked and what didn't when it comes to training people remotely?

Filligree
1 replies
1d22h

Checklists are the big one. We've got a big spreadsheet of general areas that people should know, each with a lecture attached, but those are for self-study; I go over each one in detail with each new hire in a series of sessions typically lasting ~3 months, at 2-3 sessions per week.

Separately, I hold what amounts to office hours 3 times per week, where anyone who feels like it can show up to ask questions—but new hires are encouraged to do so until absolutely certain they don't need to, and also to keep track of questions between sessions.

There's more, but this is the part that's easy to explain.

What didn't work... crucially, waiting for newbies to ask questions doesn't work; they won't. You need to actively go looking, and also bring up areas they might not even know they ought to ask about.

duckmysick
0 replies
1d7h

Thanks for the answer. I see the theme is you have to be proactive instead of passively dump info hope for the best. It makes total sense.

tessierashpool
2 replies
2d1h

It's more than three years since most people started working from home.

a lot more than three years. remote work goes back decades before covid.

GitHub, Shopify, and Stripe all started as remote companies.

the really annoying thing is not the legions of people who believe it all started in 2020. the really annoying thing is that there's a ton of excellent literature on how to do it, and when it suddenly became mainstream in 2020, the newcomers ignored all that literature.

insom
1 replies
2d1h

Shopify only went remote in March 2020, after being strongly anti-remote for a long time. You're right that they have leaned into 100% remote since the pandemic, however.

There were remote employees before (especially in Production Engineering and much of Support), but R&D was almost all in person.

(Source: I miss the productivity of the Elgin Street office ...)

tessierashpool
0 replies
1d22h

I'm talking about the period from 2006 to 2008 or so. source: that's when I met Tobi and a few other early people.

cm2012
2 replies
2d1h

Seriously. GDP and productivity are super high right now.

dfxm12
1 replies
2d1h

And wages? ...just slightly higher :|

red-iron-pine
0 replies
2d

that's been happening since the 1970s :/

matchbok
0 replies
1d19h

Nobody knows. What will catch up soon is any country in the USA time zones discovering they can do you job for 20% pay. People who think they will be able to work remotely while making top-city salary are delusional.

Niksko
0 replies
1d12h

I disagree with GP. The impact on employees (junior or otherwise) and the hit to productivity exists, it's just a result of under investment in remote-first working practices. Anything between fully remote and fully in office / everyone in the office on the same days per week is going to be shown to be disaster.

I think the effects are going to start presenting now, but because it's a new phenomenon for most organizations, it won't be recognized for another year or so. The next 2-5 years are going to be littered with stories along the lines of 'progress ground to a halt and nobody could put their finger on why, so we tried a bunch of stuff that didn't work and eventually realized it was a lack of any remote strategy'

monkmartinez
7 replies
2d1h

The "well-known" fact you speak of is what my wife's boss uses to justify return to office. It's definitely not the massive investment in office furniture, office remodel, and meeting spaces that have been gussied up for impressions of success. No way it's that! /s

The fact that senior employees are leaving for remote work ensures junior people are all they have left! Junior people are, shockingly, not as productive as senior people... who would have thought?

smith7018
5 replies
2d1h

Those investments in office furniture, remodels, etc. are already sunk costs though. Why would they be used to justify RTO? If anything, it's more expensive to have people come in and use (read: destroy) furniture and equipment.

This is a genuine question. The RTO push has befuddled me for awhile because the money that's already gone into the offices (like the leases) were decided on awhile ago and will be paid out regardless if people come in or not. Perks like free lunch and snacks also cost more when you force people to come in. So I don't really understand the financial aspect of it.

Maybe it's management needing people in office to justify their jobs for some reason? I don't know.

Edit: I'm staff-level for what it's worth. I've also noticed that this article doesn't actually reflect reality; nearly every job listing I saw this year said that the applicant will have to be in the office 1-5 days a week.

tessierashpool
4 replies
2d1h

Those investments in office furniture, remodels, etc. are already sunk costs though. Why would they be used to justify RTO?

you answered your own question. sunk costs fallacy.

smith7018
3 replies
1d23h

Industry-wide? I guess I'm naive for thinking that some companies must have some smart people in the room and point out the fallacy

ghaff
2 replies
1d22h

I know a lot of people here think executives are idiots but I really have trouble believing that any CEO is sitting there thinking "Damn. If I don't get people back into the office, all these office chairs we spent good money on will go to waste."

smith7018
1 replies
1d21h

Exactly. Same with "Damn. We have to drive away our best talent to fill occupancy in the office we already signed a lease on despite rent being a fixed cost that isn't impacted by occupancy." Like, it just doesn't make sense to me.

ghaff
0 replies
1d20h

I do understand to the degree tax incentives get involved. But, whether having deluded themselves or not, I do believe most execs pushing RTO are doing so for reasons they think are sound for collaboration, cultural, or other rational reasons.

I_Am_Nous
0 replies
2d1h

I moved to a new role in my company a year and a half ago, and it's taken me this long to be confident enough to take responsibility for things that I'm not told explicitly to do. That's really the line between junior and senior in my opinion, both feeling like you have the power to make changes in addition to permission to do so. That transition is hard no matter if you are in the office or not (in the office, for my example) but it really can't happen if a junior is suddenly the senior tech because the real seniors all left.

wongarsu
0 replies
2d1h

A conspiracy would involve people working together, conspiring, towards some secret goal. What GP stipulates works just as well if you assume everyone is working on their own in their own best interest.

Going by the principles of capitalism or game theory it would be more surprising if this wasn't true and board members overwhelmingly worked for the good of the company instead of their personal wealth

vidarh
0 replies
2d1h

The comment you replied to didn't suggest any conspiracy. They merely suggested that board members on the boards of multiple organisations sometimes will do things that favour one of the companies but is detrimental to the others.

As for your "well known fact", I'm not convinced it's either well-known, nor necessarily a fact (I can buy it happens some places, but would question whether it's an inherent limitations or an issue with management in organisations who don't know how to handle remote work)

usefulcat
0 replies
2d1h

Why do you seem to think that those two things are mutually exclusive?

toomuchtodo
0 replies
2d1h

~$120B in enterprise value of remote first or full remote companies indicates this isn’t accurate. Remote may pose development and pipeline challenges, but they’re clearly surmountable.

aerhardt
0 replies
2d1h

Well-known facts eh.

DrBazza
39 replies
2d1h

In broad strokes, it's just old vs new, and an age thing. I'll pick '40' as the mid-point:

Old = over 40s (myself included) who are senior, their careers have been in offices and commuting, and still believe that 'managing people' means real-life first person interaction, and are completely invested in offices, and the cost of paying for them, rather than downsizing.

Young = under 40s - have grown up with the internet, github, working/studying remotely and so on.

I've worked in companies where the CEO and senior management are all 50 something, and in a couple of companies where they're all approaching 40. Can you guess which company used PCs and which one used Macbooks?

Going back further, I can remember working on Sun boxes, because management was reluctant to use that 'new fangled NT3.51 or even NT4.0'.

The point being, as the workforce demographic changes, so will the opinions and approaches. And the cycle will repeat.

DebtDeflation
15 replies
2d1h

Another example: I've noticed older folks (45-50+) repeatedly say "stop sending emails/texts/Slacks, pick up the phone and call them". Meanwhile, everyone under that age (and to be fair, a decent number even in that age group) considers an unexpected phone call to be rude and disruptive.

rqtwteye
12 replies
2d

I am 50+. I call people often and encourage people to call me without the typical hours long build up per chat "Hi", "Hi", "How are you?", "Good", "I have a question", "OK", "Can I call you?", "Yes", "Now?", Yes" and so on. I think remote work loses a lot of agility if you communicate only through chat.

flappyeagle
5 replies
1d23h

That’s some boomer slack usage. If anyone sends a message with “hi” they get a stern bollocking by me immediately. Our company handbook specifically forbids doing this.

rpmisms
2 replies
1d22h

Can you say "Hi, I need XYZ"? Or are pleasantries forbidden?

SAI_Peregrinus
1 replies
1d20h

That's usually not an issue. It's the empty "Hi." and then indefinite silence that's an issue.

You wouldn't send a letter with just the salutation, you'd include the message! Why treat a Slack message like it's a phone call instead of like a (short, rapidly delivered) letter?

rpmisms
0 replies
1d10h

Agreed, just wanted clarification!

rqtwteye
1 replies
1d20h

The boomers actually get to the point quickly. The young guys are the ones that send ten messages before getting to the point.

helij
0 replies
20h50m

This. All most of 20-30 that I interact with are. Hi, how are you doing today? And then pause. Boomers just go straight to the point.

I'm also huge proponent of https://nohello.net/en/ in the workplace and elsewhere.

potta_coffee
0 replies
1d23h

You can call but I might be taking a dump or something. If you chat, I'll answer within a couple of minutes. Seems more efficient to me.

krisoft
0 replies
1d22h

That feels like more of a problem with the communication than the medium of it? Or rather to say there is a mismatch between the communication method and the way it is being used.

On async channels it is recommended to get to the point quickly. Sure send pleasantries, but no need to wait until they are answered. You can immediately also get to your point. Instead of sending "hello" and then waiting you would be sending "Hello. I hope you are having a good day. It seems that the turbo encabulator is complaining a vapour lock in the secondary log file. Have you seen that before?"

The https://nohello.net/en/ site describes this communication style better.

kaoD
0 replies
2d

Seems like you (and/or your interlocutors) are using chat like it was a phone call and concluding a phone call is better to have phone calls.

bluefirebrand
0 replies
1d22h

I am a strong believer in "nohello" https://nohello.net/en/

If you use chat like it's a conversation then you'll have a bad time.

If you use it like it's business communication like short-form email it's better.

It's bizarre that the same people who will send an email that says "Hey, send me this information asap" will start a text chat with "hey how's it going"

People who say hello and then wait for a reply will wait a long, long time for a reply from me.

NegativeK
0 replies
2d

I dislike phone calls, but handle them in two ways:

If a chat conversation isn't getting a point across after a couple of back and forths (five minutes is too long,) then it's time for a phone call. Discussions in chat are fine. Flat out lack of understanding is best fixed when they can hear and interrupt for clarification.

If I do need to call someone, I simply message them and ask if they're available for a call. There's no need for preamble.

DebtDeflation
0 replies
1d19h

People starting chats with "Hi".....5 minute wait......"You there?" is an entirely separate problem not related to what we're discussing here.

AdrianB1
1 replies
2d

Yesterday I had to tell a couple of people in our extended team meeting: "guys, stop arguing via email over several days with 10 more people in copy, pick up the phone and clarify the problem in 10 minutes". This is not a sign that I am over 40 (I am), but I know a bit better what are the most efficient ways to communicate in different circumstances.

The people in that argument were located on 2 different continents 7 hours apart, that would be a non-issue if they were in on the same floor in the same building. This is not an argument for working in the office, just to adjust to the environment.

ghaff
0 replies
2d

That is a bit different though. That's not calling someone out of the blue. It's setting up an impromptu call after chat/email isn't doing the job, which I have done many times.

jhp123
5 replies
2d

I'm 37 and a factor that I haven't seen much discussed is that in-office is a vastly higher burden for my generation. Commutes are longer, more families have two working parents (and need to, to pay the bills).

In-office doesn't mean heading out the door at 8:30 and coming home at 5:30 but something more like leaving at 7:00am, dropping off kids at before-school daycare ($$$), driving back to the train station to make it in by 9 and then coming home at 6 after your 1-hour commute to the closest affordable suburb. An 11-hour day, and you are paying out the nose for childcare if you can even get it, and you'll spend all your PTO on kids doctor appointments and parent-teacher conferences and the like.

jayd16
2 replies
1d14h

I think we really screwed up. We're using WFH to hide child care while saying it's more efficient. We should have just demanded better work hours but here we are.

helij
0 replies
20h57m

In my case, no. WFH because I prefer it. I manage a team of 7. In our team there are people all across UK. Childcare would be easy for me but commute, oh no!

There's talk about less than 40 and more years old. I'm over 40 and prefer remote. In our space it's younger folks that prefer hanging out in the office.

cereal_cable
0 replies
8h35m

WFH for me gives me more flexibility in the childcare options. It doesn't eliminate my need to have my family needs met. I can't just watch my toddler and not work.

However, I can be more flexible and drop my toddler off at daycare after my daily stand-up since he mostly is fine watching shows during that. Then I pick him up right before his nap time. This scenario is awesome, but albeit just temporary until my family resumes our previous arrangements that was interrupted by a surgery.

My responsibility hasn't changed and I'll fill in randomly throughout the week as needed but, now I just have extra flexibility that I would never have in an office. Even comparing it to a small city, living in the suburbs easily meant a 15-30 minute commute and wouldn't allow me to have the opportunities I have now.

No, I won't return to the office and I'm not sure anyone will actually convince me to do so. I'm mentoring interns and juniors developers without any concerns remotely.

astockwell
0 replies
1d23h

This almost exactly described my life as well (also 37, lived in a major metro). Not to mention the (surreptitiously unpaid) evening calls we'd have with other TZs after spending that 11-hour day, because take-home laptops.

DrBazza
0 replies
1d23h

Totally agree. I was that age "a few years" ago, and I'm not playing working-hours-one-up-manship, but I was leaving the house at 4.45am, and getting home 7.30-8pm (London).

That was probably the low point in my, and others, working life that coincides with the age for raising a young family. It sucks.

foobarian
5 replies
2d1h

The thing is, I'm over 40, and I love working from home - and I'm not alone. However I feel that we are very spoiled by having had the opportunity to form our relationships and networks during the in-office era, and that this feels very unfair to the up-and-coming junior generation.

Maybe you are right and they are just fine having not experienced the in-office environment.

avgDev
1 replies
1d22h

I'm of a strong opinion not to form big friendships at work. I now started making friends outside of work at 37.

At work I'm looking out for myself.

esafak
0 replies
1d21h

Forming professional friendships is looking out for yourself. It helps you get you new jobs -- ones that you won't have access to otherwise -- or employees, if you are hiring.

randomdata
0 replies
1d23h

I'm over 40, but only spent about a year of my career in an office. I haven't seen an office since 2001. I don't feel I missed much in the subsequent years. I still stay in touch with people I worked with remotely. I never spoke to anyone in said office again. Your stated opportunity seems rather romanticized from my perspective. Relationships can form anywhere.

You don't have to go too far back in time to when work from home was also the norm (when everyone stayed at home on the farm). The office age was the aberration.

joshuanapoli
0 replies
1d12h

I thought that older people with families and bigger houses prefer WFH, because it is more convenient and it makes more time for the family. while younger single people with smaller apartments prefer the office, because it’s less cramped and lonely.

carbine
0 replies
2d

I'm 38, remote, and can't imagine working in-office ever again. Our small-ish team (~25) works very effectively remotely.

But I suspect you're right. I learned a huge number of skills being in high velocity office environments, shadowing/observing others, etc. Starting out remote must be much harder.

ghaff
3 replies
2d1h

I'm not sure it's that simple. I've been effectively remote for a long time and have zero interest in going into an office for the most part. (Though I'd do it more if it were easy, I'm a 2 hour commute to the only office it makes any sense for me to go into.)

Anecdotally, I hear it's more younger employees who like going into an office for the social interaction.

xkqd
0 replies
2d1h

My observations agree with your anecdote, but in my experience it was the youngest employees who go into the office for social interaction. Meaning, fresh grads to ~26 year olds. They openly admitted they didn’t want to sit in their 600 sqft apartments all day and that they didn’t have anyone to talk to otherwise.

This sounds more like a way deeper loneliness and community problem than a workplace problem.

ryandrake
0 replies
2d1h

That's the same thing I thought: it was the younger people who yearned for the office. Junior employees tended to do worse with WFH, especially those who were onboarding, whereas more senior folks were more comfortable working without much supervision. Younger people also don't tend to have larger homes, with dedicated, quiet office space. Younger employees pinned more of their social life on workmates than older employees who might already have established families and community ties.

Anecdotally, I know that on my team, the younger teammates were the most eager about returning to the office. I'm nearly 50 and wouldn't go back in if you held a gun to my head.

jon-wood
0 replies
2d1h

At least currently there's probably a bell curve going on in terms of what age groups want to work in office vs remote. I've also seen younger employees want to be in the office, they enjoy the social side of it, and early in your career its easier to learn and progress if you're colocated and able to ask questions of people easily. The old-school managers are also attached to being in offices, at least partly just because that's how they learned to work so it's easier for them then adapting. You've then got people in their late 30s and early 40s who are all in on remote work, a lot of us have kids, or we moved out of the urban centres, have a network of friends outside of work, so really aren't that bothered about being in the office.

What's going to be interesting is seeing what happens as the current generation of senior management age out and retire. Do companies start to lean more towards remote work? And if so what happens about the younger workers coming into industry at that point, presumably they're still going to prefer being colocated for the same reasons, and that will need balancing with the older folk's preferences.

schwartzworld
1 replies
2d

still believe that 'managing people' means real-life first person interaction, and are completely invested in offices

You hit the nail on the head. Senior managers who are unwilling to learn to do their jobs slightly differently are a big part of the problem. Imagine forcing an entire work-force to commute so you can physically stop by someone's desk to interrupt them vs sending a message or scheduling a meeting. Senior managers want productive staff, but instead of listening to what they need to be productive, they set up roadblocks to satisfy their own lazy vanity.

potta_coffee
0 replies
1d23h

They say they want a productive staff but actions speak louder than words.

okaram
1 replies
1d23h

Besides the old/young divide, I think there's the geek/suit, or maker/manager divide.

As a geek, most of my time is spent working alone, even in ill-defined projects that require a lot of coordination and communication. Working from 'home' (more from wherever I want) is better. Also, although I agree that we lose something if we communicate remotely, I don't terribly care. When I communicate, information is more important than emotions. And they want me to work in an open floor office, ugh.

Suits spent most of their time in meetings. They also care much more about the emotions and human touch. They've spent years optimizing for firm handshakes, nice hair, good smiles and that weird clicking noise :).

Basically, suits want the office, geeks don't. Productivity doesn't have much to do with it :)

esafak
0 replies
1d21h
orzig
0 replies
1d23h

The model needs four buckets:

20-30: Needs mentorship, can live closer to the office

30-40: Has young kids, moved to the burbs

40+ AND Management: Developed management approach pre-pandemic, pre-Slack

40+ but IC: Could go either way

This is still HUGELY simplified, and please do not take offense if you are e.g. 30-40 without wanting kids. But "young kids" is just a huge difference in terms of the morning schedule and flexibility needs, especially as most families near urban areas have both parents working.

kwhitefoot
0 replies
2d

It varies from country to country, culture to culture. Here in Norway work from home was so normal that during COVID there really wasn't any qualitative change, just a quantitative one. Anyone in a salaried position is being paid for the work they do not where they do it. In the winter my boss would occasionally rent a cabin in the mountains and work there while I, mostly, went in to the office because it was quieter there than at home (three children).

ghaff
0 replies
1d23h

Old = over 40s (myself included) who are senior, their careers have been in offices and commuting, and still believe that 'managing people' means real-life first person interaction, and are completely invested in offices, and the cost of paying for them, rather than downsizing.

Absent the Covid years, I'd probably agree more. A lot of managers, execs, and other senior people may not have liked commuting but it was just part of the job. But they're people too and many realized they could manage without going into an office all of the time. People do come in, especially for things like customer visits, but it's mostly a sometimes thing.

JumpinJack_Cash
4 replies
2d

> The RTO/WFH struggle is clearly about money

It's the opposite actually. WFH is more efficient, but efficiency is not the reason why we work.

Every self respecting man needs friends and enemies. The more watered down a man's life is, the less intense the friendships and rivalries are going to be.

WFH is just the last step in a long process watering everything down, where the commoditification of every experience is making us dull and full of apathy.

The problem is that a disease like that becomes endemic in society, so people's beliefs become weaker and weaker, but not having strong beliefs closely correlates with people having next to no belief in themselves, which again closely correlates with WFH preference because people think they don't have what it takes to thrive in an office environment because they are scared of the strong sentiments of friendship, rivarly, love and revenge on the workplace and in life in general.

potta_coffee
0 replies
1d22h

I don't know what you're on about. WFH saves me so much time and energy that I can commit a lot more to things that are way more interesting and fulfilling than work. Now I can hang out with people I care about, focus on my Jiu Jitsu and guitar playing and spend more time chipping away at my massive queue of unread books.

Work is just something I have to do so I can feed and house my kids.

ge0ffclapp
0 replies
1d22h

Spoken like a true type A personality. Lots of people don't need their ego fed constantly at the expense of others and are happy just being creative and thoughtful.

danbolt
0 replies
1d19h

I’d really love to hear you describe more of this WFH desert devoid of fulfilment, and the living water of communal work. It’s kinda fascinating.

OfficeChad
0 replies
1d9h

JumpinJack_Chad more like, saying it how it is.

matthewmcg
2 replies
2d1h

Great point on potentially overlapping board membership. More broadly, there's also a theory that growing common ownership by index funds and others with significant commercial real estate exposure is driving this pressure.

red-iron-pine
0 replies
2d

also why the housing bubble won't burst -- too many stakes invested across the entire market

atomicfiredoll
0 replies
1d23h

If interests were making themselves rich on real estate and other supporting industries by wasting productivity on commuting, office lunches, etc, it makes me think the current [impact on commercial real and affected industries] may just be the "bezzle" coming due.

Now that the cards are laid out flat, in retrospect it's easier for everyone to see and discover that the productivity and value may have been stolen. I'd love to see some investigation into showing the potential connections more concretely.

danaris
2 replies
2d1h

The RTO/WFH struggle is clearly about money (what else could it be about in a corporate world?)

Oh, it's definitely not only about money, any more than the other "treat your employees well and you will provably make more money" things are.

It's about power, ego, and classism.

It's about an entire category of management that has no actual ability to manage people beyond eyeballing whether their butts are in seats.

It's about execs who can only feel good about that corner office when there's a whole floor of people in a cube farm to see that they have the corner office.

It's about avoiding ever having to question the assumption that the only reason regular plebeians ever actually do work is because they have the boss breathing down their necks every 5 seconds (and, of course, the ever-present threat of being fired and left destitute), because if people did start questioning it, they might realize it also disproves the assumptions underlying the most common objections to things like UBI. Which would shatter the upper class's power over the lower classes for good.

This is not to say that it's not about money, of course. The commercial real estate angle is a real one, for sure. But an awful lot of the assumptions that lead to calling for RTO have much less to do with money, and much more to do with maintaining a neofeudal power dynamic between bosses and workers.

khazhoux
0 replies
1d19h

It's about power, ego, and classism. It's about an entire category of management that has no actual ability to manage people beyond eyeballing whether their butts are in seats. It's about execs who can only feel good about that corner office when there's a whole floor of people in a cube farm to see that they have the corner office.

I take it you're not a manager. Reducing people to "power", ego, corner offices... that's all very simplistic and (sorry that this offends) naive.

I've been fortunate to work in places where management is involved, technical, and impactful. It sets direction, identifies bad plans and wastes of time where work should be cut, identifies places where work can be combined, it resolves (and asks) difficult queries, and it works to grow the individual team members and make the workplace a good environment.

The cartoonish Clueless Idiot Manager Villain has just not been my experience. Sure, I've seen bad managers, but also bad individual-contributors.

btbuildem
0 replies
1d22h

I agree - it's much more nuanced than my initial take. I guess I oversimplify it, in the spirit of "money is power", but you're right, we could say "money is proxy for power" and acknowledge all the other power plays that are as old as humanity.

RandomLensman
1 replies
2d1h

Have you checked this to be true by looking at the involvements of board members?

Cost reductions from facilities are nothing unusual.

btbuildem
0 replies
1d22h

Yes at some point I've cross-referenced the board members of where I work to see where else they sit. It's obviously much harder to track their investments (unless it's insider buys/sells) but if they used to be C-suite or sit on the board of some company that's majority owned by a REIT, it's hard not to draw conclusions.

It's definitely a rabbit hole that goes deep and one runs the risk of ending up with a spiderweb of red threads on their wall :)

red-iron-pine
0 replies
2d

Not just investors and commercial holdings, but many states & localities have offered big tax breaks to businesses to get or keep them in town -- Texas (Austin, esp.) come to mind. Idea being that a lot of big developments translated to a lot of workers, who bought houses, commuted, purchases gas+coffee+lunches, etc.

With those workers leaving the city loses revenue, on top of downtown areas dying off, which exacerbates the tax base problem further.

Anecdotally, my org mandated 3 days back but has pretty slide, across the entire org, back to 2 days. The genie is out of the bottle and there is widespread, if quiet, resistance from everyone, to include senior managers.

khazhoux
0 replies
1d19h

The RTO/WFH struggle is clearly about money (what else could it be about in a corporate world?)

Many people genuinely believe that collaboration is qualitatively better and easier in person. Regardless of where you stand, you can't deny that there are pros and cons:

* The bandwidth of typing on Slack is slower than talking in person. Also, one winds up spending a lot of time on Slack correcting small misunderstandings that are easier clarified quickly in conversation. And two people typing full-paragraphs back and forth often at the same time, can be clunky.

* On the other hand, Slack leaves a good paper trail and you can easily reference what you discussed. And it's low-effort and doesn't immediately interrupt the other person.

* But no good alternative to whiteboards, etc.

Also, as much as everyone hates it, management does have to deal with low performers -- a nd cases you can't really tell if that person is actually working through tough eng problems all day that take a long time, or are they just watching youtube videos all day. So as ugly as it is, "butts in seats" is a sort of proxy for at least eliminating that variable. I know this is controversial ("Boo, only a bad manager cares about how much time someone is putting in!"), but I offer that viewpoint as an alternative to "clearly about money."

jayd16
0 replies
2d

The real estate thing seems like a conspiracy theory to me. Is there evidence that it's wide spread? A significant amount of the pro-office comments here are influenced by real estate? Seems unlikely.

ActionHank
0 replies
2d1h

This is on point, but I think it can also be simpler.

Many execs and upper management would have read or watched the movie about MacDonalds and how they make loads of cash through owning the property and renting it back. Board member or not, they try to use it to boost earnings.

DoingIsLearning
64 replies
2d2h

The clear agenda divide across different media platforms is interesting.

WSJ, Fortune, FT, all fall along the same line with opinions about all the cons of remote work, or all the virtues of RTO.

Whilst most online only newspapers fall along the opposite end of the spectrum.

Seems like a topic where everyone has made up their mind and will only accept data if it aligns with their world view.

jerf
32 replies
2d2h

Not just worldview... there's a lot of money at stake. Providing office space is effectively an entire industry, so an entire industry is at stake here. And then that industry has financial derivatives on top of it, so the financial industry has a lot of incentive to get people back in offices so supply goes down and prices can go back up. There's a lot of money available to PR-submarine articles about the virtues of back-to-office. I'm surprised we don't see much, much more.

NoMoreNicksLeft
14 replies
2d2h

Providing office space is effectively an entire industry, so a

But using office space costs companies money, and they're not the ones leasing it. It is totally against their own interests to pay extra facilities costs, when they could just shirk that burden onto their employees who have to pay for a home office themselves. We're not seeing big real estate companies push this while big tech companies try to distance themselves from it and disavow it.

And as for the theory that mutual funds and whatnot are pushing it... it just seems like an opportunity for them to short this crap and make money sabotaging real estate.

The more I think about this, the more it seems like something really bizarre is going on.

asdajksah2123
10 replies
2d1h

The more I think about this, the more it seems like something really bizarre is going on.

That's only because people refuse to accept the obvious. Executives, whether correctly or wrongly, genuinely believe having employees colocated in the same geographical space is beneficial for their companies.

It's not even such a stretch to imagine this because we absolutely know they believed this before the pandemic. In fact, most SV companies were willing to pay employees located elsewhere huge sums of money to move to the Bay Area.

vidarh
5 replies
2d1h

Or executives believe it is beneficial for themselves. I've seen plenty of managers over the year manage by "perceived busy-ness", and managers who liked walking the floor and to get a feel for whether people are busy have to actually do real work to check when people work from home. Or execs are more likely to be extroverts who like their job because it provides an opportunity for them to be at the centre of a group of people. Or enough board members are also on the boards of companies that make a living from commercial real estate.

There are many options, and many of them can be true to various degrees at the same time.

When you fundamentally change a balance of anything you're likely to run into all kinds of odd entrenched interests you may never have thought about, in part because many of them may never have needed to assert themselves before.

NoMoreNicksLeft
2 replies
2d

Or executives believe it is beneficial for themselves.

I don't disagree with this. I do get that feeling that this is part of it...

But executives are often the ones trying to squeeze an extra dollar out of every line on the ledger. Are they really willing to spend so much extra for this perceived personal benefit? Are their bosses willing to indulge them like that?

These aren't insignificant costs. For gigantic companies, the big skyscraper headquarters in some world class city must comprise just as much of the budget as a more modest building for a more modest company in Oklahoma. They're spending millions for it.

vidarh
0 replies
1d22h

If their bosses do the same it won't be seen as indulgent. And indeed cargo cutting what their boss does might well be another aspect of it.

pgeorgi
0 replies
2d

But it's a cost they don't bear, it typically ends up in a different section of the balance sheet. And as soon as somebody else pays for it, personal benefit (perceived or real) takes the front seat. See business class pricing in travel, for example.

tucnak
1 replies
2d1h

Or executives believe it is beneficial for themselves.

It doesn't matter, the end-result is the same, and it's completely up to you to either recognise it, or be delusional about it. We all make that choice, it's just the majority of commentators choose to engage in semantics.

vidarh
0 replies
1d22h

Motivations matter for those who want to understand how to address it.

SV_BubbleTime
3 replies
2d1h

Please don’t skip the other thing that we all know to be true.

There is a lot of work from home abuse.

Of course, work from home advocates would never do that!

Everyone knows the quiet part. Just have a few people talk about it, tells me that it isn’t insignificant.

VBprogrammer
2 replies
1d22h

There is a lot of in the office abuse too. Time shooting the shit with colleagues, popping out for a coffee or just goofing off in front of a desk. Probably half the comments on this very website were probably written by someone who was being paid to work.

Now when I'm working from home and not feeling productive I have options. Go for a lie down if I'm tired. Get ready and go for a run if I'm frustrated. Go downstairs and have a cuddle with my 1 year old etc.

SV_BubbleTime
1 replies
1d21h

Ok, agreed.

Now, if you're telling me there is in office abuse, why would I assume it's not worse when no one is looking?

It's not even an assumption. We KNOW people are working two jobs, or they take off when they feel like it, there are plenty of annecdotes of people saying "I only work 20 hours a week now, and get the same amount done".

Look, I don't care. My employees are remote or have the option, but we have daily standups and its a small team. It works as a small team and falls apart at scale.

The fact that WFH advocates get emotional, nonsensical, and flat out refuse to discuss or admit abuse is all I need to know that it is more rampant that people are admitting to.

surgical_fire
0 replies
1d14h

The fact that WFH advocates get emotional, nonsensical

Interestingly, the person you are responding to is very reasonable in their point.

You, on the other hand, sound pretty emotional and nonsensical about "WFH abuse".

If you can't measure productivity of your remote team, that is really a "you" problem.

AnimalMuppet
1 replies
2d1h

Managers tend to be older than workers. The higher level of management, the older.

Older people are more comfortable having a face-to-face meeting rather than an online chat or video call. They're more comfortable managing people they can see in their seats, rather than having to judge only by the amount of output.

This is true even for many larger software companies.

Is this all of what's going on? Maybe not. But I suspect it's at least part of it.

tessierashpool
0 replies
2d1h

this is just meaningless ageism. you could just as easily argue that older people benefit more from WFH, since they're more likely to have nicer places to live that are further from the city centers.

jerf
0 replies
1d20h

"it just seems like an opportunity for them to short this crap and make money sabotaging real estate."

Shorts have the other side. You can't just ambiently short against nothing and nobody on the other side. Even naked shorting involves taking a bet against those who are long, you just skip the step where the shares you are selling actually exist. There can't be a market that consists only of short sellers, so there are going to be people interested in keeping values up.

You seem to be having a lot of difficulty separating out various separate interests in the real world. Of course companies are trying to cut office space spends. If office space were free those of us against RTO would already have lost. Office space costs are our biggest ally. But those are nearly completely separate people from the people vending the office space. (They're completely separate if the office space vendors ironically have gone to WFH themselves...) If you try to lump the vendors and consumers together you're going to have a very hard time understanding things, which may be why you're getting confused.

Workaccount2
12 replies
2d2h

This take is so common and so bizarre to me. Executives at companies do not give a fuck about the landlords of their buildings. It's an annoying expense that they complain about. They idea that they are working together to make sure the real estate firm has a tenant is so hilariously detached.

It's akin to saying that apartment renters care immensely about their landlords to the point of going out of their way to keep paying them rent. Its a total and complete fiction.

tessierashpool
1 replies
2d1h

Executives at companies do not give a fuck about the landlords of their buildings. It's an annoying expense that they complain about.

you spend $2B on a brand new office campus. you work directly with the architects and talk about how this new campus will create a great place for your employees to work. and then you have the humility and wisdom to throw all that away? even though everybody at the company knows that this is the big project you spent billions of dollars on?

the money that companies spend on their offices is a commitment that an executive makes. keeping their commitments and persuading other people to buy in to those commitments is one of the biggest parts of the job if you're an executive.

another very big piece is making sure that the assets on your balance sheet don't turn into liabilities.

This take is so common and so bizarre to me.

so take the time to think it through and understand it. commercial leases are 10-year leases. when an executive makes a 10-year commitment, they have spent energy to convince others to make the same commitment, and they are committed to spending more energy on it as well.

ghaff
0 replies
2d

That is not your typical company though. The typical company is leasing pretty cookie cutter office space in an office park or downtown. And many of those companies are not renewing many of their leases as they come up.

david927
1 replies
2d1h

No, but they care about their company and their stock price. And the collapse of commercial real estate, especially in large cities, is an economic tsunami so big that it's terrifying. Go to downtown SF and walk around. It's a ghost town. When is it coming back? What if the answer is not for a very long time. And it's not just the big cities, even in smaller towns, law offices, etc. are still sitting empty since the pandemic. It's a huge, huge problem.

And when that impact hits, it will affect every business.

Those executives and many others know that. They're standing on the beach with the water out, knowing what's coming but helpless to stop it. But they're trying. Of course they're trying.

Workaccount2
0 replies
2d1h

If execs cared about the macro economy they would simply pay their workers more. But they don't, they care about their company. They are hired, paid, and legally obligated to act in the best interest of the company. Not the country.

dataduck
1 replies
2d2h

No, it's akin to saying landlords care about the occupancy of their buildings and their tenants paying rent. Of course they do, and of course they're prepared to use media influence to try and make that happen.

Workaccount2
0 replies
2d1h

Of course they care. But no tenant really cares that they care.

Execs will look at the numbers. Renting is very expensive and eats up a large chunk revenue. So if you are going to keep paying rent and maintaining an office, you better have a good explanation for investors other than "Our landlord will be upset".

I'm sure plenty of CEOs are falling over themselves to mislead the board on rental costs so that they can protect their 2% portfolio stake in some random commercial REIT. Totally logical here.... /s

chownie
1 replies
2d2h

Workaccount2
0 replies
2d1h

We are just increasing to detachment to think that executives carry large (if any at all) stakes in their landlord's company (or even commercial reit in general.) So much so that spending $100,000/mo from their own company (which they likely have a lot of equity) makes more sense than not renewing the lease.

Guys. Please. There are many reasons why a company would want to RTO. Being in cahoots with the real estate industry is not it.

surajrmal
0 replies
2d2h

Some companies own the buildings they operate out of rather than lease them, but I think that's less common. So your point largely stands.

naasking
0 replies
1d23h

This take is so common and so bizarre to me. Executives at companies do not give a fuck about the landlords of their buildings.

I don't think you have the right framing. Investors diversify, and so the set of investors and board members in your company that are invested in commercial real estate is non-zero, and arguably non-negligible.

The set of investors and board members that have some stake in work from home is considerably smaller, possibly zero. This is a clear bias that acts as a non-negligible incentive on CEOs to push a return to office. Everyone in this scenario is working in their own self-interest.

meesles
0 replies
2d1h

I think you missed the point. It isn't the CEO who cares about the specific building they're in. It's people like the Blackrock CEO on who massive amounts of investors (and by extension your retirement portfolio) depend on. Or the people who own the newspapers depending on a healthy economy, of which a huge percentage is commercial real estate. Or, as GP said, these basically-oligarchs that sit on a few boards and can steer CEOs to make nonsensical return-to-office plans to advance their investment strategies and view of how the world should work. It's a lot bigger than a single tenant in a single office.

jerf
0 replies
1d20h

Well, if you run on the assumption that consumers are the ones with lots of ad spend for things, you would be confused, yes. Why would consumers run ads for things indeed?

Obviously it is the producers of the good who have the ad spend money for submarine PR, just as it is everywhere else.

vitaflo
3 replies
2d1h

Don’t forget the local economies that provide services for workers in those offices. My local city has given big tax breaks to companies to get people back to work because the business around those companies are having a hard time with everyone sitting at home.

Entire economies were built on top of office spaces and that upends a lot of things when they go away.

no_wizard
1 replies
2d

I say let it upend. Shifts aren't easy, but they are needed. It would do the world long term good to let this play out on its own rather than having government intervention (or corporate intervention, for that matter, let employees win for once)

Spivak
0 replies
1d19h

Let it upend and then build housing atop the rubble. People who live there will be spending money too.

ge0ffclapp
0 replies
1d21h

The world needs less gas stations, fast food, and sprawl in general. Lots of businesses are doing fine where I live and there are a ton of empty office parks.

chadash
10 replies
2d2h

I don't understand why there has to be such a divide. There can be a world where some companies are remote and it's a competitive advantage (ability to recruit from a wider pool of people) and other companies that are in-person and that's a competitive advantage (better social dynamics among employees, easier collaboration in certain ways). I personally like working in person. And I completely understand people who like working remote. I think it's great that we've gotten to a point where people can pick and choose what is best for them!

michaelcampbell
3 replies
2d2h

I think it's great that we've gotten to a point where people can pick and choose what is best for them!

They often can't, though. Companies change policies after being hired (mine did), the job market is hard (my son has had his start date pushed back 2x now for a total of over a year), and a lot of time this "choice" of job is not in a context you can deal with. I want to go into the office, but I'd have to move to do it. I want to WFH, but I can't find anyone to hire me for the $ I need to live where I do.

Moving isn't an option for many.

ghaff
1 replies
2d2h

Those are all reasons why things will take time. And in the transition period a fair number of people won't be very happy with their situation (which is often the case anyway).

michaelcampbell
0 replies
3h5m

> we've gotten to a point where people can pick and choose what is best for them!

Those are all reasons why things will take time.

These 2 things are at odds, which is why I posted. I agree with you, but we're not "at a point"... yet. GP might be, and to some degree I am too, but this is hardly universal nor even as widespread as GP posits.

danaris
0 replies
2d2h

This is why it's good that we're finally starting to see a resurgence of support for labor power, and a wave of unionization.

rob74
1 replies
2d2h

People can pick and choose what is best for them... only by changing the company they work for unfortunately. The company I currently work for gives me little choice in the matter: I can always go to the office more than 3 days per week, but not less.

VBprogrammer
0 replies
2d1h

How did that happen? Technically my job has a 3 day a week recommendation but it's completely ignored by everyone. The management tend to be older than most of our staff and as such have homes and families far out from the city centre. It's much harder to get them into the office than the 20 somethings. Even the 20 somethings who did initially start coming in a couple of times a week have dropped to a couple of times a month in our work place.

pixl97
0 replies
2d2h

Because leadership in companies tends to be a bunch of baby ducks. They'll latch on to something they think is the mama duck of good business practices and follow it off a cliff.

ghaff
0 replies
2d2h

I suspect that we end up in a world that is still more hybrid than before; I remember the days of having to commute into an office even through a fairly bad snowstorm. That is probably mostly gone for office work. I find even outside of work people are often quicker to jump on a Zoom call than get together in person.

However, that world will also have companies that are much friendlier to full-time remote where practical and companies that mandate coming in a few days a week at least. And people who prefer one or the other will naturally gravitate to different work over time if they haven't already done so.

Right now we're going through a phase where things are changing and people feel that they're not getting what they bargained for whether staying remote or getting back to a before-times office.

Levitz
0 replies
2d2h

I don't understand why there has to be such a divide. There can be a world where some companies are remote and it's a competitive advantage (ability to recruit from a wider pool of people) and other companies that are in-person and that's a competitive advantage (better social dynamics among employees, easier collaboration in certain ways).

Because chances are this world is not our world. In our world the former companies have an advantage, but there are a lot of financial interests put on not going down that route.

A4ET8a8uTh0
0 replies
2d1h

I will paraphrase a quote from old country post-communism comedy intended to parody communism as a system:

"Thing is, we need ones that want to be here and ones that don't want to be here."

Context kinda matters, but the gist remains valid. WFH might not need to force RTO on others, but RTO absolutely does.

tivert
6 replies
2d2h

Seems like a topic where everyone has made up their mind and will only accept data if it aligns with their world view.

I'm kind of between both camps. I actually like in-office work, but the combination of 1) facilities pursuing bad office plans (open-offices, hot desking) and 2) the rise of remote work and distributed teams makes RTO pretty unappealing.

Co-located in-office work also makes me feel a lot more secure. It's much harder to form social bonds remotely, which makes you much more isolated and replaceable. Remote work pretty ruthlessly cuts away all relationships except direct working relationships, and even makes those much flatter and less warm. It's easier for a higher up to fire someone they don't know, and fewer of your peers will care or even notice if you leave.

Also, here's your daily reminder that an offshore job is a remote job, so once you're no longer in an office you've removed a big speed bump for replacing you.

ghaff
1 replies
2d1h

As someone who has been effectively remote for a long time, I actually sort of agree with you.

To the degree that an office is very hybrid, remote people will often be somewhat marginalized while the environment for in-person will naturally use things like hot desking and a lot of people won't just be there. Some of this can probably be mitigated (and large companies always had people in a lot of different locations).

tivert
0 replies
2d

Some of this can probably be mitigated (and large companies always had people in a lot of different locations).

They always have, but I think the key mistake is smearing a single team across different locations. Once you do that, or start doing that habitually, you've completely undermined whatever benefits you think your organization will get from RTO.

IMHO, if you really want to RTO, you need to co-locate all team members (and reorganize teams to make that happen), and ideally co-locate closely collaborating teams.

alemanek
1 replies
1d22h

offshore job is a remote job

While this is undoubtably true being in office won’t save you if you are in office in the US. I am full remote and for what my company pays me they could easily get 10 Indian engineers. If time zones are an issue then they could easily get 2-4 top tier Mexican developers instead. Go to Colombia and we are back to being able to afford 8-10 again.

The cost difference is large enough that if a company can effectively off shore then they will.

tivert
0 replies
1d21h

The cost difference is large enough that if a company can effectively off shore then they will.

My point was embracing/demanding remote work removes one more barrier to offshoring (or more offshoring), not that working in-office will somehow totally protect you from layoffs or offshoring. Basically, being remote puts you in weaker position in many respects, and people should be clear-eyed about that.

It's a fairy tale to think of companies and ruthlessly rational and efficient. A lot of decisions are really driven by some descision-maker's personal preferences and personal convenience.

surajrmal
0 replies
2d1h

Every time I go into the office (very rarely) I understand the benefits of going in. Having 1:1s in person is night and day different than having it over video. Lunch discussions really help with sending subtle messages which you might not do in more structured meetings. Moving around is probably also healthier for me than staying still constantly in my home office. That said my team is distributed across 5 offices and it would be unfair to some of them if I went in, so staying home levels the playing field. I'm also far more productive in many ways (no commute, no running between meeting rooms, ability to multitask during meetings, etc).

If my entire immediate team was in a single location I don't think I could get away with not going in despite the tradeoffs.

hotpotamus
0 replies
2d1h

This pretty well articulates my feelings.

I think there is an unspoken belief amongst most here that they are the indispensable contributors to their organization (and there are many genuinely talented people here no doubt), and that they can never be replaced. Of course many of our mentors have told us an undeniable truth; that the world's cemeteries are full of indispensable people.

You'll often see an argument that timezones are important, which is fair, but I'll note that there are many countries south of the US with cheaper labor and some quite smart people (my experience from working with them).

Language/culture is another argument and another fair point, but I think at some point cost differences make up for it. And the US seems uniquely good at exporting language and culture anyway.

At the end of the day, I like working with a small team of smart and dedicated people. We work in a quite hybrid fashion that seems to work for us. I don't believe we've ever all met at once in the time I've worked here, but while I and a few others come in almost every day, some come in to work a bit more closely as needed. I think this sort of individuation of working circumstances is something that a large company is just going to struggle with; it's not really something that can be articulated in a policy that all parties will consider fair, but it's just sort of the way things have organically fallen here even before the pandemic, but especially after it.

geodel
3 replies
2d2h

Makes sense. All financial newspapers are usually located in same downtown where financial or other firms are occupying huge buildings. And so are city halls and other utils. So CEOs and real estate firms would be giving far more interviews to WSJ and FT about virtues of coming to office.

toomuchtodo
2 replies
2d2h

Lets not mince words. CEOs and other folks in that same class certainly get together in person and online discussing these efforts (amongst other topics they're optimizing for of course). "It's a big club, and you ain't in it." -- George Carlin

geodel
1 replies
2d2h

No, I totally agree. I just wouldn't use cabal or conspiracy because it is happening in broad daylight.

toomuchtodo
0 replies
2d2h

Fair, agreed.

zer0tonin
0 replies
2d1h

We must not be reading the same FT. They publish at least an article a month to say that remote work is great and there to stay.

outside1234
0 replies
2d2h

Or it is almost like the people they advertise to have a vested interest in RTO.

It is sort of like how you see all sorts of segments about "the hydrogen economy" on Fox News as if they live in some bizzaro world there are more than two hydrogen cars out there.

It's because the natural gas folks want hydrogen vs. electric and are paying to advertise it.

linza
0 replies
2d1h

I found I'm ok with the divide. Both can coexist and in our case it works.

I manage people and anecdotally I see engineers having collectively more output if they are in the office, and they do grow in seniority on average.

The remote folks produce sum-of-its-parts impact and do well, but grow slower and not as much.

More senior folks really benefit from WFH, they have similar performance, but I as the manager of the team miss out on a senior person training the junior folks.

We don't offer remote positions for junior candidates.

jyunwai
0 replies
2d2h

As a reader of the Financial Times, I haven't seen a bias for or against remote working with its articles.

The FT articles on remote work can be found listed at: https://www.ft.com/search?sort=relevance&q=remote+work

Long-time columnist Simon Kuper's column [1] published on September 21 was in favour of working from home, with the position: "Homeworking is not just a corporate issue, it’s a chance to create a better society." Another article from columnist Sarah O'Connor published in May 2023 [2] argues that "More flexibility has improved work-life balance for many since the pandemic began."

Though the FT has also featured opinions in favour of more in-person office time (such as a podcast [3] featuring an interview of a professor who speaks about the benefits of in-person work), there is no clear bias for or against remote work from the search results.

To sum up the search results: there are opinion articles in favour of remote work, news articles about major companies ending work-from-home with quotes from executives who favour in-person work, and articles that report on the benefits of hybrid working arrangements.

For the FT, I've seen a diversity of opinion, without any clear effort to sway the readership one way or another about the issue.

[1] https://www.ft.com/content/74b43b83-1af1-4045-9bd1-15fc85569...

[2] https://www.ft.com/content/44e81232-9b25-4f4a-91ab-4462978dc...

[3] https://www.ft.com/content/b35e3643-de04-4a0e-ae4a-c0f2db6b5...

j4yav
0 replies
1d23h

I mean, it's obvious right? We are surrounded by all this garbage open source software that proves that people who aren't physically proximate cannot possibly build anything valuable, much less without the warm steady micromanaging hand of middle management. /s

dimitrios1
0 replies
2d2h

Nothing to do with the media platforms, and everything to do with commercial property owners and commercial real estate. Commercial real estate has big influence in this country and they won't go down without a fight. Media platforms are just shills for whoever is giving them most of their money.

asdajksah2123
0 replies
2d2h

I can't search the WSJ or FT due to paywalls, but searching Fortune.come other than the straight news (Amazon executive threatens promotions will be blocked) all the top 5 or so articles I saw are about RTO being challenging.

LanguageGamer
0 replies
2d2h

The average income of FT readers is £221k [0] and the average income of WSJ readers is $234k [1]. I'm guessing the average reader of most online only newspapers is closer to the US median of $74k [2]. These readers belong to different economic classes with different financial interests, so the agenda divide is not surprising!

[0] https://commercial.ft.com/our-products/financial-times/ [1] https://abcnews.go.com/Business/IndustryInfo/story?id=342198... [2] https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2023/demo/p60-27...

LanceH
0 replies
2d2h

Fortune in particular has been maddening over the years. I keep seeing articles about how interviewees aren't professional in the interview process. I've never seen them mention that this is a learned behavior from how they are being treated in interviews.

To be fair, they may be better now. It's been years since I've read a Fortune article.

fnordpiglet
10 replies
2d2h

The only point in the article that matters is the only point that will decide the debate as passions cool:

"What makes companies money tends to stick," he said.

RTO is dead because it’s economically inefficient. Over time the emotional “but I like my employees to sit where I can see them” will be less and less compelling to boards and shareholders. After time has passed, say 5 years, the next recession will kill the corporate sponsored office and will usher in the “Bring Your Own Office” age. BYOD saved millions. BYOO will save hundreds of millions.

AnimalMuppet
8 replies
2d1h

Question for the HN crowd:

How much of a pay cut would you accept to WFH?

You should at least accept less by the amount of your commuting costs, because you're not paying that any more. But you're also getting the commuting time back, which might be worth some money too. You're essentially working fewer hours. (Yeah, they're not working hours. Still, it's hours that you can use for what you want instead of for something related to work.)

Anyone care to put a number on it? Or do people only like it at the same salary?

gotaran
1 replies
2d

I’d expect a pay raise if I had to accept WFH.

I live a 5 minute walk from my office and I get catered lunches.

francisofascii
0 replies
1d23h

Sure, that is really nice now, but what if you want to switch companies. At some point you will want to have a permanent home and not have to either move or accept a long commute to get a new job.

Kon5ole
1 replies
1d21h

You should at least accept less by the amount of your commuting costs,

If that's the case then we should also demand more by the same amount that the employer pays in office leases, right? If the employer gets money that I save, then I get money that the employer saves too, or is this a one-way thing?

I'm thinking it'll be a substantial salary increase, but I expect some opprobrium if I pitch the idea ;-)

More seriously, I have no doubt that any honest knowledge worker with a decent WFH setup delivers more value to their employer from home than they did from the office. This increased productivity is increased value that the employers get for free. A good thing!

Before the pandemic it was almost universally accepted that open offices were detrimental to knowledge work, but it was defended by the financials. You could fit more people in smaller offices, which saved money.

Now that the offices can be eliminated almost entirely, suddenly it's no longer about the money.

The real reason is of course that managers often can't measure productivity from office workers and use butts-in-seats as a substitute. I think it is a very poor substitute.

fnordpiglet
0 replies
22h32m

It’s absolutely a one way thing. Welcome to capitalism

theandrewbailey
0 replies
2d1h

I won't accept a pay cut to WFH. Almost none of the expenses incurred by commuting are going back to your employer. (Why would they care how much you spend getting to/from the office? It doesn't factor into their budgets.) In fact, your employer also sees massive savings by not having you in the office, mostly in the form of not having to rent/own/maintain so much overvalued office space.

fnordpiglet
0 replies
2d1h

I would argue the savings in corporate real estate occupancy cost and associated expenses are enough savings for the company, and I’m bearing the cost of maintained an office. As a sibling points out I also work more overall by not commuting or hanging out at a water cooler. At prior megacorps I was a senior person at and was in these discussions in key markets occupancy costs can be $15,000/person. That’s not chump change.

However I would take 10% less to stop having the debate.

dave78
0 replies
2d1h

But you're also getting the commuting time back, which might be worth some money too.

Not necessarily - a lot of people (myself included) essentially give that time to their employer. I drop my kids off at school and start work when I get home at 8am and work until 5pm when I pick them up. When I go in, my commute necessarily occurs between those two events.

In my company at least, I don't think this is rare. On the rare days I go into the office, it's easy to notice that people don't show up until well after 9 and everyone is gone by 3:30-4. I think many people have shifted to taking their commute time from what used to be considered the employer's time rather than personal time.

JambalayaJim
0 replies
2d1h

I would require a pay increase to WFH. This is because I'd need to rent my own office in a co-working space.

thebigspacefuck
0 replies
2d

I was watching an interview with Gabe Newell where this question came up and he said at Valve they measured a 25% decrease in productivity due to remote work. In this article it says that WFH is worth 8% increase in pay. So if that holds true for every company, it seems fair to pay 15% more to have workers return to the office. Say for every day an employee works from the office, give them a bonus at the end of the year for an extra 3%.

People bemoan their hour long commutes but if they can do the math and see they’re getting paid an extra $100 or whatever for sitting in traffic and listening to audiobooks, it becomes justifiable.

rossdavidh
8 replies
2d2h

...to be replaced by "actually, you're just laid off, don't come back to the office after all".

outside1234
3 replies
2d2h

That might be the case at some companies, but my company has realized this means less facilities, less money, less problems, and once companies (and shareholders) see that, there are going to be more questions about WHY do we need to spend money on your "towering glass box" when we can get it for free from the employee home?

toss1
2 replies
2d2h

Yup.

The primary driver of RTO is the massive overhang in corporate real estate. Not only was it overbuilt, it is now also redundant (and not in a good way). Notice one of the primary drivers is Jamie Dimon, Charimand & CEO of JPMorgan Chase, who will be a huge loser in a office real-estate crash, as are many of the other drivers.

Meanwhile, most workers have seen that daily commuting is an absurdly wasteful anachronism, and astute managers have noticed (as IBM did decades ago), that remote work slashes Capital Expenditures for real estate, and has gives a massive talent advantage, since your available talent pool is national or global, instead of only a small radius around each office.

They can keep trying to make RTO happen, but it won't. RTO has flatlined, and remote will only grow. It'll probably stay stable as current office leases continue to run, but on expiration, any smart company will reevaluate if they really need so much office space.

postexitus
0 replies
2d1h

With anachronism induced limitations removed and available talent pool unlocked globally, the unfortunate truth is that the average developer comp will come way down. I am not an RTO supporter and highly paid developers supporting RTO is the biggest hand gun ever in human history.

geodel
0 replies
2d2h

Notice one of the primary drivers is Jamie Dimon, Chariman & CEO of JPMorgan Chase, who will be a huge loser in a office real-estate crash,

Could be just coincidence that he recently sold his 140 million dollar worth of shares of JP Morgan.

local_crmdgeon
3 replies
2d1h

More likely is "your job has now been moved to Poland. Thank you for your time"

Sure, for SDEIIIs that's not true. But for entry level people 100% WFH is a disaster.

coffeebeqn
1 replies
2d

I don’t know that that’s true. You still have a big time zone and cultural gap.

ghaff
0 replies
1d23h

From the East Coast to Europe, time zones aren't that bad and cultural issues are pretty manageable too. From the West Coast it would be harder.

__turbobrew__
0 replies
2d

I work in a remote first company with a few thousand employees and the jobs are not moving to Poland but to Canada. Turns out you can pay 2/3 as much as a US dev and poach the best talent in Canada since you will be paying top of market. Also, for most Canadians they can easily travel to the US for company events.

phillipcarter
5 replies
2d2h

Economics professor, meet corporate SVP:

"it’s time to disagree and commit. We’re here, we’re back—it’s working, I don’t have data to back it up, but I know it’s better."

Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20231129224726/https://fortune.c...

dvlsg
3 replies
1d23h

An interesting choice of words. "I don't have the data to back it up" seems to want to imply "we don't have the data at all". But I don't buy that Amazon, of all companies, doesn't have the data. I assume they have it, and it doesn't back what they're trying to push.

phillipcarter
1 replies
1d22h

The vibes is the data.

Spivak
0 replies
1d19h

Are you my current CEO?

He accidentally let slip that he unilaterally is (trying to) force RTO for 200 people because he's lonely. Oh boo hoo get a social life outside of work. We all suddenly understood why he was not even bothering to engage with the near unanimous disagreement with it.

luckydata
0 replies
1d23h

why would you think Amazon has any data to support that notion? I work at Google and I can tell you for sure we don't. RTO is about how leaders feel about things, not about data.

coffeebeqn
0 replies
2d

Beautifully persuasive

onetimeuse92304
5 replies
2d2h

Meanwhile, worker productivity hasn’t suffered

Correction.

Some people, work their assess off all times of the day because now they can be reached around the clock. Some people work the same but make up with availability which can be valuable in itself (I am one of these people). And some people goof off even more than before.

Maybe the total productivity didn't change, but definitely it has shifted.

The question is what happens now. I think what happens is companies will get better at understanding who is and who isn't spending time working (I am careful not to use word "productive"). And some companies will monitor this and some will make conscious decision to focus on trying to get better at understanding actual productivity.

The ones that monitor working time I call sweatshops and I would try to stay away from at all cost. You want to compete on quality of your work or even on productivity. But you definitely do not want to compete with your coworkers over who can spend more time by the computer because there simply are no winners in this game.

--

One way it can bite people is that it may help the companies identify who is productive (if the company is smart about it).

I once talked with my boss about why he is allowing employees to access company funds (within certain limit). The finances people are furious and want to cut it off and instead give some ridiculously low limit for spending.

So one argument is that it allows people to be more efficient. When they need something, they don't have to wait for approvals or for "process".

But then the boss also says: "It is much cheaper for me to have an employee steal couple thousand dollars from me because I can easily identify it and fire the employee. It is much more expensive to keep that employee."

I think the same applies to working from home. When you allow people to do pretty much what they want, thinking they are unsupervised, you have now much better chance to identify employees who are completely immature, irresponsible or fraudulent about it.

hgomersall
1 replies
2d2h

Do you have any evidence to support your assertions?

DiggyJohnson
0 replies
2d1h

This seems patently true to me from personal experience. Seems pretty likely that the following statement is true: "some people do better and some do worse in a new and different mode of work."

wkat4242
0 replies
2d2h

Mouse jiggler for the win lol. That's what I use when I "goof off".

izzydata
0 replies
2d2h

I think the work that needs to get done is all getting done regardless, but one of the reasons executives like people in the office is to bore employees into inventing more work to do when there is nothing else they could be doing during that downtime.

hwillis
0 replies
2d1h

I think what happens is companies will get better at understanding who is and who isn't spending time working (I am careful not to use word "productive").

It's not clear to me that there's much of an incentive for this, and I think it requires more effort on the part of decision-makers than sending an email telling everyone to come back to the office.

Direct oversight has always been a very minor part of performance metrics, compared to word-of-mouth or deliverables. WFH still has those two factors, all it's missing is the direct oversight. I can only see manager support for this at places where managers are regularly checking over your shoulder, which is already crazy.

yafbum
3 replies
2d1h

The title is misleading without context. TFA doesn't argue that RTO is a bad policy or is being abandoned. It only presents facts showing that the post-COVID RTO trend is flatlining, i.e. employees aren't currently RTO'ing any more or any less than they were last month (as a share of paid work days).

ttymck
2 replies
2d1h

That is how I understood the headline.

yafbum
0 replies
2d1h

Looking at other comments, evidently a lot of HN readers didn't!

rcbdev
0 replies
1d18h

Same. Unsure what confusion OP is referring to specifically.

karaterobot
3 replies
2d2h

They're essentially saying that between a quarter and a half of work days are spent at home. They're not saying that WFH won, or that RTO won, and technically they're not even saying that hybrid won. Measuring "work days" is useful in some ways, but I'd like to know about the percentage of fully remote, fully in-office, and hybrid office jobs.

I suspect that a hybrid of in-office and WFH work is probably where we are settling, and I think that's far from ideal. With hybrid, you don't get the mobility you get with working from home: you can't live where you want, because you still have to commute into the office a couple days a week. From the business' perspective, you don't get the benefits of hiring people from other time zones (the greater size of the talent pool and, if you are despicable, the option to pay people less for the same result because they live somewhere else). You still have to pay for commercial real estate, even when it's not fully occupied. And, unless everyone's in-office on the same days—which is not the norm with hybrid offices—you still get all the annoyances of having Zoom calls. In other words, I think we're in the process of settling into a mistake. No surprise there I guess.

It would be better, in my view, for some companies to be 100% WFH, and other companies 100% in-office. The "native" remote companies I've worked for, the ones who were built around being remote, for were highly productive. Some office-centric companies I've worked for were productive, too. I've not worked for a hybrid company that was really very good.

rob74
0 replies
2d2h

Pssst, don't say that too loud! I resisted RTO, but at least now I still have two days of home office per week, which gives me at least a bit of flexibility. If the opinion that hybrid work is not a good compromise settles in with the powers that be, I think the pendulum will swing toward "fully in office" rather than toward "fully remote".

coffeebeqn
0 replies
2d1h

Taking a step back, as a long time remote work believer it’s actually just incredible how much COVID changed the expectations. The fact that almost all jobs now offer at least “hybrid” is a huge win in the long march of time. Just 5 years ago that would’ve been ludicrous

JambalayaJim
0 replies
2d1h

Good hybrid policies should mean people are in-office on the same day. People who work together that is, it doesn't have to be the entire company. This is my current workplace's hybrid policy.

It doesn't even make sense to call any other policy "hybrid", in my opinion. You're not actually working in-person with your colleagues in that case, so yeah it's functionally the same as remote work.

oglop
2 replies
2d

Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you Shopify.

I'm sorry but if it's software related, I don't get going into the office at all. My entire experience before was one of mostly depression at work because I'd get maybe a couple hours a day to code. What the other hours had in store or what the point was, who knows. But, it was mostly for people to talk and network and "feel like they were working" form my cynical perspective.

I just don't believe people that say you _have_ to be in office to solve complex problems or some such nonsense. There are too many examples that show this is laughably false. If someone wants to go in, I don't mind. But don't conflate your discomfort of being alone with your mind with "better productivity" because a work environment provides you with distractions.

HDThoreaun
1 replies
1d23h

I just don't believe people that say you _have_ to be in office to solve complex problems

I don't think anyone is saying that. They're saying that collaboration on those problems is more effective/easier when everyone is in the office together, not that it doesn't happen when remote. It's hard for me to see how this could be wrong. The most obvious example is that when in person I have lunch with colleagues where we talk about work things that we absolutely do not talk about when everyone is remote. There's much less siloization. It's not impossible to fix that in a remote environment, but most companies don't know how to, and instead of replacing leadership with a remote first team it's easier to go back to in person.

Spivak
0 replies
1d19h

I don't think anyone is saying that. They're saying that collaboration on those problems is more effective/easier when everyone is in the office together.

I genuinely don't ever see this dynamic at least for technical problems. The back-and-forth in Slack of people that can now take time to compose an informed response is second to none. Being able to instantly demo your ideas and pass the screen share around is better than any whiteboarding. I don't get the culture. I'm far less creative if you make me try and make decisions based on whatever knowledge I happen to have in my brain-cache at the moment.

newsclues
2 replies
2d2h

Many people refusing to return to the office will complain when their salaries adjust to the new normal.

gilbetron
0 replies
1d23h

Much like the threat that food workers will be replaced with robots if minimum wage increases, this is a threat without much bite. If companies thought they could get equal workers by outsourcing and reducing salaries, they already would have. Either being in office is a competitive advantage, or it isn't. We'll find out in the coming years, but I'm pretty sure the answer will be "it depends". And most people will readily accept a pay cut for lower salary if they can live in a lower cost of living area.

devnullbrain
0 replies
2d1h

The ship has sailed. If the job is outsourceable, they'll adjust regardless. There's not much inherent value in being from the same region as the headquarters & most of what there is comes from timezones.

chadash
2 replies
2d2h

I mean, it's not really dead. It has just flatlined in the short term, which makes sense. We are long past the point where most people are concerned about getting sick from COVID, so if your company hasn't called in workers yet, then it seems unlikely that they are going to in the near future.

The question is where things shake out in the long term. What percentage of young and growing companies will start remote and remain remote, start in person and then go remote, or start in person and remain in person (it's hard to imagine starting remote and then going in person, but I guess that's possible too)? The long-term outcome is still unclear, and it will take a long time for the dust to settle.

kmlx
0 replies
2d2h

it's hard to imagine starting remote and then going in person, but I guess that's possible too

wasn’t github started remote-only and then went to some in-person?

kingTug
0 replies
1d22h

We are long past the point where most people are concerned about getting sick from COVID

Sadly true. I wish there was more discourse on HN about this. I don't think 10+ years from now this will be sustainable without revelatory therapeutics or vaccines that offer complete and total protection. It seems clear that this is going to be a slow burn where everyone's immune system gets nicked, little by little. Contracting covid once a year or couple of years seems to be the reality we're willing to live with and I am terrified of the long term implications of this.

bell-cot
2 replies
2d2h

"Return to the office is dead," Nick Bloom, an economics professor at Stanford University and expert on the work-from-home revolution, wrote this week.

So...it's "Entrenched Senior $Trend Expert says that counter-$Trend ain't gonna happen".

zzleeper
1 replies
2d2h

I wanted to point this out, albeit slighty less cynically. NickB invested a lot of capital into becoming the expert on WFH (see e.g. https://wfhresearch.com/project-team/ ).

Whenever I see this in other economists, more likely than not their findings tend to go towards where their capital is invested.

bell-cot
0 replies
2d

Whenever I see...

LORDY, yes. The only solid "scientific" theory which Economists seem to have developed is the millenia-old one of predicting which "truths" each emperor / prince / nobleman / etc. will want to be told.

badrabbit
2 replies
2d1h

It's always frustrating when you live in a capitalist economy but rich people don't care about saving money. I disagree with the sentiment that RTO is about saving money. For most companies saving on real estate cost would make a big difference on their bottomline.

But what really frustrates me is they could save at least 10-15% on salary (biggest cost for most companies) for those who want to WFH.

Part of it is manager ego but a bigger part in my opinion is like most things in the corporate world, consultants are driving RTO because they always have a conflict if interest (the real estate companies they also consult with) and by nature they're extroverts.

I've worked with people in the past where even though it is their job, they will not lift a finger to help you unless they socialize with you in person and know they can play political quid-pro-quo. These people cannot function remotely and many of them are typically managers. But see, I would have expected consultants to use the opportunity to train management on how to manage a remote workforce efficiently.

A lot of money to be saved/made all around with WFH but greed has gotten so bad they want the whole cake and be able to show it off. More cake isn't good enough.

JambalayaJim
1 replies
2d1h

I've worked with people in the past where even though it is their job, they will not lift a finger to help you unless they socialize with you in person and know they can play political quid-pro-quo.

This is basic human psychology you're talking about, not "political quid-pro-quo" motivation.

badrabbit
0 replies
1d23h

Can you explain to me what you mean?

To me, you do your job because that's why you get paid. And for non-managerial roles you work with others not because you want to but because you need to in order to reach assigned objectives.

If you request someone to QA your code as a dev for example, the question of the QA guy knowing you in person, liking you and then knowing he can extort favors later on should never be even a consideration. What I was saying was for some people it is a significant consideration and they can't do any of that remotely. They are people persons and extroverts, their mindset does not allow them to do work without considering the social cost benefit analysis to be done in person. These are the people that demand you turn on cameras during a zoom call.

I mean, it is what it is, not even a problem so long as managers can manage those people as well as everybody else. But it is exactly those people that end up being managers.

It's like trying to explain antarctica to someone in the sahara. You do your job and do it well with no upside other than your paycheck - a lot of people do that and they can be very productive remotely because their objective of getting paid is being met. But when their performance review suffers from their nose not being brown enough they will fall in line and focus on that and inefficiently try to brown nose remotely and then hybrid and still fail and then execs think the reason for lower productivity is WFH not their managerial incompetence for both types of people when they WFH.

There are plenty of succesful remote-first companies. If you suffer from productivity loss it is because your managers and hr are failing at their jobs. Not your employees.

Workaccount2
2 replies
2d2h

Reminder to HN:

Only a tiny sliver of the workforce are tech workers who are tasked to write lines of code on a laptop all day.

RTO articles are about RTO in general, not RTO for developers.

danaris
1 replies
2d1h

Sure, but that doesn't mean only a tiny sliver of the workforce does 99.5% of their work on a computer every day.

There are other whole professions that can cheerfully go full remote so long as they have adequate tech support for it.

Spivak
0 replies
1d19h

Customer support, sales, marketing, design, finance, account management, customer retention, management, hr, legal, purchasing, leadership, analysts of ever form, copywriters,...

If your work is at all "office job" you probably don't need to be anywhere particular.

robg
1 replies
2d2h

Counterpoint: https://www.oregonlive.com/politics/2023/11/portland-mayor-t...

Local officials feel more pressure from the business community.

geodel
0 replies
2d2h

Seems both article saying roughly same thing.

CNBC: 0/1/2/3/4 days at office

Oregon Live: At least 20 hours from office for city employees.

honkycat
1 replies
1d23h

I don't want to waste a significant portion of my day commuting in a car, and I don't want to pay out the nose to live close to work.

People would be more amenable to offices if they were driving to downtowns that aren't paved over car-hells with 30% of the land being taken up for car storage.

We built our cities wrong. People have had enough.

ttymck
0 replies
1d19h

We being "the US", to clarify?

harryf
1 replies
2d1h

To me the interesting thing is how this plays out vs. commercial real estate market. Rentals in commercial real estate are generally long term (e.g. 3 years or longer). In general companies probably only started serious decision making in 2022 after it become clear "work from home" was not going away after seeing that offices are still partly empty most of the time.

That suggests we're probably going to start seeing a commercial real estate collapse, beginning some time in 2024 as significant numbers of rental agreements expire.

If that's true, I wonder what impact this will have on cities in general? There are so many potential knock-on consequences it's hard to predict outcomes.

bee_rider
0 replies
2d1h

If commercial real-estate could be repurposed to residential units (it isn’t trivial of course, you need way more bathrooms and whatnot!) it would be a great victory for people who would like to live inside.

grogenaut
1 replies
1d21h

At this point threads about if RTO or WFH are like arguing about vim vs emacs. It's mostly anecdata and personal preference. And like any change it'd be annoying. If we had ceos forcing all of the devs to use vim there'd be a similar gnashing of teeth especially after everyone optimized their life around an emacs config that finally worked 72%.

Spivak
0 replies
1d19h

It's not vim/emacs. It's "use whatever editor works best for you" and "use vim" which is why people are mad.

No force need be applied to "we have an office but you can work remotely if you'd like."

fullshark
1 replies
2d1h

The Economics just don't make sense for RTO. Now the question does it make sense to pay your labor those big salaries if you don't have an office, and instead are just paying for remote workers who could be anywhere on the planet?

travisb
0 replies
1d21h

Global outsourcing has been a thing for decades now, and yet there are still software developers in California.

At the end of the day "anywhere on the planet" just isn't true. Language, work culture, time zones, shared educational base, low network latency, and more are all still important in remote work and place strong constraints on how geographically distributed a team can be.

Even splitting a team up between West Coast and East Coast presents difficulties due to time zones -- and that's a case where everything else is more or less identical.

dathmar
1 replies
2d2h

RTO was a way for companies to encourage employees to quit without the need to pay severance. Once those people left then additional downsizing happened. For the most part this has already taken place. Companies that were going to play that game are done and companies that didn't need to downsize never played.

I doubt any of this posturing was about effectiveness of remote, hybrid, or in office work.

mapster
0 replies
2d1h

Likely, though for companies w very skilled (expensive to replace) labor there is much sensitivity re hybrid or WFH. A lot of Bay Area companies are simple downsizing and moving closer to those employees who will be in office. Win win

wkat4242
0 replies
2d2h

These days, most remote work is done as part of a “hybrid” arrangement, with some days at home and the rest in the office.

For me the office days are terrible now though. I used to have my own desk, obviously that doesn't fly with hybrid. But the whole running around with laptops is just so horrible. I really hate the office (and the colleagues that love the office and keep asking us to come in because they feel lonely or something).

I don't think this works for me.

vermaden
0 replies
19h33m

When I was working on a company that ALL people were in one same office - it sometimes made a difference as I could just stand up from my desk and go to a coworker that I needed to do/fix some stuff.

When the same company started to grow - and had multiple offices across entire Poland - we started to communicate each other with IM/email/teleconferences/...

This is the part when staying in the office was pointless as I/we needed to use IM/email/teleconferences/... anyway - so it does not matter if You do it from home or from the office.

Many manager do not understand that.

I work daily from home and I am not going back to office because of waste of my time (and money). If - for some reason - current employer would try to force me to get back - I am out of company in minutes and getting other job in more mature employer.

My $0.02 on the topic.

standardUser
0 replies
2d

Can you imagine an employer telling all employees to RTO now, a year and a half after nearly all pandemic restrictions ended? I would be livid. That doesn't seem to be happening on any large scale at this point, and instead companies with a lot of remote workers seem to be hiring more in-office workers, creating a hierarchy where longer tenured employees can WFH and newer employees cannot. Personally, I would hate to be on the losing side of that division.

pmarreck
0 replies
1d23h

100% Remote likely hits ADHD people hardest, btw. A not-insignificant percentage of all people.

mountaineer
0 replies
2d

For the "Ask HN: Who is hiring?" monthly trends, the data shows similar trends. [1]

* Remote positions have been consistently 60%+ this year

* Onsite peaked at about 23%.

* Hybrid peaked at 15%.

[1] https://www.hntrends.com/2023/november.html?compare=Remote&c...

m3kw9
0 replies
2d1h

Just like paper(physical), companies are digitizing office which is a very natural progression as a result of tech innovations

leoh
0 replies
2d

Not at Google it ain't over...

jillesvangurp
0 replies
2d1h

Many places still have record low unemployment; meaning that employers have to compete for the best people. And working from home is a perk that is easy to give away. Saves on office cost and keeps people happy. Win win. Having to lease large offices is expensive (though probably about to get a lot cheaper given they are all empty) and having to twist people's arms to make them spend time in it is not a great basis for keeping people happy.

They'll get to reflect on the futility of their commute to and from cubicle hell twice a day and might conclude the grass is greener next doors and simply might change job to some place with a better work/life balance. Usually, it's the best people that leave first. People with options tend to go for the nicest ones.

That might change if unemployment goes up. Job security for remote workers might not be as strong as for people in the office. When companies have to decide about who to let go, the people they'd miss the least will be at the top of the list. I.e. remote people are at a disadvantage.

Either way, I don't think the clock will be reverted to pre 2020 anytime soon. Companies should move on, adapt, and focus on how to make this new reality work for them. Save cost on offices and travel. Provide access to co-working spaces. Tap into the global labor market instead of hiring locally.

Ironically, for some places in the world this is a problem in the sense that this drives down rates. I'm seeing that the freelance market has gotten a lot tougher in the last years. I'm competing with people all over Europe. The fact that I'm in Berlin is of relatively low value to my clients.

ineedaj0b
0 replies
1d23h

if anyone in these comments is hiring or knows a remote job opportunity with very little coding experience, I would be very thankful. I'm driven... but I think it will take ~6ish months to get good at coding and having -any- job in the meantime would very helpful. I delivered furniture prior to this, so any leads would be helpful.

hnburnsy
0 replies
2d

Why do so few RTO articles mention the savings in CRE. According to Bard average CRE expenses are...

---------------

...some studies offer insights into the average CRE expenses across different industries and company sizes. Here's a breakdown:

By Industry:

Finance & Insurance: 10-15% Professional Services: 8-12% Technology: 5-8% Manufacturing: 4-6% Retail: 5-10%

By Company Size:

Small Companies (1-250 employees): 5-10% Mid-sized Companies (251-2,500 employees): 8-12% Large Companies (>2,500 employees): 10-15%

These are just general ranges, and the actual percentage for a specific company can be higher or lower depending on the factors mentioned above.

hintymad
0 replies
1d23h

Can someone help me understand the prof's logic? WFH has dropped to 28% from the early 60% this year, and then flattened. Why did the prof conclude that RTO is dead? Shouldn't the conclusion be that most of the people have returned to office?

helen___keller
0 replies
2d

I wish someone would tell my employer, who requires me to badge into my office to sit myself and work remotely with my coworkers who operate out of another office

gumballindie
0 replies
1d15h

Not in the UK it’s not. Some companies, even those posting jobs here on HN, didnt get the fax that remote work particularity in tech is the way.

flappyeagle
0 replies
1d23h

Young people are starting to push for in office from what I see.

The transition from school to sitting in your apartment is harsh.

For a lot of them in person work is a great place to make friends and romantic partners too.

flappyeagle
0 replies
1d23h

The best societal outcome of remote work is better sorting of talent into higher productivity jobs.

If a company paying big bucks needs some some they get to select from a global talent pool, or at least several time zones.

The best talent gets the best jobs. This is better for both the employees and the employers.

The losers are the under-talented who now must compete with a larger labor pool.

firefoxd
0 replies
2d

Our company had ~100 people before covid. During covid, we grew to ~700 people. All of which were hired to work remotely. The office was designed for no more than 160 employees, so we can't go back even if we wanted to. And we have people working all over the world.

The company gets acquired by a fortune 100 that does not do remote work. Now let's see how this one goes...

egberts1
0 replies
1d21h

Economist Paul Krugman wrote that by 2005, it would become clear that the Internet's effect on the economy is no greater than the fax machine's.

dr_
0 replies
2d

Shouldn’t we be discussing this by industry? Healthcare is 18% of the GDP and seems to be growing. Most, if not all, of healthcare services work is done in person at this time and for the foreseeable future.

Remote may work in tech and tech heavy businesses, but it doesn’t work everywhere.

clutchdude
0 replies
2d1h

It was dead the moment my company got used to expecting us to have video meetings from 8AM to 10AM.

It's one thing to get me into the office - it's another to expect me to get everything done in my morning routine, get to the office and immediately be ready in front of a desk, contributing to discussion, communicating status, etc.

By the time these meetings wrap up, I get the post meeting notes written down/persisted and do all of the other things you need to do after being in meetings for 2 hours, it is almost lunch time.

carbine
0 replies
2d

I think for demanding jobs the distinction between remote and in-office is non-trivial. If you expect people to push themselves to (and past) the limit, coming into the office and handling all the interruptions that entails is an enormous source of daily friction.

We hear so much hand wringing about the loss of 'hallway conversations,' but few people seem to discuss the loss of productivity from high performers in particular. I was at an intense startup when the pandemic hit, and switching from in-office to remote was such an unlock. I had an additional ~90 mins a day, could wear whatever, and just focus on executing.

OfficeChad
0 replies
1d21h

Not good. Hopefully the government steps in and drags them back to the office, put the ATF to work!

JumpinJack_Cash
0 replies
2d

Like many in here I making the leap to founding a startup.

Unlike many in here I have no delusions of 20bn exits, much less 20mm exits, hell not even a 200k personal ROI.

But one point I am not willing to negotiate on is physical presence in the same working area.

The startup will crash and burn and cost me time and money but while it's still standing I shall be the leader of a wolf pack and in the trenches with my soldiers.

If I can't find a group of equally stoked individuals ready to match and amplify my energy I think I'd give up the startup idea entirely and move to South America to buy a Series D Football Club instead.

At least footballers are quite the stoked bunch and it's impossible for them to claim that they can WFH.